cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Dillion Williams /Florida Atlantic

Dillion Williams

S · Florida Atlantic · Sr · #19

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

62 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Florida Atlantic for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Florida Atlantic for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Safety · Florida Atlantic

Returning around him

  • 21% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • Transfer portal: -8 net (22 in / 30 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Florida Atlantic · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #82 · 2026 recruiting class #85

S · FLORIDA ATLANTIC · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Dillion Williams

  • 4
  • #19
  • 5-11 | 190 lb
  • Nacogdoches, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

53

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by passes defended at the 78th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#11980

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#804 national
CFB
College
3 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#21 in market ▼ from #18 · 6 books

+35002.8% implied▼ lengthened from +3000

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionS
Class4
Jersey19
Measurements5-11 | 190 lb
HometownNacogdoches, TX
Primary teamFlorida Atlantic

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 804 recruit
Composite rating 0.8650 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2021
Origin Nacogdoches Nacogdoches, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8650 No. 804 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Florida Atlantic 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Apr 30, 2025
Season Move Context
2025 UTEP -> Florida Atlantic 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate
2024 North Texas -> UTEP 3-star | 0.8300 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#11980Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#12481Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8650

#804 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Dillion Williams

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Dillion Williams

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 10g
62Tackles
2Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
6Tackles
0.2Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
81Tackles
2.6Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 62): needs 6/game over remaining 3.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 62): needs 12.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 2/game over remaining 3.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 3.3/game over remaining 3.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Dillion Williams is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Florida Atlantic's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 2.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #11980 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 2 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 62 38 solo | #373/4942 (92nd pct)
TFL 2.0 Backfield disruption | #1443/4972 (71st pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
62 92nd
SOLO
38 94th
TFL
2.0 71st
SACK
0.0 65th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
3 76th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1L 7-39@ Maryland430.00.02
Wk 2W 56-14vs Florida A&M210.00.00
Wk 3L 28-38@ Florida International870.00.00
Wk 5L 26-55vs Memphis751.50.00
Wk 6W 27-21@ Rice840.50.01
Wk 7W 53-33vs UAB530.00.00
Wk 8L 13-48@ South Florida870.00.00
Wk 9L 32-42@ Navy940.00.00Season-high 9 tackles
Wk 13L 45-48vs UConn530.00.00
Wk 14L 3-42vs East Carolina610.00.00
Total62382.00.03
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021North Texas6-6HC: Seth Littrell · Run-heavy, fast tempo
2024UTEP3-9HC: Scotty Walden · Run-leaning
2025Florida Atlantic4-8HC: Zach Kittley · Pass-heavy, fast tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Florida Atlantic62382.00.03----
2024UTEP34120.00.011--
2021North Texas760.00.0------
Career3 loaded seasons103562.00.041--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 3 Coverage disruption | #521/2184 (76th pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 62 #373/4942 92nd pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 2.0 #1443/4972 71st pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 3 #521/2184 76th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 38 #271/4584 94th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home5g5.00.30.00.0
Road5g7.40.10.00.6

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins3g5.00.20.00.3
Losses7g6.70.20.00.3

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g5.70.30.00.5
Weeks 8+4g7.00.00.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the S cohort

53Mid-pack
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: solo tackles (90th). Strength: tackles (87th). Concern: qb hurries (22nd).

Solo tackles#271 / 2975 · 90th pct
38defe
Tackles#373 / 2975 · 87th pct
62defe
Passes defended#517 / 2975 · 78th pct
3defe
Tackles for loss#1424 / 2975 · 47th pct
2.0defe
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · S · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Dillion WilliamsFlorida AtlanticTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 91% simTyler MartinMassachusetts· 91% simDevin LafayetteTroy· 82% sim
Solo tackles
90
Williams
100
Ra-El
87
Martin
98
Lafayette
Tackles
87
Williams
99
Ra-El
98
Martin
99
Lafayette
Passes defended
78
Williams
91
Ra-El
67
Martin
91
Lafayette
Tackles for loss
47
Williams
56
Ra-El
63
Martin
56
Lafayette
Sacks
24
Williams
24
Ra-El
24
Martin
63
Lafayette
QB hurries
22
Williams
22
Ra-El
22
Martin
22
Lafayette

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Box Safety

Lives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker.

S

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Marques Buford’s 2022 season.

Marques Buford

87%match

Nebraska · 2022

#2

Dante Trader Jr.

Maryland · 2024

NFL Rd 5
87%
#3

Daquan Evans

South Florida · 2021

87%
#4

Kenneth Robinson

UTSA · 2023

86%
#5

Dante Trader Jr.

Maryland · 2022

NFL Rd 5
86%

Matches Marques on

PD rate
Tackle volume
Height

Differs from Marques on

Class year (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to D.J. Miller's junior season at Kent State (2022).

D.J. Miller

91%match

Kent State · 2022

#2

Seyi Oladipo

Boise State · 2023

All-Mountain West
87%
#3

Jordan Vincent

New Mexico State · 2023

87%
#4

Billy Bowman

Oklahoma · 2023

86%
#5

Rod Heard II

Northwestern · 2022

86%

Matches D.J. on

Class year
Height
Tackle volume

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Zach Kittley

Pass share

62.3%

580 pass / 351 run

Plays / game

77.6

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.2%

423 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Pass-heavy, fast tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

3 coaches
2021
Willie Taggart
Florida Atlantic
2024
Chad Lunsford
Florida Atlantic
era →
2025
Zach Kittley
Florida Atlantic
era →

Played under 3 different head coaches: Willie Taggart, Chad Lunsford, and Zach Kittley. Multi-era developmental context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownNacogdoches, TX
Height5'11"
Weight190 lb
Class4
PositionS
Jersey19

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 UTEP S4 #11980 #12481 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Conference USA
2023 North Texas S4 #15253 #15274 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | American Athletic
2022 North Texas S4 #14149 #14111 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Conference USA
2021 North Texas S4 #13342 #13322 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Conference USA

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Florida Atlantic American Athletic S 4 No. 19 | 5-11 | 190 lb | Nacogdoches, TX
2024 UTEP Conference USA S 4 No. 19 | 5-11 | 190 lb | Nacogdoches, TX
2023 North Texas American Athletic S 4 No. 19 | 5-11 | 190 lb | Nacogdoches, TX
2022 North Texas Conference USA S 4 No. 19 | 5-11 | 190 lb | Nacogdoches, TX
2021 North Texas Conference USA S 4 No. 19 | 5-11 | 190 lb | Nacogdoches, TX