cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Tre Wisner /Texas

Tre Wisner

RB · Texas · Jr · #5

sonnet prose (cached)

597 RUSH YDS · 3 RUSH TD · 131 CARRIES

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Texas for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Texas for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Running back · Texas · editorial

Returning around him

  • 28% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • 6 Texas players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -6 net (22 in / 28 out)

2026 Award watch

  • Doak Walker

Texas · Last season: 10-3 (AP #14) · Talent rank #4 · 2026 recruiting class #1

RB · TEXAS · SEC

Tre Wisner

  • 3
  • #5
  • 6-0 | 194 lb
  • Glenn Heights, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

58

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rush yards at the 67th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#30

1.1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

1.1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Aura™ · Him Watch the full board →
Aura tax +39aura tax
Fans rank this player in the 87th percentile of RBs; the tape says 48th — more hype than the tape.
Aura — fan perception87th pctl
Production — on-field48th pctl
n=22 mentions · cohort: RBs · 140 qualified · perception = conversation volume, production = wepa_rushing
In Their Words 88 windows · 2025 fan posts
catch×111.7yard×39.8tre×88.5run×18.0

“Texas running back Quintrevion “Tre” Wisner will transfer to Florida State”

bluesky_curated · fan post, verbatim

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

3 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R08 Watch-list name · 2024

2023

Texas · RB

2024

Texas · RB

R08 · Watch-list name

Recognized

2025

Texas · RB

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2023–2025
73.02023
1,0642024
5972025

+718%

Up 718% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#494 national
CFB
College
Texas
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class3
Jersey5
Measurements6-0 | 194 lb
HometownGlenn Heights, TX
Primary teamTexas

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 494 recruit
Composite rating 0.8869 HighSchool
Signed with Texas 2023
Origin DeSoto DeSoto, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8869 No. 494 recruit | HighSchool | Texas

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#30Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#19Where the full season sim points
Win probability1.1%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability47.1%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in rushing yards (597).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Texas

Composite

0.8869

#494 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Tre Wisner

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

68

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 11 mentions
Confidence LOW

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 11 mentions · belief +36 · "Florida State’s running back room, replacing its top two rushers from last seaso"Own fansRivals: 3 mentions · belief +33 · "LETS GOOOO"RivalsNational: 16 mentions · belief -25 · "Ugly offense. Texas reaches the OU 22 then backs up 14 yards on a hold, a run th"National
  • Own fans · n=11
  • Rivals · n=3
  • National · n=16

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Tre Wisner

Only 3 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Rushing WEPA per carry

+0.130

EPA

P4 + Notre Dame RBs, min 80 carries

National rank #36 of 66
Percentile vs P4 + Notre Dame RBs, min 80 carries 46th

Why it matters

#36 of 66 P4 + Notre Dame RBs by rushing weighted- EPA per carry — +0.130 EPA/carry on 132 carries.

Vs cohort

This player +0.130 (46th)

HIGH · n=132 cohort 66

  • Also strong
  • Rushing yards (total)#40 / 69
  • Yards per carry#50 / 69

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 9g
597Rush yards
131Carries
3Rush TDs
Per game
66.3Rush yards
15Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
862.3Rush yards
189Carries
4Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 597): needs 38.2/game over remaining 4.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 597): needs 100.8/game over remaining 4.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 597): needs 225.8/game over remaining 4.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 3): needs 1.8/game over remaining 4.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 3): needs 3/game over remaining 4.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 3): needs 4.2/game over remaining 4.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Tre Wisner's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Texas, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #30 1.1% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 28.0% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc 15 return yds

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 743 597 rush | 146 rec | #117/735 (84th pct)
Rush TD 3 131 carries | #204/739 (73rd pct)
Yards/carry 4.6 Per-rush efficiency | #364/735 (51st pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.

Passing-game back

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
131 88th
YDS
597 84th
YPC
4.6 51st
TD
3 73rd

Receiving

REC
22 89th
YDS
146 83rd
YPR
6.6 46th
TD
1 89th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 9 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 7-14@ Ohio State16805.0013
Wk 6L 21-29@ Florida8111.416
Wk 7W 23-6vs Oklahoma22944.3037
Wk 8W 16-13@ Kentucky12373.118
Wk 9W 45-38@ Mississippi State12413.409
Wk 10W 34-31vs Vanderbilt18754.2113
Wk 12L 10-35@ Georgia9374.1016
Wk 13W 52-37vs Arkansas15674.5012
Wk 14W 27-17vs Texas A&M191558.2048Season-high 155 yds
Total1315974.2348
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Texas12-2HC: Steve Sarkisian · Balanced
2024Texas13-3HC: Steve Sarkisian · Balanced, fast tempo
2025Texas10-3HC: Steve Sarkisian · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Texas1315974.63--
2024Texas2261,0644.75--
2023Texas12736.11--
Career3 loaded seasons3691,7344.79--
SeasonTeam
2025Texas221466.61--
2024Texas443117.11--
2023Texas----------
Career3 loaded seasons664576.92--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 22 146 rec yds | #63/552 (89th pct)
Usage 28.0% 54.2% rush share | #23/738 (97th pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.13 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #156/362 (57th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 597 #117/735 84th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 3 #204/739 73rd pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 4.6 #364/735 51st pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 22 #63/552 89th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 146 #96/548 83rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.13 #156/362 57th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 132 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 28.0% #23/738 97th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 131 #90/739 88th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 48 #183/733 75th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 19 #248/540 54th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 6.6 #295/548 46th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #60/552 89th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Returns Kick return avg 15.0 #143/199 29th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Returns Kick return yards 15 #168/200 16th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Returns Kick returns 1 #139/206 33rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 54.2% #6/738 99th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 34.9% #12/738 99th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 33.3% #16/738 98th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 31.9% #14/738 98th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 15.5% #55/738 93rd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 13.6% #105/738 86th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 7.9% #58/738 92nd pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/256 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 9 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home4g97.85.30.2
Road5g41.23.40.4

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins6g78.24.60.3
Losses3g42.73.50.3

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-73g61.73.60.3
Weeks 8+6g68.74.60.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

58Solid starter
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: fumbles lost (86th). Strength: receptions (80th).

Fumbles lost#1 / 201 · 87th pct
0fumb
Receptions#63 / 338 · 81st pct
22rece
Rec yards#87 / 338 · 74th pct
146rece
Carries#90 / 349 · 74th pct
131rush
Rush yards#117 / 349 · 67th pct
597rush
Long run#162 / 349 · 54th pct
48rush
Rush TDs#200 / 349 · 38th pct
3rush
Yards / carry#213 / 349 · 37th pct
4.6rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.13Low (p25–p50) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Tre WisnerTexasJevon JacksonUAB· 81% simCarson HansenIowa State· 81% simTJ HardenSMU· 80% sim
Fumbles lost
87
Wisner
87
Hansen
87
Harden
Receptions
81
Wisner
75
Jackson
75
Hansen
75
Harden
Rec yards
74
Wisner
61
Jackson
70
Hansen
54
Harden
Carries
74
Wisner
85
Jackson
91
Hansen
87
Harden
Rush yards
67
Wisner
85
Jackson
87
Hansen
80
Harden
Long run
54
Wisner
70
Jackson
78
Hansen
62
Harden
Rush TDs
38
Wisner
62
Jackson
72
Hansen
87
Harden
Yards / carry
37
Wisner
68
Jackson
58
Hansen
37
Harden

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Balanced Back

Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Deon McIntosh’s 2021 season.

Deon McIntosh

83%match

Washington State · 2021

#2

Tre Wisner

Texas · 2024

83%
#3

Davion Ervin-Poindexter

Indiana · 2021

75%
#4

Micah Bernard

Utah · 2024

76%
#5

Hassan Hall

Georgia Tech · 2022

75%

Matches Deon on

Weight
Class year
Receiving share

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to CJ Marable’s path through Coastal Carolina.

CJ Marable

98%match

Coastal Carolina · 2020

#2

Corey Taylor II

Tulsa · 2020

95%
#3

Julius Loughridge

Fordham · 2024

95%
#4

Cooper Wallace

The Citadel · 2024

93%
#5

Kyren Williams

Notre Dame · 2021

NFL Rd 5
90%

Matches CJ on

Yards per carry

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Jaivian Thomas's junior season at UCLA (2025).

Jaivian Thomas

77%match

UCLA · 2025

#2

Quincy Craig

Arizona · 2025

77%
#3

Qua Ashley

Ball State · 2025

All-Conference USA
74%
#4

Hassan Hall

Georgia Tech · 2022

74%
#5

Keshawn Wicks

Old Dominion · 2023

72%

Matches Jaivian on

Total rush EPA (college ability)
Height
Rush TD rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Steve Sarkisian

Pass share

50.2%

419 pass / 415 run

Plays / game

64.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.6%

288 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Steve Sarkisian
Texas
2024
Steve Sarkisian
Texas
2025
Steve Sarkisian
Texas

Played his entire career under Steve Sarkisian.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownGlenn Heights, TX
Height6'0"
Weight194 lb
Class3
PositionRB
Jersey5

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Texas RB3 #30 #19 1.1% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC
2023 Texas RB3 #673 #453 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Texas SEC RB 3 No. 5 | 6-0 | 194 lb | Glenn Heights, TX
2024 Texas SEC RB 3 No. 5 | 6-0 | 194 lb | Glenn Heights, TX
2023 Texas Big 12 RB 3 No. 5 | 6-0 | 194 lb | Glenn Heights, TX