cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Tavorus Jones /Missouri

Tavorus Jones

RB · Missouri · Jr · #22

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

31 RUSH YDS · 1 RUSH TD · 7 CARRIES

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Missouri → UTEP for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to UTEP

2025Missouri
2026UTEP

RB · MISSOURI · SEC

Tavorus Jones

  • 3
  • #22
  • 5-9 | 207 lb
  • El Paso, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

16

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 29th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#788

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2022–2025
25.02022
55.02024
31.02025

+24%

Modest growth (24%) across the multi-season window.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#170 national
CFB
College
Missouri
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class3
Jersey22
Measurements5-9 | 207 lb
HometownEl Paso, TX
Primary teamMissouri

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 170 recruit
Composite rating 0.9319 HighSchool
Signed with Missouri 2022
Origin Burges El Paso, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 4-star | 0.9319 No. 170 recruit | HighSchool | Missouri

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination UTEP 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 17, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Missouri -> UTEP 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#788Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#723Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Missouri

Composite

0.9319

#170 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Tavorus Jones

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Tavorus Jones

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 7g
31Rush yards
7Carries
1Rush TDs
Per game
4.4Rush yards
1Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
57.6Rush yards
13Carries
2Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 31): needs 119.8/game over remaining 6.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 31): needs 161.5/game over remaining 6.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 31): needs 244.8/game over remaining 6.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 1.5/game over remaining 6.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 2.3/game over remaining 6.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 3.2/game over remaining 6.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Tavorus Jones's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Missouri, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #788 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 4.5% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 170 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 57 31 rush | 26 rec | #572/735 (22nd pct)
Rush TD 1 7 carries | #323/739 (56th pct)
Yards/carry 4.4 Per-rush efficiency | #409/735 (44th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
7 22nd
YDS
31 22nd
YPC
4.4 44th
TD
1 56th

Receiving

REC
3 33rd
YDS
26 34th
YPR
8.7 68th
TD
0 70th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 7 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 61-6vs Central Arkansas372.309
Wk 2W 42-31vs Kansas
Wk 5W 42-6vs Massachusetts4246.0117Season-high 24 yds
Wk 9L 10-17@ Vanderbilt
Wk 11L 17-38vs Texas A&M
Wk 13L 6-17@ Oklahoma
BowlL 7-13vs Virginia
Total7314.2117
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Missouri6-7HC: Eli Drinkwitz · Run-leaning
2024Missouri10-3HC: Eli Drinkwitz · Run-leaning, fast tempo
2025Missouri8-5HC: Eli Drinkwitz · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025Missouri7314.41--
2024Missouri13554.20--
2022Missouri7253.60--
Career3 loaded seasons271114.11--
SeasonTeam
2025Missouri3268.70--
2024Missouri12020.00--
2022Missouri23618.00--
Career3 loaded seasons68213.70--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 3 26 rec yds | #371/552 (33rd pct)
Usage 4.5% 6.0% rush share | #567/738 (23rd pct)
Rushing WEPA -- Adjusted value feed still loading
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 31 #572/735 22nd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 1 #323/739 56th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 4.4 #409/735 44th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 3 #371/552 33rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 26 #360/548 34th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Usage Role share 4.5% #567/738 23rd pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 17 #434/733 41st pct Metricvs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 7 #578/739 22nd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 20 #232/540 57th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 8.7 #179/548 68th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #169/552 70th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Returns Kick return yards 96 #57/200 72nd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Returns Kick return avg 16.0 #132/199 34th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Returns Kick returns 6 #49/206 77th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 6.0% #600/738 19th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 5.6% #524/738 29th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 4.8% #569/738 23rd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 4.7% #451/738 39th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 3.6% #548/738 26th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 2.9% #318/738 57th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 2.8% #655/738 11th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/256 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 7 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home5g6.24.20.2
Road2g

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins3g10.34.20.3
Losses4g

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-74g7.84.20.2
Weeks 8+3g

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

16Below cohort
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: fumbles lost (86th). Concern: carries (0th).

Fumbles lost#1 / 201 · 87th pct
0fumb
Yards / carry#241 / 349 · 29th pct
4.4rush
Rec yards#286 / 338 · 16th pct
26rece
Rush TDs#284 / 349 · 13th pct
1rush
Receptions#305 / 338 · 8th pct
3rece
Long run#319 / 349 · 8th pct
17rush
Rush yards#350 / 349 · 0th pct
31rush
Carries#350 / 349 · 0th pct
7rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Tavorus JonesMissouriJordan BrunsonMiami (OH)· 49% simTae MeadowsTroy· 48% simChavon WrightNorthern Illinois· 48% sim
Fumbles lost
87
Jones
49
Brunson
49
Meadows
49
Wright
Yards / carry
29
Jones
41
Brunson
29
Meadows
33
Wright
Rec yards
16
Jones
3
Brunson
38
Meadows
10
Wright
Rush TDs
13
Jones
50
Brunson
72
Meadows
62
Wright
Receptions
8
Jones
2
Brunson
45
Meadows
32
Wright
Long run
8
Jones
73
Brunson
53
Meadows
49
Wright
Rush yards
0
Jones
80
Brunson
74
Meadows
84
Wright
Carries
0
Jones
85
Brunson
84
Meadows
92
Wright

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Eli Drinkwitz

Pass share

39.6%

360 pass / 550 run

Plays / game

70.0

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

8.4%

308 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

1 coach
2022
Eli Drinkwitz
Missouri
2024
Eli Drinkwitz
Missouri
2025
Eli Drinkwitz
Missouri

Played his entire career under Eli Drinkwitz.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownEl Paso, TX
Height5'9"
Weight207 lb
Class3
PositionRB
Jersey22

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Missouri RB3 #788 #723 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC
2023 Missouri RB3 #1723 #1267 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | SEC
2022 Missouri RB3 #2011 #2037 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Missouri SEC RB 3 No. 22 | 5-9 | 207 lb | El Paso, TX
2024 Missouri SEC RB 3 No. 22 | 5-9 | 207 lb | El Paso, TX
2023 Missouri SEC RB 3 No. 22 | 5-9 | 207 lb | El Paso, TX
2022 Missouri SEC RB 3 No. 22 | 5-9 | 207 lb | El Paso, TX