cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jordon Davison /Oregon

Jordon Davison

RB · Oregon · Fr

sonnet prose (cached)

667 RUSH YDS · 15 RUSH TD · 112 CARRIES

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Oregon for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Oregon for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Running back · Oregon

Returning around him

  • 19% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • 7 Oregon players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -17 net (13 in / 30 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Oregon · Last season: 13-2 (AP #5) · Talent rank #5 · 2026 recruiting class #5

RB · OREGON · BIG TEN

Jordon Davison

  • 1
  • 6-0 | 236 lb
  • Santa Ana, CA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

74

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 86th percentile.

Heisman Heat

Awaiting

Not on the live Heisman board this week.

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Aura™ · Him Watch the full board →
Hype = tape -6aura tax
Fans rank this player in the 92nd percentile of RBs; the tape says 97th — the discourse is fair.
Aura — fan perception92nd pctl
Production — on-field97th pctl
n=30 mentions · cohort: RBs · 140 qualified · perception = conversation volume, production = wepa_rushing

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#172 national
CFB
College
Oregon
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class1
Jersey--
Measurements6-0 | 236 lb
HometownSanta Ana, CA
Primary teamOregon

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 172 recruit
Composite rating 0.9299 HighSchool
Signed with Oregon 2025
Origin Mater Dei Santa Ana, CA, USA
Class Profile Context
2025 4-star | 0.9299 No. 172 recruit | HighSchool | Oregon

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens

Where the model places this player relative to the rest of the Heisman field.

Current nowcast--Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast--Where the full season sim points
Win probability--Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability--Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability--Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Oregon

Composite

0.9299

#172 national

Today’s Hot-Take

+0.310 rushing wepa per carry — #4 in a 66-RB cohort, 95th percentile in the modern era.

Rank #4Cohort p4_plus_nd_rbs (P4 + Notre Dame RBs)Sample n=104Percentile 95

Anti-Take

EFFICIENCY

Efficiency rewards selectivity. Volume-adjusted rank in the same cohort almost always looks looser — call it elite, not unique.

The Room on Jordon Davison

Fan sentiment · Season 2025 conversation window

Belief Meter

65

Quietly Bullish

Sample 27 mentions
Confidence MEDIUM

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 27 mentions · belief +30 · "Oregon's running back room is loaded with depth and future NFL talent, led by so"Own fansNational: 6 mentions · belief +100 · "Jordon Davison, Dierre Hill seek their place among Oregon’s greatest running bac"National
  • Own fans · n=27
  • National · n=6

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jordon Davison

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Rushing WEPA per carry

+0.310

EPA

P4 + Notre Dame RBs, min 80 carries

National rank #4 of 66
Percentile vs P4 + Notre Dame RBs, min 80 carries 95th

Why it matters

#4 of 66 P4 + Notre Dame RBs by rushing weighted- EPA per carry — +0.310 EPA/carry on 104 carries.

Vs cohort

This player +0.310 (95th)

MODERATE · n=104 cohort 66

  • Also strong
  • Yards per carry#10 / 69
  • Rushing yards (total)#35 / 69

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

final
Through 14g
667Rush yards
112Carries
15Rush TDs
Per game
47.6Rush yards
8Carries
1Rush TDs
Final
667Rush yards
112Carries
15Rush TDs

✓ Hit 10 rushing TDs · finished with 15.

✓ Hit 15 rushing TDs · finished with 15.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jordon Davison's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Oregon, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place -- -- win | -- finalist
Role load 11.4% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 172 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 729 667 rush | 62 rec | #100/735 (87th pct)
Rush TD 15 112 carries | #8/739 (99th pct)
Yards/carry 6.0 Per-rush efficiency | #108/735 (85th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Workhorse | Efficient runner against FBS RB peers.

WorkhorseEfficient runner

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
112 82nd
YDS
667 87th
YPC
6.0 85th
TD
15 99th

Receiving

REC
12 68th
YDS
62 55th
YPR
5.2 28th
TD
0 70th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 14 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 59-13vs Montana State6264.3383 rushing TDs
Wk 2W 69-3vs Oklahoma State362.015
Wk 3W 34-14@ Northwestern482.015
Wk 4W 41-7vs Oregon State6345.719
Wk 5W 30-24@ Penn State4174.318
Wk 7L 20-30vs Indiana8597.4026
Wk 8W 56-10@ Rutgers310033.3167
Wk 9W 21-7vs Wisconsin161026.4220Season-high 102 yds
Wk 11W 18-16@ Iowa8526.5019
Wk 12W 42-13vs Minnesota7578.1239
Wk 13W 42-27vs USC13503.8111
Wk 14W 26-14@ Washington9242.705
BowlW 51-34vs James Madison10909.0030
BowlW 23-0@ Texas Tech15422.827
Total1126677.01567
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Oregon13-2HC: Dan Lanning · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Oregon1126676.015--
Career1 loaded season1126676.015--
SeasonTeam
2025Oregon12625.20--
Career1 loaded season12625.20--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 12 62 rec yds | #180/552 (68th pct)
Usage 11.4% 18.8% rush share | #273/738 (63rd pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.31 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #7/362 (98th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 667 #100/735 87th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 15 #8/739 99th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 6.0 #108/735 85th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 12 #180/552 68th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 62 #245/548 55th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.31 #7/362 98th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 104 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 11.4% #273/738 63rd pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 112 #132/739 82nd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 67 #72/733 90th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 14 #323/540 40th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 5.2 #395/548 28th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #169/552 70th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 18.8% #277/738 63rd pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 13.1% #267/738 64th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 11.4% #315/738 57th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 10.9% #173/738 77th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 10.8% #311/738 58th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 6.5% #379/738 49th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 2.7% #340/738 54th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/256 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 14 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home8g53.05.81.2
Road6g40.58.60.8

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins13g46.87.01.2
Losses1g59.07.40.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-78g35.24.71.1
Weeks 8+6g64.210.11.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

74Solid starter
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rush tds (97th). Strength: fumbles lost (86th).

Rush TDs#8 / 349 · 97th pct
15rush
Fumbles lost#1 / 201 · 87th pct
0fumb
Yards / carry#47 / 349 · 86th pct
6.0rush
Long run#66 / 349 · 81st pct
67rush
Rush yards#100 / 349 · 71st pct
667rush
Carries#132 / 349 · 62nd pct
112rush
Receptions#166 / 338 · 49th pct
12rece
Rec yards#213 / 338 · 37th pct
62rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2025

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.31Elite (≥p90) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Jordon DavisonOregonAlex TeczaNavy· 85% simCaleb KomolafeNorthwestern· 83% simKejon OwensFlorida International· 82% sim
Rush TDs
97
Davison
89
Tecza
92
Komolafe
92
Owens
Fumbles lost
87
Davison
87
Tecza
87
Komolafe
87
Owens
Yards / carry
86
Davison
79
Tecza
53
Komolafe
90
Owens
Long run
81
Davison
91
Tecza
66
Komolafe
95
Owens
Rush yards
71
Davison
85
Tecza
87
Komolafe
98
Owens
Carries
62
Davison
83
Tecza
91
Komolafe
95
Owens
Receptions
49
Davison
54
Tecza
45
Komolafe
71
Owens
Rec yards
37
Davison
66
Tecza
36
Komolafe
39
Owens

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Speed Merchant

Cuts upfield fast. Designed to find the crease, not run through the line.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Kevin Perkins’s 2020 season.

Kevin Perkins

48%match

Southern Miss · 2020

#2

D'Shawntae Jones

Miami (OH) · 2025

48%
#3

CJ Donaldson

West Virginia · 2022

49%
#4

Ja'Quinden Jackson

Utah · 2022

46%
#5

Dominique Johnson

Arkansas · 2021

48%

Matches Kevin on

Receiving share

Differs from Kevin on

Class year (lower)
Rush TD rate (higher)
Yards / carry (higher)

Through 1 college season, his career arc tracks closest to Kylin James’s path through UNLV.

Kylin James

83%match

UNLV · 2024

#2

Audric Estime

Notre Dame · 2023

NFL Rd 5
81%
#3

Chris Rodriguez Jr.

Kentucky · 2022

All-SECNFL Rd 6
80%
#4

Braelon Allen

Wisconsin · 2023

All-Big TenNFL Rd 4
79%
#5

British Brooks

North Carolina · 2023

78%

Matches Kylin on

Height
Yards per carry

Differs from Kylin on

Weight (higher)

As a freshman, his production profile tracks closest to Kevin Perkins's freshman season at Southern Miss (2020).

Kevin Perkins

59%match

Southern Miss · 2020

#2

Girard Pringle Jr.

Miami · 2025

42%
#3

Dominique Johnson

Arkansas · 2021

48%
#4

Xavier Williams

Iowa · 2025

45%
#5

CJ Donaldson

West Virginia · 2022

44%

Matches Kevin on

Receiving share
Yards / reception
Yards / carry

Differs from Kevin on

Class year (lower)
Rush TD rate (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Dan Lanning

Pass share

44.9%

436 pass / 534 run

Plays / game

64.7

15 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.8%

250 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Dan Lanning
Oregon

Played his entire career under Dan Lanning.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownSanta Ana, CA
Height6'0"
Weight236 lb
Class1
PositionRB

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
This player hasn’t appeared on a Heisman ballot tracked by the model.

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Oregon Big Ten RB 1 6-0 | 236 lb | Santa Ana, CA