cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Noah Whittington /Oregon

Noah Whittington

RB · Oregon · Sr · #6

Filling the Shoesas of 2026-06-22

Noah Whittington is a cornerstone for Oregon — measured against the line he joined.

829RUSH YDS6RUSH TD129CARRIES

RUSHING VALUE · WEPA

+0.29

via your WEPA model · 2025 · 113 plays

Fans price his perception around the 83rd percentile; the tape produces at the 97th — why isn't he getting the credit?

Read the story so far

Noah Whittington arrived as a 3-star prospect. He lines up at RB for Oregon.

On the field, the headline is 829 rush yds, with 6 rush td.

He inherited the RB job from Jordan James (4-star).

The number to watch: +0.29 — rushing value · wepa.

RB successioncontinuity
  • Inherited fromJordan James 4★
Why nowThe 2026 outlook is the live story — the offseason looks forward.
  • season totals
  • via your WEPA model · 2025 · 113 plays
  • throne-line + Filling-the-Shoes

AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Oregon for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Oregon for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Running back · Oregon

Returning around him

  • 19% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • 7 Oregon players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -17 net (13 in / 30 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Oregon · Last season: 13-2 (AP #5) · Talent rank #5 · 2026 recruiting class #5

RB · OREGON · BIG TEN

Noah Whittington

  • 4
  • #6
  • 5-8 | 203 lb
  • Fort Valley, GA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

77

All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 91st percentile.

Heisman Heat

#42

0.8% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

0.8%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Aura™ · Him Watch the full board →
Hype = tape -14aura tax
Fans rank this player in the 82nd percentile of RBs; the tape says 97th — the discourse is fair.
Aura — fan perception82nd pctl
Production — on-field97th pctl
n=12 mentions · cohort: RBs · 140 qualified · perception = conversation volume, production = wepa_rushing

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2021–2025
6172021
7812022
1462023
5402024
8292025

+34%

Up 34% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#2355 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class4
Jersey6
Measurements5-8 | 203 lb
HometownFort Valley, GA
Primary teamOregon

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 2355 recruit
Composite rating 0.8148 HighSchool
Signed with Western Kentucky 2020
Origin Peach County Fort Valley, GA, USA
Class Profile Context
2020 3-star | 0.8148 No. 2355 recruit | HighSchool | Western Kentucky

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#42Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#28Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.8%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability35.4%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in rushing yards (829).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Western Kentucky

Composite

0.8148

#2355 national

Today’s Hot-Take

6.4 yards per carry — #2 in a 69-RB cohort, 99th percentile in the modern era.

Rank #2Cohort p4_plus_nd_rbs (P4 + Notre Dame RBs)Sample n=129Percentile 98

Anti-Take

EFFICIENCY

Efficiency rewards selectivity. Volume-adjusted rank in the same cohort almost always looks looser — call it elite, not unique.

The Room on Noah Whittington

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

64

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 11 mentions
Confidence LOW

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 11 mentions · belief +27 · "I mean wow… i’m speechless. This was an utter butt whooping. I thought we would "Own fansNational: 1 mentions · belief +0 · "The Noah Whittington Bowl"National
  • Own fans · n=11
  • National · n=1

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Noah Whittington

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Rushing WEPA per carry

+0.290

EPA

P4 + Notre Dame RBs, min 80 carries

National rank #6 of 66
Percentile vs P4 + Notre Dame RBs, min 80 carries 92nd

Why it matters

#6 of 66 P4 + Notre Dame RBs by rushing weighted- EPA per carry — +0.290 EPA/carry on 113 carries.

Vs cohort

This player +0.290 (92th)

MODERATE · n=113 cohort 66

  • Also strong
  • Yards per carry#2 / 69
  • Rushing yards (total)#25 / 69

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
829Rush yards
129Carries
6Rush TDs
Per game
69.1Rush yards
11Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
898.1Rush yards
140Carries
6Rush TDs

✓ Hit 750-yard season · finished with 829.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 829): needs 171/game over remaining 1.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 829): needs 671/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 6): needs 4/game over remaining 1.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 6): needs 9/game over remaining 1.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 6): needs 14/game over remaining 1.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Noah Whittington's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Oregon, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #42 0.8% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 17.7% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 927 829 rush | 98 rec | #63/735 (92nd pct)
Rush TD 6 129 carries | #83/739 (89th pct)
Yards/carry 6.4 Per-rush efficiency | #86/735 (88th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Workhorse | Efficient runner | Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.

WorkhorseEfficient runnerPassing-game back

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
129 87th
YDS
829 92nd
YPC
6.4 88th
TD
6 89th

Receiving

REC
19 86th
YDS
98 69th
YPR
5.2 28th
TD
1 89th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 59-13vs Montana State10686.8135
Wk 2W 69-3vs Oklahoma State49122.8159
Wk 5W 30-24@ Penn State7253.607
Wk 7L 20-30vs Indiana5275.407
Wk 8W 56-10@ Rutgers1112511.4268Season-high 125 yds
Wk 9W 21-7vs Wisconsin14976.9036
Wk 11W 18-16@ Iowa171186.9027
Wk 12W 42-13vs Minnesota8729.0140
Wk 13W 42-27vs USC191045.5117
Wk 14W 26-14@ Washington17472.8017
BowlW 51-34vs James Madison4246.009
BowlW 23-0@ Texas Tech13312.409
Total1298297.5668
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Western Kentucky8-5HC: Tyson Helton · Pass-heavy, fast tempo
2022Oregon10-3HC: Dan Lanning · Run-leaning
2023Oregon12-2HC: Dan Lanning · Balanced
2024Oregon13-1HC: Dan Lanning · Balanced
2025Oregon13-2HC: Dan Lanning · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Oregon1298296.46--
2024Oregon1185404.66--
2023Oregon201467.32--
2022Oregon1397815.65--
2021Western Kentucky1016176.12--
Career5 loaded seasons5072,9135.721--
SeasonTeam
2025Oregon19985.21--
2024Oregon241365.72--
2023Oregon10848.40--
2022Oregon221697.71--
2021Western Kentucky12584.80--
Career5 loaded seasons875456.34--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 19 98 rec yds | #78/552 (86th pct)
Usage 17.7% 27.1% rush share | #118/738 (84th pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.29 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #11/362 (97th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 829 #63/735 92nd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 6 #83/739 89th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 6.4 #86/735 88th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 19 #78/552 86th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 98 #173/548 69th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.29 #11/362 97th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 113 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 17.7% #118/738 84th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 129 #96/739 87th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 68 #68/733 91st pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 12 #365/540 33rd pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 5.2 #395/548 28th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #60/552 89th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Returns Kick return yards 126 #53/200 74th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Returns Kick return avg 21.0 #66/199 67th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Returns Kick returns 6 #49/206 77th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 27.1% #153/738 79th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 20.6% #86/738 88th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 19.8% #133/738 82nd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 19.4% #154/738 79th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 11.7% #138/738 81st pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 11.0% #170/738 77th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 7.2% #77/738 90th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home7g69.08.90.6
Road5g69.25.40.4

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins11g72.97.60.5
Losses1g27.05.40.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-76g44.37.80.3
Weeks 8+6g93.87.10.7

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

77All-Conference
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: yards / carry (90th). Strength: rush yards (82nd).

Yards / carry#31 / 349 · 91st pct
6.4rush
Rush yards#63 / 349 · 82nd pct
829rush
Long run#63 / 349 · 82nd pct
68rush
Receptions#77 / 338 · 75th pct
19rece
Carries#96 / 349 · 72nd pct
129rush
Rush TDs#83 / 349 · 72nd pct
6rush
Rec yards#157 / 338 · 54th pct
98rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.29Elite (≥p90) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Noah WhittingtonOregonNate FrazierGeorgia· 88% simJevon JacksonUAB· 88% simJoe JacksonKansas State· 87% sim
Yards / carry
91
Whittington
71
Frazier
68
Jackson
68
Jackson
Rush yards
82
Whittington
87
Frazier
85
Jackson
86
Jackson
Long run
82
Whittington
72
Frazier
70
Jackson
93
Jackson
Receptions
75
Whittington
63
Frazier
75
Jackson
81
Jackson
Carries
72
Whittington
87
Frazier
85
Jackson
86
Jackson
Rush TDs
72
Whittington
72
Frazier
62
Jackson
84
Jackson
Rec yards
54
Whittington
61
Frazier
61
Jackson
63
Jackson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Speed Merchant

Cuts upfield fast. Designed to find the crease, not run through the line.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Noah Whittington’s 2022 season.

Noah Whittington

70%match

Oregon · 2022

#2

Robert Henry

UTSA · 2025

67%
#3

Kelley Joiner Jr.

South Florida · 2021

62%
#4

Waymond Jordan

USC · 2025

65%
#5

Tawee Walker

Cincinnati · 2025

64%

Matches Noah on

Height
Rush TD rate

Differs from Noah on

Yards / reception (lower)
Yards / carry (higher)
Class year (higher)

Through 6 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Calvin Turner’s path through Hawai'i.

Calvin Turner

94%match

Hawai'i · 2020

All-Mountain West
#2

Isaiah Ifanse

California · 2023

92%
#3

Asim Rose

Kentucky · 2020

91%
#4

Trey Ragas

Louisiana · 2020

All-Sun Belt
90%
#5

Makenzie McGill

North Texas · 2025

89%

Matches Calvin on

Yards per carry

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Dan Lanning

Pass share

44.9%

436 pass / 534 run

Plays / game

64.7

15 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.8%

250 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

2 coaches
2021
Bryan McClendon
Oregon
2022
Dan Lanning
Oregon
era →
2023
Dan Lanning
Oregon
2024
Dan Lanning
Oregon
2025
Dan Lanning
Oregon

Coaching transition mid-career: Bryan McClendon → Dan Lanning. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownFort Valley, GA
Height5'8"
Weight203 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey6

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Oregon RB4 #42 #28 0.8% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten
2023 Oregon RB4 #277 #213 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Pac-12
2022 Oregon RB4 #118 #111 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Pac-12
2021 Western Kentucky RB4 #740 #941 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Conference USA

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Oregon Big Ten RB 4 No. 6 | 5-8 | 203 lb | Fort Valley, GA
2024 Oregon Big Ten RB 4 No. 6 | 5-8 | 203 lb | Fort Valley, GA
2023 Oregon Pac-12 RB 4 No. 6 | 5-8 | 203 lb | Fort Valley, GA
2022 Oregon Pac-12 RB 4 No. 6 | 5-8 | 203 lb | Fort Valley, GA
2021 Western Kentucky Conference USA RB 4 No. 6 | 5-8 | 203 lb | Fort Valley, GA