CFB Zeitgeist Score
49
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 66th percentile.
Justyn Reid
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
200 REC YDS · 17 REC · 3 REC TD
2026 Outlook
Returning to Tulane for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Tight end · Tulane
Returning around him
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Tulane · Last season: 11-3 (AP #17) · Talent rank #68 · 2026 recruiting class #74
TE · TULANE · AMERICAN ATHLETIC
CFB Zeitgeist Score
49
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 66th percentile.
Heisman Heat
#5336
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP TE AWARD
Mackey
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterImpact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2023–2025Up 1438% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3-star | 0.8336 | No. 1820 recruit | HighSchool | Southern Miss |
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Selector Grid · 2025
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Southern Miss
Composite
0.8336
#1820 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 200): needs 500/game over remaining 1.
To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 200): needs 800/game over remaining 1.
To hit 60-catch season (currently 17): needs 43/game over remaining 1.
To hit 80-catch season (currently 17): needs 63/game over remaining 1.
To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 5/game over remaining 1.
To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 7/game over remaining 1.
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Justyn Reid's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Tulane, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
2025 season snapshot | final
30-second read
Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 23-3vs Northwestern | 3 | 47 | 15.7 | 1 | 33 | Season-high 47 yds |
| Wk 2 | W 33-31@ South Alabama | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | 0 | 5 | |
| Wk 4 | L 10-45@ Ole Miss | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | 0 | 7 | |
| Wk 5 | W 31-14@ Tulsa | 1 | 14 | 14.0 | 0 | 14 | |
| Wk 7 | W 26-19vs East Carolina | 1 | 19 | 19.0 | 0 | 19 | |
| Wk 8 | W 24-17vs Army | 2 | 22 | 11.0 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 10 | L 26-48@ UTSA | 2 | 16 | 8.0 | 0 | 10 | |
| Wk 11 | W 38-32@ Memphis | 1 | 13 | 13.0 | 0 | 13 | |
| Wk 12 | W 35-24vs Florida Atlantic | 1 | 15 | 15.0 | 0 | 15 | |
| Wk 13 | W 37-13@ Temple | 2 | 5 | 2.5 | 1 | 4 | |
| Wk 14 | W 27-0vs Charlotte | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | 0 | 8 | |
| Bowl | L 10-41@ Ole Miss | 1 | 29 | 29.0 | 1 | 29 | |
| Total | 17 | 200 | 12.3 | 3 | 33 |
Traditional history
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Tulane | 17 | 200 | 11.8 | 3 | -- |
| 2023 | Southern Miss | 1 | 13 | 13.0 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 18 | 213 | 11.8 | 3 | -- |
Advanced metrics second
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.
A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 17 | #129/475 | 73rd pct | Volumevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 200 | #112/475 | 77th pct | Volumevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 3 | #45/475 | 91st pct | Scoringvs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 11.8 | #139/475 | 71st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Pass share | 6.8% | #187/468 | 60th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 33 | #111/475 | 77th pct | Metricvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 3.9% | #208/468 | 56th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS TE |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 3.8% | #202/468 | 57th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 3.2% | #227/468 | 52nd pct | Money-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Role share | 3.2% | #200/468 | 57th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS TE |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 3.0% | #213/468 | 55th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS TE |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 2.7% | #259/468 | 45th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.0% | #58/468 | 88th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS TE |
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home5g | 1.6 | 22.2 | 13.7 | 0.2 |
| Road7g | 1.3 | 12.7 | 11.2 | 0.3 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins9g | 1.4 | 16.4 | 11.5 | 0.2 |
| Losses3g | 1.3 | 17.3 | 14.7 | 0.3 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 1.3 | 20.2 | 15.0 | 0.3 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 1.5 | 13.2 | 9.6 | 0.2 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort
Concern: receptions (24th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · TE · 2024
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
Lined up out wide as often as inline. Creates mismatches downfield.
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Matthew Hibner’s 2024 season.
Matthew Hibner
Patrick Herbert
Austin Stogner
Michael Masunas
Isaac Rex
Matches Matthew on
Differs from Matthew on
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Michael Masunas's junior season at Michigan State (2025).
Michael Masunas
Jeremy Tate Jr.
Kyirin Heath
Jacob Petersen
Matthew Hibner
Matches Michael on
Differs from Michael on
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Jon Sumrall
Pass share
45.8%
424 pass / 501 run
Plays / game
66.1
14 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
3.4%
294 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
2 coachesCoaching transition mid-career: Slade Nagle → Jon Sumrall. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Southern Miss | TE3 | #5336 | #6030 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Sun Belt |
| 2023 | Southern Miss | TE3 | #4792 | #5365 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Sun Belt |
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Tulane | American Athletic | TE | 3 | No. 88 | 6-5 | 255 lb | Newnan, GA |
| 2024 | Southern Miss | Sun Belt | TE | 3 | No. 88 | 6-5 | 255 lb | Newnan, GA |
| 2023 | Southern Miss | Sun Belt | TE | 3 | No. 88 | 6-5 | 255 lb | Newnan, GA |