cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Marquis Crosby /Oregon State

Marquis Crosby

RB · Oregon State · Sr · #22

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

4 RUSH YDS · 0 RUSH TD · 3 CARRIES

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Oregon State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Oregon State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Running back · Oregon State

Returning around him

  • 52% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • Transfer portal: -15 net (20 in / 35 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Oregon State · Last season: 2-10 · Talent rank #60 · 2026 recruiting class #64

RB · OREGON STATE · PAC-12

Marquis Crosby

  • 4
  • #22
  • 5-9 | 199 lb
  • Hattiesburg, MS

CFB Zeitgeist Score

2

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 6th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#3809

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2022–2025
9172022
20.02023
4.02025

-100%

Sharp dropoff (-100%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#2215 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class4
Jersey22
Measurements5-9 | 199 lb
HometownHattiesburg, MS
Primary teamOregon State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 2215 recruit
Composite rating 0.8115 HighSchool
Signed with Louisiana Tech 2021
Origin Seminary Seminary, MS, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8115 No. 2215 recruit | HighSchool | Louisiana Tech

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Oregon State 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate May 5, 2025
Season Move Context
2025 Louisiana Tech -> Oregon State 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#3809Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#4052Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Louisiana Tech

Composite

0.8115

#2215 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Marquis Crosby

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Marquis Crosby

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 3g
4Rush yards
3Carries
0Rush TDs
Per game
1.3Rush yards
1Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
17.3Rush yards
13Carries
0Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 4): needs 74.6/game over remaining 10.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 4): needs 99.6/game over remaining 10.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 4): needs 149.6/game over remaining 10.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 1/game over remaining 10.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 1.5/game over remaining 10.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 2/game over remaining 10.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Marquis Crosby's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Oregon State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #3809 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 3.4% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 15 4 rush | 11 rec | #693/735 (6th pct)
Rush TD 0 3 carries | #447/739 (40th pct)
Yards/carry 1.3 Per-rush efficiency | #711/735 (3rd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
3 14th
YDS
4 6th
YPC
1.3 3rd
TD
0 40th

Receiving

REC
2 25th
YDS
11 19th
YPR
5.5 33rd
TD
1 89th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 3 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 5L 24-27vs Houston133.003Season-high 3 yds
Wk 7L 14-39vs Wake Forest210.501
Wk 14L 8-32@ Washington State
Total341.803
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Louisiana Tech3-9HC: Sonny Cumbie · Balanced
2023Louisiana Tech3-9HC: Sonny Cumbie · Balanced
2025Oregon State2-10HC: Trent Bray · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Oregon State341.30--
2023Louisiana Tech12020.00--
2022Louisiana Tech1839175.09--
Career3 loaded seasons1879415.09--
SeasonTeam
2025Oregon State2115.51--
2023Louisiana Tech----------
2022Louisiana Tech9657.20--
Career3 loaded seasons11766.91--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 2 11 rec yds | #414/552 (25th pct)
Usage 3.4% 2.5% rush share | #620/738 (16th pct)
Rushing WEPA -- Adjusted value feed still loading
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 4 #693/735 6th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 0 #447/739 40th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 1.3 #711/735 3rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 2 #414/552 25th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 11 #447/548 19th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Usage Role share 3.4% #620/738 16th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 3 #640/739 14th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 3 #695/733 5th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 6 #471/540 13th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 5.5 #370/548 33rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #60/552 89th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Returns Kick return avg 24.0 #34/199 83rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Returns Kick return yards 24 #137/200 32nd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Returns Kick returns 1 #139/206 33rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 8.0% #425/738 43rd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 7.0% #345/738 53rd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 4.3% #208/738 72nd pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 2.5% #705/738 5th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 1.9% #694/738 6th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 1.6% #692/738 6th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 0.0% #622/738 16th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 3 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home2g2.01.80.0
Road1g

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Losses3g1.31.80.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-72g2.01.80.0
Weeks 8+1g

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

2Below cohort
7 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: carries (0th).

Rec yards#317 / 338 · 6th pct
11rece
Receptions#318 / 338 · 5th pct
2rece
Rush TDs#326 / 349 · 3rd pct
0rush
Rush yards#350 / 349 · 0th pct
4rush
Yards / carry#350 / 349 · 0th pct
1.3rush
Long run#350 / 349 · 0th pct
3rush
Carries#350 / 349 · 0th pct
3rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Marquis CrosbyOregon StateJordan BrunsonMiami (OH)· 43% simChavon WrightNorthern Illinois· 43% simTae MeadowsTroy· 42% sim
Rec yards
6
Crosby
3
Brunson
10
Wright
38
Meadows
Receptions
5
Crosby
2
Brunson
32
Wright
45
Meadows
Rush TDs
3
Crosby
50
Brunson
62
Wright
72
Meadows
Rush yards
0
Crosby
80
Brunson
84
Wright
74
Meadows
Yards / carry
0
Crosby
41
Brunson
33
Wright
29
Meadows
Long run
0
Crosby
73
Brunson
49
Wright
53
Meadows
Carries
0
Crosby
85
Brunson
92
Wright
84
Meadows

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Trent Bray

Pass share

51.7%

431 pass / 403 run

Plays / game

69.5

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.0%

369 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Jonathan Smith
Oregon State
2023
Jonathan Smith
Oregon State
2025
Trent Bray
Oregon State
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Jonathan Smith → Trent Bray. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownHattiesburg, MS
Height5'9"
Weight199 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey22

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Louisiana Tech RB4 #3809 #4052 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Conference USA
2023 Louisiana Tech RB4 #3444 #3936 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Conference USA
2022 Louisiana Tech RB4 #898 #1438 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Conference USA
2021 Louisiana Tech RB4 #3991 #4040 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Conference USA

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Oregon State Pac-12 RB 4 No. 22 | 5-9 | 199 lb | Hattiesburg, MS
2024 Louisiana Tech Conference USA RB 4 No. 22 | 5-9 | 199 lb | Hattiesburg, MS
2023 Louisiana Tech Conference USA RB 4 No. 22 | 5-9 | 199 lb | Hattiesburg, MS
2022 Louisiana Tech Conference USA RB 4 No. 22 | 5-9 | 199 lb | Hattiesburg, MS
2021 Louisiana Tech Conference USA RB 4 No. 22 | 5-9 | 199 lb | Hattiesburg, MS