CFB Zeitgeist Score
51
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 75th percentile.
K'Vion Thunderbird
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
32 TACKLES · 0 SACKS
2026 Outlook
Returning to Fresno State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Linebacker · Fresno State
Returning around him
- 17% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
- Transfer portal: +3 net (13 in / 10 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Fresno State · Last season: 9-4 · Talent rank #90 · 2026 recruiting class #103
LB · FRESNO STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST
K'Vion Thunderbird
- 2
- #10
- 6-0 | 225 lb
- Chicago, IL
Heisman Heat
#9987
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP LB AWARD
Butkus
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3-star | 0.8642 | No. 1006 recruit | HighSchool | Arizona State |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Arizona State -> Fresno State | 3-star | 0.8400 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Arizona State
Composite
0.8642
#1006 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on K'Vion Thunderbird
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about K'Vion Thunderbird
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the defensive totals stand
Through 7g
32Tackles
1.5Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
5Tackles
0.2Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
59Tackles
2.8Tackles for loss
0Sacks
To hit 80-tackle season (currently 32): needs 8/game over remaining 6.
To hit 100-tackle season (currently 32): needs 11.3/game over remaining 6.
To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 1/game over remaining 6.
To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 1.7/game over remaining 6.
Why this is a rare defensive case
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
K'Vion Thunderbird is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Fresno State's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 1.5 tackles for loss, and 2 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
DEF season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Coverage splash against FBS defenders.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Tackling & Disruption
TOT
32 75th
SOLO
12 62nd
TFL
1.5 64th
SACK
0.0 65th
QBH
1 44th
Coverage & Takeaways
PD
3 76th
INT
2 87th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 7 games
| Wk | Opp | TKL | SOLO | TFL | SACK | INT | PD | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 7-31@ Kansas | 4 | 2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 1 | W 42-14vs Georgia Southern | 5 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 2 | |
| Wk 2 | W 36-27@ Oregon State | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 3 | W 56-7vs Southern | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 4 | W 23-21@ Hawai'i | 8 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | Season-high 8 tackles |
| Wk 6 | W 20-17vs Nevada | 5 | 2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wk 7 | L 21-49@ Colorado State | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Total | 32 | 12 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2 | 3 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023Arizona State3-9HC: Kenny Dillingham · Balanced
2025Fresno State9-4HC: Matt Entz · Run-leaning
| Season | Team | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Fresno State | 32 | 12 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 3 | 2 | -- |
| 2023 | Arizona State | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -- | -- | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 33 | 13 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 3 | 2 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.
Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defense | Total tackles | 32 | #1250/4942 | 75th pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | TFL | 1.5 | #1771/4972 | 64th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Sacks | 0.0 | #1762/4972 | 65th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Interceptions | 2 | #114/869 | 87th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Pass breakups | 3 | #521/2184 | 76th pct | Coveragevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | QB hurries | 1 | #1051/1878 | 44th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | INT return yards | 59 | #82/578 | 86th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | INT return avg | 29.5 | #102/578 | 83rd pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Solo tackles | 12 | #1735/4584 | 62nd pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Defensive TD | 1 | #23/200 | 89th pct | Scoringvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Pick-six TD | 1 | #13/119 | 90th pct | Scoringvs FBS DEF |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 7 games
Home vs Road
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home3g | 4.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.7 |
| Road4g | 4.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 |
Win vs Loss
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins5g | 4.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Losses2g | 4.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 4.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort
51Mid-pack
Concern: sacks (23rd).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · LB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
K'Vion ThunderbirdFresno StateBryce LlewellynEastern Michigan· 69% simBlake FletcherAir Force· 68% simTyler MartinMassachusetts· 67% sim
Passes defended
Interceptions
Tackles
QB hurries
Solo tackles
Tackles for loss
Sacks
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Coverage 'Backer
Carries tight ends and patrols the middle of the field in coverage.
LB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Trey Lathan’s 2023 season.
Trey Lathan
76%match
#2
Tah'j Butler
73%
#3
Davhon Keys
72%
#4
Jaeden Calender
71%
#5
Desmond Purnell
70%
Matches Trey on
Tackle volume
TFL rate
Differs from Trey on
Class year (higher)
Height (lower)
PD rate (higher)
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Tyler Turner's junior season at Baylor (2025).
Tyler Turner
79%match
#2
Wesley Fair
78%
#3
Sylvester Smith
77%
#4
Garrett Williams
73%
#5
Derek Fields Jr.
73%
Matches Tyler on
Class year
Tackle volume
TFL rate
Differs from Tyler on
Weight (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Matt Entz
Pass share
44.2%
373 pass / 471 run
Plays / game
64.9
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.4%
282 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
2 coaches2023
Jeff Tedford
Fresno State
2025era →
Matt Entz
Fresno State
Coaching transition mid-career: Jeff Tedford → Matt Entz. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownChicago, IL
Height6'0"
Weight225 lb
Class2
PositionLB
Jersey10
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamFresno State
ConferenceMountain West
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Arizona State | LB2 | #9987 | #9708 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Big 12 |
| 2023 | Arizona State | LB2 | #14613 | #14661 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Pac-12 |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Fresno State | Mountain West | LB | 2 | No. 10 | 6-0 | 225 lb | Chicago, IL |
| 2024 | Arizona State | Big 12 | LB | 2 | No. 10 | 6-0 | 225 lb | Chicago, IL |
| 2023 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | LB | 2 | No. 10 | 6-0 | 225 lb | Chicago, IL |