Emani Bailey

Junior running back for TCU. 2023: 1,209 rushing yards, 8 rushing TD, 25 catches.

RB · TCU · Jr. · #9

5′9″ · 207 lb · Denton, TX

CFB Index 73 · #34 of 310 RBsHigh confidenceTCU 2023 alumnus

Recruiting

3★

RB recruit

No. 1310 nationally · Signed with Louisiana

No college snaps yet.

His career numbers, season by season

The story

3 running back for TCU. 2023: 1,209 rushing yards, 8 rushing TD, 25 catches.

Signed as a 3-star recruit to Louisiana in 2020.
Transferred from Louisiana to TCU in 2022.

His career, year by year

How it ended

Four seasons at TCU, 2,161 rushing yards — his college career is complete.

His career

He barely played early on. Then he did not come off the field.

20203 games

Signed with Louisiana3-star out of Ryan

20229 games

The role got bigger.

Entered the portal

Career arc

Recruit

★★★

#1310 national

CFB

College

2 teams

2020–2023

NFL

NFL Draft

—

Not drafted

Coaching lineage · 2020–2023

2 coaches

2020–2021

Gary Patterson

TCU

2022–2023

Sonny Dykes

TCU

era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Gary Patterson → Sonny Dykes. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

2023 snapshot

Season context · Team result + system

2020Louisiana10-1HC: Billy Napier · Run-leaning

2021Louisiana13-1HC: Billy Napier · Run-leaning

2022TCU13-2HC: Sonny Dykes · Run-leaning

2023TCU5-7HC: Sonny Dykes · Pass-leaning, fast tempo

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles

73Quality starter #34 of 310?

High confidence13 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: carries (94th percentile). Strength: rush yards (94th percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

Yards / carry#98 / 426 · 77th pct

6.0

Explosive rate#116 / 426 · 73rd pct

8.8%

Success rate#167 / 426 · 61st pct

46.6%

EPA / carry#228 / 426 · 47th pct

0.15

TD rate#274 / 426 · 36th pct

3.4%

Box-score rates (8)

Carries#18 / 333 · 94th pct

223

Rush yards#20 / 333 · 94th pct

1209

Long run#28 / 333 · 91st pct

Receptions#36 / 327 · 88th pct

Rec yards#62 / 327 · 81st pct

184

Rush TDs#60 / 333 · 80th pct

Yards / carry#93 / 333 · 70th pct

5.4

Fumbles lost#67 / 207 · 47th pct

Season trend

EPA / carry— first qualifying season

Success rate— first qualifying season

Explosive rate— first qualifying season

Yards / carry— first qualifying season

TD rate— first qualifying season

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Situational

Situational · Carry shape (PBP, full season)

Yardage DNA

204 carries

12%

Stuffed (≤0)

40%

Grind (1–3)

30%

Chunk (4–9)

18%

Explosive (10+)

Splits & context

Splits · Per-game

2023 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	YDS/g	YPC	TD/g
Home7g	89.1	5.1	0.6
Road5g	117	6.2	0.8

First half vs Second half

	YDS/g	YPC	TD/g
Weeks 1-77g	107	5.8	0.3
Weeks 8+5g	91.6	5.3	1.2

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2026 season

Head Coach

Sonny Dykes

Scheme reads (pass share, tempo, sack rate) need at least 3 team games — 2 games in so far.

Awards

Player standing · 2023

Starter

A locked-in starting job.

Recognition

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Production · CFB Index Score

73 · #34 of 310 RBs

Three-star recruit. Now #34 at the position.

Career stats

Season	Team
2023	TCU	223	1,209	5.4	8	--
2022	TCU	31	250	8.1	2	--
2021	Louisiana	102	642	6.3	8	--
2020	Louisiana	10	60	6.0	0	--
Career		366	2,161	5.9	18	--

Season	Team
2023	TCU	25	184	7.4	1	--
2022	TCU	7	43	6.1	0	--
2021	Louisiana	15	153	10.2	0	--
2020	Louisiana	--	--	--	--	--
Career		47	380	8.1	1	--

Signature game

SIGNATURE GAME · Week 4 · 2023

W 34–17

vs SMU

126 rush yds (25 car) · 1 TD

With C. Morris — 261 yds · 3 TD · 0 INT · QBR 89.8 · 38 rush yds (6 car) · J. Sandy — -8 rush yds (1 car)

Signature plays

Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|

The plays that mattered most

fact

Week 12 · Baylor · 2&2 · Q1 · EPA -4.93Emani Bailey run for 19 yds to the BAY 31 Emani Bailey fumbled, recovered by BAY Caden Jenkins No Huddle-Shotgun Bailey,Emani rush middle for 19 yards loss to the BU21 fumbled by Bailey,Emani at BU04 forced by Lanz,Cooper recovered by BU Jenkins,Caden at BU21 Jenkins,Caden return 10 yards to the BU31 (Coleman,Brandon).
Week 1 · Colorado · 2&8 · Q3 · EPA +4.48Emani Bailey run for 74 yds to the COLO 23 for a 1ST down
Week 5 · West Virginia · 4&1 · Q2 · EPA -3.83Emani Bailey run for no gain to the WVU 16
Week 13 · Oklahoma · 2&10 · Q3 · EPA +3.48Emani Bailey run for 32 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK)
Week 13 · Oklahoma · 2&10 · Q3 · EPA +3.43Emani Bailey run for 49 yds to the OU 12 for a 1ST down
Week 12 · Baylor · 2&9 · Q2 · EPA +3.15Emani Bailey run for 27 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK)
Week 6 · Iowa State · 2&15 · Q4 · EPA +3.06Emani Bailey run for 18 yds to the ISU 47 for a 1ST down
Week 12 · Baylor · 1&10 · Q4 · EPA +2.84Emani Bailey run for 31 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK)
Week 4 · SMU · 1&10 · Q3 · EPA +2.68Emani Bailey run for 24 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK)
Week 11 · Texas · 1&10 · Q4 · EPA +2.58Emani Bailey run for 17 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK)

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2023 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD

Wk	Opp	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG	Note
Wk 1	L 42-45vs Colorado	14	164	11.7	0	74	Season-high 164 yds
Wk 2	W 41-6vs Nicholls	19	67	3.5	0	21
Wk 3	W 36-13@ Houston	23	126	5.5	1	16
Wk 4	W 34-17vs SMU	25	126	5.0	1	24
Wk 5	L 21-24vs West Virginia	19	55	2.9	0	13
Wk 6	L 14-27@ Iowa State	21	152	7.2	0	29	152-yard day
Wk 7	W 44-11vs BYU	13	61	4.7	0	25
Wk 8	L 3-41@ Kansas State	12	100	8.3	0	35
Wk 10	L 28-35@ Texas Tech	19	57	3.0	2	16
Wk 11	L 26-29vs Texas	21	98	4.7	1	17
Wk 12	W 42-17vs Baylor	16	53	3.3	2	31
Wk 13	L 45-69@ Oklahoma	21	150	7.1	1	49	150-yard day
Total		223	1209	5.6	8	74

How he plays

Play style

Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.

CFB Index positional classification

Boom vs consistent · carry-yardage shape

Steady, not spectacular

~ our read

204Carries

1228Yards

18.2%Top-5 share

11.8%Stuffed rate

Just 18.2% of his season rushing yards came on his 5 best carries — remarkably even — and he's stuffed on 11.8% of his carries. 3 carries for 12 yds vs Nicholls; 14 for 164 vs Colorado.

Closer · Q4-with-lead carry share

Not actually a closer

checked · no story

56.6%Carry share

35.3%Q4-lead share

61.1%In competitive games

56.6% of carries overall (202/357) → 35.3% of Q4-with-lead carries (18/51) — 61.1% of those in competitive (≤16-pt) games.

Short-yardage / goal-line · enumeration

Who gets the tough yard

fact

8/143rd/4th & short

8 of 14 on 3rd/4th-and-2-or-less (57.1%).