cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jonathan Brady /Indiana

Jonathan Brady

WR · Indiana · Sr

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

115 REC YDS · 14 REC · 3 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Indiana for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Indiana for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · Indiana

Returning around him

  • 25% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • 8 Indiana players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +1 net (17 in / 16 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Indiana · Last season: 16-0 (AP #1) · Talent rank #72 · 2026 recruiting class #47

WR · INDIANA · BIG TEN

Jonathan Brady

  • 4
  • 5-10 | 180 lb
  • Los Angeles, CA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

17

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 57th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#401

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

4 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2025

2022

New Mexico State · WR

2023

New Mexico State · WR

2024

California · WR

2025

Indiana · WR

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2022–2025
3022022
6242023
3662024
1152025

-62%

Sharp dropoff (-62%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★
#2198 national
CFB
College
3 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey--
Measurements5-10 | 180 lb
HometownLos Angeles, CA
Primary teamIndiana

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 2-star No. 2198 recruit
Composite rating 0.7833 HighSchool
Signed with New Mexico State 2022
Origin Bishop Gorman Las Vegas, NV, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 2-star | 0.7833 No. 2198 recruit | HighSchool | New Mexico State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Indiana 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Apr 23, 2025
Season Move Context
2025 California -> Indiana 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate
2024 New Mexico State -> California 3-star | 0.8800 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#401Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#473Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★☆☆☆

to New Mexico State

Composite

0.7833

#2198 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jonathan Brady

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 2 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "Indiana football lands commitment from 2027 safety Brady Scott &nbsp;&nbsp; Yaho"Own fansNational: 3 mentions · belief -25 · "[Source](https://x.com/Hayesfawcett3/status/1918835742899363862) Made with the "National
  • Own fans · n=2
  • National · n=3

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jonathan Brady

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

final
Through 13g
115Rec yards
14Receptions
3Rec TDs
Per game
8.8Rec yards
1Receptions
0Rec TDs
Final
115Rec yards
14Receptions
3Rec TDs

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Jonathan Brady already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #401 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 2.6% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 2 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 14 3 rec TD | #496/1110 (55th pct)
Receiving yards 115 8.2 per catch | #596/1107 (46th pct)
Scrimmage yards 115 Total offensive yardage | #596/1107 (46th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

All-purpose weapon against FBS receiving peers.

All-purpose weapon

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
14 55th
YDS
115 46th
YPR
8.2 18th
TD
3 82nd

Returns

PR YDS
347 98th
PR AVG
16.5 90th
RET TD
1 89th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 27-14vs Old Dominion284.004
Wk 2W 56-9vs Kennesaw State11212.0012
Wk 3W 73-0vs Indiana State3279.0212Season-high 27 yds
Wk 4W 63-10vs Illinois
Wk 7W 30-20@ Oregon
Wk 8W 38-13vs Michigan State2157.5016
Wk 9W 56-6vs UCLA155.005
Wk 10W 55-10@ Maryland166.016
Wk 12W 31-7vs Wisconsin11111.0011
Wk 14W 56-3@ Purdue11111.0011
Wk 15W 13-10@ Ohio State22010.0014
BowlW 38-3vs Alabama
BowlW 56-22vs Oregon
Total141158.4316
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022New Mexico State7-6HC: Jerry Kill · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2023New Mexico State10-5HC: Jerry Kill · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2024California6-7HC: Justin Wilcox · Balanced
2025Indiana16-0HC: Curt Cignetti · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025Indiana141158.23--
2024California3436610.83--
2023New Mexico State3862416.44--
2022New Mexico State2230213.72--
Career4 loaded seasons1081,40713.012--
SeasonTeam
2025Indiana------3471
2024California528--8--
2023New Mexico State82511793--
2022New Mexico State1087200----
Career4 loaded seasons231403174481
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 2.6% 6.5% pass-game share | #733/1137 (36th pct)
Return yards 347 1 return TD
Touchdowns 4 Across offense and returns | #206/1111 (82nd pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 14 #496/1110 55th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 115 #596/1107 46th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 3 #206/1111 82nd pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 8.2 #909/1106 18th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt return yards 347 #6/224 98th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 6.5% #733/1137 36th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 16 #845/1105 24th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Punt returns 21 #12/237 95th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Punt return avg 16.5 #23/222 90th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt return TD 1 #4/27 89th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 4.5% #684/1137 40th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 4.5% #754/1137 34th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 2.6% #855/1137 25th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 2.3% #847/1137 26th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 2.2% #891/1137 22nd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 2.1% #857/1137 25th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

ALL-CONF HM

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16

Why he’s here

All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.

What moves him up

A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.

What moves him down

A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home9g1.18.78.10.2
Road4g1.09.29.00.2

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins13g1.18.88.40.2

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-77g0.96.78.30.3
Weeks 8+6g1.311.38.40.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

17Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: long catch (1st).

Rec TDs#205 / 558 · 57th pct
3rece
Receptions#496 / 558 · 10th pct
14rece
Yards / catch#529 / 558 · 5th pct
8.2rece
Rec yards#542 / 558 · 3rd pct
115rece
Long catch#549 / 558 · 2nd pct
16rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Jonathan BradyIndianaMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 50% simAaron TurnerRice· 49% simAsaad WaseemFlorida Atlantic· 43% sim
Rec TDs
57
Brady
24
III
68
Turner
78
Waseem
Receptions
10
Brady
92
III
92
Turner
96
Waseem
Yards / catch
5
Brady
9
III
1
Turner
21
Waseem
Rec yards
3
Brady
70
III
48
Turner
84
Waseem
Long catch
2
Brady
16
III
65
Turner
42
Waseem

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jabari Smith’s 2025 season.

Jabari Smith

67%match

Florida Atlantic · 2025

#2

Tarique Milton

Iowa State · 2021

66%
#3

Tony Johnson

Florida Atlantic · 2022

62%
#4

Sean Atkins

South Florida · 2022

60%
#5

Braeden Wisloski

James Madison · 2025

60%

Differs from Jabari on

Class year (higher)
Recruiting rating (lower)
EPA / play (adj) (higher)

Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Jacob Harris’s path through UCF.

Jacob Harris

99%match

UCF · 2020

#2

Lujuan Winningham

Central Arkansas · 2021

97%
#3

Jalen Kelsey

Campbell · 2022

96%
#4

Stephon Robinson

Northwestern · 2021

95%
#5

Kyndon Fuselier

Lamar · 2025

95%

Matches Jacob on

Yards per reception

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Elijah Metcalf's senior season at Marshall (2024).

Elijah Metcalf

65%match

Marshall · 2024

All-Conference USA
#2

Isaiah Hamilton

Washington State · 2023

51%
#3

Giles Jackson

Washington · 2023

51%
#4

Deion Burks

Oklahoma · 2024

All-SECNFL Rd 7
50%
#5

Kelley Joiner Jr.

South Florida · 2023

50%

Matches Elijah on

Height
Total EPA (college ability)

Differs from Elijah on

TD rate (higher)
Recruiting rating (lower)
Yards / reception (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Curt Cignetti

Pass share

38.7%

404 pass / 641 run

Plays / game

65.3

16 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.3%

275 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Tom Allen
Indiana
2023
Tom Allen
Indiana
2024
Curt Cignetti
Indiana
era →
2025
Curt Cignetti
Indiana

Coaching transition mid-career: Tom Allen → Curt Cignetti. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownLos Angeles, CA
Height5'10"
Weight180 lb
Class4
PositionWR

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-Big Ten

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 All-Big Ten all_conference Indiana | Big Ten RS

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 California WR4 #401 #473 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC
2023 New Mexico State WR4 #582 #695 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Conference USA
2022 New Mexico State WR4 #892 #1078 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | FBS Independents

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Indiana Big Ten WR 4 5-10 | 180 lb | Los Angeles, CA
2024 California ACC WR 4 5-10 | 180 lb | Los Angeles, CA
2023 New Mexico State Conference USA WR 4 5-10 | 180 lb | Los Angeles, CA
2022 New Mexico State FBS Independents WR 4 5-10 | 180 lb | Los Angeles, CA