Matt McDonald

Senior quarterback for Bowling Green. 2022: 2,669 passing yards, 22 TD, 9 INT.

QB · Bowling Green · Sr. · #3

6′3″ · 210 lb · Newport Beach, CA

CFB Index 42 · #81 of 140 QBsHigh confidenceBowling Green 2022 alumnus

Recruiting

3★

PRO recruit

No. 1579 nationally · Signed with Boston College

No college snaps yet.

His career numbers, season by season

The story

4 quarterback for Bowling Green. 2022: 2,669 passing yards, 22 TD, 9 INT.

Signed as a 3-star recruit to Boston College in 2017.

His career, year by year

How it ended

Four seasons at Bowling Green, 6,047 passing yards — his college career is complete.

His career

Nobody recruited him. He earned the honors anyway.

2017

Signed with Boston College3-star out of Mission Viejo

Career arc

Recruit

★★★

#1579 national

CFB

College

2 teams

2018–2022

NFL

NFL Draft

—

Not drafted

Coaching lineage · 2018–2022

2 coaches

2018

Carl Pelini

Bowling Green

2020–2022

Scot Loeffler

Bowling Green

era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Carl Pelini → Scot Loeffler. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

2022 snapshot

Season context · Team result + system

2018Boston College7-5HC: Steve Addazio · Run-heavy

2020Bowling Green0-5HC: Scot Loeffler · Run-heavy

2021Bowling Green4-8HC: Scot Loeffler · Balanced

2022Bowling Green6-7HC: Scot Loeffler · Balanced

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles

42Rotational starter #81 of 140?

High confidence13 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: sack rate (19th percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

EPA / dropback#77 / 169 · 55th pct

0.25

Explosive rate#86 / 169 · 49th pct

9.8%

Success rate#109 / 169 · 36th pct

43.6%

Interception rate#114 / 169 · 33rd pct

2.7%

Sack rate#137 / 169 · 19th pct

8.3%

Box-score rates (8)

Pass TDs#37 / 177 · 78th pct

Pass yards#57 / 177 · 68th pct

2669

Completion %#88 / 177 · 50th pct

61.1%

Yards / att#102 / 177 · 42nd pct

7.0

Fumbles lost#83 / 169 · 38th pct

Rush TDs#111 / 177 · 29th pct

Rush yards#137 / 177 · 23rd pct

-9

Interceptions#132 / 177 · 23rd pct

Season trend

Last seasonThis season

EPA / dropback

20th → 55th percentile

Success rate

30th → 36th percentile

Explosive rate

10th → 49th percentile

Sack rate

10th → 19th percentile

Interception rate

88th → 33rd percentile

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Passing profile

Pass Profile · Completions by yards gained (PBP)

Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from

209/342 (61.1%) · 22 TD · 9 INT

342 of 380 attempts matched to play-by-play

Adjusted ANY/A

6.18112 of 206 QBs

Sack rate

7.1%143 of 206 QBs

Sacked on 7.1% of dropbacks (143 of 206) and Adjusted ANY/A trails the field (112 of 206).

Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.

Short

0–9 yds

58%of completions

122 comp4.7 yds avg3 TD

Middle

10–19 yds

24%of completions

51 comp13.8 yds avg1 TD

Deep

20+ yds

17%of completions

36 comp30.9 yds avg9 TD

Overall 61.1% completion on 342 attempts · 36 deep completions averaging 30.9 yds.

Splits & context

Splits · Per-game

2022 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Home7g	205	1.6	6.3	0.6
Road5g	247	2.2	8.5	1.0

First half vs Second half

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Weeks 1-77g	200	2.0	6.4	0.6
Weeks 8+5g	254	1.6	8.4	1.0

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2026 season

Head Coach

Eddie George

Scheme reads (pass share, tempo, sack rate) need at least 3 team games — 2 games in so far.

Awards

Player standing · 2022

Impact starter

Producing measurably more than a replacement-level starter.

Recognition

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Production · CFB Index Score

42 · #81 of 140 QBs

Three-star recruit. Now #81 at the position.

Career stats

Season	Team
2022	Bowling Green	232	380	61.1%	2,669	7.0	22	9	134.4	32	--	--
2021	Bowling Green	236	393	60.1%	2,555	6.5	12	7	121.2	14	--	--
2020	Bowling Green	54	123	43.9%	712	5.8	1	6	85.5	30	--	--
2018	Boston College	6	7	85.7%	111	15.9	2	0	313.2	--	--	--
Career		528	903	58.5%	6,047	6.7	37	22	123.4	24	--	--

Season	Team
2022	Bowling Green	71	-9	-0.1	1	--
2021	Bowling Green	80	13	0.2	4	--
2020	Bowling Green	27	39	1.4	1	--
2018	Boston College	1	3	3.0	0	--
Career		179	46	0.3	6	--

Signature game

SIGNATURE GAME · Week 3 · 2022

W 34–31

vs Marshall

282 yds · 4 TD · 0 INT · QBR 80.7 · 24 rush yds (8 car)

Edged out Marshall at home in a shootout.

With S. Sir — 41 AVG · 46 LONG · 9 NO · C. Lewis — 15 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT · QBR 98.2

Signature plays

Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|

The plays that mattered most

fact

Week 12 · Toledo · 3&3 · Q4 · EPA +5.87Matt McDonald pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 59 yds for a TD, (Mason Lawler KICK)
Week 12 · Toledo · 3&10 · Q4 · EPA +5.26Matt McDonald pass complete to Ta'ron Keith for 42 yds for a TD, (Matt McDonald pass to Ta'ron Keith for Two-Point Conversion)
Week 8 · Central Michigan · 4&5 · Q4 · EPA +4.62Matt McDonald pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 31 yds for a TD CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference ( Yards) declined, (Mason Lawler KICK)
Week 5 · Akron · 1&20 · Q4 · EPA +4.44Matt McDonald pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 59 yds to the Akron 27 for a 1ST down
Week 3 · Marshall · 4&2 · Q2 · EPA +4.15M.McDonald pass complete to MSH 30. Catch made by C.Croom at MSH 30. Gain of 30 yards. C.Croom for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Week 13 · Ohio · 3&1 · Q1 · EPA +4.14Tyrone Broden 44 Yd pass from Matt McDonald (Mason Lawler Kick)
Week 3 · Marshall · 4&4 · Q2 · EPA +3.98M.McDonald pass complete to MSH 25. Catch made by O.Hilaire at MSH 25. Gain of 25 yards. O.Hilaire for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Week 12 · Toledo · 3&15 · Q4 · EPA +3.97Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 35 yds to the Toled 42 for a 1ST down
Week 12 · Toledo · 2&7 · Q3 · EPA +3.81Matt McDonald pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 48 yds to the Toled 28 for a 1ST down
Week 2 · Eastern Kentucky · 3&14 · Q4 · EPA +3.77Tyrone Broden 20 Yd pass from Matt McDonald (Mason Lawler Kick)

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2022 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD

Wk	Opp	CMP/ATT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA	QBR	Note
Wk 1	L 17-45@ UCLA	17/34	125	1	0	3.7	22.3
Wk 2	L 57-59vs Eastern Kentucky	23/40	283	5	0	7.1	72.8	5 TD passes
Wk 3	W 34-31vs Marshall	27/45	282	4	0	6.3	80.7	4 TD passes
Wk 5	W 31-28@ Akron	18/29	247	3	1	8.5	55.6	3 TD passes
Wk 6	L 7-38vs Buffalo	21/42	281	1	1	6.7	12.6
Wk 7	W 17-13vs Miami (OH)	16/29	149	0	1	5.1	33.0
Wk 8	W 34-18@ Central Michigan	18/21	253	2	0	12.0	43.8	Clean 2-TD game
Wk 10	W 13-9vs Western Michigan	23/31	161	0	0	5.2	26.0
Wk 11	L 6-40vs Kent State	31/40	246	1	1	6.2	16.9
Wk 12	W 42-35@ Toledo	20/36	395	4	1	11.0	74.8	Season-high 395 yds
Wk 13	L 14-38@ Ohio	16/29	217	1	3	7.5	12.3	3 INTs — rough day
Bowl	L 19-24vs New Mexico State	2/4	30	0	1	7.5	—
Total		232/380	2669	22	9	7.2	41.0

How he plays

Play style

Balanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile.

CFB Index positional classification

Checkdown vs gunslinger · 3rd-and-long

Where the completions actually land

fact

62.3%Completion %

24.1%Conversion/dropback

57.6%Land short of sticks

0INTs

62.3% completion on 3rd-and-8+, but only 24.1% conversion-per-dropback — 57.6% of completions land short of the sticks.

Where completions land is fact — whether incompletions were aimed deep is intent, not recorded here, so this card counts completions only. ~ our read: checkdown by design