Next game: at SMU
SMU’s best edge on Virginia Tech is big plays
Each unit against the one it meets, by national percentile this season. A filled dot is the attack and a ring is the defense it meets; the first name is the attack. Further right is better for both.
Virginia Tech offense against SMU defense
SMU offense against Virginia Tech defense
Percentiles are against all FBS teams this season.
Key stats
Each bar is the team’s national rank as a percentile. A longer bar is better, for defense too.
All 98 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | ZPR | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pocket Surgeon · +0.33 EPA/play | 17 | 8 | 187 / 262 | 71.4 | 2140 #17 FBS | 8.2 | 17 #19 FBS | 2 | 159.9 | 58 | 71.1 | 7.9 | 7.7 | |
Yards by week → Pocket surgeonHigh-percentage passer who protects the ball. Loses the matchup on improvisation. Impact starter — 262 pass attempts and 58 carries in 8 games, more passes and runs a game than most FBS quarterbacks who play every week. This week's matchup — QB Grunkemeyer picks you apart underneath and protects the ball. Warren is the one who operates within the system without forcing anything. Season receipt Completion %72.0% 94th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts INT rate0.8% 89th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View Ethan Grunkemeyer's full player page | ||||||||||||||
| 22 | 2 | 11 / 14 | 78.6 | 127 | 9.1 | 1 | 0 | 178.3 | — | — | — | — | ||
Yards by week → | ||||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | Stuff% | 10+% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Satellite Back · +0.44 EPA/play | 16 | 8 | 113 | 639 #40 FBS | 5.7 | 4 | 76 | — | — | |
Yards by week → Satellite back· Boom-or-bustDeployed as a receiver as much as a runner. Value is in space, not between the tackles. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine Starter — 113 carries and 23 catches in 8 games, more touches a game than most FBS running backs who play every week. This week's matchup — RB Jr. wins in space out of the backfield. Irvin is the one who wins in space out of the backfield. Season receipt Receiving share16.9% 87th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Plays like View Jeffrey Overton Jr.'s full player page | ||||||||||
| Workhorse · +0.13 EPA/play | 27 | 8 | 84 | 337 | 4.0 | 5 | 20 | — | — | |
Yards by week → WorkhorseBuilt to take 20+ carries per game. Volume is the value. Starter — 84 carries and 9 catches in 8 games, about as many touches a game as a typical FBS running back who plays every week. This week's matchup — RB Hawkins just keeps getting the ball, series after series. Irvin is the one who wins in space out of the backfield. Season receipt Weight221 lb 87th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Yards / carry4.2 bottom 16th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Marcellous Hawkins's full player page | ||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slot Technician · +0.41 EPA/play | 3 | 8 | 51 | 685 #22 FBS | 13.4 | 3 | 66 | |
Yards by week → Slot technician· Boom-or-bustRuns precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine Impact starter — 51 catches and 3 carries in 8 games, more catches a game than nearly every FBS receiver who plays every week. This week's matchup — WR Brown wins underneath on volume and route precision. Brown is the one who moves the chains on third down. Season receipt Reception volume51 99th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate5.9% bottom 33th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Que'Sean Brown's full player page | ||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.62 EPA/play | 85 | 8 | 50 | 493 | 9.9 | 6 #23 FBS | 25 | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. Impact starter — 50 catches, 2 carries and 1 pass attempt in 8 games, more catches a game than nearly every FBS tight end who plays every week. This week's matchup — TE Reynolds shows up in the passing game from any alignment. Blackburn is the one who shows up in the passing game from any alignment. Season receipt Yards / reception10.2 bottom 42th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Reception volume50 100th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Luke Reynolds's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.85 EPA/play | — | 7 | 17 | 294 | 17.3 | 2 | 48 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiver· Money-downReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. lives on the sticks and moves the chains The most common profile in its group this season — 279 of 467 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2023 class View Ayden Greene's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.86 EPA/play | 11 | 8 | 13 | 184 | 14.2 | 1 | 29 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiver· Money-downReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. lives on the sticks and moves the chains The most common profile in its group this season — 279 of 467 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman · 4-star, 2026 class View Davion Brown's full player page | ||||||||
| +0.44 EPA/play | 5 | 4 | 7 | 94 | 13.4 | 1 | 20 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| +0.85 EPA/play | 13 | 6 | 6 | 81 | 13.5 | 2 | 33 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| -0.37 EPA/play | 4 | 5 | 7 | 66 | 9.4 | 0 | 19 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| -0.06 EPA/play | 82 | 5 | 6 | 33 | 5.5 | 0 | 8 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 42 | 8 | 21 | 15 | 9.5 #23 FBS | 7 #7 FBS | 2 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 21 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate45.2% 100th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Aycen Stevens's full player page | |||||||
| Nose Anchor | 13 | 7 | 20 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
Nose anchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. 20 tackles in 7 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 130 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight305 lb 76th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Kemari Copeland's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 34 | 8 | 18 | 10 | 6.5 | 5 #38 FBS | 3 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 18 tackles in 8 games. Fewer tackles a game than most FBS defensive linemen who play every week. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate36.1% 97th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Cortez Harris's full player page | |||||||
| Nose Anchor | 94 | 6 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Nose anchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. 130 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight308 lb 80th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Elhadj Fall's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 31 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 2.5 | 1 | 0 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. The most common profile in its group this season — 276 of 606 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2023 class View Jason Abbey's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 37 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 9 #31 FBS | 4.5 #60 FBS | 2 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate81.8% 100th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Mylachi Williams's full player page | |||||||
| 40 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| 55 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 51 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 | |
| 45 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| 36 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coverage 'Backer | 33 | 8 | 41 | 21 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Coverage ’backerCarries tight ends and patrols the middle of the field in coverage. 41 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. 89 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate7.3% 90th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Keon Wylie's full player page | |||||||||
| Coverage 'Backer | 3 | 8 | 40 | 27 | 13 | 9 #31 FBS | 3 | 3 | 0 |
Coverage ’backerCarries tight ends and patrols the middle of the field in coverage. 40 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. The rare part: he covers, too — and he lives in the backfield, too 89 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate7.5% 91th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate22.5% 98th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles — the part the label misses Trait fingerprint Plays like View Kaleb Spencer's full player page | |||||||||
| Coverage 'Backer | 16 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 8 #50 FBS | 0.5 | 2 | 0 |
Coverage ’backerCarries tight ends and patrols the middle of the field in coverage. 37 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. 89 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate5.4% 77th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate21.6% 98th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Noah Chambers's full player page | |||||||||
| Coverage 'Backer | 30 | 8 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Coverage ’backerCarries tight ends and patrols the middle of the field in coverage. 89 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate6.2% 83th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Curtis Jones Jr.'s full player page | |||||||||
| 25 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perimeter Tackler | 2 | 8 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
Perimeter tacklerTargeted often and asked to tackle in space on the perimeter. 31 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 36 of 244 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume31 87th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Jaquez White's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | — | 8 | 25 | 3 | 1 | 1.5 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. The most common profile in its group this season — 358 of 657 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman · 4-star, 2024 class View Quentin Reddish's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 1 | 8 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 1.5 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. The most common profile in its group this season — 358 of 657 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Tyson Flowers's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 11 | 7 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. The most common profile in its group this season — 358 of 657 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman View DQ Smith's full player page | |||||||
| Cover Corner | 22 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1.5 | 0 |
Cover cornerSteady in coverage; doesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play. 138 of 244 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate0.0% bottom 10th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Kenny Woseley Jr.'s full player page | |||||||
| Cover Corner | 9 | 7 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Cover cornerSteady in coverage; doesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play. 138 of 244 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate8.3% bottom 31th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Isaiah Brown-Murray's full player page | |||||||
| 20 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | |
| 23 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | |
| 5 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 17 | 8 | 11/14 | 78.6 | 31/32 | 64 | 47 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 95 | 8 | 29 | 1220 | 42.1 | 60 | 11 | 2 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Satellite Back · +0.44 EPA/play | 16 | 8 | 5 | 155 | 31 | 0 | 62 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slot Technician · +0.41 EPA/play | 3 | 8 | 12 | 282 | 23.5 | 0 | 79 |
| -0.37 EPA/play | 4 | 5 | 3 | 39 | 13 | 0 | 29 |
Biggest plays from Virginia Tech’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in Virginia Tech’s games this season, whoever made them.
Q4, 0:18 · California down 1, takes the leadAshten Emory runs 2 yards for a touchdownVirginia Tech at California, week 6Q4, 0:18 · California 25, Virginia Tech 200:18Go-ahead touchdown for California with 0:18 left0:18Go-ahead touchdown for California with 0:18 leftGo-ahead touchdown for California with 0:18 leftAshten Emory 2 yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)▶Watch from this play
Q4, 1:15 · Virginia Tech down 5, takes the leadEthan Grunkemeyer runs 1 yard for a touchdownVirginia Tech at California, week 6Q4, 1:15 · Virginia Tech 20, California 191:15Go-ahead touchdown for Virginia Tech with 1:15 left1:15Go-ahead touchdown for Virginia Tech with 1:15 leftGo-ahead touchdown for Virginia Tech with 1:15 leftEthan Grunkemeyer 1 yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)▶Watch from this play
Q3, 0:45 · Virginia Tech down 4J. Overton fumbles and Pittsburgh recoversPittsburgh at Virginia Tech, week 5Q3, 0:45 · Virginia Tech 24, Pittsburgh 28▼33%Virginia Tech’s chance to win, 58% to 25%▼33%Virginia Tech’s chance to win, 58% to 25%J.Overton, Jr. rush middle for 9 yards loss to the Hokies41 fumbled by J.Overton, Jr. at Hokies45 recovered by UP I.Neal at Hokies41, End Of Play▶Watch from this play- Q4, 1:44 · Virginia Tech down 3, takes the leadEthan Grunkemeyer finds Luke Reynolds for a 5-yard touchdownVirginia Tech at Clemson, week 8Q4, 1:44 · Virginia Tech 20, Clemson 161:44Go-ahead touchdown for Virginia Tech with 1:44 left1:44Go-ahead touchdown for Virginia Tech with 1:44 leftGo-ahead touchdown for Virginia Tech with 1:44 leftE.Grunkemeyer pass complete short left to L.Reynolds caught at CLE00, for 5 yards to the CLE00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
- Q4, 8:05 · Virginia Tech down 8, ties itEthan Grunkemeyer finds Marlion Jackson for a 14-yard touchdownVirginia Tech at Boston College, week 4Q4, 8:05 · Virginia Tech 14, Boston College 14▲31%Virginia Tech’s chance to win, 34% to 65%▲31%Virginia Tech’s chance to win, 34% to 65%E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short right to M.Jackson caught at BC 00, for 14 yards to the BC 00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN J.Overton, Jr. rush attempt Successful▶Watch from this play
- Q2, 5:54 · California down 19, ties itAshten Emory runs 5 yards for a touchdownVirginia Tech at California, week 6Q2, 5:54 · California 7, Virginia Tech 7California tied the game in the second quarterCalifornia tied the game in the second quarterAshten Emory 5 yd Run (Towns McGough Kick)▶Watch from this play
How scary each game got
Virginia Tech lost to Pittsburgh after being 92% to win; the closest win was at Boston College, down to 11%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave Virginia Tech during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Stat leaders
2026 stat leaders · Virginia Tech
through 8 games
2026 stat leaders · Virginia TechQue'Sean Brown leads Virginia Tech with 685 receiving yards through 8 games.
Roster
Roster
2026+17 more
Recruiting and the portal: top commits · who's gone and who's back
How they play
Virginia Tech fields a strong offense behind a strong defense, though it gives up the big play.
Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Player percentiles
Virginia Tech reads strongest in success rate allowed (top 17%) and rushing EPA allowed (top 19%); the crux lives in explosive plays allowed, where Virginia Tech sits at the 9th percentile.
Offense · strengths lead
Defense · higher bar = harder to play against
Hidden math · special situations
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Virginia Tech is worth +2.4 points more at home than on the road.
Bottom third of FBS, 18th percentile of 133 programs
50% at home, 39% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (24-24 home, 18-28 away). Interval ±3.5.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, Virginia Tech has beaten the number by −0.5 more at home than away over 101 games. That is inside the ±6.3 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
Lane Stadium seats 65,632 and has averaged 97% full (63,789, 28 games reported). Visitors get here easily: a median 224 miles trip since 2018, the 12th-shortest of 135 FBS venues. There is no travel penalty on visitors here either way. 11% of the 2026 roster (13 of 119 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 55 home games since 2018.
More in this tab
How they play
Usage splits
How the players get used
From the 2025 season's play-by-play
- Deep threatAyden Greene is a real deep-ball threat: a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks, and he catches those deep shots at a plus rate.
Position battles
WR/TE room
The targets are split. The job isn’t.
Que'Sean Brown (WR) and Luke Reynolds (TE) split the targets (64/121 vs 57/121) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
Scheme claims
Team identity · competitive snaps only
How Virginia Tech actually scores
66th percentile quality, 33rd percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 76th | 3rd |
| Akron | 9th | 90th |
| Alabama | 82nd | 22nd |
| App State | 41st | 48th |
| Arizona | 91st | 16th |
| Arizona State | 20th | 83rd |
| Arkansas | 7th | 93rd |
| Arkansas State | 60th | 32nd |
| Army | 95th | 10th |
| Auburn | 34th | 59th |
| BYU | 83rd | 17th |
| Ball State | 32nd | 72nd |
| Baylor | 36th | 63rd |
| Boise State | 96th | 4th |
| Boston College | 20th | 80th |
| Buffalo | 8th | 88th |
| Central Michigan | 6th | 96th |
| Cincinnati | 88th | 15th |
| Clemson | 10th | 92nd |
| Coastal Carolina | 49th | 57th |
| Colorado | 15th | 86th |
| Colorado State | 88th | 30th |
| Delaware | 63rd | 40th |
| Duke | 74th | 8th |
| East Carolina | 24th | 77th |
| Eastern Michigan | 14th | 80th |
| Florida | 75th | 37th |
| Florida Atlantic | 72nd | 25th |
| Florida International | 2nd | 98th |
| Florida State | 64th | 44th |
| Fresno State | 56th | 52nd |
| Georgia | 92nd | 11th |
| Georgia Southern | 52nd | 40th |
| Georgia State | 77th | 36th |
| Georgia Tech | 30th | 70th |
| Hawai'i | 12th | 88th |
| Houston | 89th | 2nd |
| Illinois | 70th | 38th |
| Indiana | 85th | 18th |
| Iowa | 52nd | 53rd |
| Iowa State | 43rd | 62nd |
| Jacksonville State | 62nd | 41st |
| James Madison | 58th | 35th |
| Kansas | 28th | 66th |
| Kansas State | 48th | 44th |
| Kennesaw State | 23rd | 79th |
| Kentucky | 71st | 21st |
| LSU | 86th | 9th |
| Liberty | 78th | 29th |
| Louisiana | 27th | 69th |
| Louisiana Tech | 60th | 47th |
| Louisville | 94th | 19th |
| Marshall | 36th | 61st |
| Maryland | 17th | 85th |
| Massachusetts | 38th | 60th |
| Memphis | 87th | 20th |
| Miami | 100th | 0th |
| Miami (OH) | 68th | 31st |
| Michigan | 25th | 71st |
| Middle Tennessee | 37th | 60th |
| Minnesota | 4th | 95th |
| Mississippi State | 35th | 65th |
| Missouri | 54th | 49th |
| Missouri State | 40th | 64th |
| NC State | 69th | 28th |
| Navy | 57th | 51st |
| Nebraska | 59th | 32nd |
| Nevada | 1st | 99th |
| New Mexico | 39th | 68th |
| North Carolina | 48th | 45th |
| North Dakota State | 31st | 64th |
| North Texas | 99th | 1st |
| Northern Illinois | 12th | 89th |
| Northwestern | 93rd | 6th |
| Notre Dame | 97th | 5th |
| Ohio | 67th | 43rd |
| Ohio State | 79th | 23rd |
| Oklahoma State | 76th | 14th |
| Ole Miss | 80th | 8th |
| Oregon | 28th | 72nd |
| Oregon State | 92nd | 13th |
| Penn State | 47th | 48th |
| Pittsburgh | 44th | 50th |
| Purdue | 65th | 34th |
| Rice | 18th | 87th |
| Rutgers | 32nd | 76th |
| SMU | 81st | 16th |
| San Diego State | 5th | 94th |
| San José State | 13th | 84th |
| South Alabama | 64th | 27th |
| South Carolina | 55th | 54th |
| South Florida | 42nd | 56th |
| Southern Miss | 3rd | 97th |
| Stanford | 53rd | 55th |
| Syracuse | 24th | 74th |
| TCU | 21st | 75th |
| Temple | 56th | 56th |
| Tennessee | 45th | 42nd |
| Texas | 11th | 91st |
| Texas A&M | 16th | 78th |
| Texas State | 90th | 12th |
| Texas Tech | 50th | 46th |
| Toledo | 84th | 24th |
| Troy | 8th | 92nd |
| Tulane | 33rd | 73rd |
| Tulsa | 68th | 28th |
| UAB | 16th | 81st |
| UCF | 19th | 82nd |
| UCLA | 61st | 36th |
| UConn | 84th | 26th |
| UNLV | 44th | 67th |
| USC | 80th | 12th |
| UTSA | 72nd | 20th |
| Utah | 96th | 7th |
| Utah State | 0th | 100th |
| Vanderbilt | 26th | 76th |
| Virginia | 51st | 39th |
| Virginia Tech | 66th | 33rd |
| Wake Forest | 98th | 4th |
| Washington | 40th | 58th |
| West Virginia | 73rd | 24th |
| Western Kentucky | 4th | 96th |
| Western Michigan | 29th | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 22nd | 84th |
| Wyoming | 46th | 52nd |
Virginia Tech’s 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 79th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it climbs to the 87th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does Virginia Tech hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
43rd percentile success on standard downs, 91st on passing downs — a 48-point gap between the two.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 98th | 23rd |
| Akron | 58th | 34th |
| Alabama | 77th | 57th |
| App State | 33rd | 49th |
| Arizona | 76th | 94th |
| Arizona State | 38th | 61st |
| Arkansas | 71st | 24th |
| Arkansas State | 85th | 59th |
| Army | 93rd | 58th |
| Auburn | 14th | 69th |
| BYU | 86th | 35th |
| Ball State | 31st | 52nd |
| Baylor | 15th | 46th |
| Boise State | 77th | 92nd |
| Boston College | 63rd | 28th |
| Bowling Green | 43rd | 21st |
| Buffalo | 9th | 11th |
| California | 11th | 20th |
| Central Michigan | 36th | 9th |
| Charlotte | 18th | 41st |
| Cincinnati | 68th | 83rd |
| Clemson | 7th | 39th |
| Coastal Carolina | 23rd | 64th |
| Colorado | 16th | 65th |
| Colorado State | 66th | 95th |
| Delaware | 59th | 64th |
| Duke | 21st | 67th |
| East Carolina | 37th | 19th |
| Eastern Michigan | 16th | 30th |
| Florida | 61st | 70th |
| Florida Atlantic | 67th | 87th |
| Florida International | 20th | 53rd |
| Florida State | 30th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 25th | 84th |
| Gardner-Webb | 5th | 23rd |
| Georgia | 98th | 89th |
| Georgia Southern | 60th | 71st |
| Georgia State | 68th | 66th |
| Georgia Tech | 53rd | 40th |
| Hawai'i | 48th | 29th |
| Houston | 87th | 99th |
| Illinois | 73rd | 91st |
| Indiana | 55th | 44th |
| Iowa | 79th | 13th |
| Iowa State | 18th | 31st |
| Jacksonville State | 82nd | 80th |
| James Madison | 45th | 77th |
| Kansas | 52nd | 18th |
| Kansas State | 64th | 68th |
| Kennesaw State | 61st | 16th |
| Kent State | 5th | 21st |
| Kentucky | 90th | 51st |
| LSU | 86th | 98th |
| Liberty | 93rd | 78th |
| Louisiana | 36th | 66th |
| Louisiana Tech | 26th | 79th |
| Louisville | 95th | 72nd |
| Maine | 0th | 86th |
| Marshall | 69th | 32nd |
| Maryland | 34th | 26th |
| Massachusetts | 35th | 38th |
| Memphis | 92nd | 93rd |
| Mercyhurst | 2nd | 34th |
| Miami | 99th | 95th |
| Miami (OH) | 50th | 43rd |
| Michigan | 10th | 89th |
| Michigan State | 23rd | 55th |
| Middle Tennessee | 27th | 64th |
| Minnesota | 32nd | 4th |
| Mississippi State | 66th | 59th |
| Missouri | 34th | 41st |
| Missouri State | 52nd | 30th |
| NC State | 62nd | 77th |
| Navy | 89th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 46th | 85th |
| Nevada | 28th | 27th |
| New Mexico | 55th | 48th |
| New Mexico State | 14th | 36th |
| Norfolk State | 7th | 0th |
| North Carolina | 89th | 73rd |
| North Dakota State | 30th | 45th |
| North Texas | 95th | 84th |
| Northern Illinois | 51st | 14th |
| Northwestern | 88th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 100th | 43rd |
| Ohio | 82nd | 42nd |
| Ohio State | 84th | 80th |
| Oklahoma | 4th | 50th |
| Oklahoma State | 96th | 86th |
| Old Dominion | 1st | 36th |
| Ole Miss | 81st | 94th |
| Oregon | 39th | 26th |
| Oregon State | 97th | 70th |
| Penn State | 20th | 47th |
| Pittsburgh | 65th | 50th |
| Purdue | 57th | 82nd |
| Rice | 59th | 14th |
| Robert Morris | 2nd | 5th |
| Rutgers | 42nd | 81st |
| SMU | 91st | 82nd |
| Sacramento State | 13th | 6th |
| Sam Houston | 11th | 37th |
| San Diego State | 8th | 54th |
| San José State | 17th | 2nd |
| South Alabama | 44th | 74th |
| South Carolina | 70th | 56th |
| South Florida | 84th | 57th |
| Southern Miss | 48th | 7th |
| Stanford | 40th | 9th |
| Syracuse | 57th | 39th |
| TCU | 70th | 10th |
| Temple | 50th | 68th |
| Tennessee | 75th | 12th |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 46th | 55th |
| Texas State | 74th | 100th |
| Texas Tech | 64th | 76th |
| Toledo | 73rd | 52nd |
| Troy | 39th | 15th |
| Tulane | 12th | 8th |
| Tulsa | 49th | 7th |
| UAB | 24th | 62nd |
| UCF | 29th | 45th |
| UCLA | 80th | 60th |
| UConn | 72nd | 73rd |
| UL Monroe | 47th | 11th |
| UNLV | 41st | 19th |
| USC | 79th | 97th |
| UT Martin | 6th | 3rd |
| UTEP | 9th | 1st |
| UTSA | 91st | 33rd |
| Utah | 94th | 98th |
| Utah State | 3rd | 76th |
| Vanderbilt | 41st | 32nd |
| Virginia | 83rd | 2nd |
| Virginia Tech | 43rd | 91st |
| Wake Forest | 75th | 96th |
| Washington | 56th | 16th |
| Washington State | 19th | 5th |
| West Virginia | 54th | 75th |
| Western Kentucky | 22nd | 25th |
| Western Michigan | 32nd | 27th |
| Wisconsin | 25th | 22nd |
| Wyoming | 78th | 48th |
Virginia Tech by half
1st-half offense ranks 80th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 36th — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
How much of Virginia Tech’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.20; 68th percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.06. The widest gap came in week 2: 0.54 raw vs. 0.04 adjusted.
Pass defense by zone
What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Virginia Tech’s passing game completes a completion rate above the FBS mean (72.7% vs 67.0% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 249-play sample) — mid-pack, 132 of 136 qualifying offenses.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Virginia Tech’s defense allows a completion rate above the FBS mean (67.6% vs 66.3% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 195-play sample) — mid-pack, 98 of 137 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Turnover luck
Recovering 20% of their own fumbles — running cold vs. the ~52% league rate.
2 of 10 own fumbles recovered themselves; 4 of 15 forced fumbles recovered, 2026 only.
Takeaways
Getting hands on the ball but not cashing in: 8% of disruptions converted, vs. the ~18% league rate.
2 interceptions of 26 disrupted passes (24 deflected, 2 intercepted), 2026 only.
Penalties
The penalty battle is a wash: 54 penalties committed vs. 59 drawn on opponents.
496 penalty yards committed vs. 518 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.
Ratings and comparisons
Ratings
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · Virginia Tech
Most similar programs · Virginia TechReads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.
Weather
Lane Stadium, Blacksburg, VA
Usual during the game around Nov 14: 48°, between 35° and 62° in about 7 in 10 games (31 games since 2016).
Road games since 2016: the middle game was 63°, and 8 in 10 ran between 42° and 80° (50 of 52 road games, at stadiums we cover).
What a usual Saturday feels like here, by kickoff time
Airport readings near each stadium during the game, not on the field. How we measure
Weather observations: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at Iowa State University. Rain: NOAA MRMS radar and CoCoRaHS volunteer gauges (CC BY 4.0). Game data: CollegeFootballData.com.