Q4 transformation · one-season descriptive
Fourth-quarter surge
3 times this season the team trailed entering the fourth quarter and won — and it shows in the tape: 0.079 → 0.532 EPA/dropback into the fourth.
t=2.11 (n=208/68), one season of descriptive data — never a predictive trait. Across ~200 QB-seasons screened at this threshold, expected false positives run near 5%.








