Boston College at Georgia Tech
Boston College (3‑3) at Georgia Tech (2‑4) — Georgia Tech is favored by 5.5. The model gives Georgia Tech a 70% shot. Boston College’s offense is at the 75th percentile on explosive plays; Georgia Tech’s defense is at the 31st.
How they got here
Last three games
Boston College · 3-3
Rated 130th in our preseason ratings, 116th now, up 14 spots.
1-2 in its last three, capped by a 6-point win over Pittsburgh as a 6.5-point underdog.
Last three games
Georgia Tech · 2-4
Rated 74th in our preseason ratings, 89th now, down 15 spots.
1-2 in its last three, including a 3-point win over Duke as a 4.5-point underdog.
Biggest mismatch: Boston College’s explosive plays against Georgia Tech, 44 points
Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.
Boston College’s explosive plays against Georgia Tech’s defense
Boston College offense, 75th percentile · Georgia Tech defense, 31st
Georgia Tech’s passing EPA against Boston College’s defense
Georgia Tech offense, 73rd percentile · Boston College defense, 41st
Boston College’s success rate against Georgia Tech’s defense
Boston College offense, 18th percentile · Georgia Tech defense, 34th
What’s at stake
Boston College
- Boston College needs 3 more wins in the final 5 to reach bowl eligibility — 33% to get there with a win here, 7% with a loss.
- Bill O'Brien is ahead of Jeff Hafley’s year-3 pace (3-3 vs. 2-4) — a win here widens the gap, a loss narrows it.
Georgia Tech
- Georgia Tech needs 4 more wins in the final 5 to reach bowl eligibility — 19% to get there with a win here, 4% with a loss.
- Georgia Tech is the ACC engineering-school flagship — 1990 national championship under Bobby Ross, four split-T / triple-option / Paul Johnson eras, and Brent Key's 2024 7-6 rebuild that reset competitive cycles.
The series
Georgia Tech leads the series 8-5
13 meetings since 1972 · Georgia Tech won the last meeting
- 2025Georgia Tech 36-34
- 2023Boston College 38-23
- 2021Boston College 41-30
- 2020Boston College 48-27
- 2016 · neutral siteGeorgia Tech 17-14
Each line is Georgia Tech’s chance to win through that meeting. Georgia Tech is 1-2 in the meetings since 2018 that were still close in the fourth quarter. Older meetings have no play by play, so no line.
Face-off
What each fanbase carries into this one.
Boston College
The chip · vs the national mediaEagles fans hear the same shrug every fall — that Northeast football doesn't travel, that the league forgets BC is in it — and they answer with a Heisman, a Hail Mary, and a checkbook the school just opened wider.
What this game touches
The 2025 floor — two wins, and the seat finally warm. Bill O'Brien's second year went 2-10 (1-7 ACC), the program's worst in over a decade, and a 10-game losing streak only ended against Syracuse — a season that asked, out loud, whether an NFL-pedigree hire could lift a program that has finished the regular season ranked exactly once since Matt Ryan left.
Georgia Tech
The chip · vs big brotherTech fans live two miles from a program with more recruits, more money and more rings, and 'To Hell With Georgia' isn't a chant so much as a worldview — the engineers against the football factory down Highway 78.
What this game touches
The fourth-and-goal fumble. Georgia Tech's modern history with Georgia is a catalog of near-misses — most famously the 2014 collapse and a string of games lost in the final minutes — that hardened the fear of being permanently the smaller school across town, even after the program's recent climb.
Best players
Boston College
- Anthony Palano (LB) · 51 tackles
- KP Price (DB) · 47 tackles
- Marcus Upton (DB) · 37 tackles
Georgia Tech
- Alberto Mendoza (QB) · 1,528 passing yards — Heisman odds: 79th (+30000)
- Tae Harris (S) · 38 tackles
- Tawfiq Thomas (DT) · 37 tackles
What to watch
Player to watch: Alberto Mendoza (QB) — Georgia Tech’s leading passer (1,528 passing yards) takes on Boston College’s pass defense (41st percentile allowed).
The betting line, and the fans
Georgia Tech fans are feeling it about like the typical fanbase this week (52nd among FBS fanbases), in line with the numbers.
Georgia Tech favored by 5.5 · Total 50.5
Georgia Tech by 5.5: where a favorite like this usually runs
Half of games8 in 10 games
Georgia Tech’s chance through the game, if this goes like the 378 games since 2025 with a favorite of 3.5 to 7.5 points.
Weather at kickoff
Mild. No coat needed.
Boston College at Georgia Tech · Saturday, Oct. 24 · 3:30 pm ET · ACC Network · Bobby Dodd Stadium.
- 68°feels like
- 0%average rain chance
- 18 mphwind gusts
- 100weather score, Ideal
Forecast, read Fri Oct 23, 9:20 am ET. It can change until kickoff.
Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50. Gusts count toward the score (up to 15 points). Average rain chance: the hourly chances of rain over the first 3 hours and 20 minutes, averaged.
Tied for the highest forecast of this Saturday's 33 TV games with a forecast
- Baylor at Kansas: 100, Ideal
- Boston College at Georgia Tech: 100, Ideal
- Colorado at Oklahoma State: 100, Ideal
- Eastern Michigan at Ohio: 100, Ideal
- Indiana at Michigan: 100, Ideal
- Iowa State at Arizona: 100, Ideal
- Kansas State at Arizona State: 100, Ideal
- LSU at Auburn: 100, Ideal
- Michigan State at UCLA: 100, Ideal
- North Texas at Navy: 100, Ideal
- Oklahoma at Mississippi State: 100, Ideal
- Oregon at Illinois: 100, Ideal
- Tennessee at South Carolina: 100, Ideal
- Texas A&M at Alabama: 100, Ideal
- Texas Tech at Cincinnati: 100, Ideal
- USC at Wisconsin: 100, Ideal
- UTSA at Tulane: 100, Ideal
- West Virginia at TCU: 100, Ideal
- Western Michigan at Toledo: 100, Ideal
- California at SMU: 99, Comfortable
- Vanderbilt at Kentucky: 98, Comfortable
- Boise State at Washington State: 97, Comfortable
- Iowa at Minnesota: 97, Comfortable
- Utah State at Texas State: 96, Comfortable
- Ole Miss at Texas: 95, Comfortable
- Syracuse at North Carolina: 95, Comfortable
- Virginia Tech at Clemson: 95, Comfortable
- Houston at Utah: 93, Comfortable
- North Dakota State at New Mexico: 93, Comfortable
- San Diego State at Colorado State: 91, Comfortable
- BYU at UCF: 88, Mixed
- Pittsburgh at Miami: 85, Mixed
- Rice at Florida Atlantic: 85, Mixed
Tap a dot to read the game.
Forecast, read Fri Oct 23, 3:20 am to 9:20 am ET (each game has its own read time). It can change until kickoff.
If it kicked off at
Typical at Bobby Dodd Stadium: noon Saturdays score 89, 3:30 pm 87, 7:30 pm 95.
- noon: 89, Mixed
- 3:30 pm: 87, Mixed
- 7:30 pm: 95, Comfortable
Typical weather score at each kickoff time.
Typical means the average of regular-season Saturdays at this stadium, 2018 to 2025. It is not a forecast for this game.
Home field
Georgia Tech has had no measurable home edge since 2018 — −0.1 points (±4.1), home against road — 3rd percentile of FBS.
45% at home, 40% on the road against FBS opponents (20-24 home, 17-26 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -7.7 at home vs. away over 94 games — outside the ±6.1 noise, one of the few buildings where results say more.
The visitors travel about 930 miles to get here.
Season profile
Week by week
Georgia Tech
- Wk 2Lvs Tennessee24-45
- Wk 3Wvs Mercer44-11
- Wk 4Lat Stanford27-34
- Wk 6Wvs Duke28-25
- Wk 7Lat Virginia Tech24-34
Boston College
- Wk 2Wvs Rutgers28-21
- Wk 3Wvs Maine22-16
- Wk 4Lvs Virginia Tech14-21
- Wk 5Lat SMU16-25
- Wk 7Wvs Pittsburgh27-21
Power rating by week
Georgia Tech is rated 2.3 points ahead as of week 8. Our power rating by week; higher is better.
The market
The spread moved 1 point toward Georgia Tech.
The total rose 1 point.
Spread: −4.5 → −5.5 · Total: 49.5 → 50.5
The books’ cut: 4.3%, the margin built into the odds
Conference standings
Place in the conference, then conference record.
- Georgia Tech11th1-2
- Boston College14th1-2
Last meeting in our History pages
- Georgia Tech 36, Boston College 34Nov 15, 2025