CFB Zeitgeist Score
56
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 82nd percentile.
Broc Lowry
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
1,803 PASS YDS · 9 PASS TD · 963 RUSH YDS
2026 Outlook
Returning to Western Michigan for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Quarterback · Western Michigan
Returning around him
- 100% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
- Transfer portal: +1 net (14 in / 13 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Western Michigan · Last season: 10-4 · Talent rank #105 · 2026 recruiting class #104
QB · WESTERN MICHIGAN · MID-AMERICAN
Broc Lowry
- 2
- #12
- 6-1 | 210 lb
- Canfield, OH
Heisman Heat
#2162
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
2 seasons on the ladder
2023
Indiana · QB
—
★
2025
Western Michigan · QB
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2023–2025+22438%
Up 22438% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3-star | 0.8600 | No. 1111 recruit | HighSchool |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Indiana -> Western Michigan | 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in rushing yards (963).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to —
Composite
0.8600
#1111 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Broc Lowry
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=3
- National · n=2
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Broc Lowry
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
Through 14g
1,803Pass yards
9Pass TDs
3INT
Per game
128.8Pass yards
1Pass TDs
0INT
Final
1,803Pass yards
9Pass TDs
3INT
Why this is a two-channel quarterback case
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The unusual part of Broc Lowry's case is that the production comes in two channels, not one. For Western Michigan, he has 1,803 passing yards and 9 touchdown passes, but he also adds 963 rushing yards and 14 rushing scores. That kind of dual-threat load tends to create a more resilient Heisman case because the offense can tilt the game in multiple ways.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Steady volume | Dual-threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
166 75th
ATT
262 76th
CMP%
63.4% 60th
Y/A
6.9 52nd
Passing Production
YDS
1,803 74th
TD
9 71st
INT
3 43rd
Rushing
CAR
203 99th
YDS
963 99th
YPC
4.7 74th
TD
14 98th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 14 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 6-23@ Michigan State | 5/10 | 91 | 0 | 0 | 9.1 | 45.3 | |
| Wk 2 | L 30-33vs North Texas | 5/10 | 75 | 1 | 0 | 7.5 | 88.6 | |
| Wk 3 | L 0-38@ Illinois | 10/16 | 78 | 0 | 0 | 4.9 | 78.7 | |
| Wk 4 | W 14-13vs Toledo | 16/33 | 201 | 0 | 1 | 6.1 | 47.4 | |
| Wk 5 | W 47-14vs Rhode Island | 15/20 | 143 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 | 58.9 | |
| Wk 6 | W 21-3@ Massachusetts | 18/25 | 163 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 | 58.8 | |
| Wk 7 | W 42-0vs Ball State | 23/27 | 241 | 2 | 0 | 8.9 | 71.0 | Season-high 241 yds |
| Wk 9 | L 17-26@ Miami (OH) | 16/28 | 172 | 1 | 0 | 6.1 | 57.5 | |
| Wk 10 | W 24-21vs Central Michigan | 17/24 | 150 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 | 22.3 | |
| Wk 12 | W 17-13vs Ohio | 9/14 | 126 | 0 | 0 | 9.0 | 41.8 | |
| Wk 13 | W 35-19@ Northern Illinois | 5/9 | 32 | 0 | 1 | 3.6 | 77.9 | |
| Wk 14 | W 31-21@ Eastern Michigan | 7/14 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 7.1 | -1.0 | |
| Wk 15 | W 23-13vs Miami (OH) | 8/13 | 111 | 0 | 0 | 8.5 | 39.2 | |
| Bowl | W 41-6vs Kennesaw State | 12/19 | 120 | 2 | 1 | 6.3 | 32.0 | |
| Total | 166/262 | 1803 | 9 | 3 | 6.9 | 51.3 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023Indiana3-9HC: Tom Allen · Run-leaning
2025Western Michigan10-4HC: Lance Taylor · Run-heavy
| Season | Team | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Western Michigan | 166 | 262 | 63.4% | 1,803 | 6.9 | 9 | 3 | 130.2 | -- | -- |
| 2023 | Indiana | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 8 | 8.0 | 0 | 0 | 167.2 | -- | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 167 | 263 | 63.5% | 1,811 | 6.9 | 9 | 3 | 130.4 | -- | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Western Michigan | 203 | 963 | 4.7 | 14 | -- |
| 2023 | Indiana | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 203 | 963 | 4.7 | 14 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 1,803 | #101/382 | 74th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 9 | #117/407 | 71st pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 166 | #97/383 | 75th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 63.4% | #155/383 | 60th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 6.9 | #186/382 | 52nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 963 | #6/408 | 99th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.18 | #155/200 | 23rd pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 253 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 45.1% | #116/428 | 73rd pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 262 | #98/407 | 76th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 3 | #234/407 | 43rd pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 203 | #4/408 | 99th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 37 | #80/391 | 80th pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 14 | #8/408 | 98th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 4.7 | #108/407 | 74th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 81.9% | #110/428 | 75th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 55.6% | #126/428 | 71st pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 52.5% | #136/428 | 68th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 44.3% | #75/428 | 83rd pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 40.6% | #105/428 | 76th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 39.6% | #143/428 | 67th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 27.4% | #23/428 | 95th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.28 | #51/140 | 64th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 170 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 3 | #213/258 | 18th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
ALL-CONF HM
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16
Why he’s here
All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.
What moves him up
A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.
What moves him down
A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 14 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home8g | 146 | 0.9 | 7.5 | 0.2 |
| Road6g | 106 | 0.3 | 6.2 | 0.2 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins10g | 139 | 0.7 | 7.0 | 0.3 |
| Losses4g | 104 | 0.5 | 6.9 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-78g | 139 | 0.9 | 7.1 | 0.2 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 115 | 0.3 | 6.8 | 0.2 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
56Solid starter
Elite: rush yards (96th). Strength: rush tds (95th). Concern: fumbles lost (18th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Pass Profile · Completion depth (PBP)
Where the throws are landing
Short
0–9 yds55%of completions
44 comp5.8 yds avg2 TD
Middle
10–19 yds30%of completions
24 comp13.6 yds avg2 TD
Deep
20+ yds15%of completions
12 comp31.7 yds avg
Overall 62.0% completion on 129 attempts · 12 deep completions averaging 31.7 yds.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Percentile Card
Concerns: EPA / dropback.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_passing0.18Below (<p25) (n=94)
wepa_rushing0.28Mid (p50–p75) (n=72)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Broc LowryWestern MichiganBryson BarnesUtah State· 76% simBear BachmeierBYU· 76% simBrendon LewisMemphis· 76% sim
Rush yards
Rush TDs
Interceptions
Completion %
Pass yards
Yards / att
Pass TDs
Fumbles lost
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Scrambler
Makes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise.
QB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Caden Creel’s 2025 season.
Caden Creel
70%match
#2
Michael Hawkins Jr.
67%
#3
Brennan Armstrong
66%
#4
Tai Lavatai
65%
#5
Sam Leavitt
All-Big 12
65%
Matches Caden on
Rush yards / carry
Height
Completion %
Differs from Caden on
Weight (higher)
INT rate (lower)
Through 1 college season, his career arc tracks closest to Owen McCown’s path through UTSA.
Owen McCown
91%match
#2
JC French
91%
#3
Taylor Powell
87%
#4
Maverick McIvor
87%
#5
Zevi Eckhaus
86%
Matches Owen on
Height
Completion %
Yards per attempt
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Sam Leavitt's junior season at Arizona State (2025).
Sam Leavitt
64%match
All-Big 12
#2
Jackson Arnold
63%
#3
Bishop Davenport
60%
#4
Giovanni Lopez
56%
#5
Conner Harrell
54%
Matches Sam on
Total pass EPA (college ability)
Weight
Completion %
Differs from Sam on
Rush usage (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Lance Taylor
Pass share
33.3%
304 pass / 609 run
Plays / game
65.2
14 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
9.3%
248 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
1 coach2023
Lance Taylor
Western Michigan
2025
Lance Taylor
Western Michigan
Played his entire career under Lance Taylor.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownCanfield, OH
Height6'1"
Weight210 lb
Class2
PositionQB
Jersey12
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamWestern Michigan
ConferenceMid-American
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2025)
All-MAC
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
1 all-conference honor
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | All-MAC | all_conference | Western Michigan | MAC | QB |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Western Michigan | QB2 | #2162 | #2523 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Mid-American |
| 2023 | Indiana | QB2 | #1125 | #1256 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Big Ten |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | QB | 2 | No. 12 | 6-1 | 210 lb | Canfield, OH |
| 2024 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | QB | 2 | No. 12 | 6-1 | 210 lb | Canfield, OH |
| 2023 | Indiana | Big Ten | QB | 2 | No. 12 | 6-1 | 210 lb | Canfield, OH |