cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Kooper Ebel /Iowa State

Kooper Ebel

LB · Iowa State · Jr · #47

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

77 TACKLES · 1 SACKS

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Iowa State → Penn State for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Penn State

2025Iowa State
2026Penn State

LB · IOWA STATE · BIG 12

Kooper Ebel

  • 3
  • #47
  • 6-4 | 235 lb
  • Hartley, IA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

83

All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by tackles for loss at the 93rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#9852

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP LB AWARD

Butkus

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#927 national
CFB
College
Iowa State
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionLB
Class3
Jersey47
Measurements6-4 | 235 lb
HometownHartley, IA
Primary teamIowa State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 927 recruit
Composite rating 0.8664 HighSchool
Signed with Iowa State 2023
Origin Hartley-Melvin-Sanborn Hartley, IA, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8664 No. 927 recruit | HighSchool | Iowa State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Penn State 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 5, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Iowa State -> Penn State 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#9852Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#9399Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Iowa State

Composite

0.8664

#927 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Kooper Ebel

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Kooper Ebel

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
77Tackles
8Tackles for loss
1Sacks
Per game
6Tackles
0.7Tackles for loss
0.1Sacks
Projected (13g)
83Tackles
8.7Tackles for loss
1.1Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 77): needs 3/game over remaining 1.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 77): needs 23/game over remaining 1.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 1): needs 5/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 1): needs 9/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Kooper Ebel is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Iowa State's defense, with 1.0 sacks, 8.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #9852 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 1.0 sacks | 8.0 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 77 38 solo | #179/4942 (96th pct)
TFL 8.0 Backfield disruption | #198/4972 (96th pct)
Sacks 1.0 Pass-rush finish | #872/4972 (82nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
77 96th
SOLO
38 94th
TFL
8.0 96th
SACK
1.0 82nd
QBH
5 90th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
3 76th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 24-21@ Kansas State531.01.00
Wk 1W 55-7vs South Dakota200.50.00
Wk 2W 16-13vs Iowa600.00.00
Wk 3W 24-16@ Arkansas State550.00.00
Wk 5W 39-14vs Arizona740.00.00
Wk 6L 30-38@ Cincinnati530.00.00
Wk 7L 17-24@ Colorado631.00.00
Wk 9L 27-41vs BYU620.50.00
Wk 10L 19-24vs Arizona State951.00.01
Wk 11W 20-17@ TCU1141.00.00Season-high 11 tackles
Wk 13W 38-14vs Kansas510.00.01
Wk 14W 20-13@ Oklahoma State1083.00.013.0 TFL
Total77388.01.03
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Iowa State7-6HC: Matt Campbell · Balanced, slow tempo
2025Iowa State8-4HC: Matt Campbell · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Iowa State77388.01.03----
2023Iowa State330.00.0------
Career2 loaded seasons80418.01.03----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 3 Coverage disruption | #521/2184 (76th pct)
QB pressures 5 Quarterback hurries | #188/1878 (90th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 77 #179/4942 96th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 8.0 #198/4972 96th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 1.0 #872/4972 82nd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 3 #521/2184 76th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 5 #188/1878 90th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 38 #271/4584 94th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g5.80.30.00.3
Road6g7.01.00.20.2

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins8g6.40.70.10.2
Losses4g6.50.60.00.2

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g5.10.40.10.0
Weeks 8+5g8.21.10.00.6

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort

83All-Conference
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: tackles (93rd). Strength: tackles for loss (92nd).

Tackles#179 / 2975 · 94th pct
77defe
Tackles for loss#198 / 2975 · 93rd pct
8.0defe
QB hurries#188 / 2975 · 92nd pct
5defe
Solo tackles#271 / 2975 · 90th pct
38defe
Passes defended#517 / 2975 · 78th pct
3defe
Sacks#847 / 2975 · 63rd pct
1.0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · LB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Kooper EbelIowa StateTrey FieldsNorth Texas· 94% simBryce BoettcherOregon· 92% simJaylen WesterWestern Kentucky· 91% sim
Tackles
94
Ebel
98
Fields
100
Boettcher
99
Wester
Tackles for loss
93
Ebel
87
Fields
83
Boettcher
90
Wester
QB hurries
92
Ebel
95
Fields
92
Boettcher
82
Wester
Solo tackles
90
Ebel
96
Fields
99
Boettcher
98
Wester
Passes defended
78
Ebel
67
Fields
91
Boettcher
67
Wester
Sacks
63
Ebel
63
Fields
63
Boettcher
74
Wester

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Every-Down Linebacker

Leads the team in tackles and rarely leaves the field.

LB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Kyle Soelle’s 2021 season.

Kyle Soelle

83%match

Arizona State · 2021

#2

Jimmy Phillips

SMU · 2022

78%
#3

Wade Woodaz

Clemson · 2025

NFL Rd 4
78%
#4

Dillon Doyle

Baylor · 2021

77%
#5

Jacob Wahlberg

Western Michigan · 2023

77%

Matches Kyle on

Weight
TFL rate
PD rate

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Blayne Myrick's junior season at South Alabama (2025).

Blayne Myrick

79%match

South Alabama · 2025

All-Sun Belt
#2

Anthony Hill Jr.

Texas · 2025

All-SECNFL Rd 2 · Pk 28
79%
#3

Ty Anthony Morris

Rice · 2025

78%
#4

Johnny Hodges

TCU · 2022

All-Big 12
78%
#5

Jared Lloyd

Missouri State · 2025

77%

Matches Blayne on

Weight
Sack rate
Tackle volume

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Matt Campbell

Pass share

42.4%

345 pass / 469 run

Plays / game

67.8

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.8%

296 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Matt Campbell
Iowa State
2025
Matt Campbell
Iowa State

Played his entire career under Matt Campbell.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownHartley, IA
Height6'4"
Weight235 lb
Class3
PositionLB
Jersey47

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Iowa State LB3 #9852 #9399 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 Iowa State LB3 #10899 #10644 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Iowa State Big 12 LB 3 No. 47 | 6-4 | 235 lb | Hartley, IA
2024 Iowa State Big 12 LB 3 No. 47 | 6-4 | 235 lb | Hartley, IA
2023 Iowa State Big 12 LB 3 No. 47 | 6-4 | 235 lb | Hartley, IA