CFB Zeitgeist Score
49
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 99th percentile.
Stephon Johnson Jr.
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
275 REC YDS · 13 REC · 2 REC TD
2026 Outlook
Returning to Houston for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Wide receiver · Houston
Returning around him
- 105% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
- 1 Houston player drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: +2 net (18 in / 16 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Houston · Last season: 10-3 (AP #25) · Talent rank #66 · 2026 recruiting class #52
WR · HOUSTON · BIG 12
Stephon Johnson Jr.
- 4
- #5
- 6-2 | 190 lb
- Houston, TX
Heisman Heat
#758
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR06 · Starter
Starter. A locked-in starting role.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2022–2025-6%
Down 6% — context-dependent (injury / role change?).
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Stephon Johnson Jr.
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Stephon Johnson Jr.
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 5g
275Rec yards
13Receptions
2Rec TDs
Per game
55Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
715Rec yards
34Receptions
5Rec TDs
To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 275): needs 53.1/game over remaining 8.
To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 275): needs 90.6/game over remaining 8.
To hit 60-catch season (currently 13): needs 5.9/game over remaining 8.
To hit 80-catch season (currently 13): needs 8.4/game over remaining 8.
To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 0.8/game over remaining 8.
To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 1/game over remaining 8.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Stephon Johnson Jr.'s story is about how role and output meet each other. For Houston, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
WR season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
13 54th
YDS
275 66th
YPR
21.2 95th
TD
2 75th
Rushing
CAR
1 35th
YDS
5 35th
YPC
5.0 57th
TD
0 81st
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 5 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 2 | W 35-9@ Rice | 1 | 74 | 74.0 | 1 | 74 | |
| Wk 3 | W 36-20vs Colorado | 5 | 117 | 23.4 | 0 | 54 | Season-high 117 yds |
| Wk 5 | W 27-24@ Oregon State | 2 | 44 | 22.0 | 1 | 27 | |
| Wk 6 | L 11-35vs Texas Tech | 2 | 26 | 13.0 | 0 | 19 | |
| Wk 7 | W 39-17@ Oklahoma State | 3 | 14 | 4.7 | 0 | 6 | |
| Total | 13 | 275 | 27.4 | 2 | 74 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2022Oklahoma State7-6HC: Mike Gundy · Balanced, fast tempo
2023Houston4-8HC: Dana Holgorsen · Balanced
2024Houston4-8HC: Dana Holgorsen · Run-heavy, slow tempo
2025Houston10-3HC: Willie Fritz · Run-leaning
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Houston | 13 | 275 | 21.2 | 2 | -- |
| 2024 | Houston | 32 | 402 | 12.6 | 2 | -- |
| 2023 | Houston | 23 | 269 | 11.7 | 3 | -- |
| 2022 | Oklahoma State | 17 | 293 | 17.2 | 2 | -- |
| Career | 4 loaded seasons | 85 | 1,239 | 14.6 | 9 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Houston | 1 | 5 | -- | -- | -- |
| 2024 | Houston | 3 | 19 | -- | -- | -- |
| 2023 | Houston | 1 | 13 | -- | -- | -- |
| 2022 | Oklahoma State | 2 | 16 | -- | -- | -- |
| Career | 4 loaded seasons | 7 | 53 | -- | -- | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 13 | #510/1110 | 54th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 275 | #379/1107 | 66th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 2 | #281/1111 | 75th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 21.2 | #59/1106 | 95th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 15.4% | #224/1137 | 80th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 5 | #261/346 | 25th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 5 | #259/397 | 35th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 5.0 | #170/393 | 57th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Carries | 1 | #264/407 | 35th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #81/411 | 81st pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 74 | #69/1105 | 94th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 10.0% | #116/1137 | 90th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 9.8% | #249/1137 | 78th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 7.0% | #277/1137 | 76th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 6.0% | #327/1137 | 71st pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 5.7% | #310/1137 | 73rd pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 4.9% | #648/1137 | 43rd pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.5% | #284/1137 | 75th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 5 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home2g | 3.5 | 71.5 | 18.2 | 0.0 |
| Road3g | 2.0 | 44.0 | 33.6 | 0.7 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins4g | 2.8 | 62.2 | 31.0 | 0.5 |
| Losses1g | 2.0 | 26.0 | 13.0 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-75g | 2.6 | 55.0 | 27.4 | 0.4 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
49Mid-pack
Elite: yards / catch (98th). Strength: long catch (88th). Concern: receptions (6th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Stephon Johnson Jr.HoustonHarrison Wallace IIIOle Miss· 58% simChris Dawn Jr.Texas State· 57% simKyre DuplessisDelaware· 55% sim
Yards / catch
Long catch
Rec TDs
Rush TDs
Rec yards
Rush yards
Receptions
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Possession Receiver
Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.
WR
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Keontez Lewis’s 2022 season.
Keontez Lewis
85%match
#2
Wesley Grimes
82%
#3
Shameen Jones
80%
#4
Duece Watts
80%
#5
Ramel Keyton
78%
Matches Keontez on
Total EPA (college ability)
Weight
Yards / reception
Differs from Keontez on
Class year (higher)
Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Lujuan Winningham’s path through Central Arkansas.
Lujuan Winningham
99%match
#2
Jalen Kelsey
99%
#3
Jalen Camp
NFL Rd 6
98%
#4
Jacob Harris
98%
#5
Wesley Grimes
97%
Matches Lujuan on
Yards per reception
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Keontra Smith's senior season at SMU (2023).
Keontra Smith
81%match
#2
Eli Wood
78%
#3
Donavon Greene
75%
#4
Titus Mokiao-Atimalala
75%
#5
Wesley Grimes
73%
Matches Keontra on
EPA / play (adj)
Total EPA (college ability)
Height
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Willie Fritz
Pass share
41.4%
377 pass / 534 run
Plays / game
70.1
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.5%
262 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
2 coaches2022
Dana Holgorsen
Houston
2023
Dana Holgorsen
Houston
2024
Dana Holgorsen
Houston
2025era →
Willie Fritz
Houston
Coaching transition mid-career: Dana Holgorsen → Willie Fritz. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownHouston, TX
Height6'2"
Weight190 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey5
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamHouston
ConferenceBig 12
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Houston | WR4 | #758 | #1136 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Big 12 |
| 2023 | Houston | WR4 | #1188 | #1678 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Big 12 |
| 2022 | Oklahoma State | WR4 | #806 | #917 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Big 12 |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Houston | Big 12 | WR | 4 | No. 5 | 6-2 | 190 lb | Houston, TX |
| 2024 | Houston | Big 12 | WR | 4 | No. 5 | 6-2 | 190 lb | Houston, TX |
| 2023 | Houston | Big 12 | WR | 4 | No. 5 | 6-2 | 190 lb | Houston, TX |
| 2022 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | WR | 4 | No. 5 | 6-2 | 190 lb | Houston, TX |