Next game: at Miami (OH)
Miami (OH)’s best edge on Ohio is big plays
Each unit against the one it meets, by national percentile this season. A filled dot is the attack and a ring is the defense it meets; the first name is the attack. Further right is better for both.
Ohio offense against Miami (OH) defense
Miami (OH) offense against Ohio defense
Percentiles are against all FBS teams this season.
Key stats
Each bar is the team’s national rank as a percentile. A longer bar is better, for defense too.
All 98 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | ZPR | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scrambler · +0.36 EPA/play | 8 | 6 | 69 / 117 | 59.0 | 966 | 8.3 | 7 | 0 | 148.1 | 58 | 42.1 | 8.7 | 5.6 | |
Yards by week → ScramblerMakes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise. 117 pass attempts and 53 carries in 6 games. Fewer passes and runs a game than most FBS quarterbacks who play every week. This week's matchup — QB Poulos extends plays on the move until something opens up. McComb is the one who pushes it downfield on every look. Season receipt Rush usage31.2% 83th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts INT rate0.0% 97th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View Nick Poulos's full player page | ||||||||||||||
| +0.20 EPA/play | 9 | 6 | 41 / 62 | 66.1 | 444 | 7.2 | 4 | 3 | 137.9 | 43 | 40.1 | 5.1 | 8.8 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||||||
| +0.30 EPA/play | 7 | 6 | 18 / 27 | 66.7 | 203 | 7.5 | 2 | 0 | 154.3 | — | 76.9 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | Stuff% | 10+% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Back · +0.15 EPA/play | 6 | 7 | 91 | 463 | 5.1 | 4 | 91 | 12.2 | 11.1 | |
Yards by week → Balanced back· Boom-or-bustPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine 91 carries and 5 catches in 7 games. About as many touches a game as a typical FBS running back who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 134 of 278 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2024 class View Duncan Brune's full player page | ||||||||||
| Balanced Back · +0.09 EPA/play | 4 | 9 | 82 | 369 | 4.5 | 5 | 33 | 13.6 | 11.1 | |
Yards by week → Balanced backPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. 82 carries and 6 catches in 9 games. About as many touches a game as a typical FBS running back who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 134 of 278 classified this way. Played in 9 of 10 games this season · freshman View Victor Rosa's full player page | ||||||||||
| -0.04 EPA/play | 24 | 6 | 24 | 221 | 9.2 | 1 | 60 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||
| -0.10 EPA/play | 22 | 5 | 21 | 79 | 3.8 | 0 | 16 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slot Technician · +0.66 EPA/play | 15 | 9 | 41 | 550 #55 FBS | 13.4 | 5 #39 FBS | 68 | |
Yards by week → Slot technician· Boom-or-bustRuns precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving. 41 catches in 9 games. About as many catches a game as a typical FBS receiver who plays every week. The rare part: the passing game runs through him — and every touch moves the offense, too This week's matchup — WR Neer wins underneath on volume and route precision. Huggins is the one who beats you over the top. Season receipt Reception volume41 91th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Total EPA (college ability)42.9 96th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions — the part the label misses Trait fingerprint Plays like View Riley Neer's full player page | ||||||||
| Deep Threat · +0.86 EPA/play | 3 | 9 | 22 | 447 | 20.3 | 5 #39 FBS | 78 | |
Yards by week → Deep threatStretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play. This week's matchup — WR Dorwart beats you over the top. Huggins is the one who beats you over the top. Season receipt Yards / reception22.6 100th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate22.7% 98th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Dom Dorwart's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.21 EPA/play | 2 | 9 | 19 | 234 | 12.3 | 2 | 67 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiver· Boom-or-bustReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine The most common profile in its group this season — 279 of 467 classified this way. Played in 9 of 10 games this season · freshman View Preston Bowman's full player page | ||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.16 EPA/play | 33 | 6 | 13 | 128 | 9.8 | 0 | 17 | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. The most common profile in its group this season — 126 of 166 classified this way. Played in 6 of 10 games this season · freshman View Jake Furtney's full player page | ||||||||
| -1.07 EPA/play | 85 | 3 | 5 | 61 | 12.2 | 0 | 41 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| +0.05 EPA/play | 84 | 4 | 5 | 55 | 11 | 1 | 19 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| +0.17 EPA/play | 86 | 6 | 5 | 29 | 5.8 | 0 | 18 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finisher | 14 | 7 | 27 | 14 | 6 | 5.5 #29 FBS | 2 |
FinisherTurns pressure into sacks — when he gets there, he finishes. 27 tackles in 7 games. More tackles a game than most FBS defensive linemen who play every week. 10 of 180 EDGEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Pressure-to-sack conversion0.7 92th percentile · FBS EDGE, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Ike Ackerman's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 9 | 9 | 25 | 10 | 4.5 | 1 | 4 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 25 tackles in 9 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 276 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate18.0% 60th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Tyler Gillison's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | — | 8 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 276 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate16.7% 55th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Nehemiah Dukes's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 57 | 9 | 16 | 7 | 2.5 | 1 | 0 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. The most common profile in its group this season — 276 of 606 classified this way. Played in 9 of 10 games this season · freshman View Nathan Hale's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 11 | 6 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 276 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt View Evan Herrmann's full player pageTFL rate6.7% bottom 23th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 98 | 7 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 276 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate15.4% 51th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Derek Reagans's full player page | |||||||
| Versatile End | 23 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Versatile endNo single standout number, but nothing missing either — competent across the board. The most common profile in its group this season — 121 of 180 classified this way. Played in 5 of 10 games this season · freshman View Joseph Marsh's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 51 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate20.0% 67th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Isaiah Street's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 99 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate40.0% 99th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Ty Neubert's full player page | |||||||
| 50 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Linebacker | 25 | 9 | 87 | 45 | 42 | 14 #3 FBS | 6 #17 FBS | 4 | 1 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. Impact starter — 87 tackles in 9 games, more tackles a game than nearly every FBS linebacker who plays every week. 330 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume87 100th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate16.1% 87th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Michael Molnar's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 27 | 8 | 58 | 32 | 26 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 1 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 58 tackles in 8 games. More tackles a game than most FBS linebackers who play every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Jack Fries's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 12 | 6 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 6 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2025 class View Jermaine Minnis's full player page | |||||||||
| 30 | 4 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 32 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Box Safety | 2 | 9 | 43 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Box safety· Takeaway threatLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. the kind of DB who takes it back the other way Starter — 43 tackles in 9 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 150 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume43 83th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View DJ Walker's full player page | |||||||
| Box Safety | 3 | 7 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Box safetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. 37 tackles in 7 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 150 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume37 68th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View JT Haskins's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 4 | 9 | 32 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Hybrid nickel· Return threatMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. a house-call threat every time he fields it 32 tackles in 9 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 358 of 657 classified this way. Played in 9 of 10 games this season · freshman View DJ James-Hamilton's full player page | |||||||
| Perimeter Tackler | 20 | 9 | 31 | 6 #43 FBS | 1 | 1.5 | 0 |
Perimeter tacklerTargeted often and asked to tackle in space on the perimeter. 31 tackles in 9 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 36 of 244 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume31 87th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Kendall Bannister's full player page | |||||||
| Cover Corner | 21 | 9 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 2.5 | 0 |
Cover cornerSteady in coverage; doesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play. 138 of 244 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate0.0% bottom 10th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Ronald Jackson Jr.'s full player page | |||||||
| Centerfielder | 8 | 8 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
CenterfielderSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. 116 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate13.0% 75th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Barry Dillon's full player page | |||||||
| 28 | — | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 19 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1.5 | 0 | |
| 17 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 39 | — | 11/15 | 73.3 | 38/38 | 71 | 44 |
| Steady | 47 | 8 | 10/13 | 76.9 | 26/26 | 56 | 50 |
| 43 | 2 | 0/1 | 0 | 5/5 | 5 | 0 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinner | 42 | 9 | 26 | 1149 | 44.2 | 53 | 11 | 1 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hybrid Nickel | 4 | 9 | 16 | 505 | 31.6 | 2 | 100 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hybrid Nickel | 4 | 9 | 9 | 56 | 6.2 | 0 | 14 |
Biggest plays from Ohio’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in Ohio’s games this season, whoever made them.
Q1, 12:07 · South Alabama tiedKeenan Phillips runs 6 yards for a touchdownOhio at South Alabama, week 3Q1, 12:07 · South Alabama 7, Ohio 0South Alabama opened the scoringSouth Alabama opened the scoringK.Phillips rush middle for 6 yards gain to the OHIO00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
Sun Belt Conference
Q1, 13:49 · Ohio tiedNick Poulos finds Riley Neer for a 4-yard touchdownOhio at Nebraska, week 1Q1, 13:49 · Ohio 7, Nebraska 0Ohio opened the scoringOhio opened the scoringN.Poulos pass complete short right to R.Neer caught at NEB00, for 4 yards to the NEB00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play
- Q3, 13:59 · Ohio down 17Victor Rosa runs 33 yards for a touchdownOhio at South Alabama, week 3Q3, 13:59 · Ohio 14, South Alabama 24▲5%Ohio’s chance to win, 4% to 9%▲5%Ohio’s chance to win, 4% to 9%V.Rosa rush middle for 33 yards gain to the USA 00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play Sun Belt Conference
- Q4, 8:21 · South Alabama up 10Trae'von Dunbar runs 5 yards for a touchdownOhio at South Alabama, week 3Q4, 8:21 · South Alabama 38, Ohio 21South Alabama made it a three-score game with 8:21 leftSouth Alabama made it a three-score game with 8:21 leftT.Dunbar rush middle for 5 yards gain to the OHIO00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play Sun Belt Conference
- Q2, 14:24 · South Alabama up 7Trae'von Dunbar runs 32 yards for a touchdownOhio at South Alabama, week 3Q2, 14:24 · South Alabama 21, Ohio 7▲3%South Alabama’s chance to win, 90% to 93%▲3%South Alabama’s chance to win, 90% to 93%T.Dunbar rush middle for 32 yards gain to the OHIO00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play Sun Belt Conference
Q3, 4:41 · Nebraska up 1Anthony Colandrea runs 13 yards for a touchdownOhio at Nebraska, week 1Q3, 4:41 · Nebraska 21, Ohio 13▲3%Nebraska’s chance to win, 93% to 96%▲3%Nebraska’s chance to win, 93% to 96%A.Colandrea rush left for 13 yards gain to the OHI00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
How scary each game got
Ohio lost at Nebraska after being 68% to win; the closest win was against Jacksonville State, down to 13%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave Ohio during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Stat leaders
2026 stat leaders · Ohio
through 9 games
2026 stat leaders · OhioMichael Molnar leads Ohio with 87 tackles through 9 games.
Roster
Roster
2026+18 more
Recruiting and the portal: top commits · who's gone and who's back
How they play
Ohio fields a strong run-heavy offense behind a strong defense.
Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Player percentiles
Ohio reads strongest in success rate (top 31%) and rushing EPA (top 33%); the crux lives in passing EPA allowed, where Ohio sits at the 43rd percentile.
Offense · strengths lead
Defense · higher bar = harder to play against
Hidden math · special situations
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Ohio is worth +5.0 points more at home than on the road.
Middle of FBS, 64th percentile of 133 programs
78% at home, 48% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (31-9 home, 23-25 away). Interval ±3.8.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, Ohio has beaten the number by −0.9 more at home than away over 96 games. That is inside the ±5.5 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
Peden Stadium seats 24,000 and has averaged 79% full (19,071, 28 games reported). Visitors get here easily: a median 275 miles trip since 2018, the 25th-shortest of 135 FBS venues. There is no travel penalty on visitors here either way. 18% of the 2026 roster (24 of 131 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 48 home games since 2018.
More in this tab
How they play
Usage splits
How the players get used
From the 2025 season's play-by-play
- Deep threatChase Hendricks is a real deep-ball threat: a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.
- Short yardageSieh Bangura converts 3rd/4th-and-short at an elite rate.
Position battles
RB room
The carries are split. The job isn’t.
Duncan Brune and Victor Rosa split the carries (90/169 vs 79/169) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
WR/TE room
The targets are split. The job isn’t.
Riley Neer (WR) and Jake Furtney (TE) split the targets (62/79 vs 17/79) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
Scheme claims
Team identity · competitive snaps only
How Ohio actually scores
67th percentile quality, 43rd percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 76th | 3rd |
| Akron | 9th | 90th |
| Alabama | 82nd | 22nd |
| App State | 41st | 48th |
| Arizona | 91st | 16th |
| Arizona State | 20th | 83rd |
| Arkansas | 7th | 93rd |
| Arkansas State | 60th | 32nd |
| Army | 95th | 10th |
| Auburn | 34th | 59th |
| BYU | 83rd | 17th |
| Ball State | 32nd | 72nd |
| Baylor | 36th | 63rd |
| Boise State | 96th | 4th |
| Boston College | 20th | 80th |
| Buffalo | 8th | 88th |
| Central Michigan | 6th | 96th |
| Cincinnati | 88th | 15th |
| Clemson | 10th | 92nd |
| Coastal Carolina | 49th | 57th |
| Colorado | 15th | 86th |
| Colorado State | 88th | 30th |
| Delaware | 63rd | 40th |
| Duke | 74th | 8th |
| East Carolina | 24th | 77th |
| Eastern Michigan | 14th | 80th |
| Florida | 75th | 37th |
| Florida Atlantic | 72nd | 25th |
| Florida International | 2nd | 98th |
| Florida State | 64th | 44th |
| Fresno State | 56th | 52nd |
| Georgia | 92nd | 11th |
| Georgia Southern | 52nd | 40th |
| Georgia State | 77th | 36th |
| Georgia Tech | 30th | 70th |
| Hawai'i | 12th | 88th |
| Houston | 89th | 2nd |
| Illinois | 70th | 38th |
| Indiana | 85th | 18th |
| Iowa | 52nd | 53rd |
| Iowa State | 43rd | 62nd |
| Jacksonville State | 62nd | 41st |
| James Madison | 58th | 35th |
| Kansas | 28th | 66th |
| Kansas State | 48th | 44th |
| Kennesaw State | 23rd | 79th |
| Kentucky | 71st | 21st |
| LSU | 86th | 9th |
| Liberty | 78th | 29th |
| Louisiana | 27th | 69th |
| Louisiana Tech | 60th | 47th |
| Louisville | 94th | 19th |
| Marshall | 36th | 61st |
| Maryland | 17th | 85th |
| Massachusetts | 38th | 60th |
| Memphis | 87th | 20th |
| Miami | 100th | 0th |
| Miami (OH) | 68th | 31st |
| Michigan | 25th | 71st |
| Middle Tennessee | 37th | 60th |
| Minnesota | 4th | 95th |
| Mississippi State | 35th | 65th |
| Missouri | 54th | 49th |
| Missouri State | 40th | 64th |
| NC State | 69th | 28th |
| Navy | 57th | 51st |
| Nebraska | 59th | 32nd |
| Nevada | 1st | 99th |
| New Mexico | 39th | 68th |
| North Carolina | 48th | 45th |
| North Dakota State | 31st | 64th |
| North Texas | 99th | 1st |
| Northern Illinois | 12th | 89th |
| Northwestern | 93rd | 6th |
| Notre Dame | 97th | 5th |
| Ohio | 67th | 43rd |
| Ohio State | 79th | 23rd |
| Oklahoma State | 76th | 14th |
| Ole Miss | 80th | 8th |
| Oregon | 28th | 72nd |
| Oregon State | 92nd | 13th |
| Penn State | 47th | 48th |
| Pittsburgh | 44th | 50th |
| Purdue | 65th | 34th |
| Rice | 18th | 87th |
| Rutgers | 32nd | 76th |
| SMU | 81st | 16th |
| San Diego State | 5th | 94th |
| San José State | 13th | 84th |
| South Alabama | 64th | 27th |
| South Carolina | 55th | 54th |
| South Florida | 42nd | 56th |
| Southern Miss | 3rd | 97th |
| Stanford | 53rd | 55th |
| Syracuse | 24th | 74th |
| TCU | 21st | 75th |
| Temple | 56th | 56th |
| Tennessee | 45th | 42nd |
| Texas | 11th | 91st |
| Texas A&M | 16th | 78th |
| Texas State | 90th | 12th |
| Texas Tech | 50th | 46th |
| Toledo | 84th | 24th |
| Troy | 8th | 92nd |
| Tulane | 33rd | 73rd |
| Tulsa | 68th | 28th |
| UAB | 16th | 81st |
| UCF | 19th | 82nd |
| UCLA | 61st | 36th |
| UConn | 84th | 26th |
| UNLV | 44th | 67th |
| USC | 80th | 12th |
| UTSA | 72nd | 20th |
| Utah | 96th | 7th |
| Utah State | 0th | 100th |
| Vanderbilt | 26th | 76th |
| Virginia | 51st | 39th |
| Virginia Tech | 66th | 33rd |
| Wake Forest | 98th | 4th |
| Washington | 40th | 58th |
| West Virginia | 73rd | 24th |
| Western Kentucky | 4th | 96th |
| Western Michigan | 29th | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 22nd | 84th |
| Wyoming | 46th | 52nd |
Ohio’s 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 86th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it drops to the 85th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does Ohio hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
82nd percentile success on standard downs, 42nd on passing downs — a 40-point gap between the two.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 98th | 23rd |
| Akron | 58th | 34th |
| Alabama | 77th | 57th |
| App State | 33rd | 49th |
| Arizona | 76th | 94th |
| Arizona State | 38th | 61st |
| Arkansas | 71st | 24th |
| Arkansas State | 85th | 59th |
| Army | 93rd | 58th |
| Auburn | 14th | 69th |
| BYU | 86th | 35th |
| Ball State | 31st | 52nd |
| Baylor | 15th | 46th |
| Boise State | 77th | 92nd |
| Boston College | 63rd | 28th |
| Bowling Green | 43rd | 21st |
| Buffalo | 9th | 11th |
| California | 11th | 20th |
| Central Michigan | 36th | 9th |
| Charlotte | 18th | 41st |
| Cincinnati | 68th | 83rd |
| Clemson | 7th | 39th |
| Coastal Carolina | 23rd | 64th |
| Colorado | 16th | 65th |
| Colorado State | 66th | 95th |
| Delaware | 59th | 64th |
| Duke | 21st | 67th |
| East Carolina | 37th | 19th |
| Eastern Michigan | 16th | 30th |
| Florida | 61st | 70th |
| Florida Atlantic | 67th | 87th |
| Florida International | 20th | 53rd |
| Florida State | 30th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 25th | 84th |
| Gardner-Webb | 5th | 23rd |
| Georgia | 98th | 89th |
| Georgia Southern | 60th | 71st |
| Georgia State | 68th | 66th |
| Georgia Tech | 53rd | 40th |
| Hawai'i | 48th | 29th |
| Houston | 87th | 99th |
| Illinois | 73rd | 91st |
| Indiana | 55th | 44th |
| Iowa | 79th | 13th |
| Iowa State | 18th | 31st |
| Jacksonville State | 82nd | 80th |
| James Madison | 45th | 77th |
| Kansas | 52nd | 18th |
| Kansas State | 64th | 68th |
| Kennesaw State | 61st | 16th |
| Kent State | 5th | 21st |
| Kentucky | 90th | 51st |
| LSU | 86th | 98th |
| Liberty | 93rd | 78th |
| Louisiana | 36th | 66th |
| Louisiana Tech | 26th | 79th |
| Louisville | 95th | 72nd |
| Maine | 0th | 86th |
| Marshall | 69th | 32nd |
| Maryland | 34th | 26th |
| Massachusetts | 35th | 38th |
| Memphis | 92nd | 93rd |
| Mercyhurst | 2nd | 34th |
| Miami | 99th | 95th |
| Miami (OH) | 50th | 43rd |
| Michigan | 10th | 89th |
| Michigan State | 23rd | 55th |
| Middle Tennessee | 27th | 64th |
| Minnesota | 32nd | 4th |
| Mississippi State | 66th | 59th |
| Missouri | 34th | 41st |
| Missouri State | 52nd | 30th |
| NC State | 62nd | 77th |
| Navy | 89th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 46th | 85th |
| Nevada | 28th | 27th |
| New Mexico | 55th | 48th |
| New Mexico State | 14th | 36th |
| Norfolk State | 7th | 0th |
| North Carolina | 89th | 73rd |
| North Dakota State | 30th | 45th |
| North Texas | 95th | 84th |
| Northern Illinois | 51st | 14th |
| Northwestern | 88th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 100th | 43rd |
| Ohio | 82nd | 42nd |
| Ohio State | 84th | 80th |
| Oklahoma | 4th | 50th |
| Oklahoma State | 96th | 86th |
| Old Dominion | 1st | 36th |
| Ole Miss | 81st | 94th |
| Oregon | 39th | 26th |
| Oregon State | 97th | 70th |
| Penn State | 20th | 47th |
| Pittsburgh | 65th | 50th |
| Purdue | 57th | 82nd |
| Rice | 59th | 14th |
| Robert Morris | 2nd | 5th |
| Rutgers | 42nd | 81st |
| SMU | 91st | 82nd |
| Sacramento State | 13th | 6th |
| Sam Houston | 11th | 37th |
| San Diego State | 8th | 54th |
| San José State | 17th | 2nd |
| South Alabama | 44th | 74th |
| South Carolina | 70th | 56th |
| South Florida | 84th | 57th |
| Southern Miss | 48th | 7th |
| Stanford | 40th | 9th |
| Syracuse | 57th | 39th |
| TCU | 70th | 10th |
| Temple | 50th | 68th |
| Tennessee | 75th | 12th |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 46th | 55th |
| Texas State | 74th | 100th |
| Texas Tech | 64th | 76th |
| Toledo | 73rd | 52nd |
| Troy | 39th | 15th |
| Tulane | 12th | 8th |
| Tulsa | 49th | 7th |
| UAB | 24th | 62nd |
| UCF | 29th | 45th |
| UCLA | 80th | 60th |
| UConn | 72nd | 73rd |
| UL Monroe | 47th | 11th |
| UNLV | 41st | 19th |
| USC | 79th | 97th |
| UT Martin | 6th | 3rd |
| UTEP | 9th | 1st |
| UTSA | 91st | 33rd |
| Utah | 94th | 98th |
| Utah State | 3rd | 76th |
| Vanderbilt | 41st | 32nd |
| Virginia | 83rd | 2nd |
| Virginia Tech | 43rd | 91st |
| Wake Forest | 75th | 96th |
| Washington | 56th | 16th |
| Washington State | 19th | 5th |
| West Virginia | 54th | 75th |
| Western Kentucky | 22nd | 25th |
| Western Michigan | 32nd | 27th |
| Wisconsin | 25th | 22nd |
| Wyoming | 78th | 48th |
Ohio by half
1st-half offense ranks 51st percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 85th — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
How much of Ohio’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.19; 79th percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.07. The widest gap came in week 5: 0.24 raw vs. 0.07 adjusted.
Tendency drift
How Ohio’s current staff calls plays, year over year
Pass defense by zone
What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Ohio’s passing game completes a completion rate above the FBS mean (67.3% vs 67.0% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 167-play sample) — mid-pack, 71 of 136 qualifying offenses.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Ohio’s defense allows a completion rate above the FBS mean (66.9% vs 66.3% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 216-play sample) — mid-pack, 84 of 137 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Turnover luck
Recovering 33% of the fumbles they've forced — running cold vs. the ~48% league rate.
3 of 9 forced fumbles recovered; 7 of 15 own fumbles recovered themselves, 2026 only.
Takeaways
Converting 15% of pass disruptions into takeaways — right in line with the ~18% league rate.
5 interceptions of 34 disrupted passes (29 deflected, 5 intercepted), 2026 only.
Penalties
Winning the penalty battle: 46 penalties committed vs. 60 drawn on opponents, a 92-yard edge.
416 penalty yards committed vs. 508 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.
Ratings and comparisons
Ratings
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · Ohio
Most similar programs · OhioReads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.
Weather
Peden Stadium, Athens, OH
Usual during the game around Nov 17: 39°, between 26° and 51° in about 7 in 10 games (27 games since 2016).
Road games since 2016: the middle game was 57°, and 8 in 10 ran between 36° and 79° (52 of 55 road games, at stadiums we cover).
What a usual Saturday feels like here, by kickoff time
Airport readings near each stadium during the game, not on the field. How we measure
Weather observations: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at Iowa State University. Rain: NOAA MRMS radar and CoCoRaHS volunteer gauges (CC BY 4.0). Game data: CollegeFootballData.com.