cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Malcolm Simmons /Auburn

Malcolm Simmons

WR · Auburn · So · #4

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

457 REC YDS · 25 REC · 2 REC TD

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Auburn → Texas Tech for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Texas Tech

2025Auburn
2026Texas Tech

WR · AUBURN · SEC

Malcolm Simmons

  • 2
  • #4
  • 6-0 | 186 lb
  • Montgomery, AL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

67

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 95th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#588

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2024–2025
4512024
4572025

+1%

Modest growth (1%) across the multi-season window.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#230 national
CFB
College
Auburn
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class2
Jersey4
Measurements6-0 | 186 lb
HometownMontgomery, AL
Primary teamAuburn

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 230 recruit
Composite rating 0.9166 HighSchool
Signed with Auburn 2024
Origin Benjamin Russell Alexander City, AL, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 4-star | 0.9166 No. 230 recruit | HighSchool | Auburn

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Texas Tech 2026
Transfer stars 4-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 12, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Auburn -> Texas Tech 4-star | 0.9100 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#588Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#834Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Auburn

Composite

0.9166

#230 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Malcolm Simmons

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 2 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "2026 Critical 20: No. 13 Malcolm Simmons &nbsp;&nbsp; 247Sports"Own fansRivals: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "Caldwell is Malcolm Simmons brother (former barner WR)"RivalsNational: 1 mentions · belief +0 · "[Source](https://x.com/Hayesfawcett3/status/2010836779645940043?s=20) Made with"National
  • Own fans · n=2
  • Rivals · n=2
  • National · n=1

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Malcolm Simmons

Only 2 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

18.3

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #18 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 97th

Why it matters

#18 of 531 All FBS WRs at 18.3 yards per reception (25 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 18.3 (97th)

MODERATE · n=25 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving yards (total)#250 / 531
  • Receiving TDs#302 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 13 vs Mercer — 149 ypr

Result W 62-17

The week the volume broke through — put up 149 yds vs Mercer.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
457Rec yards
25Receptions
2Rec TDs
Per game
41.5Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
540.1Rec yards
30Receptions
2Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 457): needs 121.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 457): needs 271.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 25): needs 17.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 25): needs 27.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 3/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 4/game over remaining 2.

Why the profile pops beyond receiving

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The most interesting thing about Malcolm Simmons is that he shows up in multiple game states. He is a receiver first, but the profile also includes designed touches and return-game juice, which means his value is not limited to a conventional route tree.

Current place #588 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 6.4% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 230 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 25 2 rec TD | #347/1110 (69th pct)
Receiving yards 457 18.3 per catch | #251/1107 (77th pct)
Scrimmage yards 499 Total offensive yardage | #251/1107 (77th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.

Big-play receiver

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
25 69th
YDS
457 77th
YPR
18.3 91st
TD
2 75th

Rushing

CAR
4 74th
YDS
42 82nd
YPC
10.5 88th
TD
1 96th

Returns

PR YDS
60 58th
PR AVG
3.8 20th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 38-24@ Baylor12626.0026
Wk 2W 42-3vs Ball State4379.3022
Wk 4L 17-24@ Oklahoma4307.5015
Wk 5L 10-16@ Texas A&M273.506
Wk 7L 10-20vs Georgia122.002
Wk 8L 17-23vs Missouri
Wk 9W 33-24@ Arkansas3175.709
Wk 10L 3-10vs Kentucky
Wk 11L 38-45@ Vanderbilt24623.0039
Wk 13W 62-17vs Mercer514929.8191Season-high 149 yds
Wk 14L 20-27vs Alabama314347.7166143-yard receiving day
Total2545717.2291
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024Auburn5-7HC: Hugh Freeze · Balanced
2025Auburn5-7HC: Hugh Freeze · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Auburn2545718.32--
2024Auburn4045111.33--
Career2 loaded seasons6590814.05--
SeasonTeam
2025Auburn442--60--
2024Auburn41355421
Career2 loaded seasons855551021
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 6.4% 11.5% pass-game share | #405/1137 (64th pct)
Return yards 60 0 return TD
Touchdowns 3 Across offense and returns | #281/1111 (75th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 25 #347/1110 69th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 457 #251/1107 77th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 2 #281/1111 75th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 18.3 #104/1106 91st pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt return yards 60 #94/224 58th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 11.5% #405/1137 64th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards 42 #71/397 82nd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 15 #106/346 70th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry 10.5 #50/393 88th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 4 #108/407 74th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 1 #19/411 96th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 91 #5/1105 100th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Punt returns 16 #35/237 86th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Punt return avg 3.8 #179/222 20th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 9.8% #249/1137 78th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 9.6% #256/1137 78th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 7.7% #243/1137 79th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 6.4% #324/1137 72nd pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 4.8% #411/1137 64th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 4.4% #493/1137 57th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 1.3% #154/1137 87th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/302 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home6g2.255.222.20.3
Road5g2.425.213.10.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins4g3.257.217.70.2
Losses7g1.732.616.70.1

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-75g2.420.49.70.0
Weeks 8+6g2.259.226.60.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

67Solid starter
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: long catch (99th). Strength: yards / catch (95th).

Long catch#5 / 558 · 99th pct
91rece
Yards / catch#26 / 558 · 95th pct
18.3rece
Rush TDs#19 / 287 · 85th pct
1rush
Fumbles lost#1 / 218 · 81st pct
0fumb
Rush yards#65 / 287 · 77th pct
42rush
Rec yards#251 / 558 · 55th pct
457rece
Rec TDs#276 / 558 · 42nd pct
2rece
Receptions#347 / 558 · 37th pct
25rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Malcolm SimmonsAuburnHank BeattyIllinois· 67% simVictor SnowBuffalo· 66% simNik McMillanBuffalo· 66% sim
Long catch
99
Simmons
74
Beatty
91
Snow
65
McMillan
Yards / catch
95
Simmons
42
Beatty
51
Snow
84
McMillan
Rush TDs
85
Simmons
85
Beatty
96
Snow
Fumbles lost
81
Simmons
81
Beatty
81
Snow
Rush yards
77
Simmons
79
Beatty
92
Snow
Rec yards
55
Simmons
91
Beatty
89
Snow
96
McMillan
Rec TDs
42
Simmons
57
Beatty
95
Snow
57
McMillan
Receptions
37
Simmons
96
Beatty
91
Snow
90
McMillan

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Deep Threat

Stretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Vandrevious Jacobs’s 2025 season.

Vandrevious Jacobs

82%match

South Carolina · 2025

#2

Jayce Brown

Kansas State · 2023

78%
#3

Jeff Foreman

Arkansas State · 2022

76%
#4

Tychaun Chapman

Southern Miss · 2025

75%
#5

Jairus Mack

Charlotte · 2023

74%

Matches Vandrevious on

Total EPA (college ability)
Weight
Yards / reception

Differs from Vandrevious on

TD rate (lower)

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Josh Palmer’s path through Tennessee.

Josh Palmer

99%match

Tennessee · 2020

#2

Blayne Taylor

Abilene Christian · 2024

99%
#3

Dillon Stoner

Oklahoma State · 2020

99%
#4

Ben Ratzlaff

Houston Christian · 2020

98%
#5

Joshua Derry

Monmouth · 2025

97%

Matches Josh on

Yards per reception

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Makai Jackson's sophomore season at App State (2023).

Makai Jackson

70%match

App State · 2023

All-Sun Belt
#2

Anthony Garcia

Utah State · 2025

70%
#3

Micah Tease

Tulsa · 2025

70%
#4

Willie McCoy

UTSA · 2024

70%
#5

Shawn Miller

New Mexico · 2025

70%

Matches Makai on

Total EPA (college ability)
EPA / play (adj)
Yards / reception

Differs from Makai on

Class year (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Hugh Freeze

Pass share

44.7%

360 pass / 445 run

Plays / game

67.1

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

13.3%

308 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

1 coach
2024
Hugh Freeze
Auburn
2025
Hugh Freeze
Auburn

Played his entire career under Hugh Freeze.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMontgomery, AL
Height6'0"
Weight186 lb
Class2
PositionWR
Jersey4

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Auburn WR2 #588 #834 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Auburn SEC WR 2 No. 4 | 6-0 | 186 lb | Montgomery, AL
2024 Auburn SEC WR 2 No. 4 | 6-0 | 186 lb | Montgomery, AL