Next game: at Boston College
Florida State’s best edge on Boston College is big plays
Each unit against the one it meets, by national percentile this season. A filled dot is the attack and a ring is the defense it meets; the first name is the attack. Further right is better for both.
Florida State offense against Boston College defense
Boston College offense against Florida State defense
Percentiles are against all FBS teams this season.
Key stats
Each bar is the team’s national rank as a percentile. A longer bar is better, for defense too.
All 98 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | ZPR | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dual Threat · +0.33 EPA/play | 14 | 8 | 127 / 214 | 59.3 | 1968 #22 FBS | 9.2 | 14 #32 FBS | 11 | 147.9 | 67 | 78.5 | 7.1 | 7.8 | |
Yards by week → Dual threat· Money-downDangerous with both arm and legs — defenses can't just pin the ears back. Impact starter — 214 pass attempts and 94 carries in 8 games, about as many passes and runs a game as a typical FBS quarterback who plays every week. This week's matchup — QB Daniels runs when the pocket breaks down. Heintschel is the one who pushes it downfield on every look. Season receipt Rush yards / carry4.0 79th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like the one real worry is the interceptions — bottom 2% of FBS quarterbacks in interception rate. | ||||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | Stuff% | 10+% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Workhorse · +0.03 EPA/play | 32 | 7 | 114 | 609 #47 FBS | 5.3 | 5 | 54 | 13.5 | 15.3 | |
Yards by week → WorkhorseBuilt to take 20+ carries per game. Volume is the value. Starter — 114 carries and 11 catches in 7 games, more touches a game than most FBS running backs who play every week. This week's matchup — RB Kromah just keeps getting the ball, series after series. Wright is the one who does a little of everything without one standout trait. Season receipt Weight216 lb 78th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Yards / reception8.8 67th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Ousmane Kromah's full player page | ||||||||||
| Satellite Back · +0.09 EPA/play | 5 | 7 | 51 | 247 | 4.8 | 0 | 24 | 15.7 | 17.6 | |
Yards by week → Satellite backDeployed as a receiver as much as a runner. Value is in space, not between the tackles. 51 carries and 17 catches in 7 games. About as many touches a game as a typical FBS running back who plays every week. This week's matchup — RB Wisner wins in space out of the backfield. Wright is the one who does a little of everything without one standout trait. Season receipt Receiving share25.0% 100th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Rush TD rate0.0% bottom 5th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Tre Wisner's full player page | ||||||||||
| +0.45 EPA/play | 3 | 3 | 20 | 73 | 3.6 | 1 | 20 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Threat · +0.42 EPA/play | — | 8 | 24 | 438 | 18.2 | 4 #70 FBS | 75 | |
Yards by week → Deep threatStretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play. 24 catches in 8 games. About as many catches a game as a typical FBS receiver who plays every week. This week's matchup — WR Robinson beats you over the top. Hicks is the one who beats you over the top. Season receipt Yards / reception21.9 99th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate16.7% 88th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Duce Robinson's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.93 EPA/play | 15 | 8 | 21 | 415 | 19.8 | 1 | 40 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. This week's matchup — WR Boggs moves the chains on third down. Hicks is the one who beats you over the top. Season receipt Yards / reception16.1 77th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)0.9 92th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jayvan Boggs's full player page | ||||||||
| Deep Threat · +0.69 EPA/play | 8 | 7 | 23 | 401 | 17.4 | 3 | 56 | |
Yards by week → Deep threatStretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play. 23 catches and 3 carries in 7 games. About as many catches a game as a typical FBS receiver who plays every week. This week's matchup — WR Danzy beats you over the top. Hicks is the one who beats you over the top. Season receipt Yards / reception19.9 96th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)0.7 74th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Micahi Danzy's full player page | ||||||||
| +0.06 EPA/play | 7 | 7 | 8 | 108 | 13.5 | 1 | 41 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| +0.26 EPA/play | 6 | 5 | 7 | 63 | 9 | 1 | 23 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Two-Gap Base | 5 | 7 | 20 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 20 tackles in 7 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 276 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate0.0% bottom 9th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Daniel Lyons's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 15 | 7 | 20 | 13 | 9.5 #23 FBS | 6 #17 FBS | 2 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 20 tackles in 7 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate47.5% 100th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Rylan Kennedy's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 3 | 7 | 18 | 10 | 2.5 | 2 | 1 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 18 tackles in 7 games. Fewer tackles a game than most FBS defensive linemen who play every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 276 of 606 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2025 class View Mandrell Desir's full player page | |||||||
| Nose Anchor | 55 | 7 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Nose anchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. 130 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight317 lb 88th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Kevin Wynn's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 8 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate30.8% 92th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Deante McCray's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 32 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate27.3% 86th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Jalen Anderson's full player page | |||||||
| 13 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Linebacker | 10 | 8 | 56 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. Starter — 56 tackles in 8 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Chris Jones's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 9 | 8 | 40 | 20 | 20 | 4 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 40 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2022 class View Omar Graham Jr.'s full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 28 | 8 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 35 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Mikai Gbayor's full player page | |||||||||
| Coverage 'Backer | 29 | 6 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Coverage ’backerCarries tight ends and patrols the middle of the field in coverage. 89 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate5.9% 81th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate17.6% 91th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Caleb Lavallee's full player page | |||||||||
| 41 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Box Safety | 11 | 8 | 53 | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
Box safetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. Impact starter — 53 tackles in 8 games, more tackles a game than nearly every FBS defensive back who plays every week. 150 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume53 96th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View CJ Richard Jr.'s full player page | |||||||
| Rover | 7 | 8 | 47 | 3 | 2 #51 FBS | 1.5 | 0 |
RoverHits like a linebacker and still takes the ball away. Starter — 47 tackles in 8 games, more tackles a game than most FBS defensive backs who play every week. 33 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate6.4% bottom 43th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Ashlynd Barker's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 6 | 8 | 34 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 34 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 358 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate8.8% 55th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Ja'Bril Rawls's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 14 | 8 | 31 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 31 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 358 of 657 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Ma'Khi Jones's full player page | |||||||
| 24 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 5 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| — | 5 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| 12 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| 21 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 26 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 8 | 7/7 | 100 | 28/28 | 49 | 46 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 36 | 8 | 26 | 1084 | 41.7 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Threat · +0.69 EPA/play | 8 | 7 | 5 | 83 | 16.6 | 0 | 29 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0.06 EPA/play | 7 | 7 | 12 | 115 | 9.6 | 0 | 31 |
Biggest plays from Florida State’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in Florida State’s games this season, whoever made them.
Q4, 12:37 · SMU breaks the tieKevin Jennings finds Yannick Smith for a 79-yard touchdownSMU at Florida State, week 1Q4, 12:37 · SMU 24, Florida State 177979-yard touchdown pass7979-yard touchdown pass79-yard touchdown passKevin Jennings pass complete to Yannick Smith for 79 yds for a TD (Nick Reed kick)▶Watch from this play
Overtime, 0:00 · Miami down 7, ties itJavian Mallory runs 25 yards for a touchdownFlorida State at Miami, week 7Overtime, 0:00 · Miami 35, Florida State 35Overtime touchdown for MiamiOvertime touchdown for MiamiJ.Mallory rush left for 25 yards gain to the FSU00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
Q4, 3:17 · Clemson up 5Tait Reynolds runs 79 yards for a touchdownClemson at Florida State, week 9Q4, 3:17 · Clemson 36, Florida State 247979-yard touchdown run7979-yard touchdown run79-yard touchdown runT.Reynolds rush right for 79 yards gain to the FSU00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
Q4, 1:03 · Florida State down 12Elliot Washington II intercepts Ashton DanielsClemson at Florida State, week 9Q4, 1:03 · Florida State 24, Clemson 36▲26%Florida State’s chance to win, 4% to 30%▲26%Florida State’s chance to win, 4% to 30%A.Daniels pass intercepted by E.Washington II at CLM00, Touchback▶Watch from this play- Q3, 2:08 · Florida State down 7, ties itOusmane Kromah runs 6 yards for a touchdownSMU at Florida State, week 1Q3, 2:08 · Florida State 17, SMU 17▲21%Florida State’s chance to win, 27% to 48%▲21%Florida State’s chance to win, 27% to 48%Ousmane Kromah 6 yd Run (Gabe Panikowski Kick)▶Watch from this play
- Q4, 5:30 · Florida State down 11Ashton Daniels finds Jasen Lopez for a 41-yard touchdownClemson at Florida State, week 9Q4, 5:30 · Florida State 24, Clemson 29Florida State cut the deficit to 5 in the fourth quarterFlorida State cut the deficit to 5 in the fourth quarterA.Daniels pass complete deep left to J.Lopez caught at CLM00, for 41 yards to the CLM00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN A.Daniels pass attempt failed▶Watch from this play
How scary each game got
Florida State lost at Louisville after being 89% to win; the closest win was against Virginia, down to 26%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave Florida State during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Stat leaders
2026 stat leaders · Florida State
through 8 games
2026 stat leaders · Florida StateCJ Richard Jr. leads Florida State with 53 tackles through 8 games.
Roster
Roster
2026+16 more
Recruiting and the portal: top commits · who's gone and who's back
How they play
Florida State fields a strong explosive, big-play offense behind a porous defense, though it gives up the big play.
Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Player percentiles
Florida State reads strongest in explosive plays (top 6%) and rushing EPA (top 21%); the crux lives in EPA allowed, where Florida State sits at the 16th percentile.
Offense · strengths lead
Defense · higher bar = harder to play against
Hidden math · special situations
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Florida State is worth +7.0 points more at home than on the road.
Top tenth of FBS, 93rd percentile of 133 programs
57% at home, 30% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (29-22 home, 12-28 away). Interval ±4.2.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, Florida State has beaten the number by +2.2 more at home than away over 97 games. That is inside the ±6.2 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
Doak Campbell Stadium seats 67,277 and has averaged 97% full (65,146, 32 games reported). Visitors cover a median 491 miles to get here since 2018 — 55th-longest of 135 FBS venues, inside the ordinary range. 10% of the 2026 roster (10 of 105 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 58 home games since 2018.
More in this tab
How they play
Usage splits
How the players get used
From the 2025 season's play-by-play
- Garbage timeDuce Robinson does not see a usage spike in garbage time: his workload holds steady regardless of score, and he's also efficient in competitive snaps, the production isn't just garbage-time padding.
- Money downDuce Robinson is a legitimate money-down target: his 3rd-down conversion rate ranks among the position's best, and his per-target value holds up in that spot too.
- Deep threatDuce Robinson is a real deep-ball threat: a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.
Position battles
RB room
The carries are split. The job isn’t.
Ousmane Kromah and Tre Wisner split the carries (111/161 vs 50/161) -- but the job isn't split the same way. Tre Wisner owns the receiving work.
WR/TE room
The targets are split. The job isn’t.
Duce Robinson (WR) and Desirrio Riles (TE) split the targets (42/50 vs 8/50) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
Scheme claims
Team identity · competitive snaps only
How Florida State actually scores
64th percentile quality, 44th percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 76th | 3rd |
| Akron | 9th | 90th |
| Alabama | 82nd | 22nd |
| App State | 41st | 48th |
| Arizona | 91st | 16th |
| Arizona State | 20th | 83rd |
| Arkansas | 7th | 93rd |
| Arkansas State | 60th | 32nd |
| Army | 95th | 10th |
| Auburn | 34th | 59th |
| BYU | 83rd | 17th |
| Ball State | 32nd | 72nd |
| Baylor | 36th | 63rd |
| Boise State | 96th | 4th |
| Boston College | 20th | 80th |
| Buffalo | 8th | 88th |
| Central Michigan | 6th | 96th |
| Cincinnati | 88th | 15th |
| Clemson | 10th | 92nd |
| Coastal Carolina | 49th | 57th |
| Colorado | 15th | 86th |
| Colorado State | 88th | 30th |
| Delaware | 63rd | 40th |
| Duke | 74th | 8th |
| East Carolina | 24th | 77th |
| Eastern Michigan | 14th | 80th |
| Florida | 75th | 37th |
| Florida Atlantic | 72nd | 25th |
| Florida International | 2nd | 98th |
| Florida State | 64th | 44th |
| Fresno State | 56th | 52nd |
| Georgia | 92nd | 11th |
| Georgia Southern | 52nd | 40th |
| Georgia State | 77th | 36th |
| Georgia Tech | 30th | 70th |
| Hawai'i | 12th | 88th |
| Houston | 89th | 2nd |
| Illinois | 70th | 38th |
| Indiana | 85th | 18th |
| Iowa | 52nd | 53rd |
| Iowa State | 43rd | 62nd |
| Jacksonville State | 62nd | 41st |
| James Madison | 58th | 35th |
| Kansas | 28th | 66th |
| Kansas State | 48th | 44th |
| Kennesaw State | 23rd | 79th |
| Kentucky | 71st | 21st |
| LSU | 86th | 9th |
| Liberty | 78th | 29th |
| Louisiana | 27th | 69th |
| Louisiana Tech | 60th | 47th |
| Louisville | 94th | 19th |
| Marshall | 36th | 61st |
| Maryland | 17th | 85th |
| Massachusetts | 38th | 60th |
| Memphis | 87th | 20th |
| Miami | 100th | 0th |
| Miami (OH) | 68th | 31st |
| Michigan | 25th | 71st |
| Middle Tennessee | 37th | 60th |
| Minnesota | 4th | 95th |
| Mississippi State | 35th | 65th |
| Missouri | 54th | 49th |
| Missouri State | 40th | 64th |
| NC State | 69th | 28th |
| Navy | 57th | 51st |
| Nebraska | 59th | 32nd |
| Nevada | 1st | 99th |
| New Mexico | 39th | 68th |
| North Carolina | 48th | 45th |
| North Dakota State | 31st | 64th |
| North Texas | 99th | 1st |
| Northern Illinois | 12th | 89th |
| Northwestern | 93rd | 6th |
| Notre Dame | 97th | 5th |
| Ohio | 67th | 43rd |
| Ohio State | 79th | 23rd |
| Oklahoma State | 76th | 14th |
| Ole Miss | 80th | 8th |
| Oregon | 28th | 72nd |
| Oregon State | 92nd | 13th |
| Penn State | 47th | 48th |
| Pittsburgh | 44th | 50th |
| Purdue | 65th | 34th |
| Rice | 18th | 87th |
| Rutgers | 32nd | 76th |
| SMU | 81st | 16th |
| San Diego State | 5th | 94th |
| San José State | 13th | 84th |
| South Alabama | 64th | 27th |
| South Carolina | 55th | 54th |
| South Florida | 42nd | 56th |
| Southern Miss | 3rd | 97th |
| Stanford | 53rd | 55th |
| Syracuse | 24th | 74th |
| TCU | 21st | 75th |
| Temple | 56th | 56th |
| Tennessee | 45th | 42nd |
| Texas | 11th | 91st |
| Texas A&M | 16th | 78th |
| Texas State | 90th | 12th |
| Texas Tech | 50th | 46th |
| Toledo | 84th | 24th |
| Troy | 8th | 92nd |
| Tulane | 33rd | 73rd |
| Tulsa | 68th | 28th |
| UAB | 16th | 81st |
| UCF | 19th | 82nd |
| UCLA | 61st | 36th |
| UConn | 84th | 26th |
| UNLV | 44th | 67th |
| USC | 80th | 12th |
| UTSA | 72nd | 20th |
| Utah | 96th | 7th |
| Utah State | 0th | 100th |
| Vanderbilt | 26th | 76th |
| Virginia | 51st | 39th |
| Virginia Tech | 66th | 33rd |
| Wake Forest | 98th | 4th |
| Washington | 40th | 58th |
| West Virginia | 73rd | 24th |
| Western Kentucky | 4th | 96th |
| Western Michigan | 29th | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 22nd | 84th |
| Wyoming | 46th | 52nd |
Florida State’s 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 76th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it climbs to the 90th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does Florida State hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
30th percentile success on standard downs, 90th on passing downs — a 60-point gap between the two.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 98th | 23rd |
| Akron | 58th | 34th |
| Alabama | 77th | 57th |
| App State | 33rd | 49th |
| Arizona | 76th | 94th |
| Arizona State | 38th | 61st |
| Arkansas | 71st | 24th |
| Arkansas State | 85th | 59th |
| Army | 93rd | 58th |
| Auburn | 14th | 69th |
| BYU | 86th | 35th |
| Ball State | 31st | 52nd |
| Baylor | 15th | 46th |
| Boise State | 77th | 92nd |
| Boston College | 63rd | 28th |
| Bowling Green | 43rd | 21st |
| Buffalo | 9th | 11th |
| California | 11th | 20th |
| Central Michigan | 36th | 9th |
| Charlotte | 18th | 41st |
| Cincinnati | 68th | 83rd |
| Clemson | 7th | 39th |
| Coastal Carolina | 23rd | 64th |
| Colorado | 16th | 65th |
| Colorado State | 66th | 95th |
| Delaware | 59th | 64th |
| Duke | 21st | 67th |
| East Carolina | 37th | 19th |
| Eastern Michigan | 16th | 30th |
| Florida | 61st | 70th |
| Florida Atlantic | 67th | 87th |
| Florida International | 20th | 53rd |
| Florida State | 30th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 25th | 84th |
| Gardner-Webb | 5th | 23rd |
| Georgia | 98th | 89th |
| Georgia Southern | 60th | 71st |
| Georgia State | 68th | 66th |
| Georgia Tech | 53rd | 40th |
| Hawai'i | 48th | 29th |
| Houston | 87th | 99th |
| Illinois | 73rd | 91st |
| Indiana | 55th | 44th |
| Iowa | 79th | 13th |
| Iowa State | 18th | 31st |
| Jacksonville State | 82nd | 80th |
| James Madison | 45th | 77th |
| Kansas | 52nd | 18th |
| Kansas State | 64th | 68th |
| Kennesaw State | 61st | 16th |
| Kent State | 5th | 21st |
| Kentucky | 90th | 51st |
| LSU | 86th | 98th |
| Liberty | 93rd | 78th |
| Louisiana | 36th | 66th |
| Louisiana Tech | 26th | 79th |
| Louisville | 95th | 72nd |
| Maine | 0th | 86th |
| Marshall | 69th | 32nd |
| Maryland | 34th | 26th |
| Massachusetts | 35th | 38th |
| Memphis | 92nd | 93rd |
| Mercyhurst | 2nd | 34th |
| Miami | 99th | 95th |
| Miami (OH) | 50th | 43rd |
| Michigan | 10th | 89th |
| Michigan State | 23rd | 55th |
| Middle Tennessee | 27th | 64th |
| Minnesota | 32nd | 4th |
| Mississippi State | 66th | 59th |
| Missouri | 34th | 41st |
| Missouri State | 52nd | 30th |
| NC State | 62nd | 77th |
| Navy | 89th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 46th | 85th |
| Nevada | 28th | 27th |
| New Mexico | 55th | 48th |
| New Mexico State | 14th | 36th |
| Norfolk State | 7th | 0th |
| North Carolina | 89th | 73rd |
| North Dakota State | 30th | 45th |
| North Texas | 95th | 84th |
| Northern Illinois | 51st | 14th |
| Northwestern | 88th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 100th | 43rd |
| Ohio | 82nd | 42nd |
| Ohio State | 84th | 80th |
| Oklahoma | 4th | 50th |
| Oklahoma State | 96th | 86th |
| Old Dominion | 1st | 36th |
| Ole Miss | 81st | 94th |
| Oregon | 39th | 26th |
| Oregon State | 97th | 70th |
| Penn State | 20th | 47th |
| Pittsburgh | 65th | 50th |
| Purdue | 57th | 82nd |
| Rice | 59th | 14th |
| Robert Morris | 2nd | 5th |
| Rutgers | 42nd | 81st |
| SMU | 91st | 82nd |
| Sacramento State | 13th | 6th |
| Sam Houston | 11th | 37th |
| San Diego State | 8th | 54th |
| San José State | 17th | 2nd |
| South Alabama | 44th | 74th |
| South Carolina | 70th | 56th |
| South Florida | 84th | 57th |
| Southern Miss | 48th | 7th |
| Stanford | 40th | 9th |
| Syracuse | 57th | 39th |
| TCU | 70th | 10th |
| Temple | 50th | 68th |
| Tennessee | 75th | 12th |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 46th | 55th |
| Texas State | 74th | 100th |
| Texas Tech | 64th | 76th |
| Toledo | 73rd | 52nd |
| Troy | 39th | 15th |
| Tulane | 12th | 8th |
| Tulsa | 49th | 7th |
| UAB | 24th | 62nd |
| UCF | 29th | 45th |
| UCLA | 80th | 60th |
| UConn | 72nd | 73rd |
| UL Monroe | 47th | 11th |
| UNLV | 41st | 19th |
| USC | 79th | 97th |
| UT Martin | 6th | 3rd |
| UTEP | 9th | 1st |
| UTSA | 91st | 33rd |
| Utah | 94th | 98th |
| Utah State | 3rd | 76th |
| Vanderbilt | 41st | 32nd |
| Virginia | 83rd | 2nd |
| Virginia Tech | 43rd | 91st |
| Wake Forest | 75th | 96th |
| Washington | 56th | 16th |
| Washington State | 19th | 5th |
| West Virginia | 54th | 75th |
| Western Kentucky | 22nd | 25th |
| Western Michigan | 32nd | 27th |
| Wisconsin | 25th | 22nd |
| Wyoming | 78th | 48th |
Florida State by half
1st-half offense ranks 48th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 81st — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
How much of Florida State’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.20; 69th percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.06. The widest gap came in week 3: 0.24 raw vs. 0.02 adjusted.
Tendency drift
How Florida State’s current staff calls plays, year over year
Pass defense by zone
What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Florida State’s passing game completes a completion rate below the FBS mean (65.3% vs 67.0% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 158-play sample) — mid-pack, 40 of 136 qualifying offenses.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Florida State’s defense allows a completion rate above the FBS mean (66.4% vs 66.3% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 159-play sample) — mid-pack, 72 of 137 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Takeaways
Getting hands on the ball but not cashing in: 13% of disruptions converted, vs. the ~18% league rate.
4 interceptions of 31 disrupted passes (27 deflected, 4 intercepted), 2026 only.
Penalties
Winning the penalty battle: 48 penalties committed vs. 53 drawn on opponents, a 49-yard edge.
434 penalty yards committed vs. 483 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.
Ratings and comparisons
Ratings
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · Florida State
Most similar programs · Florida StateReads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.
Weather
Doak Campbell Stadium, Tallahassee, FL
Usual during the game around Nov 21: 61°, between 48° and 72° in about 7 in 10 games (26 games since 2016).
Road games since 2016: the middle game was 66°, and 8 in 10 ran between 47° and 79° (43 of 47 road games, at stadiums we cover).
What a usual Saturday feels like here, by kickoff time
Airport readings near each stadium during the game, not on the field. How we measure
Weather observations: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at Iowa State University. Rain: NOAA MRMS radar and CoCoRaHS volunteer gauges (CC BY 4.0). Game data: CollegeFootballData.com.