Next game: vs Maryland
Purdue’s best edge on Maryland is red zone
Each unit against the one it meets, by national percentile this season. A filled dot is the attack and a ring is the defense it meets; the first name is the attack. Further right is better for both.
Purdue offense against Maryland defense
Maryland offense against Purdue defense
Percentiles are against all FBS teams this season.
Key stats
Each bar is the team’s national rank as a percentile. A longer bar is better, for defense too.
All 98 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | ZPR | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pocket Passer · +0.33 EPA/play | 15 | 8 | 155 / 250 | 62 | 1964 #23 FBS | 7.9 | 11 #57 FBS | 5 | 138.5 | 68 | 69.2 | 7.1 | 4.9 | |
Yards by week → Pocket passerBalanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile. Impact starter — 250 pass attempts and 43 carries in 8 games, about as many passes and runs a game as a typical FBS quarterback who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 79 of 159 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2023 class View Ryan Browne's full player page | ||||||||||||||
| 1 | 3 | 11 / 14 | 78.6 | 96 | 6.9 | 1 | 0 | 159.7 | — | 47.3 | — | — | ||
Yards by week → | ||||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | Stuff% | 10+% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Back · +0.10 EPA/play | 2 | 8 | 141 | 588 #52 FBS | 4.2 | 9 #16 FBS | 30 | 16.8 | 10.9 | |
Yards by week → Balanced backPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. Starter — 141 carries and 17 catches in 8 games, more touches a game than nearly every FBS running back who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 134 of 278 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Fame Ijeboi's full player page | ||||||||||
| +0.22 EPA/play | 22 | 7 | 28 | 162 | 5.8 | 2 | 59 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Threat · +0.54 EPA/play | 19 | 8 | 41 | 652 #30 FBS | 15.9 | 1 | 61 | |
Yards by week → Deep threatStretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play. Starter — 41 catches and 1 carry in 8 games, more catches a game than most FBS receivers who play every week. This week's matchup — WR Waseem beats you over the top. Zee is the one who wins the 50-50 ball at the goal line. Season receipt Yards / reception16.6 81th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Reception volume41 91th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Asaad Waseem's full player page | ||||||||
| Slot Technician · +0.44 EPA/play | 3 | 8 | 36 | 416 | 11.6 | 3 | 75 | |
Yards by week → Slot technician· Boom-or-bustRuns precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine 36 catches and 1 carry in 8 games. About as many catches a game as a typical FBS receiver who plays every week. This week's matchup — WR Townsend wins underneath on volume and route precision. Zee is the one who wins the 50-50 ball at the goal line. Season receipt Reception volume36 81th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Plays like View Xavier Townsend's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.49 EPA/play | 5 | 7 | 18 | 221 | 12.3 | 1 | 31 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. The most common profile in its group this season — 279 of 467 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman View Chauncey Magwood's full player page | ||||||||
| +0.49 EPA/play | 11 | 5 | 11 | 150 | 13.6 | 2 | 24 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.74 EPA/play | 81 | 7 | 10 | 137 | 13.7 | 2 | 30 | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. The most common profile in its group this season — 126 of 166 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2023 class View George Burhenn's full player page | ||||||||
| +0.36 EPA/play | 8 | 5 | 8 | 125 | 15.6 | 1 | 30 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Versatile End | 33 | 7 | 26 | 8 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 1 |
Versatile endNo single standout number, but nothing missing either — competent across the board. Starter — 26 tackles in 7 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 121 of 180 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2026 class View Jeremy Lewis's full player page | |||||||
| Versatile End | 11 | 8 | 20 | 13 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 3 |
Versatile endNo single standout number, but nothing missing either — competent across the board. 20 tackles in 8 games. Fewer tackles a game than most FBS defensive linemen who play every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 121 of 180 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Keyshawn Burgos's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 92 | 7 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 2.5 | 1 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 19 tackles in 7 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 276 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate21.1% 70th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Curt Neal's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 40 | 7 | 18 | 7 | 1.5 | 1 | 0 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 18 tackles in 7 games. Fewer tackles a game than most FBS defensive linemen who play every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 276 of 606 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman View Ian Jeffries's full player page | |||||||
| Versatile End | 58 | 7 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Versatile endNo single standout number, but nothing missing either — competent across the board. 18 tackles in 7 games. Fewer tackles a game than most FBS defensive linemen who play every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 121 of 180 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman View Breeon Ishmail's full player page | |||||||
| Versatile End | 23 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | 1 |
Versatile endNo single standout number, but nothing missing either — competent across the board. The most common profile in its group this season — 121 of 180 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman View Trey Smith's full player page | |||||||
| Nose Anchor | 94 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | 1 |
Nose anchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. 130 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight310 lb 82th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Rodney Lora's full player page | |||||||
| 8 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 91 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Linebacker | — | 8 | 53 | 21 | 32 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 #51 FBS |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. Starter — 53 tackles in 8 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Jojo Hayden's full player page | |||||||||
| Coverage 'Backer | 5 | 8 | 44 | 13 | 31 | 2 | 0.5 | 6 | 1 |
Coverage ’backerCarries tight ends and patrols the middle of the field in coverage. 44 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. 89 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate13.6% 100th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate4.5% bottom 26th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Charles Correa's full player page | |||||||||
| Sideline-to-Sideline | 20 | 8 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sideline-to-sidelineRanges from hash to hash and makes his own tackles. 83 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Solo tackle rate0.6 82th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate0.0% bottom 9th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Winston Berglund's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 47 | 5 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 330 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume15 bottom 10th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles PD rate0.0% bottom 21th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Tre Moore's full player page | |||||||||
| 25 | 6 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 16 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Box Safety | 21 | 8 | 51 | 0 | 0 | 1.5 | 0 |
Box safetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. Impact starter — 51 tackles in 8 games, more tackles a game than most FBS defensive backs who play every week. 150 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume51 94th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Justin Denson Jr.'s full player page | |||||||
| Box Safety | 13 | 8 | 43 | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 |
Box safetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. Starter — 43 tackles in 8 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 150 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume43 83th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View John Slaughter's full player page | |||||||
| Rover | 7 | 8 | 41 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Rover· Takeaway threatHits like a linebacker and still takes the ball away. the kind of DB who takes it back the other way Starter — 41 tackles in 8 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 33 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate12.2% 72th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Donovan Saunders's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 2 | 7 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 27 tackles in 7 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 358 of 657 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman View Jaden Mangham's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 4 | 8 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. The most common profile in its group this season — 358 of 657 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2024 class View Hudauri Hines's full player page | |||||||
| Centerfielder | 1 | 7 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 |
CenterfielderSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. 116 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate11.1% 67th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Smiley Bradford's full player page | |||||||
| 29 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 6 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Automatic | 92 | 8 | 16/17 | 94.1 | 24/24 | 72 | 49 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 42 | 8 | 25 | 1130 | 45.2 | 78 | 10 | 1 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -0.14 EPA/play | 20 | 5 | 5 | 110 | 22 | 0 | 32 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slot Technician · +0.44 EPA/play | 3 | 8 | 9 | 67 | 7.4 | 0 | 18 |
Biggest plays from Purdue’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in Purdue’s games this season, whoever made them.
Overtime, 0:00 · Wake Forest down 6, takes the leadGiovanni Lopez runs 3 yards for a touchdownWake Forest at Purdue, week 2Overtime, 0:00 · Wake Forest 38, Purdue 36Overtime two-point conversion for Wake ForestOvertime two-point conversion for Wake ForestGio Lopez 3 yd Run (Gio Lopez Run for Two-Point Conversion)▶Watch from this play
Q4, 1:19 · Purdue down 12Rylon Dillard-Allen intercepts Ryan BrowneWashington at Purdue, week 7Q4, 1:19 · Purdue 26, Washington 38Purdue turned it over with 1:19 left, trailing by 12Purdue turned it over with 1:19 left, trailing by 12R.Browne pass intercepted by R.Dillard-Allen at UW 41, End Of Play▶Watch from this play- Q4, 11:18 · Purdue down 11Ryan Browne runs 8 yards for a touchdownWashington at Purdue, week 7Q4, 11:18 · Purdue 26, Washington 31Purdue answered right backPurdue answered right backR.Browne rush left for 8 yards gain to the UW 00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN R.Browne pass attempt failed R.Browne pass attempt failed penalty R.Browne pass attempt failed penalty PUR Ineligible Downfield on Pass declined▶Watch from this play
- Q3, 6:44 · Washington up 7Jojo Hayden intercepts Elijah BrownWashington at Purdue, week 7Q3, 6:44 · Washington 24, Purdue 173Washington’s turnover led to a field goal3Washington’s turnover led to a field goalWashington’s turnover led to a field goalE.Brown pass intercepted by J.Hayden at UW 40, End Of Play▶Watch from this play
- Q3, 13:01 · Purdue down 3, takes the leadRyan Browne finds George Burhenn for a 30-yard touchdownPurdue at UCLA, week 3Q3, 13:01 · Purdue 28, UCLA 24Go-ahead score for Purdue in the third quarterGo-ahead score for Purdue in the third quarterR.Browne pass complete deep right to G.Burhenn caught at UCLA08, for 30 yards to the UCLA00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
Q1, 6:19 · Washington tiedElijah Brown finds Decker DeGraaf for a 2-yard touchdownWashington at Purdue, week 7Q1, 6:19 · Washington 7, Purdue 0Washington opened the scoringWashington opened the scoringE.Brown pass complete short right to D.DeGraaf caught at PUR04, for 2 yards to the PUR00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play
How scary each game got
Purdue lost to Wake Forest after being 96% to win; the closest win was at Illinois, down to 39%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave Purdue during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Stat leaders
2026 stat leaders · Purdue
through 8 games
2026 stat leaders · PurdueAsaad Waseem leads Purdue with 652 receiving yards through 8 games.
Roster
Roster
2026+18 more
Recruiting and the portal: top commits · who's gone and who's back
How they play
Purdue fields a capable explosive, big-play offense behind a porous defense, though it gives up the big play.
Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Player percentiles
Purdue reads strongest in explosive plays (top 23%) and red-zone finish (top 25%); the crux lives in passing EPA allowed, where Purdue sits at the 2nd percentile.
Offense · strengths lead
Defense · higher bar = harder to play against
Hidden math · special situations
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Purdue is worth +1.6 points more at home than on the road.
Bottom third of FBS, 12th percentile of 133 programs
37% at home, 33% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (19-32 home, 14-28 away). Interval ±4.2.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, Purdue has beaten the number by −1.5 more at home than away over 97 games. That is inside the ±6.4 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
Ross-Ade Stadium seats 57,282 and has averaged 99% full (56,658, 30 games reported). Visitors get here easily: a median 256 miles trip since 2018, the 18th-shortest of 135 FBS venues. There is no travel penalty on visitors here either way. 18% of the 2026 roster (20 of 110 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 55 home games since 2018.
More in this tab
How they play
Usage splits
How the players get used
From the 2025 season's play-by-play
- Garbage timeAntonio Harris sees a real spike in usage once the game is out of reach, and his efficiency in competitive snaps sits below the position baseline: the numbers lean on the opponent giving up.
- Money downMichael Jackson III is a legitimate money-down target: his 3rd-down conversion rate ranks among the position's best, and his per-target value holds up in that spot too.
- Garbage timeNitro Tuggle sees a real spike in usage once the game is out of reach, and his efficiency in competitive snaps sits below the position baseline: the numbers lean on the opponent giving up.
- Deep threatMichael Jackson III is used almost exclusively underneath: a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
- Garbage timeMichael Jackson III does not see a usage spike in garbage time: his workload holds steady regardless of score.
Position battles
RB room
The carries are split. The job isn’t.
Fame Ijeboi and Antonio Harris split the carries (137/164 vs 27/164) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
WR/TE room
The targets are split. The job isn’t.
Asaad Waseem (WR) and George Burhenn (TE) split the targets (60/73 vs 13/73) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
Scheme claims
Team identity · competitive snaps only
How Purdue actually scores
65th percentile quality, 34th percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 76th | 3rd |
| Akron | 9th | 90th |
| Alabama | 82nd | 22nd |
| App State | 41st | 48th |
| Arizona | 91st | 16th |
| Arizona State | 20th | 83rd |
| Arkansas | 7th | 93rd |
| Arkansas State | 60th | 32nd |
| Army | 95th | 10th |
| Auburn | 34th | 59th |
| BYU | 83rd | 17th |
| Ball State | 32nd | 72nd |
| Baylor | 36th | 63rd |
| Boise State | 96th | 4th |
| Boston College | 20th | 80th |
| Buffalo | 8th | 88th |
| Central Michigan | 6th | 96th |
| Cincinnati | 88th | 15th |
| Clemson | 10th | 92nd |
| Coastal Carolina | 49th | 57th |
| Colorado | 15th | 86th |
| Colorado State | 88th | 30th |
| Delaware | 63rd | 40th |
| Duke | 74th | 8th |
| East Carolina | 24th | 77th |
| Eastern Michigan | 14th | 80th |
| Florida | 75th | 37th |
| Florida Atlantic | 72nd | 25th |
| Florida International | 2nd | 98th |
| Florida State | 64th | 44th |
| Fresno State | 56th | 52nd |
| Georgia | 92nd | 11th |
| Georgia Southern | 52nd | 40th |
| Georgia State | 77th | 36th |
| Georgia Tech | 30th | 70th |
| Hawai'i | 12th | 88th |
| Houston | 89th | 2nd |
| Illinois | 70th | 38th |
| Indiana | 85th | 18th |
| Iowa | 52nd | 53rd |
| Iowa State | 43rd | 62nd |
| Jacksonville State | 62nd | 41st |
| James Madison | 58th | 35th |
| Kansas | 28th | 66th |
| Kansas State | 48th | 44th |
| Kennesaw State | 23rd | 79th |
| Kentucky | 71st | 21st |
| LSU | 86th | 9th |
| Liberty | 78th | 29th |
| Louisiana | 27th | 69th |
| Louisiana Tech | 60th | 47th |
| Louisville | 94th | 19th |
| Marshall | 36th | 61st |
| Maryland | 17th | 85th |
| Massachusetts | 38th | 60th |
| Memphis | 87th | 20th |
| Miami | 100th | 0th |
| Miami (OH) | 68th | 31st |
| Michigan | 25th | 71st |
| Middle Tennessee | 37th | 60th |
| Minnesota | 4th | 95th |
| Mississippi State | 35th | 65th |
| Missouri | 54th | 49th |
| Missouri State | 40th | 64th |
| NC State | 69th | 28th |
| Navy | 57th | 51st |
| Nebraska | 59th | 32nd |
| Nevada | 1st | 99th |
| New Mexico | 39th | 68th |
| North Carolina | 48th | 45th |
| North Dakota State | 31st | 64th |
| North Texas | 99th | 1st |
| Northern Illinois | 12th | 89th |
| Northwestern | 93rd | 6th |
| Notre Dame | 97th | 5th |
| Ohio | 67th | 43rd |
| Ohio State | 79th | 23rd |
| Oklahoma State | 76th | 14th |
| Ole Miss | 80th | 8th |
| Oregon | 28th | 72nd |
| Oregon State | 92nd | 13th |
| Penn State | 47th | 48th |
| Pittsburgh | 44th | 50th |
| Purdue | 65th | 34th |
| Rice | 18th | 87th |
| Rutgers | 32nd | 76th |
| SMU | 81st | 16th |
| San Diego State | 5th | 94th |
| San José State | 13th | 84th |
| South Alabama | 64th | 27th |
| South Carolina | 55th | 54th |
| South Florida | 42nd | 56th |
| Southern Miss | 3rd | 97th |
| Stanford | 53rd | 55th |
| Syracuse | 24th | 74th |
| TCU | 21st | 75th |
| Temple | 56th | 56th |
| Tennessee | 45th | 42nd |
| Texas | 11th | 91st |
| Texas A&M | 16th | 78th |
| Texas State | 90th | 12th |
| Texas Tech | 50th | 46th |
| Toledo | 84th | 24th |
| Troy | 8th | 92nd |
| Tulane | 33rd | 73rd |
| Tulsa | 68th | 28th |
| UAB | 16th | 81st |
| UCF | 19th | 82nd |
| UCLA | 61st | 36th |
| UConn | 84th | 26th |
| UNLV | 44th | 67th |
| USC | 80th | 12th |
| UTSA | 72nd | 20th |
| Utah | 96th | 7th |
| Utah State | 0th | 100th |
| Vanderbilt | 26th | 76th |
| Virginia | 51st | 39th |
| Virginia Tech | 66th | 33rd |
| Wake Forest | 98th | 4th |
| Washington | 40th | 58th |
| West Virginia | 73rd | 24th |
| Western Kentucky | 4th | 96th |
| Western Michigan | 29th | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 22nd | 84th |
| Wyoming | 46th | 52nd |
Purdue’s 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 46th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it drops to the 43rd — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does Purdue hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
57th percentile success on standard downs, 82nd on passing downs — a 25-point gap between the two.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 98th | 23rd |
| Akron | 58th | 34th |
| Alabama | 77th | 57th |
| App State | 33rd | 49th |
| Arizona | 76th | 94th |
| Arizona State | 38th | 61st |
| Arkansas | 71st | 24th |
| Arkansas State | 85th | 59th |
| Army | 93rd | 58th |
| Auburn | 14th | 69th |
| BYU | 86th | 35th |
| Ball State | 31st | 52nd |
| Baylor | 15th | 46th |
| Boise State | 77th | 92nd |
| Boston College | 63rd | 28th |
| Bowling Green | 43rd | 21st |
| Buffalo | 9th | 11th |
| California | 11th | 20th |
| Central Michigan | 36th | 9th |
| Charlotte | 18th | 41st |
| Cincinnati | 68th | 83rd |
| Clemson | 7th | 39th |
| Coastal Carolina | 23rd | 64th |
| Colorado | 16th | 65th |
| Colorado State | 66th | 95th |
| Delaware | 59th | 64th |
| Duke | 21st | 67th |
| East Carolina | 37th | 19th |
| Eastern Michigan | 16th | 30th |
| Florida | 61st | 70th |
| Florida Atlantic | 67th | 87th |
| Florida International | 20th | 53rd |
| Florida State | 30th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 25th | 84th |
| Gardner-Webb | 5th | 23rd |
| Georgia | 98th | 89th |
| Georgia Southern | 60th | 71st |
| Georgia State | 68th | 66th |
| Georgia Tech | 53rd | 40th |
| Hawai'i | 48th | 29th |
| Houston | 87th | 99th |
| Illinois | 73rd | 91st |
| Indiana | 55th | 44th |
| Iowa | 79th | 13th |
| Iowa State | 18th | 31st |
| Jacksonville State | 82nd | 80th |
| James Madison | 45th | 77th |
| Kansas | 52nd | 18th |
| Kansas State | 64th | 68th |
| Kennesaw State | 61st | 16th |
| Kent State | 5th | 21st |
| Kentucky | 90th | 51st |
| LSU | 86th | 98th |
| Liberty | 93rd | 78th |
| Louisiana | 36th | 66th |
| Louisiana Tech | 26th | 79th |
| Louisville | 95th | 72nd |
| Maine | 0th | 86th |
| Marshall | 69th | 32nd |
| Maryland | 34th | 26th |
| Massachusetts | 35th | 38th |
| Memphis | 92nd | 93rd |
| Mercyhurst | 2nd | 34th |
| Miami | 99th | 95th |
| Miami (OH) | 50th | 43rd |
| Michigan | 10th | 89th |
| Michigan State | 23rd | 55th |
| Middle Tennessee | 27th | 64th |
| Minnesota | 32nd | 4th |
| Mississippi State | 66th | 59th |
| Missouri | 34th | 41st |
| Missouri State | 52nd | 30th |
| NC State | 62nd | 77th |
| Navy | 89th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 46th | 85th |
| Nevada | 28th | 27th |
| New Mexico | 55th | 48th |
| New Mexico State | 14th | 36th |
| Norfolk State | 7th | 0th |
| North Carolina | 89th | 73rd |
| North Dakota State | 30th | 45th |
| North Texas | 95th | 84th |
| Northern Illinois | 51st | 14th |
| Northwestern | 88th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 100th | 43rd |
| Ohio | 82nd | 42nd |
| Ohio State | 84th | 80th |
| Oklahoma | 4th | 50th |
| Oklahoma State | 96th | 86th |
| Old Dominion | 1st | 36th |
| Ole Miss | 81st | 94th |
| Oregon | 39th | 26th |
| Oregon State | 97th | 70th |
| Penn State | 20th | 47th |
| Pittsburgh | 65th | 50th |
| Purdue | 57th | 82nd |
| Rice | 59th | 14th |
| Robert Morris | 2nd | 5th |
| Rutgers | 42nd | 81st |
| SMU | 91st | 82nd |
| Sacramento State | 13th | 6th |
| Sam Houston | 11th | 37th |
| San Diego State | 8th | 54th |
| San José State | 17th | 2nd |
| South Alabama | 44th | 74th |
| South Carolina | 70th | 56th |
| South Florida | 84th | 57th |
| Southern Miss | 48th | 7th |
| Stanford | 40th | 9th |
| Syracuse | 57th | 39th |
| TCU | 70th | 10th |
| Temple | 50th | 68th |
| Tennessee | 75th | 12th |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 46th | 55th |
| Texas State | 74th | 100th |
| Texas Tech | 64th | 76th |
| Toledo | 73rd | 52nd |
| Troy | 39th | 15th |
| Tulane | 12th | 8th |
| Tulsa | 49th | 7th |
| UAB | 24th | 62nd |
| UCF | 29th | 45th |
| UCLA | 80th | 60th |
| UConn | 72nd | 73rd |
| UL Monroe | 47th | 11th |
| UNLV | 41st | 19th |
| USC | 79th | 97th |
| UT Martin | 6th | 3rd |
| UTEP | 9th | 1st |
| UTSA | 91st | 33rd |
| Utah | 94th | 98th |
| Utah State | 3rd | 76th |
| Vanderbilt | 41st | 32nd |
| Virginia | 83rd | 2nd |
| Virginia Tech | 43rd | 91st |
| Wake Forest | 75th | 96th |
| Washington | 56th | 16th |
| Washington State | 19th | 5th |
| West Virginia | 54th | 75th |
| Western Kentucky | 22nd | 25th |
| Western Michigan | 32nd | 27th |
| Wisconsin | 25th | 22nd |
| Wyoming | 78th | 48th |
Purdue by half
1st-half offense ranks 70th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 41st — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
How much of Purdue’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.15; 50th percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.04. The widest gap came in week 2: 0.37 raw vs. 0.02 adjusted.
Tendency drift
How Purdue’s current staff calls plays, year over year
Pass defense by zone
What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Purdue’s passing game completes a completion rate above the FBS mean (67.4% vs 67.0% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 226-play sample) — mid-pack, 72 of 136 qualifying offenses.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Purdue’s defense allows a completion rate below the FBS mean (66.1% vs 66.3% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 176-play sample) — mid-pack, 61 of 137 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Turnover luck
60% recovery rate on the fumbles they've forced — well above the ~48% league baseline.
3 of 5 forced fumbles recovered; 4 of 7 own fumbles recovered themselves, 2026 only.
Takeaways
23% of tipped/broken-up passes have turned into picks — about the ~18% league average.
7 interceptions of 30 disrupted passes (23 deflected, 7 intercepted), 2026 only.
Penalties
51 penalties committed, 47 drawn on opponents — netting a 57-yard field-position edge.
399 penalty yards committed vs. 456 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.
Ratings and comparisons
Ratings
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · Purdue
Most similar programs · PurdueReads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.
Weather
Ross-Ade Stadium, West Lafayette, IN
Usual during the game around Nov 7: 47°, between 34° and 55° in about 7 in 10 games (33 games since 2016).
Road games since 2016: the middle game was 55°, and 8 in 10 ran between 32° and 75° (47 of 49 road games, at stadiums we cover).
What a usual Saturday feels like here, by kickoff time
Airport readings near each stadium during the game, not on the field. How we measure
Weather observations: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at Iowa State University. Rain: NOAA MRMS radar and CoCoRaHS volunteer gauges (CC BY 4.0). Game data: CollegeFootballData.com.