cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Wesley Grimes /NC State

Wesley Grimes

WR · NC State · Sr · #6

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

458 REC YDS · 31 REC · 3 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to NC State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to NC State for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Wide receiver · NC State

Returning around him

  • 95% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • 2 NC State players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -2 net (20 in / 22 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

NC State · Last season: 8-5 · Talent rank #45 · 2026 recruiting class #34

WR · NC STATE · ACC

Wesley Grimes

  • 4
  • #6
  • 6-2 | 193 lb
  • Raleigh, NC

CFB Zeitgeist Score

55

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 74th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#3394

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2022–2025
33.02022
3392023
4582025

+1288%

Up 1288% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#326 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey6
Measurements6-2 | 193 lb
HometownRaleigh, NC
Primary teamNC State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 326 recruit
Composite rating 0.8996 HighSchool
Signed with Wake Forest 2022
Origin Millbrook Raleigh, NC, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 4-star | 0.8996 No. 326 recruit | HighSchool | Wake Forest

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination NC State 2024
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 4, 2023
Season Move Context
2024 Wake Forest -> NC State 3-star | 0.8800 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#3394Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3495Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Wake Forest

Composite

0.8996

#326 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Wesley Grimes

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Wesley Grimes

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

14.8

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #112 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 79th

Why it matters

#112 of 531 All FBS WRs at 14.8 yards per reception (31 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 14.8 (79th)

HIGH · n=31 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving yards (total)#249 / 531
  • Receiving TDs#222 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 1 vs East Carolina — 121 ypr

Result W 24-17

The week the volume broke through — put up 121 yds vs East Carolina.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
458Rec yards
31Receptions
3Rec TDs
Per game
41.6Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
541.3Rec yards
37Receptions
4Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 458): needs 121/game over remaining 2.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 458): needs 271/game over remaining 2.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 31): needs 14.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 31): needs 24.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 2.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 3.5/game over remaining 2.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Wesley Grimes's story is about how role and output meet each other. For NC State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #3394 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 5.6% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 326 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 31 3 rec TD | #268/1110 (76th pct)
Receiving yards 458 14.8 per catch | #250/1107 (78th pct)
Scrimmage yards 455 Total offensive yardage | #250/1107 (78th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
31 76th
YDS
458 78th
YPR
14.8 75th
TD
3 82nd

Rushing

CAR
1 35th
YDS
-3 12th
YPC
-3.0 8th
TD
0 81st

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 24-17vs East Carolina412130.3148Season-high 121 yds
Wk 2W 35-31vs Virginia23316.5021
Wk 3W 34-24@ Wake Forest3196.3014
Wk 5L 21-23vs Virginia Tech33612.0027
Wk 6W 56-10vs Campbell23417.0027
Wk 7L 7-36@ Notre Dame
Wk 9L 34-53@ Pittsburgh44511.3037
Wk 10W 48-36vs Georgia Tech44912.3024
Wk 13W 21-11vs Florida State11212.0012
Wk 14W 42-19vs North Carolina56112.2118
BowlW 31-7vs Memphis34816.0131
Total3145814.6348
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Wake Forest8-5HC: Dave Clawson · Balanced
2023Wake Forest4-8HC: Dave Clawson · Run-leaning
2025NC State8-5HC: Dave Doeren · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025NC State3145814.83--
2023Wake Forest2033916.94--
2022Wake Forest4338.21--
Career3 loaded seasons5583015.18--
SeasonTeam
2025NC State1-3------
2023Wake Forest----40----
2022Wake Forest----------
Career3 loaded seasons1-340----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 5.6% 11.5% pass-game share | #405/1137 (64th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 3 Across offense and returns | #206/1111 (82nd pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 31 #268/1110 76th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 458 #250/1107 78th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 3 #206/1111 82nd pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 14.8 #280/1106 75th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 11.5% #405/1137 64th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 1 #264/407 35th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards -3 #350/397 12th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry -3.0 #363/393 8th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 48 #298/1105 73rd pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 9.3% #284/1137 75th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 7.5% #270/1137 76th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 6.9% #464/1137 59th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 5.6% #410/1137 64th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 4.1% #547/1137 52nd pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 4.0% #522/1137 54th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/302 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home8g3.049.216.00.4
Road3g2.321.38.80.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins8g3.047.115.30.4
Losses3g2.327.011.70.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-77g2.441.616.30.3
Weeks 8+4g3.541.811.90.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

55Mid-pack
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: fumbles lost (80th). Concern: rush yards (10th).

Fumbles lost#1 / 218 · 81st pct
0fumb
Yards / catch#144 / 558 · 74th pct
14.8rece
Rec TDs#205 / 558 · 57th pct
3rece
Rec yards#250 / 558 · 55th pct
458rece
Long catch#260 / 558 · 52nd pct
48rece
Receptions#268 / 558 · 51st pct
31rece
Rush TDs#67 / 287 · 39th pct
0rush
Rush yards#256 / 287 · 10th pct
-3rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Wesley GrimesNC StateHarrison Wallace IIIOle Miss· 74% simNik McMillanBuffalo· 74% simChase HendricksOhio· 73% sim
Fumbles lost
81
Grimes
36
III
81
Hendricks
Yards / catch
74
Grimes
78
III
84
McMillan
72
Hendricks
Rec TDs
57
Grimes
68
III
57
McMillan
92
Hendricks
Rec yards
55
Grimes
94
III
96
McMillan
97
Hendricks
Long catch
52
Grimes
65
III
65
McMillan
80
Hendricks
Receptions
51
Grimes
90
III
90
McMillan
97
Hendricks
Rush TDs
39
Grimes
39
III
39
Hendricks
Rush yards
10
Grimes
20
III
20
Hendricks

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Javon Ivory’s 2020 season.

Javon Ivory

78%match

Memphis · 2020

#2

Latreal Jones

Southern Miss · 2023

82%
#3

Javon Ivory

Memphis · 2021

81%
#4

AJ Wilson

UTSA · 2025

80%
#5

Tre Mosley

Michigan State · 2021

80%

Matches Javon on

Weight
Reception volume
Yards / reception

Differs from Javon on

Recruiting rating (higher)
Class year (higher)

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Jalen Kelsey’s path through Campbell.

Jalen Kelsey

99%match

Campbell · 2022

#2

Stephon Johnson Jr.

Houston · 2025

97%
#3

Lujuan Winningham

Central Arkansas · 2021

97%
#4

JJ Jenkins

Buffalo · 2024

96%
#5

Jacob Harris

UCF · 2020

96%

Matches Jalen on

Yards per reception

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Keontra Smith's senior season at SMU (2023).

Keontra Smith

81%match

SMU · 2023

#2

Titus Mokiao-Atimalala

UCLA · 2025

80%
#3

Jadon Jackson

Kansas State · 2023

77%
#4

Mudia Reuben

South Florida · 2025

74%
#5

Stephon Johnson Jr.

Houston · 2025

73%

Matches Keontra on

Total EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception
Height

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Dave Doeren

Pass share

49.7%

411 pass / 416 run

Plays / game

63.6

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.5%

307 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

1 coach
2022
Dave Doeren
NC State
2023
Dave Doeren
NC State
2025
Dave Doeren
NC State

Played his entire career under Dave Doeren.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownRaleigh, NC
Height6'2"
Weight193 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey6

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 NC State WR4 #3394 #3495 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC
2023 Wake Forest WR4 #1028 #1476 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | ACC
2022 Wake Forest WR4 #2188 #2150 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 NC State ACC WR 4 No. 6 | 6-2 | 193 lb | Raleigh, NC
2024 NC State ACC WR 4 No. 6 | 6-2 | 193 lb | Raleigh, NC
2023 Wake Forest ACC WR 4 No. 6 | 6-2 | 193 lb | Raleigh, NC
2022 Wake Forest ACC WR 4 No. 6 | 6-2 | 193 lb | Raleigh, NC