cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Javarius Green /North Carolina

Javarius Green

WR · North Carolina · Fr · #9

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

150 REC YDS · 13 REC · 0 REC TD

2026 TRANSFERTransferred North Carolina → Boston College for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Boston College

2025North Carolina
2026Boston College

WR · NORTH CAROLINA · ACC

Javarius Green

  • 1
  • #9
  • 5-10 | 195 lb
  • Shelby, NC

CFB Zeitgeist Score

15

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 34th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#3716

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#537 national
CFB
College
North Carolina
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class1
Jersey9
Measurements5-10 | 195 lb
HometownShelby, NC
Primary teamNorth Carolina

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 537 recruit
Composite rating 0.8861 HighSchool
Signed with North Carolina 2024
Origin Crest Shelby, NC, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 3-star | 0.8861 No. 537 recruit | HighSchool | North Carolina

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Boston College 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 6, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 North Carolina -> Boston College 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#3716Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3686Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to North Carolina

Composite

0.8861

#537 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Javarius Green

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

Awaiting per-cohort signal

Sample 0 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmNational: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "The cumulative link to the preseason rankings can be found [here]( https://www.r"National
  • National · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Javarius Green

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 9g
150Rec yards
13Receptions
0Rec TDs
Per game
16.7Rec yards
1Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
216.7Rec yards
19Receptions
0Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 150): needs 137.5/game over remaining 4.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 150): needs 212.5/game over remaining 4.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 13): needs 11.8/game over remaining 4.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 13): needs 16.8/game over remaining 4.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 2/game over remaining 4.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 2.5/game over remaining 4.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Javarius Green's story is about how role and output meet each other. For North Carolina, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #3716 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 6.6% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc 65 return yds

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 13 0 rec TD | #510/1110 (54th pct)
Receiving yards 150 11.5 per catch | #537/1107 (52nd pct)
Scrimmage yards 150 Total offensive yardage | #537/1107 (52nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
13 54th
YDS
150 52nd
YPR
11.5 47th
TD
0 45th

Returns

PR YDS
65 61st
PR AVG
7.2 45th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 9 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 14-48vs TCU35719.0039Season-high 57 yds
Wk 2W 20-3@ Charlotte33110.3024
Wk 4L 9-34@ UCF
Wk 6L 10-38vs Clemson22211.0016
Wk 9L 16-17vs Virginia
Wk 10W 27-10@ Syracuse
Wk 11W 20-15vs Stanford263.004
Wk 12L 12-28@ Wake Forest11313.0013
Wk 13L 25-32vs Duke22110.5012
Total1315011.1039
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025North Carolina4-8HC: Bill Belichick · Balanced, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025North Carolina1315011.50--
Career1 loaded season1315011.50--
SeasonTeam
2025North Carolina------65--
Career1 loaded season------65--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 6.6% 11.9% pass-game share | #383/1137 (66th pct)
Return yards 65 0 return TD
Touchdowns 0 Across offense and returns | #615/1111 (45th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 13 #510/1110 54th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 150 #537/1107 52nd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #615/1111 45th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 11.5 #588/1106 47th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt return yards 65 #88/224 61st pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 11.9% #383/1137 66th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 39 #472/1105 57th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Punt returns 9 #80/237 67th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Punt return avg 7.2 #124/222 45th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 10.5% #198/1137 83rd pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 6.6% #307/1137 73rd pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 6.6% #251/1137 78th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 6.5% #524/1137 54th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 5.7% #431/1137 62nd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 4.2% #526/1137 54th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 9 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home5g1.821.210.90.0
Road4g1.011.011.70.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins3g1.712.36.70.0
Losses6g1.318.813.40.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-74g2.027.513.40.0
Weeks 8+5g1.08.08.80.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

15Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: receptions (6th).

Yards / catch#370 / 558 · 34th pct
11.5rece
Long catch#393 / 558 · 29th pct
39rece
Rec yards#517 / 558 · 7th pct
150rece
Rec TDs#482 / 558 · 7th pct
0rece
Receptions#510 / 558 · 7th pct
13rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Javarius GreenNorth CarolinaMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 51% simJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 49% simKevin Coleman Jr.Missouri· 46% sim
Yards / catch
34
Green
9
III
15
Gibson
28
Jr.
Long catch
29
Green
16
III
56
Gibson
56
Jr.
Rec yards
7
Green
70
III
74
Gibson
84
Jr.
Rec TDs
7
Green
24
III
7
Gibson
24
Jr.
Receptions
7
Green
92
III
92
Gibson
94
Jr.

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Tawaski Abrams’s 2025 season.

Tawaski Abrams

88%match

Florida · 2025

#2

Bryson Jackson

North Texas · 2021

78%
#3

Eugene Wilson

Florida · 2024

74%
#4

Arland Bruce IV

Iowa · 2022

71%
#5

Kody Epps

BYU · 2023

70%

Matches Tawaski on

Weight
Total EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception

Differs from Tawaski on

EPA / play (adj) (lower)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Tawaski Abrams's sophomore season at Florida (2025).

Tawaski Abrams

90%match

Florida · 2025

#2

Eugene Wilson

Florida · 2024

74%
#3

Tastean Reddicks

Oregon State · 2025

72%
#4

Ben Ratzlaff

Western Kentucky · 2021

59%
#5

Diore Hubbard

West Virginia · 2025

68%

Matches Tawaski on

Reception volume
Total EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Bill Belichick

Pass share

51.1%

355 pass / 340 run

Plays / game

57.9

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

8.4%

262 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Bill Belichick
North Carolina

Played his entire career under Bill Belichick.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownShelby, NC
Height5'10"
Weight195 lb
Class1
PositionWR
Jersey9

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 North Carolina WR1 #3716 #3686 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 North Carolina ACC WR 1 No. 9 | 5-10 | 195 lb | Shelby, NC
2024 North Carolina ACC WR 1 No. 9 | 5-10 | 195 lb | Shelby, NC