cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Mar'Kel Porter /Bowling Green

Mar'Kel Porter

RB · Bowling Green · Fr · #25

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

93 RUSH YDS · 2 RUSH TD · 31 CARRIES

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Bowling Green → Northwestern for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Northwestern

2025Bowling Green
2026Northwestern

RB · BOWLING GREEN · MID-AMERICAN

Mar'Kel Porter

  • 1
  • #25
  • 6-1 | 220 lb
  • Dallas, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

12

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rush tds at the 26th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#4390

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#2047 national
CFB
College
Bowling Green
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class1
Jersey25
Measurements6-1 | 220 lb
HometownDallas, TX
Primary teamBowling Green

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 2047 recruit
Composite rating 0.8311 HighSchool
Signed with Bowling Green 2024
Origin Lancaster Lancaster, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 3-star | 0.8311 No. 2047 recruit | HighSchool | Bowling Green

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Northwestern 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 14, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Bowling Green -> Northwestern 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#4390Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#4644Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Bowling Green

Composite

0.8311

#2047 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Mar'Kel Porter

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Mar'Kel Porter

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
93Rush yards
31Carries
2Rush TDs
Per game
8.5Rush yards
3Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
109.9Rush yards
37Carries
2Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 93): needs 328.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 93): needs 453.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 93): needs 703.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 4/game over remaining 2.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 6.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 9/game over remaining 2.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Mar'Kel Porter's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Bowling Green, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #4390 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 6.6% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 163 93 rush | 70 rec | #446/735 (39th pct)
Rush TD 2 31 carries | #247/739 (67th pct)
Yards/carry 3.0 Per-rush efficiency | #629/735 (15th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
31 48th
YDS
93 39th
YPC
3.0 15th
TD
2 67th

Receiving

REC
7 51st
YDS
70 59th
YPR
10.0 78th
TD
0 70th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 26-7vs Lafayette2105.016
Wk 2L 20-34@ Cincinnati691.514
Wk 4L 17-40@ Louisville133.003
Wk 5L 20-35@ Ohio111.001
Wk 7W 28-23vs Toledo341.303
Wk 8L 6-27vs Central Michigan1-2-2.000
Wk 9L 21-24@ Kent State3248.0014
Wk 10L 3-28vs Buffalo263.004
Wk 11L 21-27@ Eastern Michigan551.003
Wk 13L 16-19vs Akron
Wk 14W 45-14@ Massachusetts7334.7011Season-high 33 yds
Total31932.6214
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Bowling Green4-8HC: Eddie George · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025Bowling Green31933.02--
Career1 loaded season31933.02--
SeasonTeam
2025Bowling Green77010.00--
Career1 loaded season77010.00--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 7 70 rec yds | #270/552 (51st pct)
Usage 6.6% 9.1% rush share | #461/738 (38th pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.10 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #209/362 (43rd pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 93 #446/735 39th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 2 #247/739 67th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 3.0 #629/735 15th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 7 #270/552 51st pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 70 #227/548 59th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.10 #209/362 43rd pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 31 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 6.6% #461/738 38th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 31 #383/739 48th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 14 #488/733 34th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 22 #198/540 64th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 10.0 #121/548 78th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #169/552 70th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 10.9% #173/738 77th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 9.1% #517/738 30th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 7.1% #473/738 36th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 6.0% #501/738 32nd pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 5.6% #417/738 44th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 4.0% #611/738 17th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 3.2% #287/738 61st pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home5g3.61.80.2
Road6g12.53.20.2

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins3g15.73.70.3
Losses8g5.82.20.1

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-75g5.42.40.4
Weeks 8+6g11.02.90.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

12Below cohort
7 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: carries (0th).

Rec yards#202 / 338 · 40th pct
70rece
Receptions#240 / 338 · 27th pct
7rece
Rush TDs#236 / 349 · 26th pct
2rush
Long run#338 / 349 · 3rd pct
14rush
Yards / carry#343 / 349 · 2nd pct
3.0rush
Rush yards#350 / 349 · 0th pct
93rush
Carries#350 / 349 · 0th pct
31rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.1Low (p25–p50) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Mar'Kel PorterBowling GreenTae MeadowsTroy· 49% simChavon WrightNorthern Illinois· 45% simSeth McGowanKentucky· 45% sim
Rec yards
40
Porter
38
Meadows
10
Wright
67
McGowan
Receptions
27
Porter
45
Meadows
32
Wright
75
McGowan
Rush TDs
26
Porter
72
Meadows
62
Wright
94
McGowan
Long run
3
Porter
53
Meadows
49
Wright
11
McGowan
Yards / carry
2
Porter
29
Meadows
33
Wright
29
McGowan
Rush yards
0
Porter
74
Meadows
84
Wright
76
McGowan
Carries
0
Porter
84
Meadows
92
Wright
85
McGowan

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Eddie George

Pass share

37.7%

281 pass / 465 run

Plays / game

62.2

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

10.9%

265 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Eddie George
Bowling Green

Played his entire career under Eddie George.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownDallas, TX
Height6'1"
Weight220 lb
Class1
PositionRB
Jersey25

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Bowling Green RB1 #4390 #4644 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mid-American

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Bowling Green Mid-American RB 1 No. 25 | 6-1 | 220 lb | Dallas, TX
2024 Bowling Green Mid-American RB 1 No. 25 | 6-1 | 220 lb | Dallas, TX