CFB Zeitgeist QB Score
Awaiting
Dillon Gabriel
Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.
Where He Ended Up · NFL
ClevelandEntering 2nd NFL season
#94Rd 3 · Pick 30
ClevelandEntering 2nd NFL season
QB · OREGON · BIG TEN
Dillon Gabriel
- 4
- #8
- 5-11 | 204 lb
- Mililani, HI
Heisman Heat
#1
19.6% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
19.6%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
In contention
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 5 · ApexR15 · POTY finalist
Position-of-the-Year finalist. Among the nation's elite at the position.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
4 seasons on the ladder
2021
UCF · QB
—
2022
Oklahoma · QB
—
★
2023
Oklahoma · QB
R15 · POTY finalist
Apex
2024
Oregon · QB
R15 · POTY finalist
Apex
NFL Draft 2025 · Rd 3, Pick 30 · #94 overall · Cleveland
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2021–2024+374%
Up 374% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
3 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
R3 · #94
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 3-star | 0.8704 | No. 754 recruit | HighSchool |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Oklahoma -> Oregon | 4-star | 0.9100 | Immediate |
| 2022 | UCF -> Oklahoma | 4-star | 0.9200 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to —
Composite
0.8704
#754 national
NFL Draft
2025 · Rd 3, Pick 30
#94 overall · Cleveland
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Dillon Gabriel
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Dillon Gabriel
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Scenario Explorer
Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.
Why this is a two-channel quarterback case
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The unusual part of Dillon Gabriel's case is that the production comes in two channels, not one. For Oregon, he has 3,857 passing yards and 30 touchdown passes, but he also adds 149 rushing yards and 7 rushing scores. That kind of dual-threat load tends to create a more resilient Heisman case because the offense can tilt the game in multiple ways.
2024 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2024 season snapshot | final
2024 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
High-volume passer | Highly efficient against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2024 Season · Final
2024 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
326 99th
ATT
447 97th
CMP%
72.9% 88th
Y/A
8.6 84th
Passing Production
YDS
3,857 99th
TD
30 99th
INT
6 28th
Rushing
CAR
75 80th
YDS
149 74th
YPC
2.0 39th
TD
7 90th
Game Log
Week-by-week box
No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021UCF8-4HC: Gus Malzahn · Run-leaning
2022Oklahoma6-7HC: Brent Venables · Run-leaning, fast tempo
2023Oklahoma10-3HC: Brent Venables · Balanced
2024Oregon13-1HC: Dan Lanning · Balanced
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 3,857 | #4/382 | 99th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 30 | #6/407 | 99th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 326 | #5/383 | 99th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 72.9% | #47/383 | 88th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 8.6 | #63/382 | 84th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 149 | #106/408 | 74th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.61 | #1/200 | 100th pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 438 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 53.0% | #57/428 | 87th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 447 | #12/407 | 97th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 6 | #294/407 | 28th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 75 | #83/408 | 80th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 54 | #40/391 | 90th pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 7 | #43/408 | 90th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 2.0 | #249/407 | 39th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 94.3% | #30/428 | 93rd pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 75.7% | #17/428 | 96th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 72.5% | #31/428 | 93rd pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 50.2% | #77/428 | 82nd pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 45.5% | #68/428 | 84th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 45.5% | #65/428 | 85th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 12.0% | #136/428 | 68th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.39 | #12/140 | 92nd pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 66 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 2 | #163/258 | 37th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits
Per-game splits
Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Dan Lanning
Pass share
44.9%
436 pass / 534 run
Plays / game
64.7
15 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
4.8%
250 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2024
2 coaches2021
Bryan McClendon
Oregon
2022era →
Dan Lanning
Oregon
2023
Dan Lanning
Oregon
2024
Dan Lanning
Oregon
Coaching transition mid-career: Bryan McClendon → Dan Lanning. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownMililani, HI
Height5'11"
Weight204 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey8
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamOregon
ConferenceBig Ten
Joined2024
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🥇
ALL-AMERICA
Named All-American (2024)
3 selectors honored him
🥈
ALL-CONFERENCE · 1ST TEAM
All-Conf 1st team (2024)
All-Big Ten
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
Best official finish: #3
Finished in the top end of the Heisman vote on a completed ballot, which is a cleaner historical signal than model-only attention.
1 finalist season
Invited into the official finalist tier in 2024. That belongs in the trophy case, not buried in a table.
3 All-America selections
National selector recognition is one of the strongest non-Heisman signals on a player card and should sit near the top of the showcase.
7 all-conference honors
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Heisman votes in 1 season
Even lower-volume award recognition is worth preserving because it marks seasons where a player entered the national conversation.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | All-America (SI) | all_america | Oregon | SI | QB |
| 2024 | All-America (USA Today) | all_america | Oregon | USA Today | QB |
| 2024 | All-America (FWAA) | all_america | Oregon | FWAA | QB |
| 2024 | All-Big Ten | all_conference | Oregon | Big Ten | QB |
| 2024 | All-Big Ten | all_conference | Oregon | Big Ten | GRIE |
| 2024 | All-Big Ten | all_conference | Oregon | Big Ten | GRAH |
| 2024 | All-Big Ten | all_conference | Oregon | Big Ten | MOST |
| 2024 | All-Big Ten | all_conference | Big Ten | -- |
| 2023 | All-Big 12 | all_conference | Oklahoma | Big 12 | QB |
| 2020 | All-AAC | all_conference | UCF | AAC | QB |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Oregon | QB4 | #1 | #1 | 19.6% | 84.3% | #3 finish | 516 | W16 snapshot | Big Ten | Official finalist |
| 2023 | Oklahoma | QB4 | #3 | #7 | 7.0% | 36.7% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Big 12 |
| 2022 | Oklahoma | QB4 | #31 | #57 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Big 12 |
| 2021 | UCF | QB4 | #198 | #224 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | American Athletic |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.