Fresno State
USC #14
1-0 W2 · Mixed1:00 AM · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Fan take
USC fans
Fresno State fans
What’s at stake
Make the CFP field
USC · 46%46% → ▲46% if win46% → ▼31% if loss
Fresno State · 2%2% → ▲4% if win2% → ▼2% if loss
USC projected #10 seed
Win the conference
USC · 10%10% → ▲11% if win10% → ▼9% if loss
Fresno State · 7%7% → ▲9% if win7% → ▼7% if loss
Win it all
USC · 3%3% → ▲3% if win3% → ▼2% if loss
Fresno State · 0%0% → ▲0% if win0% → ▼0% if loss
CFP odds as of September 5, 2026
The series
USC leads the series 6-1
7 meetings since 1992 · USC has won the last 6
- 2026USC 39–0
- 2022USC 45–17
- 2019USC 31–23
- 2014USC 52–13
- 2013 · neutral siteUSC 45–20
Best players
USC
- Trent Mosley (WR) · 222 receiving yards
- Jayden Maiava (QB) · 635 passing yards — Heisman odds: 10th (+2000)
- Kayden Dixon-Wyatt (WR) · 138 receiving yards
Fresno State
- K'Vion Thunderbird (LB) · 9 tackles
- Martin Owusu (DL) · 7 tackles
- Simeon Harris (DB) · 7 tackles
The line, and the room
Fresno State fans are feeling better about their season (59th percentile) than USC fans are (12th) — even with USC favored here.
- Model · 69%
- Market · 96%
- USC fans · 12th
- Fresno State fans · 59th
Home −21.5 · O/U 51.5
Conditions
75°F · 6 mph wind · Clear
Home-field advantage: Strong
USC is 71% at home, 50% on the road since 2018 (36-15 home, 20-20 away).
Fresno State 0 – USC 39
Called it — picked USC to win.
USC handled Fresno State 39-0, matching the pregame favorite.