Liberty

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Liberty Coach Jamey Chadwell Feels Best Since 2023 Despite Ongoing Medical Recoveryour readThe Old Dominion rivalry

Conference USA · Jamey Chadwell, year 4 (26-14) · Williams Stadium (VA) · 25,000 · 15,708 avg in 2026

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The model#94 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #93 (-7.2) · FPI #108
The marketLiberty by 14vs Ball State · our model 72% Liberty · a number, not a pick

LastW 24–23 vs Gardner-Webb · Sat Sep 12 · Brenton Williams 1 sacks, 1 TFL, 5 tackles

Nextvs Ball State · Sat Sep 19 · 4 pm ET · Williams Stadium (VA) · Liberty by 14 · series 1-0 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Key stats — 2026 — FBS rank
Points/game
18.5
Pts allowed/game
21.5
Total yards/gm#105 / 138 · 24th pct
350.0
Rush yards/gm#95 / 138 · 32nd pct
142.0
Pass yards/gmT-#90 / 138 · 34th pct
208.0
Yards allowed/gmT-#53 / 138 · 62nd pct
297.5
Rush yds allowed/gm#91 / 138 · 34th pct
145.5
SacksT-#106 / 138 · 16th pct
2
InterceptionsT-#29 / 115 · 61st pct
2
3rd-down convT-#110 / 138 · 20th pct
32.1%
All 90 stats
Offense / Defense
Total yards
Team
700350.0/gm5.34/play#105 / 138 · 24th pct#62 / 70 · 12th pct#8 / 10 · 25th pct#9 / 9 · 11th pct
Opp
595297.5/gm4.96/playT-#53 / 138 · 62nd pctT-#41 / 70 · 41st pct#3 / 10 · 75th pct#1 / 9 · 100th pct
Rush yards
Team
284142.0/gm2.17/play#95 / 138 · 32nd pct#50 / 70 · 29th pct#6 / 10 · 45th pct#9 / 9 · 11th pct
Opp
291145.5/gm2.42/play#91 / 138 · 34th pct#59 / 70 · 16th pct#5 / 10 · 55th pct#1 / 9 · 100th pct
Rush carries
Team
8341.5/gmT-#35 / 138 · 73rd pctT-#19 / 70 · 72nd pct#3 / 10 · 75th pct#9 / 9 · 11th pct
Opp
6432.0/gmT-#45 / 138 · 66th pctT-#31 / 70 · 55th pct#3 / 10 · 75th pct#1 / 9 · 100th pct
Rush TDs
Team
10.5/gmT-#123 / 138 · 8th pctT-#64 / 70 · 6th pct#8 / 10 · 25th pct#9 / 9 · 11th pct
Opp
21.0/gmT-#53 / 138 · 50th pctT-#34 / 70 · 36th pctT-#2 / 10 · 80th pct#1 / 9 · 100th pct
Net pass yards
Team
416208.0/gm3.18/playT-#90 / 138 · 34th pct#56 / 70 · 21st pct#8 / 10 · 25th pct#9 / 9 · 11th pct
Opp
304152.0/gm2.53/play#33 / 138 · 76th pct#27 / 70 · 62nd pct#2 / 10 · 85th pct#1 / 9 · 100th pct
Pass attempts
Team
4824.0/gmT-#105 / 138 · 23rd pctT-#60 / 70 · 14th pct#9 / 10 · 15th pct#9 / 9 · 11th pct
Opp
5628.0/gmT-#51 / 138 · 62nd pct#34 / 70 · 52nd pct#4 / 10 · 65th pct#1 / 9 · 100th pct
Completions
Team
2512.5/gmT-#122 / 138 · 12th pct#65 / 70 · 8th pct#10 / 10 · 5th pct#9 / 9 · 11th pct
Opp
2814.0/gmT-#23 / 138 · 82nd pctT-#15 / 70 · 76th pctT-#2 / 10 · 75th pct#1 / 9 · 100th pct
Pass TDs
Team
31.5/gmT-#72 / 138 · 41st pctT-#44 / 70 · 31st pct#7 / 10 · 35th pct#9 / 9 · 11th pct
Opp
10.5/gmT-#13 / 138 · 80th pctT-#11 / 70 · 72nd pctT-#2 / 10 · 75th pct#1 / 9 · 100th pct
Passer rating#72 / 115 · 38th pct#44 / 60 · 28th pct#5 / 9 · 56th pct
137.2137.2
Interceptions thrown
Team
00.0/gmT-#92 / 138 · 17th pctT-#42 / 70 · 21st pctT-#9 / 10 · 10th pct#9 / 9 · 11th pct
Opp
21.0/gmT-#77 / 138 · 33rd pctT-#40 / 70 · 29th pct#8 / 10 · 25th pct#1 / 9 · 100th pct
Sacks (def)
Team
21.0/gmT-#106 / 138 · 16th pctT-#61 / 70 · 9th pctT-#7 / 10 · 30th pct#9 / 9 · 11th pct
Opp
52.5/gmT-#101 / 138 · 20th pctT-#56 / 70 · 14th pctT-#6 / 10 · 35th pct#1 / 9 · 100th pct
Tackles for loss
Team
147.0/gmT-#29 / 138 · 73rd pctT-#18 / 70 · 68th pctT-#2 / 10 · 70th pct#9 / 9 · 11th pct
Opp
105.0/gmT-#66 / 138 · 47th pctT-#42 / 70 · 37th pctT-#3 / 10 · 65th pct#1 / 9 · 100th pct
First downs
Team
3718.5/gmT-#102 / 138 · 25th pctT-#59 / 70 · 15th pct#9 / 10 · 15th pct#9 / 9 · 11th pct
Opp
3819.0/gmT-#81 / 138 · 40th pctT-#53 / 70 · 24th pctT-#6 / 10 · 40th pct#1 / 9 · 100th pct
3rd-down conv
Team
94.5/gmT-#85 / 138 · 32nd pctT-#50 / 70 · 24th pctT-#6 / 10 · 35th pct#9 / 9 · 11th pct
Opp
94.5/gmT-#52 / 138 · 58th pctT-#36 / 70 · 45th pctT-#3 / 10 · 60th pct#1 / 9 · 100th pct
3rd-down att
Team
2814.0/gmT-#45 / 138 · 64th pctT-#19 / 70 · 70th pctT-#5 / 10 · 50th pct#9 / 9 · 11th pct
Opp
2412.0/gmT-#26 / 138 · 79th pctT-#11 / 70 · 83rd pct#3 / 10 · 75th pct#1 / 9 · 100th pct
4th-down conv
Team
10.5/gmT-#85 / 138 · 29th pctT-#44 / 70 · 32nd pctT-#8 / 10 · 20th pct#9 / 9 · 11th pct
Opp
00.0/gmT-#1 / 138 · 91st pctT-#1 / 70 · 89th pct#1 / 10 · 95th pct#1 / 9 · 100th pct
4th-down att
Team
52.5/gmT-#27 / 138 · 74th pctT-#13 / 70 · 74th pctT-#2 / 10 · 70th pct#9 / 9 · 11th pct
Opp
10.5/gmT-#3 / 138 · 92nd pctT-#2 / 70 · 92nd pct#1 / 10 · 95th pct#1 / 9 · 100th pct
Time of possession
Team
66:2533:12/gm#38 / 138 · 73rd pct#16 / 70 · 78th pct#4 / 10 · 65th pct#9 / 9 · 11th pct
Opp
53:3526:48/gm#29 / 138 · 79th pct#16 / 70 · 78th pct#2 / 10 · 85th pct#1 / 9 · 100th pct

FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs

Player stats — 2026 season
Quarterbacks
Player#GCmp/AttPctYdsY/ATDINTRateZPRQBRAdj ANY/ASack%
+0.13 EPA/play5223 / 4452.3352820134.5413.2——
Running Backs
Player#GCarYdsAvgTDLongStuff%10+%
+0.18 EPA/play42261184.5026——
-0.12 EPA/play72221014.6020——
Receivers
Player#GRecYdsAvgTDLong
+1.29 EPA/play22514228.42
#24 FBS		65

2026 stat leaders · Liberty

through 2 games

Derrell Farrar leads Liberty with 12 tackles through 2 games.

1. Derrell Farrar LB 12 tackles
2. Makai Jackson WR 142 receiving yards
3. D-Icey Hopkins S 11 tackles
4. Aidan Vaughan LB 9 tackles
5. Brenton Williams RB 9 tackles
How They Play · 2025

Liberty fields a limited run-heavy, methodical, ball-control offense behind a leaky defense.

Offense
42nd pct EPA/play
Run/Pass
61% run plays
Tempo
58th pct success, 24th explosiveness
Defense
30th pct EPA allowed

Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.

The Savant Card · Liberty · 2025

Liberty reads strongest in rushing epa (top 24%) and success rate (top 42%); the crux lives in rushing epa allowed, where Liberty sits at the 22nd percentile.

offense · strengths lead

EPA / play +0.16
42nd
Success Rate +0.43
58th
Explosive Plays +1.20
24th
Rushing EPA +0.17
76th

defense · higher bar = harder to play against

EPA Allowed +0.19
30th
Success Rate Allowed +0.41
53rd
Explosive Plays Allowed +1.31
30th
Passing EPA Allowed +0.24
50th

hidden math · special situations

Passing EPA +0.21
34th
Rushing EPA Allowed +0.15
22nd
Elite · 90+Strong · 70+Average · 40-70Concern · 10-40Bottom · <10
Sources · CFBD tier-2 advanced stats · per-game production · 12 games this season · percentiles vs. up to 136 FBS peers

Home-field advantage · Liberty · 2018–present · FBS opponents

Liberty is worth +4.2 points more at home than on the road.

Middle of FBS, 54th percentile of 133 programs

75% at home, 49% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (30–10 home, 22–23 away). Interval ±4.0.

95% intervalmodel 2.3 · books ~3Weakest home edge in FBSStrongest

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge — per-team modelling was tested and did not survive scrutiny (why) — and the books use about 3. Against the closing line, Liberty has beaten the number by +0.2 more at home than away over 72 games — inside the ±7.6 that many games can resolve. Results here cannot tell the flat number apart from the building, and that is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.

Williams Stadium (VA) seats 25,000 and has averaged 78% full (19,404, 27 games reported). Visitors cover a median 494 miles to get here since 2018 — 52nd-longest of 135 FBS venues, inside the ordinary range. 9% of the 2026 roster (9 of 105 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.

Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 51 home games since 2018.

Home30–10Away22–23Edge+4.2 ±4.0Visitor trip494 mi

More in this tab

Scheme claimsFive specific, testable claims about how this team plays.

Fourth-quarter reliability, corrected

Liberty's 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time

Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 22nd percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it climbs to the 28th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.

league medianRaw 4th quarter · 22nd…Competitive snaps only · 28th…Worst in FBSBest in FBS
Source CFB Zeitgeist · CFBD play-by-play, garbage-time adjusted by pre-play margin

Standard downs vs. passing downs

Does Liberty hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?

14th percentile success on standard downs, 59th on passing downs — a 45-point gap between the two.

Fragile off scheduleBalanced, both workStruggles even on scheduleStandard-downs reliantLibertyWeak on standard downsElite on standard downsFalls apart off scheduleHolds up off scheduleHawai'i18th standard · 41st passingUNLV51st standard · 7th passingStanford76th standard · 15th passingEastern Michigan52nd standard · 10th passingSan José State54th standard · 22nd passingNew Mexico State45th standard · 75th passingSacramento State23rd standard · 14th passingOklahoma State41st standard · 49th passingDuke20th standard · 29th passingFlorida State28th standard · 65th passingRutgers30th standard · 71st passingKansas70th standard · 35th passingBoston College27th standard · 56th passingNorfolk State16th standard · 9th passingLouisville96th standard · 70th passingMissouri36th standard · 85th passingMemphis69th standard · 65th passingGeorgia Southern24th standard · 45th passingOle Miss94th standard · 50th passingJacksonville State65th standard · 82nd passingNorth Dakota State86th standard · 27th passingArizona92nd standard · 86th passingUSC97th standard · 99th passingWake Forest56th standard · 97th passingTCU93rd standard · 8th passingDelaware70th standard · 31st passingUAB65th standard · 81st passingMichigan State62nd standard · 29th passingSouth Florida91st standard · 52nd passingFlorida International46th standard · 43rd passingNavy98th standard · 59th passingWisconsin13th standard · 18th passingOregon State10th standard · 38th passingSyracuse48th standard · 64th passingOhio State90th standard · 40th passingBall State12th standard · 24th passingPittsburgh30th standard · 76th passingColorado35th standard · 77th passingGeorgia Tech58th standard · 44th passingAuburn75th standard · 55th passingBaylor40th standard · 96th passingNorth Texas49th standard · 68th passingApp State44th standard · 90th passingIowa State4th standard · 23rd passingUTSA99th standard · 29th passingArkansas60th standard · 80th passingBoise State58th standard · 46th passingOregon35th standard · 33rd passingTulsa56th standard · 1st passingTulane31st standard · 2nd passingPurdue83rd standard · 88th passingMiddle Tennessee87th standard · 68th passingVanderbilt80th standard · 12th passingSan Diego State4th standard · 40th passingLSU33rd standard · 98th passingClemson1st standard · 19th passingCentral Michigan16th standard · 6th passingTexas Tech88th standard · 48th passingMichigan2nd standard · 62nd passingWestern Michigan39th standard · 20th passingOhio38th standard · 17th passingBuffalo7th standard · 14th passingTexas72nd standard · 94th passingCoastal Carolina61st standard · 52nd passingColorado State82nd standard · 91st passingWyoming65th standard · 36th passingTexas A&M85th standard · 72nd passingLiberty14th standard · 59th passingFlorida Atlantic43rd standard · 87th passingLouisiana19th standard · 92nd passingSouth Alabama50th standard · 73rd passingTroy22nd standard · 59th passingSam Houston78th standard · 61st passingNevada77th standard · 52nd passingWestern Kentucky25th standard · 34th passingWashington State8th standard · 3rd passingWashington81st standard · 4th passingCalifornia9th standard · 25th passingCharlotte73rd standard · 83rd passingTennessee65th standard · 78th passingUtah State4th standard · 93rd passing
Source CFB Zeitgeist · advanced team stats, Connelly success-rate definition
View all FBS teams as a table
TeamStandard-downs percentilePassing-downs percentile
App State44th90th
Arizona92nd86th
Arkansas60th80th
Auburn75th55th
Ball State12th24th
Baylor40th96th
Boise State58th46th
Boston College27th56th
Buffalo7th14th
California9th25th
Central Michigan16th6th
Charlotte73rd83rd
Clemson1st19th
Coastal Carolina61st52nd
Colorado35th77th
Colorado State82nd91st
Delaware70th31st
Duke20th29th
Eastern Michigan52nd10th
Florida Atlantic43rd87th
Florida International46th43rd
Florida State28th65th
Georgia Southern24th45th
Georgia Tech58th44th
Hawai'i18th41st
Iowa State4th23rd
Jacksonville State65th82nd
Kansas70th35th
LSU33rd98th
Liberty14th59th
Louisiana19th92nd
Louisville96th70th
Memphis69th65th
Michigan2nd62nd
Michigan State62nd29th
Middle Tennessee87th68th
Missouri36th85th
Navy98th59th
Nevada77th52nd
New Mexico State45th75th
Norfolk State16th9th
North Dakota State86th27th
North Texas49th68th
Ohio38th17th
Ohio State90th40th
Oklahoma State41st49th
Ole Miss94th50th
Oregon35th33rd
Oregon State10th38th
Pittsburgh30th76th
Purdue83rd88th
Rutgers30th71st
Sacramento State23rd14th
Sam Houston78th61st
San Diego State4th40th
San José State54th22nd
South Alabama50th73rd
South Florida91st52nd
Stanford76th15th
Syracuse48th64th
TCU93rd8th
Tennessee65th78th
Texas72nd94th
Texas A&M85th72nd
Texas Tech88th48th
Troy22nd59th
Tulane31st2nd
Tulsa56th1st
UAB65th81st
UNLV51st7th
USC97th99th
UTSA99th29th
Utah State4th93rd
Vanderbilt80th12th
Wake Forest56th97th
Washington81st4th
Washington State8th3rd
Western Kentucky25th34th
Western Michigan39th20th
Wisconsin13th18th
Wyoming65th36th

Halftime identity

Liberty by half

1st-half offense ranks 27th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 11th — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.

league median1st half · 27th pctile2nd half · 11th pctileWorst in FBSBest in FBS
Source CFB Zeitgeist · advanced team stats, garbage-time adjusted by pre-play margin
RatingsWhere the public rating systems put this team.

Model Consensus

Where the Models Rank Liberty

CFB Zeitgeist

#94

-2.3

SP+

#93

-7.2

FPI

#108

-9.2

Elo

#27

1697

The national models put Liberty between 27th and 108th nationally — CFB Zeitgeist agrees, slotting them 94th.

National rank of 138 FBS teams · 2026 season. SP+/FPI/SRS published; Elo & CFB Zeitgeist ranked by rating.

Comparable teamsPrograms built like this one — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, roster size. Not a stat match.

Most similar programs · Liberty

Reads like

AkronMid-AmericanSame tier of program · Same prestige band · Similarly-sized rosters up frontApp StateSun BeltSame tier of program · Same prestige band · Similarly-sized rosters up frontArmyAmerican AthleticSame tier of program · Same prestige band · Similarly-sized rosters up front

Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.

ConditionsThe weather and altitude visitors have to deal with.
Venue texture

65°F average kickoff temp; 17% of games had measurable precipitation; 5 mph average wind.

Based on 52 home games with weather data.

This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. AI-generated content is labeled and may contain factual errors. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site