CFB Zeitgeist Score
44
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by yards / att at the 84th percentile.
Jacob Conover
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
323 PASS YDS · 4 PASS TD · 28 RUSH YDS
2026 Outlook
Returning to Utah State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Quarterback · Utah State
Returning around him
- 63% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- Transfer portal: +10 net (29 in / 19 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Utah State · Last season: 6-7 · Talent rank #114 · 2026 recruiting class #87
QB · UTAH STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST
Jacob Conover
- 4
- 6-1 | 195 lb
- Chandler, AZ
Heisman Heat
#2004
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 1 · 2-deepR04 · Rotational
Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2021–2025+618%
Up 618% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★★
CFB
College
3 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 4-star | 0.9006 | No. 317 recruit | HighSchool | BYU |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | BYU -> Arizona State | 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to BYU
Composite
0.9006
#317 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Jacob Conover
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Jacob Conover
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
Through 5g
323Pass yards
4Pass TDs
0INT
Per game
64.6Pass yards
1Pass TDs
0INT
Projected (13g)
839.8Pass yards
10Pass TDs
0INT
To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 323): needs 334.6/game over remaining 8.
To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 323): needs 459.6/game over remaining 8.
To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 4): needs 2.6/game over remaining 8.
To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 4): needs 3.2/game over remaining 8.
To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 4): needs 3.9/game over remaining 8.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Jacob Conover's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Utah State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Balanced quarterback against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
24 45th
ATT
39 47th
CMP%
61.5% 51st
Y/A
8.3 81st
Passing Production
YDS
323 47th
TD
4 61st
INT
0 100th
Rushing
CAR
8 32nd
YDS
28 46th
YPC
3.5 59th
TD
0 44th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 5 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 4 | W 48-7vs McNeese | 0/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | |
| Wk 5 | L 35-55@ Vanderbilt | 11/14 | 92 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 | 81.4 | Season-high 92 yds |
| Wk 7 | L 26-44@ Hawai'i | 4/10 | 64 | 0 | 0 | 6.4 | 48.9 | |
| Wk 11 | W 51-14vs Nevada | 4/8 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 11.1 | 32.5 | |
| Bowl | L 21-34vs Washington State | 5/6 | 78 | 2 | 0 | 13.0 | 98.9 | |
| Total | 24/39 | 323 | 4 | 0 | 7.4 | 52.5 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021BYU10-2HC: Kalani Sitake · Run-leaning
2022BYU8-5HC: Kalani Sitake · Balanced
2023Arizona State3-9HC: Kenny Dillingham · Balanced
2025Utah State6-7HC: Bronco Mendenhall · Balanced
| Season | Team | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Utah State | 24 | 39 | 61.5% | 323 | 8.3 | 4 | 0 | 165.0 | -- | -- |
| 2023 | Arizona State | 11 | 38 | 28.9% | 130 | 3.4 | 0 | 3 | 41.9 | -- | -- |
| 2022 | BYU | -- | 1 | 0.0% | -- | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -- | -- |
| 2021 | BYU | 5 | 10 | 50.0% | 45 | 4.5 | 0 | 0 | 87.8 | -- | -- |
| Career | 4 loaded seasons | 40 | 88 | 45.5% | 498 | 5.7 | 4 | 3 | 101.2 | -- | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Utah State | 8 | 28 | 3.5 | 0 | -- |
| 2023 | Arizona State | 10 | -5 | -0.5 | 0 | -- |
| 2022 | BYU | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | 0 | -- |
| 2021 | BYU | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Career | 4 loaded seasons | 19 | 28 | 1.5 | 0 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 323 | #203/382 | 47th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 4 | #159/407 | 61st pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 24 | #213/383 | 45th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 61.5% | #189/383 | 51st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 8.3 | #74/382 | 81st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 28 | #223/408 | 46th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 14.3% | #242/428 | 44th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 39 | #218/407 | 47th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 0 | #1/407 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 9 | #311/391 | 21st pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 8 | #278/408 | 32nd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 3.5 | #166/407 | 59th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #230/408 | 44th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 22.9% | #242/428 | 44th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 16.3% | #252/428 | 41st pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 15.7% | #231/428 | 46th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 14.3% | #226/428 | 47th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 13.4% | #232/428 | 46th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 13.2% | #282/428 | 34th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 5.6% | #260/428 | 39th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 5 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home3g | 55.7 | 0.7 | 8.0 | 0.0 |
| Road2g | 78.0 | 1.0 | 6.5 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins2g | 44.5 | 0.0 | 5.5 | 0.0 |
| Losses3g | 78.0 | 1.3 | 8.7 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-74g | 58.5 | 1.0 | 6.5 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+1g | 89.0 | 0.0 | 11.1 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
44Mid-pack
Elite: interceptions (99th). Strength: yards / att (84th). Concern: pass yards (0th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Jacob ConoverUtah StateCade KlubnikClemson· 54% simNick VattiatoMiddle Tennessee· 54% simWalker EgetSan José State· 52% sim
Interceptions
Yards / att
Completion %
Rush yards
Pass TDs
Rush TDs
Pass yards
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Bronco Mendenhall
Pass share
47.9%
403 pass / 439 run
Plays / game
64.8
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
12.7%
339 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025
2 coaches2021
Blake Anderson
Utah State
2022
Blake Anderson
Utah State
2023
Blake Anderson
Utah State
2025era →
Bronco Mendenhall
Utah State
Coaching transition mid-career: Blake Anderson → Bronco Mendenhall. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownChandler, AZ
Height6'1"
Weight195 lb
Class4
PositionQB
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamUtah State
ConferenceMountain West
Joined2025
Career arc6 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Utah State | QB4 | #2004 | #2468 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Mountain West |
| 2023 | Arizona State | QB4 | #2185 | #2515 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Pac-12 |
| 2022 | BYU | QB4 | #1088 | #893 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | FBS Independents |
| 2021 | BYU | QB4 | #446 | #257 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | FBS Independents |
| 2020 | BYU | QB4 | #41 | #16 | 0.3% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | FBS Independents |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Utah State | Mountain West | QB | 4 | 6-1 | 195 lb | Chandler, AZ |
| 2024 | Utah State | Mountain West | QB | 4 | 6-1 | 195 lb | Chandler, AZ |
| 2023 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | QB | 4 | 6-1 | 195 lb | Chandler, AZ |
| 2022 | BYU | FBS Independents | QB | 4 | 6-1 | 195 lb | Chandler, AZ |
| 2021 | BYU | FBS Independents | QB | 4 | 6-1 | 195 lb | Chandler, AZ |
| 2020 | BYU | FBS Independents | QB | 4 | 6-1 | 195 lb | Chandler, AZ |