Oregon State
UTEP
1:00 AM · Sun Bowl

Oregon State at UTEP — no line posted yet, but the model favors Oregon State (73%).

What’s at stake

UTEP

  • UTEP is the Conference USA program whose Sun Bowl hosting heritage + Mike Price 2004-2012 era + 1966 NCAA basketball title (as Texas Western) + Don Haskins legacy define what historic-El-Paso-football looks like.

Oregon State

  • Oregon State hasn’t beaten a ranked opponent since 2024.

Face-off

What each fanbase carries into this one.

Oregon State

The chip · vs big brother

Oregon walked into the Big Ten and left the Civil War behind without a backward glance. The fanbase in Corvallis hasn't forgotten which neighbor abandoned the rivalry — or that the Beavers stayed when staying was the hard thing.

What this game touches

Left behind in the Pac-12 collapse. When ten Pac-12 schools announced departures for 2024, only Oregon State and Washington State were left holding a 108-year-old conference with no other members. The Beavers won the legal fight to keep the brand, then spent 2025 paying the football cost: a 2-10 season, a 0-7 start, and Trent Bray fired seven games in.

UTEP

The chip · vs the national media

Miners fans know their program is the one the rest of the country forgets exists — 600 miles from the nearest power program, in a city the maps put in the corner. They'll tell you El Paso shows up anyway, and that the isolation is a badge, not an excuse.

What this game touches

The football glory that never lasts. UTEP's best football is decades old — Mike Price's 2004-2005 bowl teams the last sustained success — and the recent years have been grim. A 2-10 (1-7 Conference USA) finish in 2025, Scotty Walden's second season, was the latest in a long run of losing for a program that has never been able to keep a winning era going.

Best players

UTEP

  • Micah Davey (LB) · 2025: 114 tackles
  • Jayden Wilson (LB) · 2025: 92 tackles
  • Xavier Smith (S) · 2025: 60 tackles

Oregon State

  • Zachary Card (WR) · 78 receiving yards
  • Gabarri Johnson (QB) · 245 passing yards
  • Jamai East (WR) · 42 receiving yards

The line, and the room

UTEP fans are feeling better about their season (84th percentile) than Oregon State fans are (23rd) — even with Oregon State favored here.

evenModel · 27%UTEP fans · 84thOregon State fans · 23rdOregon StateUTEP

Conditions

Home-field advantage: Strong

UTEP is 36% at home, 17% on the road since 2018 (16-28 home, 8-39 away).