Rice

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American Athletic · Scott Abell, year 2 (6-9) · Rice Stadium · 47,000 · 15,128 avg in 2026

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The model#125 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #105 (-10.4) · FPI #124
The marketWestern Michigan by 9.5vs Western Michigan · our model 14% Rice · a number, not a pick

LastL 0–52 at Notre Dame · Sat Sep 12 · Braden Bays 2 TFL, 5 tackles

Nextvs Western Michigan · Sat Sep 19 · 7 pm ET · Rice Stadium · Western Michigan by 9.5 · series 1-0 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Key stats — 2026 — FBS rank
Points/game
15.5
Pts allowed/game
27.5
Total yards/gm#122 / 138 · 12th pct
310.5
Rush yards/gm#13 / 138 · 91st pct
264.5
Pass yards/gm#138 / 138 · 1st pct
46.0
Yards allowed/gm#88 / 138 · 37th pct
361.0
Rush yds allowed/gm#83 / 138 · 40th pct
133.0
SacksT-#80 / 138 · 33rd pct
3
InterceptionsT-#63 / 115 · 23rd pct
1
3rd-down convT-#56 / 138 · 59th pct
44.8%
All 71 stats
Offense / Defense
Total yards
Team
621310.5/gm4.93/play#122 / 138 · 12th pct#66 / 70 · 6th pct#12 / 14 · 18th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
722361.0/gm5.87/play#88 / 138 · 37th pct#56 / 70 · 21st pct#6 / 14 · 61st pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush yards
Team
529264.5/gm4.20/play#13 / 138 · 91st pct#9 / 70 · 88th pct#4 / 14 · 75th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
266133.0/gm2.16/play#83 / 138 · 40th pct#57 / 70 · 19th pct#6 / 14 · 61st pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush carries
Team
10452.0/gmT-#10 / 138 · 93rd pct#3 / 70 · 96th pct#4 / 14 · 75th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
6733.5/gmT-#60 / 138 · 55th pctT-#41 / 70 · 41st pct#4 / 14 · 75th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush TDs
Team
42.0/gmT-#51 / 138 · 54th pctT-#34 / 70 · 44th pctT-#5 / 14 · 61st pct#12 / 13 · 15th pct
Opp
21.0/gmT-#53 / 138 · 50th pctT-#34 / 70 · 36th pctT-#5 / 14 · 64th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Net pass yards
Team
9246.0/gm0.73/play#138 / 138 · 1st pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#14 / 14 · 4th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
456228.0/gm3.71/play#94 / 138 · 32nd pct#53 / 70 · 25th pct#8 / 14 · 46th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Pass attempts
Team
2211.0/gmT-#137 / 138 · 1st pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#14 / 14 · 4th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
5628.0/gmT-#51 / 138 · 62nd pct#34 / 70 · 52nd pct#7 / 14 · 54th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Completions
Team
126.0/gmT-#136 / 138 · 1st pct#70 / 70 · 1st pctT-#13 / 14 · 7th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
3316.5/gmT-#50 / 138 · 60th pctT-#31 / 70 · 51st pct#5 / 14 · 68th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Pass TDs
Team
00.0/gmT-#135 / 138 · 1st pctT-#69 / 70 · 1st pct#14 / 14 · 4th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
42.0/gmT-#103 / 138 · 19th pctT-#62 / 70 · 9th pctT-#9 / 14 · 29th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Passer rating#114 / 115 · 1st pct#60 / 60 · 1st pct#10 / 10 · 5th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
80.680.6
Interceptions thrown
Team
00.0/gmT-#92 / 138 · 17th pctT-#42 / 70 · 21st pctT-#10 / 14 · 18th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
10.5/gmT-#24 / 138 · 64th pctT-#11 / 70 · 64th pctT-#5 / 14 · 57th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Sacks (def)
Team
31.5/gmT-#80 / 138 · 33rd pctT-#49 / 70 · 22nd pctT-#5 / 14 · 54th pct#11 / 11 · 9th pct
Opp
10.5/gmT-#9 / 138 · 86th pctT-#6 / 70 · 82nd pctT-#2 / 14 · 82nd pct#1 / 11 · 100th pct
Tackles for loss
Team
105.0/gmT-#79 / 138 · 38th pctT-#45 / 70 · 31st pctT-#7 / 14 · 50th pct#11 / 11 · 9th pct
Opp
115.5/gmT-#81 / 138 · 34th pctT-#47 / 70 · 27th pctT-#7 / 14 · 39th pct#1 / 11 · 100th pct
First downs
Team
3417.0/gmT-#113 / 138 · 18th pct#64 / 70 · 9th pct#10 / 14 · 32nd pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
3718.5/gmT-#73 / 138 · 45th pctT-#48 / 70 · 29th pct#4 / 14 · 75th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
3rd-down conv
Team
136.5/gmT-#37 / 138 · 68th pctT-#19 / 70 · 66th pctT-#4 / 14 · 71st pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
115.5/gmT-#80 / 138 · 39th pctT-#50 / 70 · 28th pct#8 / 14 · 46th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
3rd-down att
Team
2914.5/gmT-#34 / 138 · 72nd pctT-#13 / 70 · 78th pct#4 / 14 · 75th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
2512.5/gmT-#33 / 138 · 73rd pctT-#14 / 70 · 76th pctT-#5 / 14 · 64th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
4th-down conv
Team
31.5/gmT-#23 / 138 · 74th pctT-#12 / 70 · 72nd pctT-#6 / 14 · 54th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
10.5/gmT-#26 / 138 · 66th pctT-#15 / 70 · 61st pctT-#1 / 14 · 75th pct#2 / 13 · 92nd pct
4th-down att
Team
52.5/gmT-#27 / 138 · 74th pctT-#13 / 70 · 74th pctT-#5 / 14 · 64th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
63.0/gmT-#112 / 138 · 14th pctT-#59 / 70 · 11th pctT-#10 / 14 · 29th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Time of possession
Team
67:1433:37/gm#34 / 138 · 76th pct#13 / 70 · 82nd pct#6 / 14 · 61st pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
52:4626:23/gm#25 / 138 · 82nd pct#13 / 70 · 82nd pct#5 / 14 · 68th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct

FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs

Player stats — 2026 season
Quarterbacks
Player#GCmp/AttPctYdsY/ATDINTRateZPRQBRAdj ANY/ASack%
+0.03 EPA/play11210 / 1758.8754.40095.917.8
Running Backs
Player#GCarYdsAvgTDLongStuff%10+%
+0.13 EPA/play262231285.6031
+0.28 EPA/play28220904.5116

2026 stat leaders · Rice

through 2 games

Cooper King leads Rice with 13 tackles through 2 games.

1. Cooper King LB 13 tackles
2. AJ Brown DE 10 tackles
3. Chibby Nwajuaku DL 9 tackles
4. Jacurri Brown QB 130 rushing yards
5. Tyvonn Byars RB 128 rushing yards
How They Play · 2025

Rice fields a struggling run-heavy offense behind a porous, gives up the big play defense.

Offense
8th pct EPA/play
Run/Pass
74% run plays
Defense
11th pct EPA allowed
Defensive shape
1st pct at limiting explosive plays

Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.

The Savant Card · Rice · 2025

Rice reads strongest in explosive plays (top 39%) and success rate allowed (top 55%); the crux lives in explosive plays allowed, where Rice sits at the 0th percentile.

offense · strengths lead

EPA / play +0.04
8th
Success Rate +0.35
6th
Explosive Plays +1.28
61st
Rushing EPA +0.02
20th

defense · higher bar = harder to play against

EPA Allowed +0.25
11th
Success Rate Allowed +0.42
46th
Explosive Plays Allowed +1.49
1st
Passing EPA Allowed +0.42
8th

hidden math · special situations

Passing EPA +0.11
11th
Rushing EPA Allowed +0.14
25th
Elite · 90+Strong · 70+Average · 40-70Concern · 10-40Bottom · <10
Sources · CFBD tier-2 advanced stats · per-game production · 13 games this season · percentiles vs. up to 136 FBS peers

Home-field advantage · Rice · 2018–present · FBS opponents

Rice is worth +3.1 points more at home than on the road.

Bottom third of FBS, 30th percentile of 133 programs

38% at home, 23% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (15–25 home, 10–34 away). Interval ±3.8.

95% intervalmodel 2.3 · books ~3Weakest home edge in FBSStrongest

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge — per-team modelling was tested and did not survive scrutiny (why) — and the books use about 3. Against the closing line, Rice has beaten the number by +1.8 more at home than away over 74 games — inside the ±7.4 that many games can resolve. Results here cannot tell the flat number apart from the building, and that is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.

Rice Stadium seats 47,000 and has averaged 43% full (20,271, 26 games reported). Visitors cover a median 318 miles to get here since 2018 — 42nd-shortest of 135 FBS venues, inside the ordinary range. For the home side it is genuinely home ground: 27% of the 2026 roster (27 of 100 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.

Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 47 home games since 2018.

Home15–25Away10–34Edge+3.1 ±3.8Visitor trip318 mi

More in this tab

Tendency driftHow this coordinator's calls have drifted since arriving.

Season by season

How Rice’s current staff calls plays, year over year

Offense: Vince Munch (2025–2026)
1st-down pass rate
2025: 19% → 2026: 14% · 5-pt range · #154 of 184 · less than most
Red-zone pass rate
2025: 18% → 2026: 7% · 10-pt range · #118 of 182 · a typical amount
Defense: Jon Kay (2025–2026)
1st-down pass rate
2025: 19% → 2026: 14% · 5-pt range · #176 of 203 · less than most
Red-zone pass rate
2025: 18% → 2026: 7% · 10-pt range · #139 of 200 · a typical amount
RatingsWhere the public rating systems put this team.

Model Consensus

Where the Models Rank Rice

CFB Zeitgeist

#125

-5.7

SP+

#105

-10.4

FPI

#124

-14.7

Elo

#132

1147

The national models put Rice between 105th and 132nd nationally — CFB Zeitgeist agrees, slotting them 125th.

National rank of 138 FBS teams · 2026 season. SP+/FPI/SRS published; Elo & CFB Zeitgeist ranked by rating.

Comparable teamsPrograms built like this one — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, roster size. Not a stat match.

Most similar programs · Rice

Reads like

Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.

ConditionsThe weather and altitude visitors have to deal with.
Venue texture

76°F average kickoff temp; 11% of games had measurable precipitation; 9 mph average wind.

Based on 70 home games with weather data.

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