CFB Zeitgeist Score
27
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 42nd percentile.
Drew Wagner
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
172 REC YDS · 22 REC · 2 REC TD
2026 Outlook
Returning to Northwestern for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Wide receiver · Northwestern
Returning around him
- 68% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- 2 Northwestern players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: +9 net (17 in / 8 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Northwestern · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #57 · 2026 recruiting class #66
WR · NORTHWESTERN · BIG TEN
Drew Wagner
- 2
- #19
- 5-10 | 185 lb
- Delafield, WI
Heisman Heat
#1856
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR05 · Part-time starter
Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2024–2025+455%
Up 455% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
Northwestern
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Drew Wagner
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=1
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Drew Wagner
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Receiving TDs
2
count
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
National rank #302 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 43rd
Why it matters
#302 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving TDs — 2 TDs on 22 receptions.
Vs cohort
This player 2 (43th)
MODERATE · n=22 cohort 531
- Also strong
- Yards per reception#500 / 531
- Receiving yards (total)#515 / 531
Signature Moment
Week 2 vs Western Illinois — 1 receiving_tds
Result W 42-7
The week the volume broke through — stacked 1 td vs Western Illinois.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 9g
172Rec yards
22Receptions
2Rec TDs
Per game
19.1Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
248.4Rec yards
32Receptions
3Rec TDs
To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 172): needs 132/game over remaining 4.
To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 172): needs 207/game over remaining 4.
To hit 60-catch season (currently 22): needs 9.5/game over remaining 4.
To hit 80-catch season (currently 22): needs 14.5/game over remaining 4.
To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 1.5/game over remaining 4.
To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 2/game over remaining 4.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Drew Wagner's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Northwestern, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
WR season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
22 66th
YDS
172 54th
YPR
7.8 16th
TD
2 75th
Rushing
CAR
3 64th
YDS
17 61st
YPC
5.7 63rd
TD
0 81st
Returns
KR YDS
22 28th
KR AVG
22.0 70th
PR YDS
27 38th
PR AVG
1.9 10th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 9 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 2 | W 42-7vs Western Illinois | 2 | 8 | 4.0 | 1 | 4 | |
| Wk 3 | L 14-34vs Oregon | 1 | 40 | 40.0 | 0 | 40 | |
| Wk 5 | W 17-14vs UCLA | 2 | -8 | -4.0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Wk 6 | W 42-7vs UL Monroe | 6 | 63 | 10.5 | 1 | 18 | Season-high 63 yds |
| Wk 7 | W 22-21@ Penn State | 2 | 8 | 4.0 | 0 | 8 | |
| Wk 8 | W 19-0vs Purdue | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | 0 | 7 | |
| Wk 9 | L 21-28@ Nebraska | 1 | 12 | 12.0 | 0 | 12 | |
| Wk 11 | L 17-38@ USC | 4 | 26 | 6.5 | 0 | 8 | |
| Wk 12 | L 22-24vs Michigan | 3 | 16 | 5.3 | 0 | 6 | |
| Total | 22 | 172 | 9.5 | 2 | 40 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2024Northwestern4-8HC: David Braun · Balanced, slow tempo
2025Northwestern7-6HC: David Braun · Run-leaning
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Northwestern | 22 | 172 | 7.8 | 2 | -- |
| 2024 | Northwestern | 3 | 31 | 10.3 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 25 | 203 | 8.1 | 2 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Northwestern | 3 | 17 | 22 | 27 | -- |
| 2024 | Northwestern | -- | -- | -- | 71 | 1 |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 3 | 17 | 22 | 98 | 1 |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 22 | #383/1110 | 66th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 172 | #509/1107 | 54th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 2 | #281/1111 | 75th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 7.8 | #934/1106 | 16th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick return yards | 22 | #172/238 | 28th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Returns | Punt return yards | 27 | #139/224 | 38th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 12.5% | #342/1137 | 70th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 17 | #154/397 | 61st pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 9 | #182/346 | 48th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 5.7 | #145/393 | 63rd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Carries | 3 | #146/407 | 64th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #81/411 | 81st pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 40 | #450/1105 | 59th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick return avg | 22.0 | #71/236 | 70th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Punt returns | 14 | #42/237 | 83rd pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Returns | Punt return avg | 1.9 | #201/222 | 10th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick returns | 1 | #169/243 | 31st pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 9.2% | #154/1137 | 87th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 6.4% | #540/1137 | 53rd pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 5.9% | #379/1137 | 67th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 5.7% | #310/1137 | 73rd pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 4.5% | #684/1137 | 40th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 4.0% | #560/1137 | 51st pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 1.0% | #195/1137 | 83rd pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #131/302 | 57th pct | Turnoversvs FBS WR |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 9 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 2.5 | 21.0 | 10.5 | 0.3 |
| Road3g | 2.3 | 15.3 | 7.5 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins5g | 2.6 | 15.6 | 4.3 | 0.4 |
| Losses4g | 2.2 | 23.5 | 15.9 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-75g | 2.6 | 22.2 | 10.9 | 0.4 |
| Weeks 8+4g | 2.2 | 15.2 | 7.7 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
27Below cohort
Concern: yards / catch (3rd).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Drew WagnerNorthwesternMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 62% simJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 62% simKevin Coleman Jr.Missouri· 58% sim
Rush yards
Rec TDs
Rush TDs
Fumbles lost
Long catch
Receptions
Rec yards
Yards / catch
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Possession Receiver
Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.
WR
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Zavion Thomas’s 2024 season.
Zavion Thomas
82%match
All-SECNFL Rd 3 · Pk 25
#2
Jamaal Bell
82%
#3
Tyler Walton
81%
#4
Jeremiah Knight
81%
#5
Isaiah Sategna
80%
Matches Zavion on
Yards / reception
Total EPA (college ability)
EPA / play (adj)
Differs from Zavion on
Class year (lower)
Through 1 college season, his career arc tracks closest to Cee Jay Powell’s path through Louisiana Tech.
Cee Jay Powell
100%match
#2
Miller Forristall
99%
#3
Javen Jacobs
97%
#4
Damoriea Vick
96%
#5
Briley Moore
95%
Matches Cee on
Yards per reception
As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Donnovan Moorer's sophomore season at Texas State (2022).
Donnovan Moorer
79%match
#2
Derrick McFall
78%
#3
Kevin Riley
78%
#4
Mike Sainristil
1st-team All-AmericanNFL Rd 2 · Pk 18
72%
#5
Semaj Morgan
77%
Matches Donnovan on
Total EPA (college ability)
EPA / play (adj)
Height
Differs from Donnovan on
Weight (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
David Braun
Pass share
46.0%
378 pass / 444 run
Plays / game
63.2
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
5.1%
255 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025
1 coach2024
David Braun
Northwestern
2025
David Braun
Northwestern
Played his entire career under David Braun.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownDelafield, WI
Height5'10"
Weight185 lb
Class2
PositionWR
Jersey19
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamNorthwestern
ConferenceBig Ten
Joined2025
Career arc2 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Northwestern | WR2 | #1856 | #2332 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Big Ten |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Northwestern | Big Ten | WR | 2 | No. 19 | 5-10 | 185 lb | Delafield, WI |
| 2024 | Northwestern | Big Ten | WR | 2 | No. 19 | 5-10 | 185 lb | Delafield, WI |