cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Fredrick Moore /Michigan

Fredrick Moore

WR · Michigan · Jr · #3

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Michigan → Michigan State for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Michigan State

2025Michigan
2026Michigan State

WR · MICHIGAN · BIG TEN

Fredrick Moore

  • 3
  • #3
  • 6-1 | 191 lb
  • Saint Louis, MO

CFB Zeitgeist WR Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#905

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
In Their Words 1,215 windows · 2025 fan posts
moore×17.8sherrone×49.4michigan×5.8coach×7.9program×9.3fired×28.2hire×98.8saying×24.7

“Detroit lions draft prospect spotlight day 6 ( Derrick moore ) edge rusher ( Michigan )”

reddit/MichiganWolverines · fan post, verbatim

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2023–2024
32.02023
1282024

+300%

Up 300% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#49 national
CFB
College
Michigan
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#3 in market ▲ from #5 · 4 books

+90010.0% implied▲ tightened from +1200

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class3
Jersey3
Measurements6-1 | 191 lb
HometownSaint Louis, MO
Primary teamMichigan

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 49 recruit
Composite rating 0.9789 HighSchool
Signed with Michigan 2022
Origin St. Frances Academy Baltimore, MD, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 4-star | 0.9789 No. 49 recruit | HighSchool | Michigan

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Michigan State 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 9, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Michigan -> Michigan State 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#905Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#977Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Michigan

Composite

0.9789

#49 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Fredrick Moore

Fan sentiment · Season 2025 conversation window

Belief Meter

51

Reading The Room

Sample 114 mentions
Confidence HIGH

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 115 mentions · belief +51 · "Michigan Wolverines' culture shift ignites fresh optimism as Rod Moore details h"Own fansRivals: 4 mentions · belief -50 · "[The Michigan sign-stealing saga is finally at its conclusion. The NCAA's Commit"RivalsNational: 27 mentions · belief +25 · "People forget how deep that Michigan team was Qb JJ McCarthy Best RB duo in Bl"National
  • Own fans · n=115
  • Rivals · n=4
  • National · n=27

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Fredrick Moore

Obsession score 3
Rival mentions 4
Weeks on radar 3
Peak moment Week 0 · 2 mentions
Grudging respect 0% Neutral 50% Mockery 50%

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

What we can say about this player

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Fredrick Moore's page is mostly roster and pedigree right now — there isn't measurable current-season production on file for Michigan yet. As box scores and snaps land, the on-field story fills in here.

Current place #905 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 1.6% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 49 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions -- -- rec TD
Receiving yards -- -- per catch
Scrimmage yards 0 Total offensive yardage
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 1 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 34-17vs New Mexico
Total
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Michigan15-0HC: Jim Harbaugh · Run-heavy, slow tempo
2024Michigan8-5HC: Sherrone Moore · Run-heavy
2025Michigan9-4HC: Sherrone Moore · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Michigan----------
2024Michigan1112811.61--
2023Michigan4328.00--
Career3 loaded seasons1516010.71--
SeasonTeam
2025Michigan----------
2024Michigan528------
2023Michigan----------
Career3 loaded seasons528------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 1.6% 3.0% pass-game share | #1021/1137 (10th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 0 Across offense and returns
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Usage Pass share 3.0% #1021/1137 10th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 3.7% #595/1137 48th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 2.3% #807/1137 29th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 1.6% #1017/1137 11th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 0.0% #993/1137 13th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 0.0% #937/1137 18th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 0.0% #1009/1137 11th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 1 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home1g

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins1g

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-71g

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Sherrone Moore

Pass share

40.9%

340 pass / 492 run

Plays / game

64.0

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.4%

256 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Jim Harbaugh
Michigan
2024
Sherrone Moore
Michigan
era →
2025
Sherrone Moore
Michigan

Coaching transition mid-career: Jim Harbaugh → Sherrone Moore. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownSaint Louis, MO
Height6'1"
Weight191 lb
Class3
PositionWR
Jersey3

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Michigan WR3 #905 #977 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten
2023 Michigan WR3 #1508 #1021 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Michigan Big Ten WR 3 No. 3 | 6-1 | 191 lb | Saint Louis, MO
2024 Michigan Big Ten WR 3 No. 3 | 6-1 | 191 lb | Saint Louis, MO
2023 Michigan Big Ten WR 3 No. 3 | 6-1 | 191 lb | Saint Louis, MO