CFB Zeitgeist Score
63
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by yards / att at the 75th percentile.
Tucker Gleason
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
2,515 PASS YDS · 21 PASS TD · 144 RUSH YDS
2026 Outlook
Returning to Toledo for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Quarterback · Toledo
Returning around him
- 68% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- 2 Toledo players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -5 net (33 in / 38 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Toledo · Last season: 8-5 · Talent rank #75 · 2026 recruiting class #73
QB · TOLEDO · MID-AMERICAN
Tucker Gleason
- 4
- #4
- 6-3 | 245 lb
- Tampa, FL
Heisman Heat
#19
0.9% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
0.9%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 3 · RecognizedR11 · National watch / fringe AA
National watch / fringe All-America. Knocking on the All-America door.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
5 seasons on the ladder
2021
Toledo · QB
—
2022
Toledo · QB
—
2023
Toledo · QB
—
2024
Toledo · QB
R08 · Watch-list name
Recognized
★
2025
Toledo · QB
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2021–2025+3545%
Up 3545% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Toledo
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 3-star | 0.8563 | No. 1028 recruit | HighSchool |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Georgia Tech -> Toledo | 3-star | 0.8000 | TBD |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Volume King 1.3% Volume King 2,500+ passing yards, 1,200+ rushing yards, or 900+ receiving yards in a single season (position-appropriate threshold). Held by 1.3% of the 2025 pool. 2515 passing yards — clears the 2,500-QB volume bar.
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in passing yards (2515).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to —
Composite
0.8563
#1028 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Tucker Gleason
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
—
Awaiting per-cohort signal
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- National · n=2
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Tucker Gleason
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
Through 12g
2,515Pass yards
21Pass TDs
9INT
Per game
209.6Pass yards
2Pass TDs
1INT
Projected (13g)
2,725Pass yards
23Pass TDs
10INT
To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 2,515): needs 485/game over remaining 1.
To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 2,515): needs 1,485/game over remaining 1.
To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 21): needs 4/game over remaining 1.
To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 21): needs 9/game over remaining 1.
To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 21): needs 14/game over remaining 1.
Why the transfer arc matters
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Tucker Gleason's path is unusually interesting because the candidacy survived movement. The page has 1 portal move on file, and national relevance after a change in program usually signals that role, fit, and surrounding ecosystem all amplified the player instead of merely carrying him.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
High-volume passer | Efficient against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
207 85th
ATT
320 83rd
CMP%
64.7% 65th
Y/A
7.9 74th
Passing Production
YDS
2,515 85th
TD
21 91st
INT
9 12th
Rushing
CAR
46 67th
YDS
144 74th
YPC
3.1 56th
TD
4 82nd
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 16-24@ Kentucky | 23/40 | 270 | 1 | 1 | 6.8 | 36.0 | |
| Wk 2 | W 45-21vs Western Kentucky | 7/12 | 155 | 2 | 0 | 12.9 | 92.0 | |
| Wk 3 | W 60-0vs Morgan State | 13/17 | 174 | 1 | 0 | 10.2 | 75.3 | |
| Wk 4 | L 13-14@ Western Michigan | 15/30 | 89 | 0 | 2 | 3.0 | 11.7 | |
| Wk 5 | W 45-3vs Akron | 16/19 | 237 | 3 | 0 | 12.5 | 90.8 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 7 | L 23-28@ Bowling Green | 19/30 | 264 | 1 | 1 | 8.8 | 39.5 | |
| Wk 8 | W 45-10vs Kent State | 21/28 | 294 | 4 | 0 | 10.5 | 79.8 | 4 TD passes |
| Wk 9 | L 7-28@ Washington State | 26/41 | 238 | 1 | 1 | 5.8 | 33.0 | |
| Wk 11 | W 42-3vs Northern Illinois | 25/31 | 309 | 2 | 0 | 10.0 | 92.6 | Season-high 309 yds |
| Wk 12 | W 24-3@ Miami (OH) | 18/31 | 169 | 2 | 2 | 5.5 | 60.6 | |
| Wk 13 | W 38-9vs Ball State | 15/24 | 218 | 4 | 2 | 9.1 | 46.9 | 4 TD passes |
| Wk 14 | W 21-3@ Central Michigan | 9/17 | 98 | 0 | 0 | 5.8 | 48.1 | |
| Total | 207/320 | 2515 | 21 | 9 | 8.4 | 58.9 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021Toledo7-5HC: Jason Candle · Run-leaning
2022Toledo9-5HC: Jason Candle · Run-leaning
2023Toledo11-3HC: Jason Candle · Run-leaning
2024Toledo8-5HC: Jason Candle · Balanced
2025Toledo8-5HC: Jason Candle · Run-leaning
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 2,515 | #60/382 | 85th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 21 | #39/407 | 91st pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 207 | #60/383 | 85th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 64.7% | #134/383 | 65th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 7.9 | #99/382 | 74th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 144 | #109/408 | 74th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.36 | #37/200 | 82nd pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 311 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 41.3% | #140/428 | 68th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 320 | #71/407 | 83rd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 9 | #359/407 | 12th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 46 | #134/408 | 67th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 35 | #90/391 | 77th pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 4 | #74/408 | 82nd pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 3.1 | #180/407 | 56th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 82.8% | #107/428 | 75th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 57.6% | #114/428 | 74th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 55.2% | #130/428 | 70th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 38.8% | #147/428 | 66th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 35.6% | #131/428 | 70th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 35.3% | #135/428 | 69th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 7.3% | #220/428 | 49th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.29 | #43/140 | 70th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 39 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #69/258 | 74th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
ALL-CONF HM
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16
Why he’s here
All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.
What moves him up
A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.
What moves him down
A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 231 | 2.7 | 10.9 | 0.3 |
| Road6g | 188 | 0.8 | 6.0 | 1.2 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins8g | 207 | 2.2 | 9.6 | 0.5 |
| Losses4g | 215 | 0.8 | 6.1 | 1.2 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 198 | 1.3 | 9.0 | 0.7 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 221 | 2.2 | 7.8 | 0.8 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
63Solid starter
Concern: interceptions (21st).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Pass Profile · Completion depth (PBP)
Where the throws are landing
Short
0–9 yds37%of completions
39 comp5.1 yds avg
Middle
10–19 yds42%of completions
45 comp13.4 yds avg5 TD
Deep
20+ yds21%of completions
22 comp30.9 yds avg7 TD
Overall 63.1% completion on 168 attempts · 22 deep completions averaging 30.9 yds.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Percentile Card
Reads as a mid-tier profile across the board..
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_passing0.36Mid (p50–p75) (n=94)
wepa_rushing0.29Mid (p50–p75) (n=72)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Tucker GleasonToledoJC FrenchGeorgia Southern· 89% simBraylon BraxtonSouthern Miss· 86% simRocco BechtIowa State· 85% sim
Pass TDs
Yards / att
Pass yards
Completion %
Fumbles lost
Rush TDs
Rush yards
Interceptions
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Pocket Passer
Balanced passer who operates within the system. Profile sits near league average across dimensions.
QB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Chase Brice’s 2022 season.
Chase Brice
72%match
All-Sun Belt
#2
Chase Brice
All-Sun Belt
71%
#3
Will Howard
All-Big 12NFL Rd 6
69%
#4
Will Levis
NFL Rd 2 · Pk 2
67%
#5
Braylon Braxton
All-Sun Belt
65%
Matches Chase on
Rush usage
Rush yards / carry
Differs from Chase on
INT rate (higher)
Weight (higher)
EPA / dropback (adj) (higher)
Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Ben Wooldridge’s path through Louisiana.
Ben Wooldridge
93%match
All-Sun Belt
#2
Gerry Bohannon
90%
#3
Jake Constantine
87%
#4
Preston Hutchinson
87%
#5
Braylon Braxton
All-Sun Belt
86%
Matches Ben on
Height
Completion %
Yards per attempt
As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Braylon Braxton's graduate season at Southern Miss (2025).
Braylon Braxton
60%match
All-Sun Belt
#2
Carson Beck
All-ACCNFL Rd 3 · Pk 1
35%
#3
Behren Morton
NFL Rd 7
34%
#4
Tyler Shough
NFL Rd 2 · Pk 8
31%
#5
Taylen Green
NFL Rd 6
31%
Matches Braylon on
Height
Differs from Braylon on
Weight (higher)
EPA / dropback (adj) (higher)
Rush usage (lower)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Jason Candle
Pass share
45.9%
397 pass / 467 run
Plays / game
66.5
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
4.5%
290 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025
1 coach2021
Jason Candle
Toledo
2022
Jason Candle
Toledo
2023
Jason Candle
Toledo
2024
Jason Candle
Toledo
2025
Jason Candle
Toledo
Played his entire career under Jason Candle.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownTampa, FL
Height6'3"
Weight245 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey4
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamToledo
ConferenceMid-American
Joined2025
Career arc5 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2025)
All-MAC
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
1 all-conference honor
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | All-MAC | all_conference | Toledo | MAC | QB |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Toledo | QB4 | #19 | #25 | 0.9% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Mid-American |
| 2023 | Toledo | QB4 | #318 | #274 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Mid-American |
| 2022 | Toledo | QB4 | #364 | #423 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Mid-American |
| 2021 | Toledo | QB4 | #1241 | #1199 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Mid-American |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Toledo | Mid-American | QB | 4 | No. 4 | 6-3 | 245 lb | Tampa, FL |
| 2024 | Toledo | Mid-American | QB | 4 | No. 4 | 6-3 | 245 lb | Tampa, FL |
| 2023 | Toledo | Mid-American | QB | 4 | No. 4 | 6-3 | 245 lb | Tampa, FL |
| 2022 | Toledo | Mid-American | QB | 4 | No. 4 | 6-3 | 245 lb | Tampa, FL |
| 2021 | Toledo | Mid-American | QB | 4 | No. 4 | 6-3 | 245 lb | Tampa, FL |