CFB Zeitgeist Score
66
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 78th percentile.
Collin Dixon
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
548 REC YDS · 35 REC · 5 REC TD
2026 Outlook
Returning to Illinois for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Wide receiver · Illinois
Returning around him
- 52% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- 3 Illinois players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -8 net (19 in / 27 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Illinois · Last season: 9-4 (AP #23) · Talent rank #64 · 2026 recruiting class #45
WR · ILLINOIS · BIG TEN
Collin Dixon
- 2
- #17
- 6-1 | 210 lb
- Tallmadge, OH
Heisman Heat
#865
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2024–2025+108%
Up 108% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Illinois
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3-star | 0.8711 | No. 823 recruit | HighSchool |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to —
Composite
0.8711
#823 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Collin Dixon
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Collin Dixon
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Yards per reception
15.7
yds
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
National rank #77 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 86th
Why it matters
#77 of 531 All FBS WRs at 15.7 yards per reception (35 catches).
Vs cohort
This player 15.7 (86th)
HIGH · n=35 cohort 531
- Also strong
- Receiving yards (total)#174 / 531
- Receiving TDs#98 / 531
Signature Moment
Week 4 at Indiana — 86 ypr
Result L 10-63
The week the volume broke through — put up 86 yds at Indiana.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 13g
548Rec yards
35Receptions
5Rec TDs
Per game
42.2Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Final
548Rec yards
35Receptions
5Rec TDs
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Collin Dixon's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Illinois, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
WR season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
35 79th
YDS
548 84th
YPR
15.7 80th
TD
5 91st
Rushing
CAR
2 53rd
YDS
5 35th
YPC
2.5 31st
TD
0 81st
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 13 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 52-3vs Western Illinois | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | 0 | 8 | |
| Wk 2 | W 45-19@ Duke | 3 | 36 | 12.0 | 1 | 33 | |
| Wk 3 | W 38-0vs Western Michigan | 2 | 21 | 10.5 | 0 | 15 | |
| Wk 4 | L 10-63@ Indiana | 4 | 86 | 21.5 | 1 | 59 | |
| Wk 5 | W 34-32vs USC | 4 | 90 | 22.5 | 0 | 61 | Season-high 90 yds |
| Wk 6 | W 43-27@ Purdue | 4 | 70 | 17.5 | 0 | 39 | |
| Wk 7 | L 16-34vs Ohio State | 4 | 46 | 11.5 | 1 | 17 | |
| Wk 9 | L 25-42@ Washington | 3 | 29 | 9.7 | 1 | 25 | |
| Wk 10 | W 35-13vs Rutgers | 2 | 36 | 18.0 | 1 | 29 | |
| Wk 12 | W 24-6vs Maryland | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Wk 13 | L 10-27@ Wisconsin | 3 | 62 | 20.7 | 0 | 36 | |
| Wk 14 | W 20-13vs Northwestern | 2 | 53 | 26.5 | 0 | 35 | |
| Bowl | W 30-28vs Tennessee | 2 | 10 | 5.0 | 0 | 6 | |
| Total | 35 | 548 | 14.2 | 5 | 61 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2024Illinois10-3HC: Bret Bielema · Run-leaning
2025Illinois9-4HC: Bret Bielema · Run-leaning
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 35 | #230/1110 | 79th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 548 | #180/1107 | 84th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 5 | #96/1111 | 91st pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 15.7 | #221/1106 | 80th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 14.3% | #269/1137 | 76th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 5 | #259/397 | 35th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 3 | #299/346 | 14th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 2.5 | #271/393 | 31st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Carries | 2 | #194/407 | 53rd pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #81/411 | 81st pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 61 | #167/1105 | 85th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 7.9% | #235/1137 | 79th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 7.5% | #428/1137 | 62nd pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 7.3% | #216/1137 | 81st pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 7.0% | #277/1137 | 76th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 6.8% | #235/1137 | 79th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 5.0% | #636/1137 | 44th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.5% | #284/1137 | 75th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 13 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home8g | 2.2 | 33.1 | 12.9 | 0.2 |
| Road5g | 3.4 | 56.6 | 16.3 | 0.6 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins9g | 2.3 | 36.1 | 13.4 | 0.2 |
| Losses4g | 3.5 | 55.8 | 15.8 | 0.8 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-78g | 3.0 | 45.9 | 13.6 | 0.4 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 2.2 | 36.2 | 15.2 | 0.4 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
66Solid starter
Elite: yards / catch (81st).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Collin DixonIllinoisHarrison Wallace IIIOle Miss· 83% simJordan HudsonSMU· 80% simChase HendricksOhio· 80% sim
Yards / catch
Rec TDs
Long catch
Rec yards
Receptions
Rush TDs
Rush yards
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Deep Threat
Stretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play.
WR
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Billy Bowens’s 2022 season.
Billy Bowens
78%match
#2
Nyziah Hunter
76%
#3
Sam Crawford Jr.
75%
#4
C.J. Daniels
69%
#5
Jayden Thomas
74%
Matches Billy on
Yards / reception
TD rate
Recruiting rating
Differs from Billy on
Class year (lower)
Weight (higher)
Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Will Vereen’s path through South Carolina State.
Will Vereen
97%match
#2
Beau Kelly
96%
#3
Tre Nixon
NFL Rd 7
96%
#4
Kahtero Summers
92%
#5
Hudson Clement
92%
Matches Will on
Yards per reception
As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Nyziah Hunter's sophomore season at Nebraska (2025).
Nyziah Hunter
78%match
#2
Nitro Tuggle
77%
#3
Cam Vaughn
All-Conference USA
75%
#4
Sam Crawford Jr.
74%
#5
Brett Eskildsen
74%
Matches Nyziah on
Total EPA (college ability)
TD rate
Recruiting rating
Differs from Nyziah on
Yards / reception (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Bret Bielema
Pass share
45.6%
372 pass / 444 run
Plays / game
62.8
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
11.0%
292 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025
1 coach2024
Bret Bielema
Illinois
2025
Bret Bielema
Illinois
Played his entire career under Bret Bielema.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownTallmadge, OH
Height6'1"
Weight210 lb
Class2
PositionWR
Jersey17
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamIllinois
ConferenceBig Ten
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.