CFB Zeitgeist Score
62
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 89th percentile.
Caleb Goodie
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
484 REC YDS · 29 REC · 2 REC TD
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to Missouri
2025Cincinnati
2026Missouri
WR · CINCINNATI · BIG 12
Caleb Goodie
- 3
- #10
- 6-1 | 178 lb
- Breaux Bridge, LA
Heisman Heat
#4759
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2023–2025-48500%
Sharp dropoff (-48500%) — career inflection point.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3-star | 0.8370 | No. 1731 recruit | HighSchool | Colorado State |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Cincinnati -> Missouri | 3-star | 0.8700 | Immediate |
| 2025 | Colorado State -> Cincinnati | 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Colorado State
Composite
0.8370
#1731 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Caleb Goodie
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=3
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Caleb Goodie
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Yards per reception
16.7
yds
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
National rank #45 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 92nd
Why it matters
#45 of 531 All FBS WRs at 16.7 yards per reception (29 catches).
Vs cohort
This player 16.7 (92th)
MODERATE · n=29 cohort 531
- Also strong
- Receiving yards (total)#231 / 531
- Receiving TDs#302 / 531
Signature Moment
Week 3 vs Northwestern State — 106 ypr
Result W 70-0
The week the volume broke through — put up 106 yds vs Northwestern State.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 10g
484Rec yards
29Receptions
2Rec TDs
Per game
48.4Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
629.2Rec yards
38Receptions
3Rec TDs
To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 484): needs 72/game over remaining 3.
To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 484): needs 172/game over remaining 3.
To hit 60-catch season (currently 29): needs 10.3/game over remaining 3.
To hit 80-catch season (currently 29): needs 17/game over remaining 3.
To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 2/game over remaining 3.
To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 2.7/game over remaining 3.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Caleb Goodie's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Cincinnati, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
WR season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
29 73rd
YDS
484 79th
YPR
16.7 85th
TD
2 75th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 10 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 17-20vs Nebraska | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | 0 | 5 | |
| Wk 2 | W 34-20vs Bowling Green | 4 | 49 | 12.3 | 0 | 23 | |
| Wk 3 | W 70-0vs Northwestern State | 3 | 106 | 35.3 | 1 | 55 | Season-high 106 yds |
| Wk 5 | W 37-34@ Kansas | 5 | 91 | 18.2 | 0 | 29 | |
| Wk 6 | W 38-30vs Iowa State | 2 | 83 | 41.5 | 1 | 82 | |
| Wk 7 | W 20-11vs UCF | 2 | 20 | 10.0 | 0 | 14 | |
| Wk 8 | W 49-17@ Oklahoma State | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | 0 | 5 | |
| Wk 10 | L 14-45@ Utah | 2 | 21 | 10.5 | 0 | 12 | |
| Wk 13 | L 14-26vs BYU | 4 | 37 | 9.3 | 0 | 19 | |
| Wk 14 | L 23-45@ TCU | 5 | 67 | 13.4 | 0 | 40 | |
| Total | 29 | 484 | 16.1 | 2 | 82 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023Colorado State5-7HC: Jay Norvell · Pass-leaning
2025Cincinnati7-6HC: Scott Satterfield · Balanced, slow tempo
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Cincinnati | 29 | 484 | 16.7 | 2 | -- |
| 2023 | Colorado State | 1 | -1 | -1.0 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 30 | 483 | 16.1 | 2 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 29 | #297/1110 | 73rd pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 484 | #235/1107 | 79th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 2 | #281/1111 | 75th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 16.7 | #167/1106 | 85th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 18.1% | #133/1137 | 88th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 82 | #22/1105 | 98th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 9.9% | #96/1137 | 92nd pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 9.5% | #264/1137 | 77th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 9.1% | #136/1137 | 88th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 9.0% | #102/1137 | 91st pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 8.6% | #328/1137 | 71st pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 8.5% | #202/1137 | 82nd pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.0% | #391/1137 | 66th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #131/302 | 57th pct | Turnoversvs FBS WR |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 10 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 2.7 | 50.0 | 18.9 | 0.3 |
| Road4g | 3.2 | 46.0 | 11.8 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins6g | 2.8 | 59.0 | 20.4 | 0.3 |
| Losses4g | 3.0 | 32.5 | 9.6 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 2.8 | 59.0 | 20.4 | 0.3 |
| Weeks 8+4g | 3.0 | 32.5 | 9.6 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
62Solid starter
Elite: long catch (96th). Strength: yards / catch (88th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Caleb GoodieCincinnatiChris Dawn Jr.Texas State· 73% simHarrison Wallace IIIOle Miss· 71% simNik McMillanBuffalo· 70% sim
Long catch
Yards / catch
Rec yards
Receptions
Rec TDs
Fumbles lost
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Deep Threat
Stretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play.
WR
His 2025 production profile sits closest to August Pitre III’s 2021 season.
August Pitre III
81%match
#2
Andrel Anthony Jr.
78%
#3
Dylan Drummond
78%
#4
Willie Johnson
77%
#5
DeMarcus Harris
76%
Matches August on
Yards / reception
Weight
Class year
Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Reggie Brown’s path through James Madison.
Reggie Brown
88%match
#2
Deonte Simpson
85%
#3
Gunner Romney
82%
#4
Dennis Houston
82%
#5
Jalen Nailor
NFL Rd 6
78%
Matches Reggie on
Height
Yards per reception
Differs from Reggie on
Weight (lower)
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Ayden Greene's junior season at Virginia Tech (2025).
Ayden Greene
80%match
#2
Carlos Hernandez
76%
#3
Tim Grear Jr.
74%
#4
Tre Shackelford
74%
#5
Marcell Barbee
All-Sun Belt
73%
Matches Ayden on
Total EPA (college ability)
Height
TD rate
Differs from Ayden on
Recruiting rating (lower)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Scott Satterfield
Pass share
47.8%
363 pass / 396 run
Plays / game
58.4
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
2.6%
266 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced, slow tempo.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
1 coach2023
Scott Satterfield
Cincinnati
2025
Scott Satterfield
Cincinnati
Played his entire career under Scott Satterfield.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownBreaux Bridge, LA
Height6'1"
Weight178 lb
Class3
PositionWR
Jersey10
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamCincinnati
ConferenceBig 12
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Colorado State | WR3 | #4759 | #5077 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Mountain West |
| 2023 | Colorado State | WR3 | #5057 | #5314 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Mountain West |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Cincinnati | Big 12 | WR | 3 | No. 10 | 6-1 | 178 lb | Breaux Bridge, LA |
| 2024 | Colorado State | Mountain West | WR | 3 | No. 10 | 6-1 | 178 lb | Breaux Bridge, LA |
| 2023 | Colorado State | Mountain West | WR | 3 | No. 10 | 6-1 | 178 lb | Breaux Bridge, LA |