cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Malik Sherrod /Boise State

Malik Sherrod

RB · Boise State · Sr · #23

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

418 RUSH YDS · 4 RUSH TD · 85 CARRIES

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Boise State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Boise State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Running back · Boise State

Returning around him

  • 58% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 1 Boise State player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -8 net (11 in / 19 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Boise State · Last season: 9-5 (AP #25) · Talent rank #81 · 2026 recruiting class #62

RB · BOISE STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST

Malik Sherrod

  • 4
  • #23
  • 5-8 | 177 lb
  • Oxnard, CA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

53

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 49th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#3117

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2021–2025
41.02021
4332022
9672023
4182025

+920%

Up 920% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#2145 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class4
Jersey23
Measurements5-8 | 177 lb
HometownOxnard, CA
Primary teamBoise State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 2145 recruit
Composite rating 0.8204 HighSchool
Signed with Fresno State 2020
Origin Pacifica Oxnard, CA, USA
Class Profile Context
2020 3-star | 0.8204 No. 2145 recruit | HighSchool | Fresno State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#3117Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3137Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Fresno State

Composite

0.8204

#2145 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Malik Sherrod

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 1 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 1 mentions · belief +0 · "The 26 most important players to Boise State football in 2026: No. 12, Sherrod S"Own fans
  • Own fans · n=1

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Malik Sherrod

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Receiving TDs

2

count

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #302 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 43rd

Why it matters

#302 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving TDs — 2 TDs on 28 receptions.

Vs cohort

This player 2 (43th)

MODERATE · n=28 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving yards (total)#447 / 531
  • Yards per reception#472 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 8 vs UNLV — 1 receiving_tds

Result W 56-31

The week the volume broke through — stacked 1 td vs UNLV.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

final
Through 14g
418Rush yards
85Carries
4Rush TDs
Per game
29.9Rush yards
6Carries
0Rush TDs
Final
418Rush yards
85Carries
4Rush TDs

Why this is more than a rushing profile

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Malik Sherrod is not a one-lane back. The profile is interesting because the workload spills beyond pure rushing volume: 418 rushing yards, 28 catches, and 567 return yards for Boise State. That kind of all-purpose footprint gives the card a much richer story than a basic carry total.

Current place #3117 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 11.1% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 668 418 rush | 250 rec | #200/735 (73rd pct)
Rush TD 4 85 carries | #154/739 (79th pct)
Yards/carry 4.9 Per-rush efficiency | #305/735 (59th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.

Passing-game back

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
85 74th
YDS
418 73rd
YPC
4.9 59th
TD
4 79th

Receiving

REC
28 93rd
YDS
250 95th
YPR
8.9 69th
TD
2 97th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 14 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 7-34@ South Florida11272.509
Wk 2W 51-14vs Eastern Washington7426.0120
Wk 4W 49-37@ Air Force78011.4140Season-high 80 yds
Wk 5W 47-14vs App State9495.4022
Wk 6L 7-28@ Notre Dame362.004
Wk 7W 41-25vs New Mexico7162.305
Wk 8W 56-31vs UNLV331.003
Wk 9W 24-3@ Nevada7273.909
Wk 10L 7-30vs Fresno State10676.7044
Wk 12L 7-17@ San Diego State461.505
Wk 13W 49-21vs Colorado State7568.0224
Wk 14W 25-24@ Utah State4164.0012
Wk 15W 38-21vs UNLV2115.509
BowlL 10-38@ Washington4123.006
Total854184.5444
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Fresno State9-3HC: Lee Marks · Balanced, fast tempo
2022Fresno State10-4HC: Jeff Tedford · Balanced
2023Fresno State9-4HC: Jeff Tedford · Pass-leaning
2025Boise State9-5HC: Spencer Danielson · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Boise State854184.94--
2023Fresno State1729675.69--
2022Fresno State814335.32--
2021Fresno State11413.70--
Career4 loaded seasons3491,8595.315--
SeasonTeam
2025Boise State282508.92--
2023Fresno State432626.11--
2022Fresno State7517.30--
2021Fresno State----------
Career4 loaded seasons785637.23--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 28 250 rec yds | #39/552 (93rd pct)
Usage 11.1% 15.5% rush share | #281/738 (62nd pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.07 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #263/362 (28th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 418 #200/735 73rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 4 #154/739 79th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 4.9 #305/735 59th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 28 #39/552 93rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 250 #30/548 95th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.07 #263/362 28th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 77 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 11.1% #281/738 62nd pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 85 #195/739 74th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 44 #207/733 72nd pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 39 #74/540 86th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 8.9 #173/548 69th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 2 #20/552 97th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Returns Kick return yards 492 #4/200 98th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Returns Punt return yards 75 #9/27 70th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Returns Kick returns 24 #1/206 100th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Returns Kick return avg 20.5 #72/199 64th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Returns Punt returns 13 #5/29 86th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Returns Punt return avg 5.8 #20/27 30th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 15.5% #338/738 54th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 11.8% #272/738 63rd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 11.5% #157/738 79th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 11.2% #313/738 58th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 11.1% #324/738 56th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 11.0% #165/738 78th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 6.7% #94/738 87th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 2 #205/256 20th pct Turnoversvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 14 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home7g34.95.00.4
Road7g24.94.00.1

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins9g33.35.30.4
Losses5g23.63.10.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-77g33.14.70.3
Weeks 8+7g26.64.40.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

53Mid-pack
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rec yards (91st). Strength: receptions (87th). Concern: fumbles lost (13th).

Rec yards#29 / 338 · 92nd pct
250rece
Receptions#39 / 338 · 88th pct
28rece
Rush TDs#153 / 349 · 50th pct
4rush
Yards / carry#171 / 349 · 49th pct
4.9rush
Long run#181 / 349 · 48th pct
44rush
Carries#195 / 349 · 44th pct
85rush
Rush yards#200 / 349 · 43rd pct
418rush
Fumbles lost#154 / 201 · 14th pct
2fumb

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.07Below (<p25) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Malik SherrodBoise StateRashod DubinionApp State· 78% simAl-Jay HendersonBuffalo· 75% simAdam RandallClemson· 75% sim
Rec yards
92
Sherrod
77
Dubinion
79
Henderson
92
Randall
Receptions
88
Sherrod
86
Dubinion
85
Henderson
95
Randall
Rush TDs
50
Sherrod
50
Dubinion
72
Henderson
89
Randall
Yards / carry
49
Sherrod
53
Dubinion
18
Henderson
45
Randall
Long run
48
Sherrod
39
Dubinion
43
Henderson
51
Randall
Carries
44
Sherrod
87
Dubinion
90
Henderson
86
Randall
Rush yards
43
Sherrod
84
Dubinion
79
Henderson
82
Randall
Fumbles lost
14
Sherrod
14
Dubinion
14
Henderson
2
Randall

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Satellite Back

Deployed as a receiver as much as a runner. Value is in space, not between the tackles.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Kevin Davis’s 2022 season.

Kevin Davis

74%match

Miami (OH) · 2022

#2

Shedro Louis

Liberty · 2021

70%
#3

Maquel Haywood

App State · 2023

64%
#4

Desmond Reid

Pittsburgh · 2025

All-ACC
68%
#5

Desmond Reid

Pittsburgh · 2024

All-ACC
67%

Matches Kevin on

Yards / carry
Weight
Rush TD rate

Differs from Kevin on

Height (lower)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Spencer Danielson

Pass share

46.6%

472 pass / 540 run

Plays / game

72.3

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.4%

358 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

2 coaches
2021
Andy Avalos
Boise State
2022
Andy Avalos
Boise State
2023
Spencer Danielson
Boise State
era →
2025
Spencer Danielson
Boise State

Coaching transition mid-career: Andy Avalos → Spencer Danielson. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownOxnard, CA
Height5'8"
Weight177 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey23

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Fresno State RB4 #3117 #3137 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mountain West
2023 Fresno State RB4 #263 #356 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mountain West
2022 Fresno State RB4 #444 #408 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mountain West
2021 Fresno State RB4 #2331 #2234 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mountain West

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Boise State Mountain West RB 4 No. 23 | 5-8 | 177 lb | Oxnard, CA
2024 Fresno State Mountain West RB 4 No. 23 | 5-8 | 177 lb | Oxnard, CA
2023 Fresno State Mountain West RB 4 No. 23 | 5-8 | 177 lb | Oxnard, CA
2022 Fresno State Mountain West RB 4 No. 23 | 5-8 | 177 lb | Oxnard, CA
2021 Fresno State Mountain West RB 4 No. 23 | 5-8 | 177 lb | Oxnard, CA