cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jasaiah Gathings /Buffalo

Jasaiah Gathings

WR · Buffalo · Sr · #8

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

410 REC YDS · 36 REC · 3 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Buffalo for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Buffalo for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Wide receiver · Buffalo

Returning around him

  • 66% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 1 Buffalo player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +0 net (16 in / 16 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Buffalo · Last season: 5-7 · Talent rank #112 · 2026 recruiting class #92

WR · BUFFALO · MID-AMERICAN

Jasaiah Gathings

  • 4
  • #8
  • 6-1 | 190 lb
  • Statesville, NC

CFB Zeitgeist Score

46

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 57th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#528

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

4 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2023

2022

Akron · WR

2023

Akron · WR

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

2024

UConn · WR

2025

Buffalo · WR

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2022–2025
16.02022
5752023
3072024
4102025

+2462%

Up 2462% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1919 national
CFB
College
3 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey8
Measurements6-1 | 190 lb
HometownStatesville, NC
Primary teamBuffalo

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1919 recruit
Composite rating 0.8237 HighSchool
Signed with Akron 2021
Origin Statesville Statesville, NC, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8237 No. 1919 recruit | HighSchool | Akron

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Buffalo 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jun 24, 2025
Season Move Context
2025 UConn -> Buffalo 3-star | Immediate
2024 Akron -> UConn 3-star | 0.8300 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#528Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#559Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Akron

Composite

0.8237

#1919 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jasaiah Gathings

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jasaiah Gathings

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

11.4

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #322 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 39th

Why it matters

#322 of 531 All FBS WRs at 11.4 yards per reception (36 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 11.4 (39th)

HIGH · n=36 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving TDs#222 / 531
  • Receiving yards (total)#295 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 12 at Central Michigan — 85 ypr

Result L 19-38

The week the volume broke through — put up 85 yds at Central Michigan.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
410Rec yards
36Receptions
3Rec TDs
Per game
37.3Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
484.5Rec yards
43Receptions
4Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 410): needs 145/game over remaining 2.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 410): needs 295/game over remaining 2.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 36): needs 12/game over remaining 2.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 36): needs 22/game over remaining 2.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 2.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 3.5/game over remaining 2.

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Jasaiah Gathings already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #528 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 9.4% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 2 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 36 3 rec TD | #218/1110 (80th pct)
Receiving yards 410 11.4 per catch | #282/1107 (75th pct)
Scrimmage yards 410 Total offensive yardage | #282/1107 (75th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
36 80th
YDS
410 75th
YPR
11.4 46th
TD
3 82nd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 10-23@ Minnesota3217.009
Wk 2W 45-6vs St. Francis (PA)294.506
Wk 3W 31-28@ Kent State4307.5013
Wk 4L 17-21vs Troy24723.5039
Wk 6W 31-30vs Eastern Michigan24321.5027
Wk 8W 28-21@ Massachusetts68414.0020
Wk 9L 16-24vs Akron4307.5010
Wk 10W 28-3@ Bowling Green2105.015
Wk 12L 19-38@ Central Michigan68514.2032Season-high 85 yds
Wk 13L 20-37vs Miami (OH)3217.0110
Wk 14L 26-31vs Ohio23015.0129
Total3641011.5339
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Akron2-10HC: Joe Moorhead · Pass-leaning
2023Akron2-10HC: Joe Moorhead · Pass-leaning
2024UConn9-4HC: Jim Mora · Run-leaning
2025Buffalo5-7HC: Pete Lembo · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Buffalo3641011.43--
2024UConn323079.63--
2023Akron5557510.51--
2022Akron11616.00--
Career4 loaded seasons1241,30810.57--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 9.4% 18.4% pass-game share | #124/1137 (89th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 3 Across offense and returns | #206/1111 (82nd pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 36 #218/1110 80th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 410 #282/1107 75th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 3 #206/1111 82nd pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 11.4 #597/1106 46th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 18.4% #124/1137 89th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 39 #472/1105 57th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 12.4% #120/1137 90th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 9.7% #100/1137 91st pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 9.4% #142/1137 88th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 9.4% #266/1137 77th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 9.4% #124/1137 89th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 7.8% #164/1137 86th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #131/302 57th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home6g2.530.013.20.3
Road5g4.246.09.50.2

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins5g3.235.210.50.2
Losses6g3.339.012.40.3

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-75g2.630.012.80.0
Weeks 8+6g3.843.310.50.5

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

46Mid-pack
6 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: long catch (28th).

Receptions#218 / 558 · 60th pct
36rece
Rec TDs#205 / 558 · 57th pct
3rece
Rec yards#282 / 558 · 50th pct
410rece
Fumbles lost#86 / 218 · 36th pct
1fumb
Yards / catch#374 / 558 · 33rd pct
11.4rece
Long catch#393 / 558 · 29th pct
39rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Jasaiah GathingsBuffaloAsaad WaseemFlorida Atlantic· 77% simRyan DavisUtah· 75% simSean WilsonDelaware· 74% sim
Receptions
60
Gathings
96
Waseem
91
Davis
94
Wilson
Rec TDs
57
Gathings
78
Waseem
68
Davis
57
Wilson
Rec yards
50
Gathings
84
Waseem
83
Davis
91
Wilson
Fumbles lost
36
Gathings
36
Waseem
36
Davis
36
Wilson
Yards / catch
33
Gathings
21
Waseem
36
Davis
49
Wilson
Long catch
29
Gathings
42
Waseem
67
Davis
58
Wilson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to TJ Graham’s 2020 season.

TJ Graham

82%match

Texas State · 2020

#2

Austin Upshaw

SMU · 2020

76%
#3

Justin Garrett

UTEP · 2020

73%
#4

Terrell Warner

New Mexico State · 2021

76%
#5

Keontra Smith

Miami · 2021

70%

Matches TJ on

TD rate
Yards / reception
Reception volume

Differs from TJ on

Recruiting rating (lower)
Class year (higher)

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Treyvhon Saunders’s path through Colgate.

Treyvhon Saunders

98%match

Colgate · 2025

#2

Tony Poljan

Virginia · 2020

95%
#3

Chris Hunter

Arizona · 2025

95%
#4

Karim Page

East Tennessee State · 2025

95%
#5

Chuuky Hines

Hawai'i · 2023

94%

Matches Treyvhon on

Yards per reception

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Dean Connors's senior season at Houston (2025).

Dean Connors

77%match

Houston · 2025

#2

EJ Horton Jr.

Purdue · 2025

75%
#3

Nicholas Cenacle

Hawai'i · 2025

73%
#4

Jeremiah Noga

Washington State · 2025

72%
#5

Javon Ivory

South Alabama · 2023

72%

Matches Dean on

TD rate
Total EPA (college ability)
Height

Differs from Dean on

Weight (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Pete Lembo

Pass share

49.8%

409 pass / 413 run

Plays / game

68.5

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.4%

338 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Maurice Linguist
Buffalo
2023
Maurice Linguist
Buffalo
2024
Maurice Linguist
Buffalo
2025
Pete Lembo
Buffalo
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Maurice Linguist → Pete Lembo. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownStatesville, NC
Height6'1"
Weight190 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey8

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2023)

All-MAC

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2023 All-MAC all_conference Akron | MAC WR

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 UConn WR4 #528 #559 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | FBS Independents
2023 Akron WR4 #2725 #3629 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mid-American
2022 Akron WR4 #4082 #4606 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mid-American
2021 Akron WR4 #5267 #5825 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mid-American

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Buffalo Mid-American WR 4 No. 8 | 6-1 | 190 lb | Statesville, NC
2024 UConn FBS Independents WR 4 No. 8 | 6-1 | 190 lb | Statesville, NC
2023 Akron Mid-American WR 4 No. 8 | 6-1 | 190 lb | Statesville, NC
2022 Akron Mid-American WR 4 No. 8 | 6-1 | 190 lb | Statesville, NC
2021 Akron Mid-American WR 4 No. 8 | 6-1 | 190 lb | Statesville, NC