CFB Zeitgeist Score
51
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 74th percentile.
Latrell Caples
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
616 REC YDS · 51 REC · 3 REC TD
2026 Outlook
Returning to Boise State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Wide receiver · Boise State
Returning around him
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Boise State · Last season: 9-5 (AP #25) · Talent rank #81 · 2026 recruiting class #62
WR · BOISE STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST
CFB Zeitgeist Score
51
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 74th percentile.
Heisman Heat
#2111
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterImpact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
3 seasons on the ladder
2021
Boise State · WR
—
2022
Boise State · WR
—
2025
Boise State · WR
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2021–2025Up 1000% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 3-star | 0.8719 | No. 647 recruit | HighSchool | Boise State |
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
Selector Grid · 2025
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Boise State
Composite
0.8719
#647 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
616
yds
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
Why it matters
#140 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving yards — 616 yards on 51 receptions.
Vs cohort
HIGH · n=51 cohort 531
Signature Moment
Week 4 at Air Force — 87 receiving_yards_total
Result W 49-37
The week the volume broke through — put up 87 yds at Air Force.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Latrell Caples already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
2025 season snapshot | final
30-second read
Target magnet against FBS receiving peers.
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
Rushing
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 13 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 7-34@ South Florida | 4 | 58 | 14.5 | 0 | 16 | |
| Wk 2 | W 51-14vs Eastern Washington | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 4 | W 49-37@ Air Force | 5 | 87 | 17.4 | 0 | 31 | Season-high 87 yds |
| Wk 5 | W 47-14vs App State | 5 | 84 | 16.8 | 2 | 34 | 2 TD catches |
| Wk 6 | L 7-28@ Notre Dame | 6 | 52 | 8.7 | 0 | 13 | |
| Wk 8 | W 56-31vs UNLV | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | 1 | 7 | |
| Wk 9 | W 24-3@ Nevada | 3 | 35 | 11.7 | 0 | 13 | |
| Wk 10 | L 7-30vs Fresno State | 1 | 16 | 16.0 | 0 | 16 | |
| Wk 12 | L 7-17@ San Diego State | 7 | 42 | 6.0 | 0 | 13 | |
| Wk 13 | W 49-21vs Colorado State | 7 | 70 | 10.0 | 0 | 16 | |
| Wk 14 | W 25-24@ Utah State | 3 | 52 | 17.3 | 0 | 23 | |
| Wk 15 | W 38-21vs UNLV | 3 | 32 | 10.7 | 0 | 17 | |
| Bowl | L 10-38@ Washington | 5 | 70 | 14.0 | 0 | 22 | |
| Total | 51 | 616 | 12.4 | 3 | 34 |
Traditional history
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Boise State | 51 | 616 | 12.1 | 3 | -- |
| 2022 | Boise State | 51 | 550 | 10.8 | 4 | -- |
| 2021 | Boise State | 4 | 56 | 14.0 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 106 | 1,222 | 11.5 | 7 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Boise State | 1 | -4 | -- | -- | -- |
| 2022 | Boise State | 2 | 6 | -- | 57 | -- |
| 2021 | Boise State | 1 | 9 | -- | -- | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 4 | 11 | -- | 57 | -- |
Advanced metrics second
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 51 | #114/1110 | 90th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 616 | #145/1107 | 87th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 3 | #206/1111 | 82nd pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 12.1 | #537/1106 | 52nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 18.4% | #124/1137 | 89th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Carries | 1 | #264/407 | 35th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #81/411 | 81st pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | -4 | #358/397 | 10th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | -4.0 | #366/393 | 7th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 34 | #548/1105 | 50th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 15.9% | #33/1137 | 97th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 13.4% | #85/1137 | 93rd pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 9.1% | #136/1137 | 88th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 7.5% | #208/1137 | 82nd pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 7.0% | #303/1137 | 73rd pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 6.9% | #226/1137 | 80th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.2% | #374/1137 | 67th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #131/302 | 57th pct | Turnoversvs FBS WR |
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
ALL-CONF HM
ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16
Why he’s here
All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.
What moves him up
A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.
What moves him down
A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.
Accolade streams
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 13 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 3.0 | 36.7 | 11.9 | 0.5 |
| Road7g | 4.7 | 56.6 | 12.8 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins8g | 3.5 | 47.2 | 12.7 | 0.4 |
| Losses5g | 4.6 | 47.6 | 11.8 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 4.3 | 60.3 | 13.7 | 0.3 |
| Weeks 8+7g | 3.6 | 36.3 | 11.2 | 0.1 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
Concern: rush yards (8th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
Runs precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving.
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Thayer Thomas’s 2022 season.
Thayer Thomas
John Paul Richardson
Jesse Matthews
Reymello Murphy
Ricky Pearsall
Matches Thayer on
Differs from Thayer on
Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Ryan Flournoy’s path through Southeast Missouri State.
Ryan Flournoy
Anthony Lowe
Demarcus Lacey
Thayer Thomas
Ezrah Archie
Matches Ryan on
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Lemeke Brockington's senior season at Minnesota (2025).
Lemeke Brockington
Kobe Drake
Vinny Anthony
Kobe Paysour
Octavian Smith Jr.
Matches Lemeke on
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Spencer Danielson
Pass share
46.6%
472 pass / 540 run
Plays / game
72.3
14 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.4%
358 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025
2 coachesCoaching transition mid-career: Andy Avalos → Spencer Danielson. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2025)
All-Mountain West
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | All-Mountain West | all_conference | Boise State | Mountain West | WR |
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Boise State | WR4 | #2111 | #1852 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Mountain West |
| 2023 | Boise State | WR4 | #3019 | #2775 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Mountain West |
| 2022 | Boise State | WR4 | #420 | #438 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Mountain West |
| 2021 | Boise State | WR4 | #1831 | #1806 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Mountain West |
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Boise State | Mountain West | WR | 4 | No. 3 | 6-0 | 191 lb | Lancaster, TX |
| 2024 | Boise State | Mountain West | WR | 4 | No. 3 | 6-0 | 191 lb | Lancaster, TX |
| 2023 | Boise State | Mountain West | WR | 4 | No. 3 | 6-0 | 191 lb | Lancaster, TX |
| 2022 | Boise State | Mountain West | WR | 4 | No. 3 | 6-0 | 191 lb | Lancaster, TX |
| 2021 | Boise State | Mountain West | WR | 4 | No. 3 | 6-0 | 191 lb | Lancaster, TX |