cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Brandon Tullis /Michigan State

Brandon Tullis

RB · Michigan State · So · #7

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

297 RUSH YDS · 4 RUSH TD · 68 CARRIES

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Michigan State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Michigan State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Running back · Michigan State

Returning around him

  • 69% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 2 Michigan State players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -18 net (28 in / 46 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Michigan State · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #38 · 2026 recruiting class #57

RB · MICHIGAN STATE · BIG TEN

Brandon Tullis

  • 2
  • #7
  • 6-1 | 227 lb
  • Dallas, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

35

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rush tds at the 50th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#2627

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1565 national
CFB
College
Michigan State
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class2
Jersey7
Measurements6-1 | 227 lb
HometownDallas, TX
Primary teamMichigan State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1565 recruit
Composite rating 0.8500 HighSchool
Signed with Michigan State 2024
Origin Memorial Frisco, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 3-star | 0.8500 No. 1565 recruit | HighSchool | Michigan State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#2627Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2679Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Michigan State

Composite

0.8500

#1565 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Brandon Tullis

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Brandon Tullis

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
297Rush yards
68Carries
4Rush TDs
Per game
24.8Rush yards
6Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
321.8Rush yards
74Carries
4Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 297): needs 453/game over remaining 1.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 297): needs 703/game over remaining 1.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 297): needs 1,203/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 6/game over remaining 1.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 11/game over remaining 1.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 16/game over remaining 1.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Brandon Tullis's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Michigan State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #2627 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 11.3% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 379 297 rush | 82 rec | #262/735 (64th pct)
Rush TD 4 68 carries | #154/739 (79th pct)
Yards/carry 4.4 Per-rush efficiency | #409/735 (44th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
68 66th
YDS
297 64th
YPC
4.4 44th
TD
4 79th

Receiving

REC
11 65th
YDS
82 64th
YPR
7.5 58th
TD
0 70th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 23-6vs Western Michigan7527.4112
Wk 2W 42-40vs Boston College4297.3014
Wk 3W 41-24vs Youngstown State7314.4110
Wk 4L 31-45@ USC6122.008
Wk 6L 27-38@ Nebraska540.805
Wk 7L 13-38vs UCLA351.704
Wk 8L 13-38@ Indiana231.505
Wk 9L 20-31vs Michigan221.011
Wk 10L 20-23@ Minnesota14513.6113
Wk 12L 10-28vs Penn State166.006
Wk 13L 17-20@ Iowa8567.0035Season-high 56 yds
Wk 14W 38-28vs Maryland9465.1019
Total682974.0435
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Michigan State4-8HC: Jonathan Smith · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Michigan State682974.44--
Career1 loaded season682974.44--
SeasonTeam
2025Michigan State11827.50--
Career1 loaded season11827.50--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 11 82 rec yds | #195/552 (65th pct)
Usage 11.3% 20.4% rush share | #274/738 (63rd pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.09 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #226/362 (38th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 297 #262/735 64th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 4 #154/739 79th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 4.4 #409/735 44th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 11 #195/552 65th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 82 #201/548 64th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.09 #226/362 38th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 60 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 11.3% #274/738 63rd pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 68 #249/739 66th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 35 #273/733 63rd pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 24 #174/540 68th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 7.5 #232/548 58th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #169/552 70th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 20.4% #255/738 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 13.9% #249/738 66th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 12.8% #272/738 63rd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 12.5% #251/738 66th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 8.0% #297/738 60th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 5.6% #417/738 44th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 3.6% #258/738 65th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home7g24.44.70.4
Road5g25.23.00.2

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins4g39.56.00.5
Losses8g17.43.00.2

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-76g22.23.90.3
Weeks 8+6g27.34.00.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

35Mid-pack
7 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: rush yards (24th).

Rush TDs#153 / 349 · 50th pct
4rush
Rec yards#181 / 338 · 46th pct
82rece
Receptions#179 / 338 · 45th pct
11rece
Long run#233 / 349 · 33rd pct
35rush
Yards / carry#241 / 349 · 29th pct
4.4rush
Carries#249 / 349 · 29th pct
68rush
Rush yards#262 / 349 · 25th pct
297rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.09Low (p25–p50) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Brandon TullisMichigan StateTae MeadowsTroy· 70% simSire GainesBoise State· 65% simKamari MoultonIowa· 65% sim
Rush TDs
50
Tullis
72
Meadows
84
Gaines
62
Moulton
Rec yards
46
Tullis
38
Meadows
41
Gaines
53
Moulton
Receptions
45
Tullis
45
Meadows
45
Gaines
63
Moulton
Long run
33
Tullis
53
Meadows
51
Gaines
33
Moulton
Yards / carry
29
Tullis
29
Meadows
53
Gaines
62
Moulton
Carries
29
Tullis
84
Meadows
84
Gaines
86
Moulton
Rush yards
25
Tullis
74
Meadows
82
Gaines
84
Moulton

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Workhorse

Built to take 20+ carries per game. Volume is the value.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Chaton Mobley’s 2020 season.

Chaton Mobley

83%match

Middle Tennessee · 2020

#2

Dylan Downing

Purdue · 2022

74%
#3

Sam Scott

Wyoming · 2023

72%
#4

Markese Stepp

Western Kentucky · 2023

72%
#5

Christopher Brown Jr.

California · 2021

67%

Matches Chaton on

Yards / carry
Receiving share
Weight

Through 1 college season, his career arc tracks closest to Chaton Mobley’s path through Middle Tennessee.

Chaton Mobley

96%match

Middle Tennessee · 2021

#2

Larry Rountree III

Missouri · 2020

All-SECNFL Rd 6
93%
#3

Gerrid Doaks

Cincinnati · 2020

All-AACNFL Rd 7
92%
#4

Ricky Person Jr.

NC State · 2021

91%
#5

Andrew Body

Alabama State · 2025

90%

Matches Chaton on

Height
Yards per carry
Weight

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Christopher Brown Jr.'s sophomore season at California (2021).

Christopher Brown Jr.

69%match

California · 2021

#2

Chaton Mobley

Middle Tennessee · 2021

69%
#3

Chauncey Bowens

Georgia · 2025

69%
#4

Brock Townsend

Central Michigan · 2025

69%
#5

Adam Mohammed

Washington · 2025

68%

Matches Christopher on

Yards / reception
Yards / carry
Weight

Differs from Christopher on

Class year (lower)
Rush TD rate (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jonathan Smith

Pass share

49.7%

378 pass / 382 run

Plays / game

63.3

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

11.2%

303 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Jonathan Smith
Michigan State

Played his entire career under Jonathan Smith.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownDallas, TX
Height6'1"
Weight227 lb
Class2
PositionRB
Jersey7

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Michigan State RB2 #2627 #2679 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Michigan State Big Ten RB 2 No. 7 | 6-1 | 227 lb | Dallas, TX
2024 Michigan State Big Ten RB 2 No. 7 | 6-1 | 227 lb | Dallas, TX