cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / PJ Martin /South Alabama

PJ Martin

RB · South Alabama · So

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

326 RUSH YDS · 2 RUSH TD · 60 CARRIES

2026 RETURNINGReturning to South Alabama for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to South Alabama for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Running back · South Alabama

Returning around him

  • 25% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • Transfer portal: -18 net (12 in / 30 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

South Alabama · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #102 · 2026 recruiting class #118

RB · SOUTH ALABAMA · SUN BELT

PJ Martin

  • 2
  • 5-10 | 202 lb
  • New Orleans, LA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

38

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 68th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#3806

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2023–2025
75.02023
3262025

+335%

Up 335% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1866 national
CFB
College
South Alabama
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class2
Jersey--
Measurements5-10 | 202 lb
HometownNew Orleans, LA
Primary teamSouth Alabama

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1866 recruit
Composite rating 0.8304 HighSchool
Signed with South Alabama 2023
Origin De La Salle New Orleans, LA, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8304 No. 1866 recruit | HighSchool | South Alabama

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#3806Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3898Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to South Alabama

Composite

0.8304

#1866 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on PJ Martin

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about PJ Martin

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 8g
326Rush yards
60Carries
2Rush TDs
Per game
40.8Rush yards
8Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
529.8Rush yards
98Carries
3Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 326): needs 84.8/game over remaining 5.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 326): needs 134.8/game over remaining 5.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 326): needs 234.8/game over remaining 5.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 1.6/game over remaining 5.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 2.6/game over remaining 5.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 3.6/game over remaining 5.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

PJ Martin's story is about how role and output meet each other. For South Alabama, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #3806 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 13.3% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 375 326 rush | 49 rec | #247/735 (67th pct)
Rush TD 2 60 carries | #247/739 (67th pct)
Yards/carry 5.4 Per-rush efficiency | #206/735 (72nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
60 63rd
YDS
326 67th
YPC
5.4 72nd
TD
2 67th

Receiving

REC
5 43rd
YDS
49 48th
YPR
9.8 76th
TD
0 70th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 8 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 38-21vs Morgan State8405.019
Wk 2L 31-33vs Tulane3186.009
Wk 3L 15-31@ Auburn11302.7016
Wk 4L 20-38vs Coastal Carolina9697.7038Season-high 69 yds
Wk 5L 22-36@ North Texas10606.0019
Wk 6L 24-31@ Troy9515.7012
Wk 8L 14-15vs Arkansas State7547.7127
Wk 9W 38-31@ Georgia State341.302
Total603265.3238
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023South Alabama7-6HC: Kane Wommack · Balanced
2025South Alabama4-8HC: Major Applewhite · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025South Alabama603265.42--
2023South Alabama12756.21--
Career2 loaded seasons724015.63--
SeasonTeam
2025South Alabama5499.80--
2023South Alabama22412.00--
Career2 loaded seasons77310.40--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 5 49 rec yds | #315/552 (43rd pct)
Usage 13.3% 19.6% rush share | #218/738 (71st pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.13 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #156/362 (57th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 326 #247/735 67th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 2 #247/739 67th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 5.4 #206/735 72nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 5 #315/552 43rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 49 #286/548 48th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.13 #156/362 57th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 53 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 13.3% #218/738 71st pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 60 #276/739 63rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 38 #244/733 67th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 35 #95/540 83rd pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 9.8 #132/548 76th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #169/552 70th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 19.6% #267/738 64th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 17.6% #131/738 82nd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 15.6% #215/738 71st pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 12.8% #277/738 63rd pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 8.7% #258/738 65th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 8.5% #267/738 64th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 3.7% #253/738 66th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/256 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 8 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home4g45.26.60.5
Road4g36.23.90.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins2g22.03.10.5
Losses6g47.06.00.2

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-76g44.75.50.2
Weeks 8+2g29.04.50.5

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

38Mid-pack
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: fumbles lost (86th). Concern: receptions (17th).

Fumbles lost#1 / 201 · 87th pct
0fumb
Yards / carry#108 / 349 · 68th pct
5.4rush
Long run#214 / 349 · 38th pct
38rush
Rush yards#247 / 349 · 29th pct
326rush
Rec yards#243 / 338 · 28th pct
49rece
Rush TDs#236 / 349 · 26th pct
2rush
Carries#276 / 349 · 20th pct
60rush
Receptions#269 / 338 · 18th pct
5rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.13Low (p25–p50) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
PJ MartinSouth AlabamaJordan BrunsonMiami (OH)· 62% simJeremiah CobbAuburn· 61% simTae MeadowsTroy· 61% sim
Fumbles lost
87
Martin
49
Brunson
49
Meadows
Yards / carry
68
Martin
41
Brunson
71
Cobb
29
Meadows
Long run
38
Martin
73
Brunson
51
Cobb
53
Meadows
Rush yards
29
Martin
80
Brunson
88
Cobb
74
Meadows
Rec yards
28
Martin
3
Brunson
47
Cobb
38
Meadows
Rush TDs
26
Martin
50
Brunson
62
Cobb
72
Meadows
Carries
20
Martin
85
Brunson
88
Cobb
84
Meadows
Receptions
18
Martin
2
Brunson
45
Cobb
45
Meadows

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Balanced Back

Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Colby McDonald’s 2021 season.

Colby McDonald

82%match

Maryland · 2021

#2

Chase Brown

Illinois · 2022

81%
#3

Micah Kelly

Toledo · 2021

79%
#4

Ja'shon Benjamin

Rutgers · 2025

78%
#5

Larry McCammon III

Florida Atlantic · 2022

All-Conference USA
77%

Matches Colby on

Yards / carry
Total rush EPA (college ability)
EPA / carry (adj)

Differs from Colby on

Class year (lower)
Recruiting rating (lower)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Ashton Stredick's junior season at California (2023).

Ashton Stredick

80%match

California · 2023

#2

Ja'shon Benjamin

Rutgers · 2025

79%
#3

Chase Brown

Illinois · 2022

79%
#4

Kamari Moulton

Iowa · 2025

78%
#5

Cam'Ron Valdez

Texas Tech · 2023

71%

Matches Ashton on

Total rush EPA (college ability)
EPA / carry (adj)
Yards / carry

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Major Applewhite

Pass share

37.0%

310 pass / 527 run

Plays / game

69.8

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.2%

249 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Kane Wommack
South Alabama
2025
Major Applewhite
South Alabama
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Kane Wommack → Major Applewhite. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownNew Orleans, LA
Height5'10"
Weight202 lb
Class2
PositionRB

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 South Alabama RB2 #3806 #3898 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt
2023 South Alabama RB2 #1829 #2029 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Sun Belt

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 South Alabama Sun Belt RB 2 5-10 | 202 lb | New Orleans, LA
2024 South Alabama Sun Belt RB 2 5-10 | 202 lb | New Orleans, LA
2023 South Alabama Sun Belt RB 2 5-10 | 202 lb | New Orleans, LA