cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Coy Eakin /Texas Tech

Coy Eakin

WR · Texas Tech · Jr · #3

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

653 REC YDS · 49 REC · 6 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Texas Tech for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Texas Tech for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · Texas Tech

Returning around him

  • 59% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 9 Texas Tech players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +0 net (21 in / 21 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Texas Tech · Last season: 12-2 (AP #4) · Talent rank #29 · 2026 recruiting class #48

WR · TEXAS TECH · BIG 12

Coy Eakin

  • 3
  • #3
  • 6-2 | 210 lb
  • Stephenville, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

70

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 87th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#2855

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2023–2025
4162023
6532025

+57%

Up 57% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1214 national
CFB
College
Texas Tech
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class3
Jersey3
Measurements6-2 | 210 lb
HometownStephenville, TX
Primary teamTexas Tech

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1214 recruit
Composite rating 0.8519 HighSchool
Signed with Texas Tech 2022
Origin Stephenville Stephenville, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8519 No. 1214 recruit | HighSchool | Texas Tech

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#2855Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2754Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Texas Tech

Composite

0.8519

#1214 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Coy Eakin

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Coy Eakin

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

13.3

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #203 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 62nd

Why it matters

#203 of 531 All FBS WRs at 13.3 yards per reception (49 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 13.3 (62th)

HIGH · n=49 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving yards (total)#114 / 531
  • Receiving TDs#55 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 3 vs Oregon State — 139 ypr

Result W 45-14

The week the volume broke through — put up 139 yds vs Oregon State.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

final
Through 14g
653Rec yards
49Receptions
6Rec TDs
Per game
46.6Rec yards
4Receptions
0Rec TDs
Final
653Rec yards
49Receptions
6Rec TDs

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Coy Eakin's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Texas Tech, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #2855 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 5.4% Overall usage share
Profile quirk All-purpose load 121 return yds

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 49 6 rec TD | #123/1110 (89th pct)
Receiving yards 653 13.3 per catch | #121/1107 (89th pct)
Scrimmage yards 653 Total offensive yardage | #121/1107 (89th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Target magnet | All-purpose weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Target magnetAll-purpose weapon

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
49 89th
YDS
653 89th
YPR
13.3 62nd
TD
6 95th

Returns

PR YDS
121 80th
PR AVG
15.1 89th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 14 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 67-7vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff34715.7141
Wk 2W 62-14vs Kent State35919.7142
Wk 3W 45-14vs Oregon State613923.2138Season-high 139 yds
Wk 4W 34-10@ Utah33110.3019
Wk 6W 35-11@ Houston10818.1023
Wk 7W 42-17vs Kansas
Wk 8L 22-26@ Arizona State56613.2130
Wk 9W 42-0vs Oklahoma State5489.6026
Wk 10W 43-20@ Kansas State155.005
Wk 11W 29-7vs BYU45213.0037
Wk 12W 48-9vs UCF22010.0018
Wk 14W 49-0@ West Virginia3289.3014
Wk 15W 34-7vs BYU36622.02332 TD catches
BowlL 0-23vs Oregon11111.0011
Total4965313.1642
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Texas Tech7-6HC: Joey McGuire · Balanced
2025Texas Tech12-2HC: Joey McGuire · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Texas Tech4965313.36--
2023Texas Tech3641611.62--
Career2 loaded seasons851,06912.68--
SeasonTeam
2025Texas Tech------121--
2023Texas Tech1-1------
Career2 loaded seasons1-1--121--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 5.4% 11.2% pass-game share | #429/1137 (62nd pct)
Return yards 121 0 return TD
Touchdowns 6 Across offense and returns | #56/1111 (95th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 49 #123/1110 89th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 653 #121/1107 89th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 6 #56/1111 95th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 13.3 #420/1106 62nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt return yards 121 #46/224 80th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 11.2% #429/1137 62nd pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 42 #407/1105 63rd pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Punt return avg 15.1 #25/222 89th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt returns 8 #91/237 62nd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 6.4% #540/1137 53rd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 6.1% #386/1137 66th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 5.4% #442/1137 61st pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 5.3% #390/1137 66th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 5.0% #393/1137 66th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 4.2% #713/1137 37th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/302 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 14 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home9g3.049.115.50.6
Road5g4.442.29.20.2

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins12g3.648.013.30.4
Losses2g3.038.512.10.5

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-77g3.752.614.70.4
Weeks 8+7g3.340.711.70.4

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

70Solid starter
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rec tds (86th). Strength: fumbles lost (80th).

Rec TDs#56 / 558 · 87th pct
6rece
Fumbles lost#1 / 218 · 81st pct
0fumb
Rec yards#121 / 558 · 78th pct
653rece
Receptions#123 / 558 · 78th pct
49rece
Yards / catch#250 / 558 · 55th pct
13.3rece
Long catch#350 / 558 · 36th pct
42rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Coy EakinTexas TechGermie BernardAlabama· 91% simElijah SarrattIndiana· 86% simKevin ConcepcionTexas A&M· 86% sim
Rec TDs
87
Eakin
92
Bernard
100
Sarratt
97
Concepcion
Fumbles lost
81
Eakin
81
Concepcion
Rec yards
78
Eakin
91
Bernard
88
Sarratt
93
Concepcion
Receptions
78
Eakin
93
Bernard
93
Sarratt
90
Concepcion
Yards / catch
55
Eakin
57
Bernard
46
Sarratt
77
Concepcion
Long catch
36
Eakin
39
Bernard
55
Sarratt
52
Concepcion

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Tre Harris’s 2021 season.

Tre Harris

83%match

Louisiana Tech · 2021

NFL Rd 2 · Pk 23
#2

Joseph Williams

Colorado · 2025

81%
#3

Daejon Reynolds

UNLV · 2025

80%
#4

Jahmal Edrine

Florida Atlantic · 2022

80%
#5

Kenny Johnson

Pittsburgh · 2025

79%

Matches Tre on

Yards / reception
Total EPA (college ability)
TD rate

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Jalen McDonald’s path through Merrimack.

Jalen McDonald

99%match

Merrimack · 2025

#2

DeVontres Dukes

South Florida · 2020

99%
#3

Jevin Frett

UL Monroe · 2022

98%
#4

Ben Skowronek

Notre Dame · 2020

NFL Rd 7
97%
#5

John Neider

UConn · 2025

97%

Matches Jalen on

Yards per reception

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Kenny Johnson's junior season at Pittsburgh (2025).

Kenny Johnson

83%match

Pittsburgh · 2025

#2

Hudson Clement

Illinois · 2025

80%
#3

Jaron Tibbs

Kansas State · 2025

78%
#4

Quincy Skinner Jr.

Vanderbilt · 2024

74%
#5

Rodney Harris II

Ohio · 2025

73%

Matches Kenny on

Yards / reception
Total EPA (college ability)
TD rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Joey McGuire

Pass share

47.6%

484 pass / 532 run

Plays / game

72.6

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.5%

336 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Joey McGuire
Texas Tech
2025
Joey McGuire
Texas Tech

Played his entire career under Joey McGuire.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownStephenville, TX
Height6'2"
Weight210 lb
Class3
PositionWR
Jersey3

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Texas Tech WR3 #2855 #2754 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 Texas Tech WR3 #926 #1007 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big 12
2022 Texas Tech WR3 #3372 #3176 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Texas Tech Big 12 WR 3 No. 3 | 6-2 | 210 lb | Stephenville, TX
2024 Texas Tech Big 12 WR 3 No. 3 | 6-2 | 210 lb | Stephenville, TX
2023 Texas Tech Big 12 WR 3 No. 3 | 6-2 | 210 lb | Stephenville, TX
2022 Texas Tech Big 12 WR 3 No. 3 | 6-2 | 210 lb | Stephenville, TX