CFB Zeitgeist TE Score
Awaiting
Holden Willis
Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.
TE · MIDDLE TENNESSEE · CONFERENCE USA
Holden Willis
- 4
- #83
- 6-4 | 212 lb
- Greenback, TN
Heisman Heat
#5349
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP TE AWARD
Mackey
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 0 · Not on teamR01 · Scout team / redshirt
Scout team / redshirt. Developing behind the depth chart.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
3 seasons on the ladder
2021
South Florida · TE
—
2022
South Florida · TE
—
★
2023
Middle Tennessee · TE
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2021–2023+1521%
Up 1521% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 3-star | 0.8285 | No. 1922 recruit | HighSchool | South Florida |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to South Florida
Composite
0.8285
#1922 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Holden Willis
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Holden Willis
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Scenario Explorer
Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.
Why the honors trail matters
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Holden Willis already has 2 loaded recognition items, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.
2023 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
TE season snapshot
2023 season snapshot | final
2023 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Target magnet | Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.
2023 Season · Final
2023 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
46 98th
YDS
697 100th
YPR
15.2 90th
TD
5 97th
Game Log
Week-by-week box
No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021South Florida2-10HC: Jeff Scott · Run-leaning, fast tempo
2022South Florida1-11HC: Jeff Scott · Run-leaning
2023Middle Tennessee4-8HC: Rick Stockstill · Balanced
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Middle Tennessee | 46 | 697 | 15.2 | 5 | -- |
| 2022 | South Florida | 6 | 69 | 11.5 | 1 | -- |
| 2021 | South Florida | 2 | 43 | 21.5 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 54 | 809 | 15.0 | 6 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.
A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 46 | #11/475 | 98th pct | Volumevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 697 | #3/475 | 100th pct | Volumevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 5 | #14/475 | 97th pct | Scoringvs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 15.2 | #47/475 | 90th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Pass share | 6.1% | #223/468 | 53rd pct | Air-game usagevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 62 | #18/475 | 96th pct | Metricvs FBS TE |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 15.4% | #2/468 | 100th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 8.0% | #50/468 | 90th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS TE |
| Usage | Role share | 2.9% | #235/468 | 50th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS TE |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 0.0% | #401/468 | 15th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 0.0% | #400/468 | 15th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.0% | #58/468 | 88th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS TE |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 0.0% | #441/468 | 6th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS TE |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #34/55 | 40th pct | Turnoversvs FBS TE |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits
Per-game splits
Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.
Advanced Savant · TE · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Derek Mason
Pass share
61.3%
495 pass / 313 run
Plays / game
67.3
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
8.6%
373 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Pass-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2023
1 coach2021
Rick Stockstill
Middle Tennessee
2022
Rick Stockstill
Middle Tennessee
2023
Rick Stockstill
Middle Tennessee
Played his entire career under Rick Stockstill.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownGreenback, TN
Height6'4"
Weight212 lb
Class4
PositionTE
Jersey83
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamMiddle Tennessee
ConferenceConference USA
Joined2024
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2024)
All-Conference USA
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
2 all-conference honors
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | All-Conference USA | all_conference | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | TE |
| 2023 | All-Conference USA | all_conference | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | TE |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Middle Tennessee | TE4 | #5349 | #6129 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Conference USA |
| 2023 | Middle Tennessee | TE4 | #1030 | #1439 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Conference USA |
| 2022 | South Florida | TE4 | #3882 | #4619 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | American Athletic |
| 2021 | South Florida | TE4 | #3675 | #4190 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | American Athletic |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | TE | 4 | No. 83 | 6-4 | 212 lb | Greenback, TN |
| 2023 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | TE | 4 | No. 83 | 6-4 | 212 lb | Greenback, TN |
| 2022 | South Florida | American Athletic | TE | 4 | No. 83 | 6-4 | 212 lb | Greenback, TN |
| 2021 | South Florida | American Athletic | TE | 4 | No. 83 | 6-4 | 212 lb | Greenback, TN |