cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jordan King /California

Jordan King

WR · California · Jr · #4

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

267 REC YDS · 22 REC · 2 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to California for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to California for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · California

Returning around him

  • 22% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • 1 California player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -4 net (32 in / 36 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

California · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #36 · 2026 recruiting class #69

WR · CALIFORNIA · ACC

Jordan King

  • 3
  • #4
  • 6-2 | 220 lb
  • Portland, OR

CFB Zeitgeist Score

34

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 42nd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1408

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2024–2025
50.02024
2672025

+434%

Up 434% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
California
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class3
Jersey4
Measurements6-2 | 220 lb
HometownPortland, OR
Primary teamCalifornia

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1408Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#1623Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jordan King

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jordan King

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

12.1

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #286 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 46th

Why it matters

#286 of 531 All FBS WRs at 12.1 yards per reception (22 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 12.1 (46th)

MODERATE · n=22 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving TDs#302 / 531
  • Receiving yards (total)#429 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 9 at Virginia Tech — 64 ypr

Result L 34-42

The week the volume broke through — put up 64 yds at Virginia Tech.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 10g
267Rec yards
22Receptions
2Rec TDs
Per game
26.7Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
347.1Rec yards
29Receptions
3Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 267): needs 144.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 267): needs 244.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 22): needs 12.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 22): needs 19.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 2/game over remaining 3.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 2.7/game over remaining 3.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jordan King's story is about how role and output meet each other. For California, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #1408 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 4.1% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 22 2 rec TD | #383/1110 (66th pct)
Receiving yards 267 12.1 per catch | #393/1107 (65th pct)
Scrimmage yards 267 Total offensive yardage | #393/1107 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
22 66th
YDS
267 65th
YPR
12.1 52nd
TD
2 75th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 34-15@ Oregon State177.007
Wk 2W 35-3vs Texas Southern155.005
Wk 3W 27-14vs Minnesota2189.0116
Wk 5W 28-24@ Boston College44210.5021
Wk 6L 21-45vs Duke33812.7122
Wk 8W 21-18vs North Carolina35418.0023
Wk 9L 34-42@ Virginia Tech46416.0038Season-high 64 yds
Wk 10L 21-31vs Virginia22010.0015
Wk 11W 29-26@ Louisville133.003
Wk 13L 10-31@ Stanford11616.0016
Total2226710.7238
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024California6-7HC: Justin Wilcox · Balanced
2025California7-6HC: Justin Wilcox · Pass-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025California2226712.12--
2024California45012.50--
Career2 loaded seasons2631712.22--
SeasonTeam
2025California----------
2024California-----12----
Career2 loaded seasons-----12----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 4.1% 6.8% pass-game share | #704/1137 (38th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 2 Across offense and returns | #281/1111 (75th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 22 #383/1110 66th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 267 #393/1107 65th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 2 #281/1111 75th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 12.1 #537/1106 52nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 6.8% #704/1137 38th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 38 #486/1105 56th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 8.4% #340/1137 70th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 8.0% #390/1137 66th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 4.1% #596/1137 48th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 3.8% #676/1137 41st pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 2.6% #799/1137 30th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 2.3% #807/1137 29th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home5g2.227.010.90.4
Road5g2.226.410.50.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins6g2.021.58.80.2
Losses4g2.534.513.70.2

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-75g2.222.08.80.4
Weeks 8+5g2.231.412.60.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

34Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: long catch (26th).

Rec TDs#276 / 558 · 42nd pct
2rece
Yards / catch#333 / 558 · 40th pct
12.1rece
Receptions#383 / 558 · 30th pct
22rece
Rec yards#393 / 558 · 30th pct
267rece
Long catch#404 / 558 · 27th pct
38rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Jordan KingCaliforniaMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 63% simAaron TurnerRice· 60% simTrent WalkerOregon State· 60% sim
Rec TDs
42
King
24
III
68
Turner
42
Walker
Yards / catch
40
King
9
III
1
Turner
40
Walker
Receptions
30
King
92
III
92
Turner
95
Walker
Rec yards
30
King
70
III
48
Turner
89
Walker
Long catch
27
King
16
III
65
Turner
39
Walker

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jayden Thomas’s 2023 season.

Jayden Thomas

91%match

Notre Dame · 2023

#2

Bub Means

Louisiana Tech · 2021

NFL Rd 5
84%
#3

Rashod Owens

Oklahoma State · 2021

83%
#4

Rodney Harris II

Ohio · 2025

82%
#5

Chris Bell

Louisville · 2023

NFL Rd 3 · Pk 30
82%

Matches Jayden on

TD rate
Weight
Total EPA (college ability)

Through 1 college season, his career arc tracks closest to Kyndon Fuselier’s path through Lamar.

Kyndon Fuselier

99%match

Lamar · 2025

#2

Amari Rodgers

Clemson · 2020

All-ACCNFL Rd 3 · Pk 22
98%
#3

Jalen Preston

Texas A&M · 2022

96%
#4

Jeremiah Hunter

Washington · 2024

95%
#5

Brionne Penny

San Diego State · 2023

95%

Matches Kyndon on

Yards per reception

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Jaron Tibbs's sophomore season at Purdue (2024).

Jaron Tibbs

85%match

Purdue · 2024

#2

Jalen Preston

Texas A&M · 2021

82%
#3

Jonathan Mingo

Ole Miss · 2021

All-SECNFL Rd 2 · Pk 8
81%
#4

Rashod Owens

Oklahoma State · 2021

81%
#5

J.J. Jones

North Carolina · 2022

81%

Matches Jaron on

TD rate
Total EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Justin Wilcox

Pass share

57.0%

502 pass / 379 run

Plays / game

67.8

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

8.2%

353 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Pass-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

1 coach
2024
Justin Wilcox
California
2025
Justin Wilcox
California

Played his entire career under Justin Wilcox.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownPortland, OR
Height6'2"
Weight220 lb
Class3
PositionWR
Jersey4

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 California WR3 #1408 #1623 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC
2023 California WR3 #3858 #3804 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Pac-12
2022 California WR3 #4203 #4465 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 California ACC WR 3 No. 4 | 6-2 | 220 lb | Portland, OR
2024 California ACC WR 3 No. 4 | 6-2 | 220 lb | Portland, OR
2023 California Pac-12 WR 3 No. 4 | 6-2 | 220 lb | Portland, OR
2022 California Pac-12 WR 3 No. 4 | 6-2 | 220 lb | Portland, OR