CFB Zeitgeist Score
59
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 95th percentile.
Earl Little II
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
76 TACKLES · 0 SACKS
2026 Outlook
Returning to Florida State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Defensive back · Florida State
Returning around him
- 13% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
- 1 Florida State player drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -21 net (22 in / 43 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Florida State · Last season: 5-7 (AP #25) · Talent rank #19 · 2026 recruiting class #19
DB · FLORIDA STATE · ACC
Earl Little II
- 3
- 6-1 | 193 lb
- Fort Lauderdale, FL
Heisman Heat
#13793
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP DB AWARD
Jim Thorpe
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 4-star | 0.9552 | No. 106 recruit | HighSchool | Alabama |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to Alabama
Composite
0.9552
#106 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Earl Little II
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Earl Little II
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the defensive totals stand
Through 12g
76Tackles
2Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
6Tackles
0.2Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
82Tackles
2.2Tackles for loss
0Sacks
To hit 80-tackle season (currently 76): needs 4/game over remaining 1.
To hit 100-tackle season (currently 76): needs 24/game over remaining 1.
To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 6/game over remaining 1.
To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 10/game over remaining 1.
Why this is a rare defensive case
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Earl Little II is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Florida State's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 2.0 tackles for loss, and 4 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
DEF season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Tackling & Disruption
TOT
76 96th
SOLO
33 91st
TFL
2.0 71st
SACK
0.0 65th
Coverage & Takeaways
PD
2 64th
INT
4 97th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | TKL | SOLO | TFL | SACK | INT | PD | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 31-17vs Alabama | 9 | 4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 2 | W 77-3vs East Texas A&M | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Wk 4 | W 66-10vs Kent State | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 5 | L 38-46@ Virginia | 13 | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | Season-high 13 tackles |
| Wk 6 | L 22-28vs Miami | 7 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 7 | L 31-34vs Pittsburgh | 5 | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wk 8 | L 13-20@ Stanford | 5 | 2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wk 10 | W 42-7vs Wake Forest | 7 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wk 11 | L 10-24@ Clemson | 5 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 12 | W 34-14vs Virginia Tech | 6 | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 13 | L 11-21@ NC State | 6 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 14 | L 21-40@ Florida | 7 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Total | 76 | 33 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4 | 2 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023Alabama12-2HC: Nick Saban · Run-heavy
2025Florida State5-7HC: Mike Norvell · Run-leaning
| Season | Team | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Florida State | 76 | 33 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 4 | -- |
| 2023 | Alabama | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -- | -- | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 78 | 34 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 4 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.
Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defense | Total tackles | 76 | #192/4942 | 96th pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | TFL | 2.0 | #1443/4972 | 71st pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Sacks | 0.0 | #1762/4972 | 65th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Interceptions | 4 | #23/869 | 97th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Pass breakups | 2 | #792/2184 | 64th pct | Coveragevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | INT return yards | 83 | #31/578 | 95th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Solo tackles | 33 | #417/4584 | 91st pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | INT return avg | 20.8 | #200/578 | 66th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 5.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| Road5g | 7.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins5g | 5.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Losses7g | 6.9 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 6.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 6.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the DB cohort
59Solid starter
Elite: interceptions (95th). Strength: tackles (93rd). Concern: qb hurries (22nd).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · DB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Earl Little IIFlorida StateTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 88% simDalton JohnsonArizona· 81% simDevin LafayetteTroy· 80% sim
Interceptions
Tackles
Solo tackles
Passes defended
Tackles for loss
Sacks
QB hurries
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Box Safety
Lives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker.
S
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Quindell Johnson’s 2022 season.
Quindell Johnson
88%match
All-AAC
#2
Terry Jones Jr.
83%
#3
Alex Cook
83%
#4
John Pupel
82%
#5
Jamel Johnson
82%
Matches Quindell on
Tackle volume
Weight
Height
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Ty Bryant's junior season at Kentucky (2025).
Ty Bryant
87%match
#2
Wylan Free
86%
#3
Durante Jones
84%
#4
Jacquez Warren
78%
#5
Leon Hart Jr.
77%
Matches Ty on
Class year
Interceptions
Weight
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Mike Norvell
Pass share
40.3%
339 pass / 502 run
Plays / game
70.1
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
8.5%
282 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
1 coach2023
Mike Norvell
Florida State
2025
Mike Norvell
Florida State
Played his entire career under Mike Norvell.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownFort Lauderdale, FL
Height6'1"
Weight193 lb
Class3
PositionDB
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamFlorida State
ConferenceACC
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Florida State | DB3 | #13793 | #13927 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | ACC |
| 2023 | Alabama | DB3 | #5607 | #5349 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | SEC |
| 2022 | Alabama | DB3 | #4652 | #4282 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | SEC |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Florida State | ACC | DB | 3 | 6-1 | 193 lb | Fort Lauderdale, FL |
| 2024 | Florida State | ACC | DB | 3 | 6-1 | 193 lb | Fort Lauderdale, FL |
| 2023 | Alabama | SEC | DB | 3 | 6-1 | 193 lb | Fort Lauderdale, FL |
| 2022 | Alabama | SEC | DB | 3 | 6-1 | 193 lb | Fort Lauderdale, FL |