CFB Zeitgeist Score
67
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 76th percentile.
Jordan Napier
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
632 REC YDS · 48 REC · 2 REC TD
2026 Outlook
Returning to San Diego State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Wide receiver · San Diego State
Returning around him
- 80% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
- 1 San Diego State player drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: +0 net (26 in / 26 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
San Diego State · Last season: 9-4 · Talent rank #86 · 2026 recruiting class #78
WR · SAN DIEGO STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST
Jordan Napier
- 2
- #2
- 6-1 | 195 lb
- Fontana, CA
Heisman Heat
#5303
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
2 seasons on the ladder
2023
San Diego State · WR
—
★
2025
San Diego State · WR
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2023–2025-31700%
Sharp dropoff (-31700%) — career inflection point.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
San Diego State
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3-star | 0.8678 | No. 888 recruit | HighSchool | San Diego State |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (632).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to San Diego State
Composite
0.8678
#888 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Jordan Napier
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
100
Grounded Optimism
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=2
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Jordan Napier
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Yards per reception
13.2
yds
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
National rank #210 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 61st
Why it matters
#210 of 531 All FBS WRs at 13.2 yards per reception (48 catches).
Vs cohort
This player 13.2 (61th)
HIGH · n=48 cohort 531
- Also strong
- Receiving yards (total)#125 / 531
- Receiving TDs#302 / 531
Signature Moment
Week 4 vs California — 154 ypr
Result W 34-0
The week the volume broke through — put up 154 yds vs California.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 10g
632Rec yards
48Receptions
2Rec TDs
Per game
63.2Rec yards
5Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
821.6Rec yards
62Receptions
3Rec TDs
To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 632): needs 22.7/game over remaining 3.
To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 632): needs 122.7/game over remaining 3.
To hit 60-catch season (currently 48): needs 4/game over remaining 3.
To hit 80-catch season (currently 48): needs 10.7/game over remaining 3.
To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 2/game over remaining 3.
To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 2.7/game over remaining 3.
Why the honors trail matters
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Jordan Napier already has 2 loaded recognition items, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
WR season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Target magnet | All-purpose weapon against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
48 88th
YDS
632 88th
YPR
13.2 61st
TD
2 75th
Rushing
CAR
11 90th
YDS
40 81st
YPC
3.6 39th
TD
1 96th
Returns
KR YDS
265 82nd
KR AVG
22.1 71st
PR YDS
193 91st
PR AVG
8.8 59th
RET TD
1 89th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 10 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 42-0vs Stony Brook | 3 | 18 | 6.0 | 0 | 8 | |
| Wk 2 | L 13-36@ Washington State | 7 | 69 | 9.9 | 0 | 23 | |
| Wk 4 | W 34-0vs California | 9 | 154 | 17.1 | 1 | 80 | Season-high 154 yds |
| Wk 5 | W 6-3@ Northern Illinois | 6 | 52 | 8.7 | 0 | 19 | |
| Wk 6 | W 45-24vs Colorado State | 7 | 153 | 21.9 | 1 | 61 | 153-yard receiving day |
| Wk 7 | W 44-10@ Nevada | 5 | 110 | 22.0 | 0 | 41 | |
| Wk 9 | W 23-0@ Fresno State | 4 | 14 | 3.5 | 0 | 7 | |
| Wk 10 | W 24-7vs Wyoming | 4 | 43 | 10.8 | 0 | 22 | |
| Wk 11 | L 6-38@ Hawai'i | 2 | 21 | 10.5 | 0 | 13 | |
| Wk 12 | W 17-7vs Boise State | 1 | -2 | -2.0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Total | 48 | 632 | 10.8 | 2 | 80 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023San Diego State4-8HC: Brady Hoke · Run-leaning
2025San Diego State9-4HC: Sean Lewis · Run-heavy
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | San Diego State | 48 | 632 | 13.2 | 2 | -- |
| 2023 | San Diego State | 1 | -2 | -2.0 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 49 | 630 | 12.9 | 2 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | San Diego State | 11 | 40 | 265 | 193 | 1 |
| 2023 | San Diego State | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 11 | 40 | 265 | 193 | 1 |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 48 | #129/1110 | 88th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 632 | #132/1107 | 88th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 2 | #281/1111 | 75th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 13.2 | #428/1106 | 61st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick return yards | 265 | #43/238 | 82nd pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Returns | Punt return yards | 193 | #21/224 | 91st pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 29.0% | #13/1137 | 99th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 40 | #76/397 | 81st pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 16 | #93/346 | 73rd pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Carries | 11 | #43/407 | 90th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 3.6 | #241/393 | 39th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 1 | #19/411 | 96th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 80 | #28/1105 | 98th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick return avg | 22.1 | #70/236 | 71st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Punt returns | 22 | #8/237 | 97th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick returns | 12 | #44/243 | 82nd pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Returns | Punt return avg | 8.8 | #93/222 | 59th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Punt return TD | 1 | #4/27 | 89th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 13.9% | #21/1137 | 98th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 12.3% | #21/1137 | 98th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 12.0% | #39/1137 | 97th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 11.6% | #44/1137 | 96th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 11.4% | #168/1137 | 85th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 10.0% | #219/1137 | 81st pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 2.5% | #72/1137 | 94th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #131/302 | 57th pct | Turnoversvs FBS WR |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
ALL-CONF HM
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16
Why he’s here
All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.
What moves him up
A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.
What moves him down
A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 10 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home5g | 4.8 | 73.2 | 10.8 | 0.4 |
| Road5g | 4.8 | 53.2 | 10.9 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins8g | 4.9 | 67.8 | 11.0 | 0.2 |
| Losses2g | 4.5 | 45.0 | 10.2 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 6.2 | 92.7 | 14.3 | 0.3 |
| Weeks 8+4g | 2.8 | 19.0 | 5.7 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
67Solid starter
Elite: long catch (95th). Strength: rush tds (85th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Jordan NapierSan Diego StateRyan DavisUtah· 82% simSean WilsonDelaware· 81% simHank BeattyIllinois· 79% sim
Long catch
Rush TDs
Receptions
Rush yards
Rec yards
Yards / catch
Rec TDs
Fumbles lost
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Slot Technician
Runs precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving.
WR
His 2025 production profile sits closest to R.J. Sneed’s 2021 season.
R.J. Sneed
82%match
#2
Justin Garrett
77%
#3
Justin Garrett
81%
#4
Xavier White
78%
#5
Deshon Stoudemire
78%
Matches R.J. on
Yards / reception
Weight
Total EPA (college ability)
Differs from R.J. on
Class year (lower)
Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Antwan Davis’s path through Ball State.
Antwan Davis
99%match
#2
Khalil McClain
97%
#3
Neno Lemay
97%
#4
Blake Bohannon
95%
#5
Max Tomczak
94%
Matches Antwan on
Yards per reception
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Deuce Alexander's junior season at Ole Miss (2025).
Deuce Alexander
78%match
#2
Hudson Clement
77%
#3
Kenny Johnson
73%
#4
Jaron Tibbs
73%
#5
Baylin Brooks
72%
Matches Deuce on
EPA / play (adj)
Reception volume
Yards / reception
Differs from Deuce on
Weight (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Sean Lewis
Pass share
35.3%
290 pass / 532 run
Plays / game
63.2
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
7.6%
224 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
2 coaches2023
Brady Hoke
San Diego State
2025era →
Sean Lewis
San Diego State
Coaching transition mid-career: Brady Hoke → Sean Lewis. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownFontana, CA
Height6'1"
Weight195 lb
Class2
PositionWR
Jersey2
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamSan Diego State
ConferenceMountain West
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🥈
ALL-CONFERENCE · 1ST TEAM
All-Conf 1st team (2025)
All-Mountain West
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
2 all-conference honors
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | All-Mountain West | all_conference | San Diego State | Mountain West | WR |
| 2025 | All-Mountain West | all_conference | San Diego State | Mountain West | P |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | San Diego State | WR2 | #5303 | #5802 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Mountain West |
| 2023 | San Diego State | WR2 | #5404 | #5704 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Mountain West |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | San Diego State | Mountain West | WR | 2 | No. 2 | 6-1 | 195 lb | Fontana, CA |
| 2024 | San Diego State | Mountain West | WR | 2 | No. 2 | 6-1 | 195 lb | Fontana, CA |
| 2023 | San Diego State | Mountain West | WR | 2 | No. 2 | 6-1 | 195 lb | Fontana, CA |