cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / DJ Coleman /Baylor

DJ Coleman

S · Baylor · Jr · #33

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

41 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Baylor for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Baylor for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Safety · Baylor

Returning around him

  • 82% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • 2 Baylor players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -1 net (31 in / 32 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Baylor · Last season: 5-7 · Talent rank #35 · 2026 recruiting class #36

S · BAYLOR · BIG 12

DJ Coleman

  • 3
  • #33
  • 6-1 | 210 lb
  • Mesquite, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

67

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 75th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#11070

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Baylor
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionS
Class3
Jersey33
Measurements6-1 | 210 lb
HometownMesquite, TX
Primary teamBaylor

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#11070Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#11245Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on DJ Coleman

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about DJ Coleman

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
41Tackles
4Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
3Tackles
0.3Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
44Tackles
4.3Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 41): needs 39/game over remaining 1.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 41): needs 59/game over remaining 1.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 6/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 10/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

DJ Coleman is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Baylor's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 4.0 tackles for loss, and 2 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #11070 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 0.0 sacks | 4.0 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 41 30 solo | #872/4942 (82nd pct)
TFL 4.0 Backfield disruption | #738/4972 (85th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderCoverage splashHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
41 82nd
SOLO
30 89th
TFL
4.0 85th
SACK
0.0 65th
QBH
3 75th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
4 84th
INT
2 87th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1L 24-38vs Auburn320.00.00
Wk 2W 48-45@ SMU650.00.01Season-high 6 tackles
Wk 3W 42-7vs Samford111.00.01
Wk 4L 24-27vs Arizona State331.00.00
Wk 5W 45-27@ Oklahoma State541.00.00
Wk 6W 35-34vs Kansas State430.00.00
Wk 8L 36-42@ TCU430.00.00
Wk 9L 20-41@ Cincinnati410.00.00
Wk 10W 30-3vs UCF650.00.011
Wk 12L 28-55vs Utah210.00.00
Wk 13L 17-41@ Arizona211.00.011
Wk 14L 24-31vs Houston110.00.00
Total41304.00.024
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Baylor3-9HC: Dave Aranda · Balanced
2024Baylor8-5HC: Dave Aranda · Run-leaning
2025Baylor5-7HC: Dave Aranda · Pass-leaning, fast tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Baylor41304.00.042--
2024Baylor28191.50.02----
2023Baylor15110.00.02----
Career3 loaded seasons84605.50.082--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 2 0 pick-six TD | #114/869 (87th pct)
Pass breakups 4 Coverage disruption | #340/2184 (84th pct)
QB pressures 3 Quarterback hurries | #462/1878 (75th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 41 #872/4942 82nd pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 4.0 #738/4972 85th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 2 #114/869 87th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 4 #340/2184 84th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 3 #462/1878 75th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 30 #515/4584 89th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense INT return yards 28 #232/578 60th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense INT return avg 14.0 #292/578 50th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home7g2.90.30.00.3
Road5g4.20.40.00.4

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins5g4.40.40.00.6
Losses7g2.70.30.00.1

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g3.70.50.00.3
Weeks 8+6g3.20.20.00.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the S cohort

67Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: passes defended (85th). Strength: solo tackles (81st). Concern: sacks (23rd).

Passes defended#340 / 2975 · 86th pct
4defe
Solo tackles#515 / 2975 · 82nd pct
30defe
QB hurries#457 / 2975 · 82nd pct
3defe
Interceptions#114 / 817 · 75th pct
2inte
Tackles for loss#736 / 2975 · 73rd pct
4.0defe
Tackles#872 / 2975 · 70th pct
41defe
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · S · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
DJ ColemanBaylorBryce LlewellynEastern Michigan· 87% simAndon ThomasArmy· 82% simTy BenefieldBoise State· 82% sim
Passes defended
86
Coleman
86
Llewellyn
91
Thomas
78
Benefield
Solo tackles
82
Coleman
95
Llewellyn
100
Thomas
100
Benefield
QB hurries
82
Coleman
72
Llewellyn
82
Thomas
55
Benefield
Interceptions
75
Coleman
75
Llewellyn
75
Benefield
Tackles for loss
73
Coleman
80
Llewellyn
73
Thomas
94
Benefield
Tackles
70
Coleman
99
Llewellyn
99
Thomas
99
Benefield
Sacks
24
Coleman
24
Llewellyn
51
Thomas
24
Benefield

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Hybrid Nickel

Moves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB.

S

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Terell Smith’s 2022 season.

Terell Smith

88%match

Minnesota · 2022

NFL Rd 5
#2

Camby Goff

Air Force · 2021

85%
#3

Will Boler

UAB · 2022

84%
#4

Ben Nikkel

Iowa State · 2023

83%
#5

Dominick Hill

Temple · 2023

82%

Matches Terell on

Height
Tackle volume
Weight

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Tayon Holloway's junior season at Louisville (2025).

Tayon Holloway

89%match

Louisville · 2025

#2

Mekhi Garner

LSU · 2022

All-Sun Belt
87%
#3

Cooper DeJean

Iowa · 2023

Consensus All-AmericanNFL Rd 2 · Pk 8
88%
#4

Mychal Yharbrough

Miami (OH) · 2025

85%
#5

Braylon Johnson

Wake Forest · 2025

84%

Matches Tayon on

Class year
Height
PD rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Dave Aranda

Pass share

55.5%

510 pass / 409 run

Plays / game

76.6

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.0%

417 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Pass-leaning, fast tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Dave Aranda
Baylor
2024
Dave Aranda
Baylor
2025
Dave Aranda
Baylor

Played his entire career under Dave Aranda.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMesquite, TX
Height6'1"
Weight210 lb
Class3
PositionS
Jersey33

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Baylor S3 #11070 #11245 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 Baylor S3 #14210 #14465 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Baylor Big 12 S 3 No. 33 | 6-1 | 210 lb | Mesquite, TX
2024 Baylor Big 12 S 3 No. 33 | 6-1 | 210 lb | Mesquite, TX
2023 Baylor Big 12 S 3 No. 33 | 6-1 | 210 lb | Mesquite, TX