cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jeremiah Earby /Boise State

Jeremiah Earby

DB · Boise State · Sr · #6

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

60 TACKLES · 0.5 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Boise State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Boise State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive back · Boise State

Returning around him

  • 58% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 1 Boise State player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -8 net (11 in / 19 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Boise State · Last season: 9-5 (AP #25) · Talent rank #81 · 2026 recruiting class #62

DB · BOISE STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST

Jeremiah Earby

  • 4
  • #6
  • 6-2 | 182 lb
  • East Palo Alto, CA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

65

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 95th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#8216

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

3 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2025

2022

California · DB

2023

California · DB

2025

Boise State · DB

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1288 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDB
Class4
Jersey6
Measurements6-2 | 182 lb
HometownEast Palo Alto, CA
Primary teamBoise State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1288 recruit
Composite rating 0.8493 HighSchool
Signed with California 2022
Origin Menlo-Atherton Menlo Park, CA, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8493 No. 1288 recruit | HighSchool | California

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#8216Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#7912Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to California

Composite

0.8493

#1288 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jeremiah Earby

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jeremiah Earby

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

final
Through 14g
60Tackles
1.5Tackles for loss
0.5Sacks
Per game
4Tackles
0.1Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Final
60Tackles
1.5Tackles for loss
0.5Sacks

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jeremiah Earby is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Boise State's defense, with 0.5 sacks, 1.5 tackles for loss, and 4 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #8216 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 60 40 solo | #401/4942 (92nd pct)
TFL 1.5 Backfield disruption | #1771/4972 (64th pct)
Sacks 0.5 Pass-rush finish | #1501/4972 (70th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

Coverage splashHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
60 92nd
SOLO
40 95th
TFL
1.5 64th
SACK
0.5 70th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
9 98th
INT
4 97th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 14 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1L 7-34@ South Florida530.50.50
Wk 2W 51-14vs Eastern Washington650.00.00
Wk 4W 49-37@ Air Force851.00.00Season-high 8 tackles
Wk 5W 47-14vs App State210.00.02
Wk 6L 7-28@ Notre Dame530.00.00
Wk 7W 41-25vs New Mexico430.00.01
Wk 8W 56-31vs UNLV430.00.02
Wk 9W 24-3@ Nevada440.00.020
Wk 10L 7-30vs Fresno State430.00.01
Wk 12L 7-17@ San Diego State640.00.00
Wk 13W 49-21vs Colorado State320.00.022
Wk 14W 25-24@ Utah State100.00.00
Wk 15W 38-21vs UNLV310.00.01
BowlL 10-38@ Washington530.00.00
Total60401.50.549
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022California4-8HC: Justin Wilcox · Pass-leaning
2023California6-7HC: Justin Wilcox · Run-leaning
2025Boise State9-5HC: Spencer Danielson · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Boise State60401.50.594--
2023California26200.50.561--
2022California35180.50.01111
Career3 loaded seasons121782.51.02661
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 4 0 pick-six TD | #23/869 (97th pct)
Pass breakups 9 Coverage disruption | #36/2184 (98th pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 60 #401/4942 92nd pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 1.5 #1771/4972 64th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.5 #1501/4972 70th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 4 #23/869 97th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 9 #36/2184 98th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 40 #212/4584 95th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense INT return yards 37 #167/578 71st pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense INT return avg 9.3 #381/578 34th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 1 #103/736 86th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

ALL-CONF HM

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16

Why he’s here

All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.

What moves him up

A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.

What moves him down

A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 14 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home7g3.70.00.01.3
Road7g4.90.20.10.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins9g3.90.10.00.9
Losses5g5.00.10.10.2

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g5.00.20.10.4
Weeks 8+7g3.60.00.00.9

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DB cohort

65Solid starter
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: passes defended (98th). Strength: interceptions (95th). Concern: qb hurries (22nd).

Passes defended#36 / 2975 · 99th pct
9defe
Interceptions#23 / 817 · 95th pct
4inte
Solo tackles#212 / 2975 · 92nd pct
40defe
Tackles#401 / 2975 · 86th pct
60defe
Sacks#1367 / 2975 · 51st pct
0.5defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb
Tackles for loss#1711 / 2975 · 39th pct
1.5defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Jeremiah EarbyBoise StateDalton JohnsonArizona· 93% simDevin LafayetteTroy· 87% simTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 86% sim
Passes defended
99
Earby
96
Johnson
91
Lafayette
91
Ra-El
Interceptions
95
Earby
95
Johnson
75
Lafayette
Solo tackles
92
Earby
97
Johnson
98
Lafayette
100
Ra-El
Tackles
86
Earby
98
Johnson
99
Lafayette
99
Ra-El
Sacks
51
Earby
63
Johnson
63
Lafayette
24
Ra-El
Forced fumbles
47
Earby
47
Johnson
47
Ra-El
Tackles for loss
39
Earby
47
Johnson
56
Lafayette
56
Ra-El
QB hurries
22
Earby
22
Johnson
22
Lafayette
22
Ra-El

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Hybrid Nickel

Moves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB.

S

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Bud Clark’s 2025 season.

Bud Clark

85%match

TCU · 2025

NFL Rd 2 · Pk 32
#2

Latrell McCutchin

Houston · 2025

78%
#3

Malcolm Bell

Michigan State · 2025

72%
#4

Kempton Shine

Eastern Michigan · 2023

68%
#5

Cameron Smith

Marshall · 2025

65%

Matches Bud on

Class year
Height
Tackle volume

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Latrell McCutchin's senior season at Houston (2025).

Latrell McCutchin

82%match

Houston · 2025

#2

Cameron Smith

Marshall · 2025

79%
#3

Damaje Yancey

Troy · 2024

76%
#4

Kempton Shine

Eastern Michigan · 2023

75%
#5

Jaise Oliver

Tulsa · 2023

75%

Matches Latrell on

Class year
PD rate
Weight

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Spencer Danielson

Pass share

46.6%

472 pass / 540 run

Plays / game

72.3

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.4%

358 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Andy Avalos
Boise State
2023
Spencer Danielson
Boise State
era →
2025
Spencer Danielson
Boise State

Coaching transition mid-career: Andy Avalos → Spencer Danielson. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownEast Palo Alto, CA
Height6'2"
Weight182 lb
Class4
PositionDB
Jersey6

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-Mountain West

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 All-Mountain West all_conference Boise State | Mountain West DB

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Boise State DB4 #8216 #7912 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mountain West
2023 California DB4 #11261 #11480 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Pac-12
2022 California DB4 #11554 #11829 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Boise State Mountain West DB 4 No. 6 | 6-2 | 182 lb | East Palo Alto, CA
2024 Boise State Mountain West DB 4 No. 6 | 6-2 | 182 lb | East Palo Alto, CA
2023 California Pac-12 DB 4 No. 6 | 6-2 | 182 lb | East Palo Alto, CA
2022 California Pac-12 DB 4 No. 6 | 6-2 | 182 lb | East Palo Alto, CA