CFB Zeitgeist Score
76
All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by rush yards at the 87th percentile.
Carson Hansen
One of Usas of 2026-06-22
Carson Hansen arrives at Iowa State with a new fit to prove and an old chapter behind him.
950RUSH YDS6RUSH TD187CARRIES
STRAIGHT 100-YD RUSH GAMES
5
longest 2025 run of 100+ rushing yds
Iowa State fans treat him as a favorite son; the bond outlasts the box score.
low confidence1 source
Minority viewA vocal minority sees it the other way.
87th-percentile beloved, 64th-percentile productive — and around here only one of those is negotiable.
Read the story so far
AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to Penn State
2025Iowa State
2026Penn State
RB · IOWA STATE · BIG 12
Carson Hansen
- 3
- #26
- 6-2 | 220 lb
- Lakeville, MN
Heisman Heat
#1309
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
2 seasons on the ladder
2023
Iowa State · RB
—
★
2025
Iowa State · RB
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2023–2025+1318%
Up 1318% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Iowa State
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3-star | 0.8656 | No. 956 recruit | HighSchool |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Iowa State -> Penn State | 3-star | 0.8800 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in rushing yards (950).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to —
Composite
0.8656
#956 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Carson Hansen
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
60
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=21
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Carson Hansen
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Rushing WEPA per carry
+0.160
EPA
P4 + Notre Dame RBs, min 80 carries
National rank #29 of 66
Percentile vs P4 + Notre Dame RBs, min 80 carries 57th
Why it matters
#29 of 66 P4 + Notre Dame RBs by rushing weighted- EPA per carry — +0.160 EPA/carry on 178 carries.
Vs cohort
This player +0.160 (57th)
HIGH · n=178 cohort 66
- Also strong
- Yards per carry#30 / 69
- Rushing yards (total)#17 / 69
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 11g
950Rush yards
187Carries
6Rush TDs
Per game
86.4Rush yards
17Carries
1Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
1,123Rush yards
221Carries
7Rush TDs
✓ Hit 750-yard season · finished with 950.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 950): needs 25/game over remaining 2.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 950): needs 275/game over remaining 2.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 6): needs 2/game over remaining 2.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 6): needs 4.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 6): needs 7/game over remaining 2.
Why the honors trail matters
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Carson Hansen already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Workhorse | Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
187 96th
YDS
950 94th
YPC
5.1 65th
TD
6 89th
Receiving
REC
19 86th
YDS
134 80th
YPR
7.1 53rd
TD
0 70th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 11 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 24-21@ Kansas State | 16 | 71 | 4.4 | 0 | 15 | |
| Wk 1 | W 55-7vs South Dakota | 9 | 19 | 2.1 | 0 | 4 | |
| Wk 2 | W 16-13vs Iowa | 11 | 46 | 4.2 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 3 | W 24-16@ Arkansas State | 18 | 116 | 6.4 | 0 | 38 | |
| Wk 5 | W 39-14vs Arizona | 19 | 63 | 3.3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Wk 6 | L 30-38@ Cincinnati | 6 | 33 | 5.5 | 0 | 9 | |
| Wk 9 | L 27-41vs BYU | 16 | 152 | 9.5 | 2 | 65 | Season-high 152 yds |
| Wk 10 | L 19-24vs Arizona State | 18 | 113 | 6.3 | 0 | 28 | |
| Wk 11 | W 20-17@ TCU | 28 | 108 | 3.9 | 1 | 24 | |
| Wk 13 | W 38-14vs Kansas | 22 | 120 | 5.5 | 1 | 25 | |
| Wk 14 | W 20-13@ Oklahoma State | 24 | 109 | 4.5 | 0 | 14 | |
| Total | 187 | 950 | 5.1 | 6 | 65 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023Iowa State7-6HC: Matt Campbell · Balanced, slow tempo
2025Iowa State8-4HC: Matt Campbell · Run-leaning
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Iowa State | 187 | 950 | 5.1 | 6 | -- |
| 2023 | Iowa State | 22 | 67 | 3.0 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 209 | 1,017 | 4.9 | 6 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Iowa State | 19 | 134 | 7.1 | 0 | -- |
| 2023 | Iowa State | 11 | 115 | 10.5 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 30 | 249 | 8.3 | 0 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 950 | #45/735 | 94th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 6 | #83/739 | 89th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 5.1 | #257/735 | 65th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 19 | #78/552 | 86th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 134 | #111/548 | 80th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.16 | #111/362 | 70th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 178 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 28.1% | #22/738 | 97th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 187 | #33/739 | 96th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 65 | #81/733 | 89th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 22 | #198/540 | 64th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 7.1 | #261/548 | 53rd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #169/552 | 70th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 43.8% | #41/738 | 95th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 35.9% | #10/738 | 99th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 34.2% | #16/738 | 98th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 26.9% | #34/738 | 96th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 16.7% | #50/738 | 93rd pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 14.1% | #82/738 | 89th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 8.3% | #50/738 | 93rd pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/256 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
ALL-CONF HM
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16
Why he’s here
All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.
What moves him up
A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.
What moves him down
A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 11 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 85.5 | 5.1 | 0.8 |
| Road5g | 87.4 | 4.9 | 0.2 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins8g | 81.5 | 4.3 | 0.5 |
| Losses3g | 99.3 | 7.1 | 0.7 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 58.0 | 4.3 | 0.3 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 120 | 5.9 | 0.8 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
76All-Conference
Elite: carries (90th). Strength: rush yards (87th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing0.16Mid (p50–p75) (n=178)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Carson HansenIowa StateJevon JacksonUAB· 93% simRoman HembyIndiana· 91% simJevyon DuckerTemple· 91% sim
Carries
Rush yards
Fumbles lost
Long run
Receptions
Rush TDs
Rec yards
Yards / carry
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Workhorse
Built to take 20+ carries per game. Volume is the value.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to TJ Harden’s 2023 season.
TJ Harden
82%match
#2
Deshaun Fenwick
77%
#3
Deshaun Fenwick
74%
#4
Anthony Tyus III
All-MAC
74%
#5
Jacob Kibodi
74%
Matches TJ on
Yards / carry
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Receiving share
Differs from TJ on
Rush TD rate (lower)
Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Demetric Felton’s path through UCLA.
Demetric Felton
98%match
NFL Rd 6
#2
Joshua Samuel
96%
#3
Garrett Groshek
88%
#4
Lamar Radcliffe
87%
#5
Carson Steele
All-MAC
86%
Matches Demetric on
Yards per carry
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Carson Steele's junior season at UCLA (2023).
Carson Steele
80%match
All-MAC
#2
Dawaiian McNeely
71%
#3
Bryson Washington
All-Big 12
73%
#4
Dante Dowdell
72%
#5
Ahmani Marshall
All-Sun Belt
71%
Matches Carson on
EPA / carry (adj)
Weight
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Differs from Carson on
Yards / reception (lower)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Matt Campbell
Pass share
42.4%
345 pass / 469 run
Plays / game
67.8
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.8%
296 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
1 coach2023
Matt Campbell
Iowa State
2025
Matt Campbell
Iowa State
Played his entire career under Matt Campbell.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownLakeville, MN
Height6'2"
Weight220 lb
Class3
PositionRB
Jersey26
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamIowa State
ConferenceBig 12
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2025)
All-Big 12
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
1 all-conference honor
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | All-Big 12 | all_conference | Iowa State | Big 12 | RB |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Iowa State | RB3 | #1309 | #1081 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Big 12 |
| 2023 | Iowa State | RB3 | #1318 | #1182 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Big 12 |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Iowa State | Big 12 | RB | 3 | No. 26 | 6-2 | 220 lb | Lakeville, MN |
| 2024 | Iowa State | Big 12 | RB | 3 | No. 26 | 6-2 | 220 lb | Lakeville, MN |
| 2023 | Iowa State | Big 12 | RB | 3 | No. 26 | 6-2 | 220 lb | Lakeville, MN |