cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Kaden Feagin /Illinois

Kaden Feagin

RB · Illinois · Jr · #3

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

507 RUSH YDS · 7 RUSH TD · 122 CARRIES

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Illinois for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Illinois for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Running back · Illinois

Returning around him

  • 52% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 3 Illinois players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -8 net (19 in / 27 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Illinois · Last season: 9-4 (AP #23) · Talent rank #64 · 2026 recruiting class #45

RB · ILLINOIS · BIG TEN

Kaden Feagin

  • 3
  • #3
  • 6-3 | 250 lb
  • Atwood, IL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

53

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rush tds at the 80th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#209

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2023–2025
4382023
3062024
5072025

+16%

Modest growth (16%) across the multi-season window.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#380 national
CFB
College
Illinois
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class3
Jersey3
Measurements6-3 | 250 lb
HometownAtwood, IL
Primary teamIllinois

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 380 recruit
Composite rating 0.8958 HighSchool
Signed with Illinois 2023
Origin Arthur Sr Arthur, IL, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 4-star | 0.8958 No. 380 recruit | HighSchool | Illinois

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#209Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#214Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Illinois

Composite

0.8958

#380 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Kaden Feagin

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Kaden Feagin

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Rushing yards (total)

507

yds

P4 + Notre Dame RBs, min 80 carries

National rank #52 of 69
Percentile vs P4 + Notre Dame RBs, min 80 carries 25th

Why it matters

#52 of 69 P4 + Notre Dame RBs in total rushing yards — 507 yards on 122 carries.

Vs cohort

This player 507 (25th)

HIGH · n=122 cohort 69

  • Also strong
  • Rushing WEPA per carry#61 / 66
  • Yards per carry#59 / 69

Signature Moment

Week 3 vs Western Michigan — 100 rushing_yards_total

Result W 38-0

The week the volume broke through — put up 100 yds vs Western Michigan.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

final
Through 13g
507Rush yards
122Carries
7Rush TDs
Per game
39Rush yards
9Carries
1Rush TDs
Final
507Rush yards
122Carries
7Rush TDs

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Kaden Feagin's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Illinois, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #209 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 17.1% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 380 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 695 507 rush | 188 rec | #158/735 (79th pct)
Rush TD 7 122 carries | #62/739 (92nd pct)
Yards/carry 4.2 Per-rush efficiency | #455/735 (38th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.

Passing-game back

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
122 85th
YDS
507 79th
YPC
4.2 38th
TD
7 92nd

Receiving

REC
16 77th
YDS
188 88th
YPR
11.8 86th
TD
2 97th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 52-3vs Western Illinois13745.7118
Wk 2W 45-19@ Duke17482.8111
Wk 3W 38-0vs Western Michigan201005.0126Season-high 100 yds
Wk 4L 10-63@ Indiana5183.606
Wk 5W 34-32vs USC14604.3011
Wk 6W 43-27@ Purdue10161.626
Wk 7L 16-34vs Ohio State6223.709
Wk 9L 25-42@ Washington5326.4018
Wk 10W 35-13vs Rutgers7263.709
Wk 12W 24-6vs Maryland14815.8110
Wk 13L 10-27@ Wisconsin393.005
Wk 14W 20-13vs Northwestern5132.614
BowlW 30-28vs Tennessee382.704
Total1225073.9726
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Illinois5-7HC: Bret Bielema · Balanced
2024Illinois10-3HC: Bret Bielema · Run-leaning
2025Illinois9-4HC: Bret Bielema · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Illinois1225074.27--
2024Illinois673064.63--
2023Illinois954384.62--
Career3 loaded seasons2841,2514.412--
SeasonTeam
2025Illinois1618811.82--
2024Illinois5377.40--
2023Illinois911612.91--
Career3 loaded seasons3034111.43--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 16 188 rec yds | #127/552 (77th pct)
Usage 17.1% 29.1% rush share | #129/738 (83rd pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.04 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #309/362 (15th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 507 #158/735 79th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 7 #62/739 92nd pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 4.2 #455/735 38th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 16 #127/552 77th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 188 #69/548 88th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.04 #309/362 15th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 115 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 17.1% #129/738 83rd pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 122 #111/739 85th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 26 #327/733 56th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 64 #23/540 96th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 11.8 #75/548 86th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 2 #20/552 97th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 29.1% #133/738 82nd pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 19.6% #135/738 82nd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 18.5% #117/738 84th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 18.1% #174/738 77th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 12.2% #138/738 81st pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 11.1% #157/738 79th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 4.4% #199/738 73rd pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #78/256 70th pct Turnoversvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home8g48.04.20.5
Road5g24.63.50.6

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins9g47.33.80.8
Losses4g20.24.20.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-78g43.23.70.6
Weeks 8+5g32.24.30.4

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

53Mid-pack
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rec yards (80th). Concern: yards / carry (20th).

Rec yards#65 / 338 · 81st pct
188rece
Rush TDs#62 / 349 · 80th pct
7rush
Carries#111 / 349 · 68th pct
122rush
Receptions#119 / 338 · 63rd pct
16rece
Rush yards#158 / 349 · 55th pct
507rush
Fumbles lost#55 / 201 · 49th pct
1fumb
Long run#267 / 349 · 23rd pct
26rush
Yards / carry#272 / 349 · 20th pct
4.2rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.04Below (<p25) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Kaden FeaginIllinoisSeth McGowanKentucky· 86% simAl-Jay HendersonBuffalo· 80% simTae MeadowsTroy· 78% sim
Rec yards
81
Feagin
67
McGowan
79
Henderson
38
Meadows
Rush TDs
80
Feagin
94
McGowan
72
Henderson
72
Meadows
Carries
68
Feagin
85
McGowan
90
Henderson
84
Meadows
Receptions
63
Feagin
75
McGowan
85
Henderson
45
Meadows
Rush yards
55
Feagin
76
McGowan
79
Henderson
74
Meadows
Fumbles lost
49
Feagin
49
McGowan
14
Henderson
49
Meadows
Long run
23
Feagin
11
McGowan
43
Henderson
53
Meadows
Yards / carry
20
Feagin
29
McGowan
18
Henderson
29
Meadows

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Workhorse

Built to take 20+ carries per game. Volume is the value.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Tyson Riley’s 2021 season.

Tyson Riley

76%match

Army · 2021

#2

Kaden Feagin

Illinois · 2024

70%
#3

Anthony Adkins

Army · 2021

61%
#4

Trenten Howland

Oklahoma State · 2025

63%
#5

Kaden Feagin

Illinois · 2023

62%

Matches Tyson on

Yards / carry
Weight
Class year

Differs from Tyson on

Height (higher)

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Gerrid Doaks’s path through Cincinnati.

Gerrid Doaks

93%match

Cincinnati · 2020

All-AACNFL Rd 7
#2

Kyle Porter

Houston · 2020

91%
#3

Chuba Hubbard

Oklahoma State · 2020

All-Big 12NFL Rd 4
81%
#4

Andrew Body

Alabama State · 2025

79%
#5

Darius Wilson

William & Mary · 2024

78%

Matches Gerrid on

Yards per carry

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Jakobi Buchanan's junior season at Army (2022).

Jakobi Buchanan

58%match

Army · 2022

#2

Bryan Bradford

Kent State · 2022

57%
#3

Marco Lee

South Alabama · 2022

50%
#4

La'Darius Jefferson

Western Michigan · 2022

All-MAC
54%
#5

Jake Rendina

Army · 2025

46%

Matches Jakobi on

Yards / carry
Total rush EPA (college ability)

Differs from Jakobi on

Class year (lower)
Height (higher)
Rush TD rate (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Bret Bielema

Pass share

45.6%

372 pass / 444 run

Plays / game

62.8

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

11.0%

292 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Bret Bielema
Illinois
2024
Bret Bielema
Illinois
2025
Bret Bielema
Illinois

Played his entire career under Bret Bielema.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownAtwood, IL
Height6'3"
Weight250 lb
Class3
PositionRB
Jersey3

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Illinois RB3 #209 #214 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten
2023 Illinois RB3 #670 #855 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Illinois Big Ten RB 3 No. 3 | 6-3 | 250 lb | Atwood, IL
2024 Illinois Big Ten RB 3 No. 3 | 6-3 | 250 lb | Atwood, IL
2023 Illinois Big Ten RB 3 No. 3 | 6-3 | 250 lb | Atwood, IL