Next game: at Louisiana
Louisiana’s best edge on South Alabama is running
Each unit against the one it meets, by national percentile this season. A filled dot is the attack and a ring is the defense it meets; the first name is the attack. Further right is better for both.
South Alabama offense against Louisiana defense
Louisiana offense against South Alabama defense
Percentiles are against all FBS teams this season.
Key stats
Each bar is the team’s national rank as a percentile. A longer bar is better, for defense too.
All 98 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | ZPR | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pocket Passer · +0.13 EPA/play | 7 | 7 | 82 / 156 | 52.6 | 1195 | 7.7 | 9 | 4 | 130.8 | 56 | 58.1 | 7.0 | 4.9 | |
Yards by week → Pocket passerBalanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile. Starter — 156 pass attempts and 48 carries in 7 games, fewer passes and runs a game than most FBS quarterbacks who play every week. This week's matchup — QB Hollins operates within the system without forcing anything. Crowder is the one who extends plays on the move until something opens up. Season receipt Yards / attempt7.8 52th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Completion %53.0% bottom 3th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jared Hollins's full player page | ||||||||||||||
| +0.23 EPA/play | 4 | 2 | 40 / 59 | 67.8 | 450 | 7.6 | 3 | 0 | 148.6 | 46 | 79.8 | 8.1 | 3.3 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | Stuff% | 10+% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Back · +0.13 EPA/play | 3 | 8 | 107 | 576 #56 FBS | 5.4 | 6 #55 FBS | 42 | 16.8 | 15.0 | |
Yards by week → Balanced back· Return threatPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. a house-call threat every time he fields it Starter — 107 carries and 9 catches in 8 games, about as many touches a game as a typical FBS running back who plays every week. This week's matchup — RB Phillips does a little of everything without one standout trait. Griffin is the one who does a little of everything without one standout trait. Season receipt Yards / carry5.4 53th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Receiving share7.8% bottom 30th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Keenan Phillips's full player page | ||||||||||
| Balanced Back · +0.04 EPA/play | — | 8 | 118 | 552 #63 FBS | 4.7 | 7 #36 FBS | 33 | 16.8 | 11.8 | |
Yards by week → Balanced backPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. Starter — 118 carries and 10 catches in 8 games, more touches a game than most FBS running backs who play every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 134 of 278 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2023 class View PJ Martin's full player page | ||||||||||
| Balanced Back · +0.11 EPA/play | 21 | 8 | 57 | 295 | 5.2 | 4 | 32 | 5.3 | 8.8 | |
Yards by week → Balanced backPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. 57 carries and 4 catches in 8 games. Fewer touches a game than most FBS running backs who play every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 134 of 278 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Trae'von Dunbar's full player page | ||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Threat · +0.42 EPA/play | 12 | 8 | 27 | 451 | 16.7 | 3 | 72 | |
Yards by week → Deep threatStretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play. 27 catches in 8 games. About as many catches a game as a typical FBS receiver who plays every week. This week's matchup — WR Jenkins beats you over the top. Keyes is the one who beats you over the top. Season receipt Yards / reception17.2 85th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Plays like View Brendan Jenkins's full player page | ||||||||
| Deep Threat · +0.38 EPA/play | 1 | 7 | 20 | 450 | 22.5 | 6 #23 FBS | 69 | |
Yards by week → Deep threat· Money-downStretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play. lives on the sticks and moves the chains This week's matchup — WR Eager beats you over the top. Keyes is the one who beats you over the top. Season receipt Yards / reception22.8 100th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate30.0% 100th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Anthony Eager's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.54 EPA/play | 2 | 7 | 23 | 266 | 11.6 | 1 | 40 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. The most common profile in its group this season — 279 of 467 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2025 class View Jeremiah Jones-Thomas's full player page | ||||||||
| +0.10 EPA/play | 6 | 7 | 9 | 142 | 15.8 | 0 | 49 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.73 EPA/play | 9 | 7 | 13 | 120 | 9.2 | 2 | 34 | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. 13 catches and 1 carry in 7 games. Fewer catches a game than most FBS tight ends who play every week. 126 of 166 TEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception5.0 bottom 5th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions EPA / play (adj)0.7 74th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Rod Gibbs's full player page | ||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Two-Gap Base | 18 | 8 | 29 | 15 | 4.5 | 2 | 4 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. Starter — 29 tackles in 8 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 276 of 606 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Masey Lewis's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 52 | — | 24 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 24 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 276 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate16.7% 55th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Janier Armstead's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 90 | 7 | 18 | 4 | 2.5 | 1 | 1 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 18 tackles in 7 games. Fewer tackles a game than most FBS defensive linemen who play every week. 276 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate13.9% bottom 46th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View E'Mauri Smiley's full player page | |||||||
| Nose Anchor | 56 | 8 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 1.5 | 0 |
Nose anchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. 130 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight310 lb 82th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Stephen Johnson's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 49 | 4 | 13 | 5 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. The most common profile in its group this season — 276 of 606 classified this way. Played in 4 of 10 games this season · freshman View Tre Brown's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 41 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. The most common profile in its group this season — 276 of 606 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2024 class View Tyler Carter's full player page | |||||||
| 94 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Linebacker | 48 | 8 | 38 | 12 | 26 | 1.5 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 38 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. 330 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume38 50th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate3.9% bottom 23th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jordan Williams's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 11 | 7 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 1 | 0.5 | 1 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2024 class View Parker Shattuck's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 26 | 7 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 330 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume24 bottom 22th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Sack rate12.5% 99th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Xavious Anderson Jr.'s full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 16 | 4 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 4 of 10 games this season · freshman View Seidrion Langston's full player page | |||||||||
| Coverage 'Backer | 25 | 6 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 0.5 | 2 | 0 |
Coverage ’backerCarries tight ends and patrols the middle of the field in coverage. 89 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate11.8% 99th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Tackle volume17 bottom 12th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Tre'Mon Henry's full player page | |||||||||
| Coverage 'Backer | 10 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
Coverage ’backerCarries tight ends and patrols the middle of the field in coverage. 89 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate13.3% 100th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate26.7% 100th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View William Felton IV's full player page | |||||||||
| 17 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 30 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Box Safety | 14 | 8 | 46 | 1 | 0 | 3.5 | 0 |
Box safetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. Starter — 46 tackles in 8 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 150 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume46 88th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Cole Blaylock's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 2 | 8 | 36 | 5 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 36 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 358 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate13.9% 79th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Jayvon Henderson's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 8 | 7 | 36 | 2 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 36 tackles in 7 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 358 of 657 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman View Dallas Young's full player page | |||||||
| Cover Corner | 12 | 8 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Cover cornerSteady in coverage; doesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play. The most common profile in its group this season — 138 of 244 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Jaylen Moson's full player page | |||||||
| Centerfielder | 3 | — | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
CenterfielderSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. 116 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate9.5% 59th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Tywon Wray Jr.'s full player page | |||||||
| Cover Corner | 24 | 6 | 19 | 1 | 3 #16 FBS | 3 | 1.5 |
Cover corner· Takeaway threatSteady in coverage; doesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play. the kind of DB who takes it back the other way 138 of 244 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate5.3% bottom 22th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Damyrion Darby's full player page | |||||||
| Centerfielder | 13 | 6 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
CenterfielderSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. 116 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate20.0% 95th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Kam Robinson's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 32 | 6 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 358 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate0.0% bottom 15th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Camen Upshaw's full player page | |||||||
| 34 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 35 | 8 | 9/12 | 75 | 31/33 | 58 | 42 |
| 94 | — | 6/7 | 85.7 | 33/33 | 51 | 51 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinner | 40 | 8 | 25 | 951 | 38 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Back · +0.13 EPA/play | 3 | 8 | 12 | 335 | 27.9 | 1 | 100 |
Biggest plays from South Alabama’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in South Alabama’s games this season, whoever made them.
Q1, 1:31 · South Alabama breaks the tieSouth Alabama scores a touchdownSouth Alabama at Arkansas State, week 6Q1, 1:31 · South Alabama 14, Arkansas State 7100Kickoff return touchdown100Kickoff return touchdownKickoff return touchdownC.Amaya kickoff 65 yards to the USA00 K.Phillips return 100 yards to the ASU00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play
- Q4, 4:38 · South Alabama down 7, ties itPJ Martin runs 19 yards for a touchdownSouth Alabama at Marshall, week 8Q4, 4:38 · South Alabama 13, Marshall 134:38Game-tying touchdown for South Alabama with 4:38 left4:38Game-tying touchdown for South Alabama with 4:38 leftGame-tying touchdown for South Alabama with 4:38 leftP.Martin rush middle for 19 yards gain to the MAR00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
- Q1, 1:31 · South Alabama up 3PJ Martin runs 16 yards for a touchdownSouth Alabama at Tulane, week 2Q1, 1:31 · South Alabama 10, Tulane 0▲27%South Alabama’s chance to win, 34% to 61%▲27%South Alabama’s chance to win, 34% to 61%P.Martin rush middle for 16 yards gain to the TLN00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
Sun Belt Conference 
Q4, 1:49 · Marshall breaks the tieJudah Price runs 5 yards for a touchdownSouth Alabama at Marshall, week 8Q4, 1:49 · Marshall 20, South Alabama 131:49Go-ahead touchdown for Marshall with 1:49 left1:49Go-ahead touchdown for Marshall with 1:49 leftGo-ahead touchdown for Marshall with 1:49 leftJ.Price rush middle for 5 yards gain to the USA00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play
Q2, 1:12 · Kentucky down 7, ties itJason Patterson runs 75 yards for a touchdownSouth Alabama at Kentucky, week 4Q2, 1:12 · Kentucky 21, South Alabama 217575-yard touchdown run7575-yard touchdown run75-yard touchdown runJ.Patterson rush middle for 75 yards gain to the SA00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
Q2, 14:57 · Tulane down 10Johnnie Daniels runs 2 yards for a touchdownSouth Alabama at Tulane, week 2Q2, 14:57 · Tulane 7, South Alabama 10Tulane answered right backTulane answered right backJ.Daniels rush middle for 2 yards gain to the USA00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play Sun Belt Conference
How scary each game got
South Alabama lost to Louisiana Tech after being 83% to win; the closest win was at Arkansas State, down to 24%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave South Alabama during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Stat leaders
2026 stat leaders · South Alabama
through 8 games
2026 stat leaders · South AlabamaCole Blaylock leads South Alabama with 46 tackles through 8 games.
Roster
Roster
2026+19 more
Recruiting and the portal: top commits · who's gone and who's back
How they play
South Alabama fields a capable run-heavy, explosive, big-play offense behind a porous defense, though it gives up the big play.
Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Player percentiles
South Alabama reads strongest in field position (O) (top 8%) and rushing EPA (top 20%); the crux lives in EPA allowed, where South Alabama sits at the 3rd percentile.
Offense · strengths lead
Defense · higher bar = harder to play against
Hidden math · special situations
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
South Alabama is worth +3.4 points more at home than on the road.
Middle of FBS, 35th percentile of 133 programs
45% at home, 33% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (20-24 home, 17-35 away). Interval ±3.9.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, South Alabama has beaten the number by −0.2 more at home than away over 104 games. That is inside the ±5.9 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
Hancock Whitney Stadium seats 25,450 and has averaged 63% full (16,110, 26 games reported). Visitors cover a median 292 miles to get here since 2018 — 31st-shortest of 135 FBS venues, inside the ordinary range. For the home side it is genuinely home ground: 26% of the 2026 roster (41 of 156 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 52 home games since 2018.
More in this tab
How they play
Usage splits
How the players get used
From the 2025 season's play-by-play
- Deep threatJeremy Scott is a real deep-ball threat: a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.
Position battles
RB room
The carries are split. The job isn’t.
PJ Martin and Keenan Phillips split the carries (118/224 vs 106/224) -- but the job isn't split the same way. Keenan Phillips produces in bigger chunks.
WR/TE room
The targets are split. The job isn’t.
Anthony Eager (WR) and Rod Gibbs (TE) split the targets (39/55 vs 16/55) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
Scheme claims
Team identity · competitive snaps only
How South Alabama actually scores
64th percentile quality, 27th percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 76th | 3rd |
| Akron | 9th | 90th |
| Alabama | 82nd | 22nd |
| App State | 41st | 48th |
| Arizona | 91st | 16th |
| Arizona State | 20th | 83rd |
| Arkansas | 7th | 93rd |
| Arkansas State | 60th | 32nd |
| Army | 95th | 10th |
| Auburn | 34th | 59th |
| BYU | 83rd | 17th |
| Ball State | 32nd | 72nd |
| Baylor | 36th | 63rd |
| Boise State | 96th | 4th |
| Boston College | 20th | 80th |
| Buffalo | 8th | 88th |
| Central Michigan | 6th | 96th |
| Cincinnati | 88th | 15th |
| Clemson | 10th | 92nd |
| Coastal Carolina | 49th | 57th |
| Colorado | 15th | 86th |
| Colorado State | 88th | 30th |
| Delaware | 63rd | 40th |
| Duke | 74th | 8th |
| East Carolina | 24th | 77th |
| Eastern Michigan | 14th | 80th |
| Florida | 75th | 37th |
| Florida Atlantic | 72nd | 25th |
| Florida International | 2nd | 98th |
| Florida State | 64th | 44th |
| Fresno State | 56th | 52nd |
| Georgia | 92nd | 11th |
| Georgia Southern | 52nd | 40th |
| Georgia State | 77th | 36th |
| Georgia Tech | 30th | 70th |
| Hawai'i | 12th | 88th |
| Houston | 89th | 2nd |
| Illinois | 70th | 38th |
| Indiana | 85th | 18th |
| Iowa | 52nd | 53rd |
| Iowa State | 43rd | 62nd |
| Jacksonville State | 62nd | 41st |
| James Madison | 58th | 35th |
| Kansas | 28th | 66th |
| Kansas State | 48th | 44th |
| Kennesaw State | 23rd | 79th |
| Kentucky | 71st | 21st |
| LSU | 86th | 9th |
| Liberty | 78th | 29th |
| Louisiana | 27th | 69th |
| Louisiana Tech | 60th | 47th |
| Louisville | 94th | 19th |
| Marshall | 36th | 61st |
| Maryland | 17th | 85th |
| Massachusetts | 38th | 60th |
| Memphis | 87th | 20th |
| Miami | 100th | 0th |
| Miami (OH) | 68th | 31st |
| Michigan | 25th | 71st |
| Middle Tennessee | 37th | 60th |
| Minnesota | 4th | 95th |
| Mississippi State | 35th | 65th |
| Missouri | 54th | 49th |
| Missouri State | 40th | 64th |
| NC State | 69th | 28th |
| Navy | 57th | 51st |
| Nebraska | 59th | 32nd |
| Nevada | 1st | 99th |
| New Mexico | 39th | 68th |
| North Carolina | 48th | 45th |
| North Dakota State | 31st | 64th |
| North Texas | 99th | 1st |
| Northern Illinois | 12th | 89th |
| Northwestern | 93rd | 6th |
| Notre Dame | 97th | 5th |
| Ohio | 67th | 43rd |
| Ohio State | 79th | 23rd |
| Oklahoma State | 76th | 14th |
| Ole Miss | 80th | 8th |
| Oregon | 28th | 72nd |
| Oregon State | 92nd | 13th |
| Penn State | 47th | 48th |
| Pittsburgh | 44th | 50th |
| Purdue | 65th | 34th |
| Rice | 18th | 87th |
| Rutgers | 32nd | 76th |
| SMU | 81st | 16th |
| San Diego State | 5th | 94th |
| San José State | 13th | 84th |
| South Alabama | 64th | 27th |
| South Carolina | 55th | 54th |
| South Florida | 42nd | 56th |
| Southern Miss | 3rd | 97th |
| Stanford | 53rd | 55th |
| Syracuse | 24th | 74th |
| TCU | 21st | 75th |
| Temple | 56th | 56th |
| Tennessee | 45th | 42nd |
| Texas | 11th | 91st |
| Texas A&M | 16th | 78th |
| Texas State | 90th | 12th |
| Texas Tech | 50th | 46th |
| Toledo | 84th | 24th |
| Troy | 8th | 92nd |
| Tulane | 33rd | 73rd |
| Tulsa | 68th | 28th |
| UAB | 16th | 81st |
| UCF | 19th | 82nd |
| UCLA | 61st | 36th |
| UConn | 84th | 26th |
| UNLV | 44th | 67th |
| USC | 80th | 12th |
| UTSA | 72nd | 20th |
| Utah | 96th | 7th |
| Utah State | 0th | 100th |
| Vanderbilt | 26th | 76th |
| Virginia | 51st | 39th |
| Virginia Tech | 66th | 33rd |
| Wake Forest | 98th | 4th |
| Washington | 40th | 58th |
| West Virginia | 73rd | 24th |
| Western Kentucky | 4th | 96th |
| Western Michigan | 29th | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 22nd | 84th |
| Wyoming | 46th | 52nd |
South Alabama’s 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 26th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it climbs to the 44th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does South Alabama hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
44th percentile success on standard downs, 74th on passing downs — a 30-point gap between the two.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 98th | 23rd |
| Akron | 58th | 34th |
| Alabama | 77th | 57th |
| App State | 33rd | 49th |
| Arizona | 76th | 94th |
| Arizona State | 38th | 61st |
| Arkansas | 71st | 24th |
| Arkansas State | 85th | 59th |
| Army | 93rd | 58th |
| Auburn | 14th | 69th |
| BYU | 86th | 35th |
| Ball State | 31st | 52nd |
| Baylor | 15th | 46th |
| Boise State | 77th | 92nd |
| Boston College | 63rd | 28th |
| Bowling Green | 43rd | 21st |
| Buffalo | 9th | 11th |
| California | 11th | 20th |
| Central Michigan | 36th | 9th |
| Charlotte | 18th | 41st |
| Cincinnati | 68th | 83rd |
| Clemson | 7th | 39th |
| Coastal Carolina | 23rd | 64th |
| Colorado | 16th | 65th |
| Colorado State | 66th | 95th |
| Delaware | 59th | 64th |
| Duke | 21st | 67th |
| East Carolina | 37th | 19th |
| Eastern Michigan | 16th | 30th |
| Florida | 61st | 70th |
| Florida Atlantic | 67th | 87th |
| Florida International | 20th | 53rd |
| Florida State | 30th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 25th | 84th |
| Gardner-Webb | 5th | 23rd |
| Georgia | 98th | 89th |
| Georgia Southern | 60th | 71st |
| Georgia State | 68th | 66th |
| Georgia Tech | 53rd | 40th |
| Hawai'i | 48th | 29th |
| Houston | 87th | 99th |
| Illinois | 73rd | 91st |
| Indiana | 55th | 44th |
| Iowa | 79th | 13th |
| Iowa State | 18th | 31st |
| Jacksonville State | 82nd | 80th |
| James Madison | 45th | 77th |
| Kansas | 52nd | 18th |
| Kansas State | 64th | 68th |
| Kennesaw State | 61st | 16th |
| Kent State | 5th | 21st |
| Kentucky | 90th | 51st |
| LSU | 86th | 98th |
| Liberty | 93rd | 78th |
| Louisiana | 36th | 66th |
| Louisiana Tech | 26th | 79th |
| Louisville | 95th | 72nd |
| Maine | 0th | 86th |
| Marshall | 69th | 32nd |
| Maryland | 34th | 26th |
| Massachusetts | 35th | 38th |
| Memphis | 92nd | 93rd |
| Mercyhurst | 2nd | 34th |
| Miami | 99th | 95th |
| Miami (OH) | 50th | 43rd |
| Michigan | 10th | 89th |
| Michigan State | 23rd | 55th |
| Middle Tennessee | 27th | 64th |
| Minnesota | 32nd | 4th |
| Mississippi State | 66th | 59th |
| Missouri | 34th | 41st |
| Missouri State | 52nd | 30th |
| NC State | 62nd | 77th |
| Navy | 89th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 46th | 85th |
| Nevada | 28th | 27th |
| New Mexico | 55th | 48th |
| New Mexico State | 14th | 36th |
| Norfolk State | 7th | 0th |
| North Carolina | 89th | 73rd |
| North Dakota State | 30th | 45th |
| North Texas | 95th | 84th |
| Northern Illinois | 51st | 14th |
| Northwestern | 88th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 100th | 43rd |
| Ohio | 82nd | 42nd |
| Ohio State | 84th | 80th |
| Oklahoma | 4th | 50th |
| Oklahoma State | 96th | 86th |
| Old Dominion | 1st | 36th |
| Ole Miss | 81st | 94th |
| Oregon | 39th | 26th |
| Oregon State | 97th | 70th |
| Penn State | 20th | 47th |
| Pittsburgh | 65th | 50th |
| Purdue | 57th | 82nd |
| Rice | 59th | 14th |
| Robert Morris | 2nd | 5th |
| Rutgers | 42nd | 81st |
| SMU | 91st | 82nd |
| Sacramento State | 13th | 6th |
| Sam Houston | 11th | 37th |
| San Diego State | 8th | 54th |
| San José State | 17th | 2nd |
| South Alabama | 44th | 74th |
| South Carolina | 70th | 56th |
| South Florida | 84th | 57th |
| Southern Miss | 48th | 7th |
| Stanford | 40th | 9th |
| Syracuse | 57th | 39th |
| TCU | 70th | 10th |
| Temple | 50th | 68th |
| Tennessee | 75th | 12th |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 46th | 55th |
| Texas State | 74th | 100th |
| Texas Tech | 64th | 76th |
| Toledo | 73rd | 52nd |
| Troy | 39th | 15th |
| Tulane | 12th | 8th |
| Tulsa | 49th | 7th |
| UAB | 24th | 62nd |
| UCF | 29th | 45th |
| UCLA | 80th | 60th |
| UConn | 72nd | 73rd |
| UL Monroe | 47th | 11th |
| UNLV | 41st | 19th |
| USC | 79th | 97th |
| UT Martin | 6th | 3rd |
| UTEP | 9th | 1st |
| UTSA | 91st | 33rd |
| Utah | 94th | 98th |
| Utah State | 3rd | 76th |
| Vanderbilt | 41st | 32nd |
| Virginia | 83rd | 2nd |
| Virginia Tech | 43rd | 91st |
| Wake Forest | 75th | 96th |
| Washington | 56th | 16th |
| Washington State | 19th | 5th |
| West Virginia | 54th | 75th |
| Western Kentucky | 22nd | 25th |
| Western Michigan | 32nd | 27th |
| Wisconsin | 25th | 22nd |
| Wyoming | 78th | 48th |
South Alabama by half
1st-half offense ranks 66th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 54th — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
How much of South Alabama’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.17; 58th percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.05. The widest gap came in week 4: 0.27 raw vs. 0.05 adjusted.
Pass defense by zone
What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), South Alabama’s passing game completes a completion rate below the FBS mean (63.0% vs 67.0% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 183-play sample) — mid-pack, 13 of 136 qualifying offenses.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), South Alabama’s defense allows a completion rate above the FBS mean (68.1% vs 66.3% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 179-play sample) — mid-pack, 109 of 137 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Turnover luck
75% recovery rate on their own fumbles — well above the ~52% league baseline.
6 of 8 own fumbles recovered themselves; 5 of 10 forced fumbles recovered, 2026 only.
Takeaways
18% of tipped/broken-up passes have turned into picks — about the ~18% league average.
6 interceptions of 33 disrupted passes (27 deflected, 6 intercepted), 2026 only.
Penalties
55 penalties committed, 42 drawn on opponents — ceding 111 yards of field position.
478 penalty yards committed vs. 367 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.
Ratings and comparisons
Ratings
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · South Alabama
Most similar programs · South AlabamaReads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.
Historical echo
South Alabama’s breakout has happened before — and 3 of the 4 closest programs couldn’t hold it.
Programs whose stature climbed in the same shape. The grey line is their run; the color is what came next for them.
An analogy on the shape of a program’s Zeitgeist stature arc — not a prediction. Interim calibration; matched among current FBS programs at a comparable level.
Weather
Hancock Whitney Stadium, Mobile, AL
Usual during the game around Nov 13: 61°, between 51° and 71° in about 7 in 10 games (18 games since 2016).
Road games since 2016: the middle game was 68°, and 8 in 10 ran between 56° and 80° (54 of 59 road games, at stadiums we cover).
What a usual Saturday feels like here, by kickoff time
Airport readings near each stadium during the game, not on the field. How we measure
Weather observations: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at Iowa State University. Rain: NOAA MRMS radar and CoCoRaHS volunteer gauges (CC BY 4.0). Game data: CollegeFootballData.com.